The daily read from the close of 15 Sep 2025
Computed on the morning of 16 Sep 2025 (simulated: computed after the fact, standing on that close with only what was known then): 780 names ranked. Judged ten sessions later: the names to look at averaged -2.6% vs Nifty (1 of 5 beat it), the names to stay away from averaged -3.7% (3 of 5 trailed it), the whole field -3.1%.
The read from the close of 15 Sep 2025 · Half year
Our calculation, not advice.
Follow in my book
rank 1 of 779
GABRIEL
Gabriel India Ltd. · AUTO
▲ Look at
94.3
score /100rank 1 of 779
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,302.40close 15 Sep
Upside reference₹1,419.26+9.0% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹1,230.21-5.5% · its typical 10-session fall
+155.6% over six months · +143.6% vs Nifty · +125.4% vs its sector · 100% of its six-month range · after results +7.1% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -6.4% (-4.7% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 2 of 779
TFCILTD
Tourism Finance Corporation of India Limited
▲ Look at
93.7
score /100rank 2 of 779
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹72.19close 15 Sep
Upside reference₹78.61+8.9% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹67.79-6.1% · its typical 10-session fall
+159.0% over six months · +147.1% vs Nifty · 99% of its six-month range · after results +8.7% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -0.1% (+1.6% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 3 of 779
CHOICEIN
Choice International Ltd. · FINANCIAL SERVICES
▲ Look at
91.7
score /100rank 3 of 779
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹822.10close 15 Sep
Upside reference₹852.47+3.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹806.65-1.9% · its typical 10-session fall
+71.0% over six months · +59.1% vs Nifty · +57.7% vs its sector · 100% of its six-month range · after results +5.2% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -4.1% (-2.3% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 4 of 779
CCL
CCL Products (I) Ltd. · FMCG
▲ Look at
91.7
score /100rank 4 of 779
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹903.85close 15 Sep
Upside reference₹958.96+6.1% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹866.01-4.2% · its typical 10-session fall
+58.5% over six months · +46.5% vs Nifty · +49.5% vs its sector · 92% of its six-month range · after results +18.3% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -5.2% (-3.4% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 5 of 779
KPIL
Kalpataru Projects International Ltd. · INFRASTRUCTURE
▲ Look at
91.7
score /100rank 5 of 779
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,301.20close 15 Sep
Upside reference₹1,367.93+5.1% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹1,242.95-4.5% · its typical 10-session fall
+51.9% over six months · +40.0% vs Nifty · +37.3% vs its sector · 100% of its six-month range · after results +10.3% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -5.7% (-4.0% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 779 of 779
RAYMOND
Raymond Limited
▼ Stay away
2.6
score /100rank 779 of 779
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹622.25close 15 Sep
Upside reference₹656.17+5.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹584.83-6.0% · its typical 10-session fall
-49.2% over six months · -61.1% vs Nifty · 7% of its six-month range · after results -32.0% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -7.6% (-5.8% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 778 of 779
ORIENTCEM
Orient Cement Limited
▼ Stay away
2.6
score /100rank 778 of 779
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹222.42close 15 Sep
Upside reference₹228.58+2.8% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹217.20-2.3% · its typical 10-session fall
-36.0% over six months · -47.9% vs Nifty · 4% of its six-month range · after results -7.0% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -1.6% (+0.1% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 777 of 779
PGEL
PG Electroplast Ltd. · CONSUMER DURABLES
▼ Stay away
3.6
score /100rank 777 of 779
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹573.20close 15 Sep
Upside reference₹617.61+7.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹546.48-4.7% · its typical 10-session fall
-31.4% over six months · -43.3% vs Nifty · -45.1% vs its sector · 18% of its six-month range · after results -9.8% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -11.9% (-10.2% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 776 of 779
REFEX
Refex Industries Limited
▼ Stay away
4.9
score /100rank 776 of 779
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹354.90close 15 Sep
Upside reference₹385.67+8.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹337.18-5.0% · its typical 10-session fall
-7.1% over six months · -19.0% vs Nifty · 5% of its six-month range · after results -15.2% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +1.3% (+3.1% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 775 of 779
JAIBALAJI
Jai Balaji Industries Limited
▼ Stay away
5.0
score /100rank 775 of 779
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹104.29close 15 Sep
Upside reference₹109.79+5.3% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹98.26-5.8% · its typical 10-session fall
-23.7% over six months · -35.7% vs Nifty · 10% of its six-month range · after results -7.1% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -7.5% (-5.8% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Session by session · the full window
| Name | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 | T+4 | T+5 | T+6 | T+7 | T+8 | T+9 | T+10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ Names to look at — move vs Nifty since the close; green while ahead | ||||||||||
| GABRIELGabriel India Ltd. | +0.5% | -0.4% | -5.6% | -2.5% | -1.8% | -1.4% | -1.2% | -3.0% | -3.3% | -4.7% |
| TFCILTDTourism Finance Corporation of India Limited | +0.0% | -1.0% | -0.6% | -0.7% | -0.7% | +0.4% | +1.0% | +1.5% | +2.2% | +1.6% |
| CHOICEINChoice International Ltd. | -0.3% | -0.8% | -1.6% | -2.5% | -2.5% | -1.2% | +0.6% | +0.5% | -0.5% | -2.3% |
| CCLCCL Products (I) Ltd. | +0.8% | -0.8% | -4.1% | -3.0% | -1.0% | -0.8% | +1.8% | +0.1% | +0.0% | -3.4% |
| KPILKalpataru Projects International Ltd. | -2.0% | -3.3% | -4.1% | -3.5% | -5.0% | -4.2% | -3.0% | -2.8% | -2.9% | -4.0% |
| ▼ Names to stay away from — move vs Nifty since the close; green while behind | ||||||||||
| RAYMONDRaymond Limited | +0.3% | -1.0% | -1.0% | -1.3% | -1.1% | -0.0% | -0.5% | -0.2% | -0.8% | -5.8%▼ |
| ORIENTCEMOrient Cement Limited | +1.1% | +1.8% | +0.5% | -2.3% | -0.1% | +5.2% | +3.5% | +5.8% | +2.8% | +0.1% |
| PGELPG Electroplast Ltd. | -1.3% | -1.8% | -2.4% | -1.4% | -2.7% | -3.0% | -5.0%▼ | -5.1%▼ | -8.6%▼ | -10.2%▼ |
| REFEXRefex Industries Limited | +0.1% | -0.5% | -3.3% | -3.1% | -5.3% | +9.6% | +12.9% | +9.2% | +6.7% | +3.1% |
| JAIBALAJIJai Balaji Industries Limited | -3.1% | -2.1% | -4.5% | -4.1% | -4.7% | -4.8% | -6.9%▼ | -6.6%▼ | -7.0%▼ | -5.8%▼ |
| Look at, ahead of Nifty | 3/5 | 0/5 | 0/5 | 0/5 | 0/5 | 1/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 | 1/5 |
| … on the record | 49% | 49% | 48% | 47% | 47% | 47% | 48% | 48% | 48% | 48% |
| Stay away, behind Nifty | 2/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 |
| … on the record | 58% | 57% | 58% | 58% | 58% | 59% | 59% | 58% | 59% | 59% |
| Spread, look-at minus stay-away | +0.4% | -0.6% | -1.1% | -0.0% | +0.6% | -2.8% | -1.0% | -1.3% | +0.5% | +1.2% |
| … on the record | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Each cell is the name's move from the close of 15 Sep minus Nifty's over the same sessions, at that session's close. A ▲ or ▼ marks the first session by which the card's upside or downside reference had printed. The on the record rows are what every past call has done at that point — 1,865 calls a side — so a day can be read against what usually happens, not just against zero. Sessions are the name's own; a name that did not trade on a day is measured on the sessions it did.
The whole field · top 50 and bottom 50
| Rank | Company | Score | Chance | Close | Move, six months | vs Nifty | vs sector | Range | After results | Delivery | 10 sessions on | vs Nifty |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 look at | GABRIELGabriel India Ltd. | 94.3 | 50% | ₹1,302.40 | +155.6% | +143.6% | +125.4% | 100% | +7.1% | +5.2 pp | -6.4% | -4.7% |
| 2 look at | TFCILTDTourism Finance Corporation of India Limited | 93.7 | 50% | ₹72.19 | +159.0% | +147.1% | — | 99% | +8.7% | +6.6 pp | -0.1% | +1.6% |
| 3 look at | CHOICEINChoice International Ltd. | 91.7 | 50% | ₹822.10 | +71.0% | +59.1% | +57.7% | 100% | +5.2% | +7.2 pp | -4.1% | -2.3% |
| 4 look at | CCLCCL Products (I) Ltd. | 91.7 | 50% | ₹903.85 | +58.5% | +46.5% | +49.5% | 92% | +18.3% | +10.5 pp | -5.2% | -3.4% |
| 5 look at | KPILKalpataru Projects International Ltd. | 91.7 | 50% | ₹1,301.20 | +51.9% | +40.0% | +37.3% | 100% | +10.3% | +10.4 pp | -5.7% | -4.0% |
| 775 stay away | JAIBALAJIJai Balaji Industries Limited | 5.0 | 55% | ₹104.29 | -23.7% | -35.7% | — | 10% | -7.1% | -8.3 pp | -7.5% | -5.8% |
| 776 stay away | REFEXRefex Industries Limited | 4.9 | 55% | ₹354.90 | -7.1% | -19.0% | — | 5% | -15.2% | -7.7 pp | +1.3% | +3.1% |
| 777 stay away | PGELPG Electroplast Ltd. | 3.6 | 55% | ₹573.20 | -31.4% | -43.3% | -45.1% | 18% | -9.8% | -10.4 pp | -11.9% | -10.2% |
| 778 stay away | ORIENTCEMOrient Cement Limited | 2.6 | 55% | ₹222.42 | -36.0% | -47.9% | — | 4% | -7.0% | -17.2 pp | -1.6% | +0.1% |
| 779 stay away | RAYMONDRaymond Limited | 2.6 | 55% | ₹622.25 | -49.2% | -61.1% | — | 7% | -32.0% | -7.3 pp | -7.6% | -5.8% |
Score ranks every name on six checks over six months, each placed from first to last across the field, then blended: the move and the move against Nifty 30% (on one day and one period they order the field the same way, so they count once), against the sector 20%, where the close sits between the period's high and low 20%, the move against Nifty in the ten sessions after each result in the period 15% (* its last result before the period when there was none), and delivery over the second half of the period against the first half 15%. A missing check's weight is shared among the rest. Chance is the historical rate at which names ranked in the same tenth on this period went the way that tenth leans — blank until a tenth has a hundred judged rows. Every call is judged ten sessions after the close against Nifty, whatever the period.