The daily read from the close of 16 Sep 2025
Computed on the morning of 17 Sep 2025 (simulated: computed after the fact, standing on that close with only what was known then): 780 names ranked. Judged ten sessions later: the names to look at averaged -2.5% vs Nifty (2 of 5 beat it), the names to stay away from averaged -3.8% (4 of 5 trailed it), the whole field -3.1%.
The read from the close of 16 Sep 2025 · Half year
Our calculation, not advice.
Follow in my book
rank 1 of 779
GABRIEL
Gabriel India Ltd. · AUTO
▲ Look at
94.1
score /100rank 1 of 779
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,317.20close 16 Sep
Upside reference₹1,431.89+8.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹1,244.10-5.5% · its typical 10-session fall
+158.5% over six months · +145.8% vs Nifty · +126.4% vs its sector · 100% of its six-month range · after results +7.1% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -10.3% (-7.8% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 2 of 779
TFCILTD
Tourism Finance Corporation of India Limited
▲ Look at
93.7
score /100rank 2 of 779
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹72.69close 16 Sep
Upside reference₹79.14+8.9% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹68.17-6.2% · its typical 10-session fall
+160.8% over six months · +148.1% vs Nifty · 100% of its six-month range · after results +8.7% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +0.9% (+3.4% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 3 of 779
CCL
CCL Products (I) Ltd. · FMCG
▲ Look at
92.8
score /100rank 3 of 779
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹917.00close 16 Sep
Upside reference₹973.40+6.2% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹878.69-4.2% · its typical 10-session fall
+60.8% over six months · +48.1% vs Nifty · +52.1% vs its sector · 96% of its six-month range · after results +18.3% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -7.8% (-5.3% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 4 of 779
CHOICEIN
Choice International Ltd. · FINANCIAL SERVICES
▲ Look at
91.6
score /100rank 4 of 779
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹825.00close 16 Sep
Upside reference₹856.45+3.8% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹809.50-1.9% · its typical 10-session fall
+71.6% over six months · +59.0% vs Nifty · +57.9% vs its sector · 100% of its six-month range · after results +5.2% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -7.0% (-4.5% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 5 of 779
CENTUM
Centum Electronics Limited
▲ Look at
90.7
score /100rank 5 of 779
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹2,692.90close 16 Sep
Upside reference₹2,901.73+7.8% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹2,531.81-6.0% · its typical 10-session fall
+110.0% over six months · +97.3% vs Nifty · 84% of its six-month range · after results +21.2% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -0.9% (+1.6% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 779 of 779
RAYMOND
Raymond Limited
▼ Stay away
2.7
score /100rank 779 of 779
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹628.30close 16 Sep
Upside reference₹661.85+5.3% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹590.82-6.0% · its typical 10-session fall
-48.7% over six months · -61.4% vs Nifty · 8% of its six-month range · after results -32.0% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -8.7% (-6.2% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 778 of 779
ORIENTCEM
Orient Cement Limited
▼ Stay away
2.8
score /100rank 778 of 779
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹226.32close 16 Sep
Upside reference₹232.44+2.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹221.01-2.3% · its typical 10-session fall
-34.8% over six months · -47.5% vs Nifty · 6% of its six-month range · after results -7.0% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -3.1% (-0.6% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 777 of 779
PGEL
PG Electroplast Ltd. · CONSUMER DURABLES
▼ Stay away
3.2
score /100rank 777 of 779
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹569.90close 16 Sep
Upside reference₹612.70+7.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹543.33-4.7% · its typical 10-session fall
-31.7% over six months · -44.4% vs Nifty · -46.5% vs its sector · 17% of its six-month range · after results -9.8% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -11.9% (-9.4% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 776 of 779
JAIBALAJI
Jai Balaji Industries Limited
▼ Stay away
3.9
score /100rank 776 of 779
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹101.80close 16 Sep
Upside reference₹106.99+5.1% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹96.01-5.7% · its typical 10-session fall
-25.6% over six months · -38.2% vs Nifty · 4% of its six-month range · after results -7.1% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -7.3% (-4.8% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 775 of 779
REFEX
Refex Industries Limited
▼ Stay away
5.3
score /100rank 775 of 779
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹357.65close 16 Sep
Upside reference₹388.47+8.6% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹340.13-4.9% · its typical 10-session fall
-6.4% over six months · -19.1% vs Nifty · 7% of its six-month range · after results -15.2% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -0.3% (+2.2% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference reached
Session by session · the full window
| Name | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 | T+4 | T+5 | T+6 | T+7 | T+8 | T+9 | T+10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ Names to look at — move vs Nifty since the close; green while ahead | ||||||||||
| GABRIELGabriel India Ltd. | -0.8% | -6.0% | -3.0% | -2.3% | -1.8% | -1.7% | -3.4% | -3.7% | -5.0% | -7.8% |
| TFCILTDTourism Finance Corporation of India Limited | -1.0% | -0.6% | -0.7% | -0.7% | +0.4% | +1.0% | +1.5% | +2.2% | +1.6% | +3.4% |
| CCLCCL Products (I) Ltd. | -1.6% | -4.8% | -3.7% | -1.8% | -1.6% | +1.0% | -0.7% | -0.7% | -4.1% | -5.3% |
| CHOICEINChoice International Ltd. | -0.5% | -1.3% | -2.2% | -2.2% | -0.8% | +0.9% | +0.8% | -0.2% | -2.0% | -4.5% |
| CENTUMCentum Electronics Limited | -0.2% | -2.4% | +4.8% | +4.5% | +4.1% | +7.6% | +3.4% | -0.5% | +1.3% | +1.6% |
| ▼ Names to stay away from — move vs Nifty since the close; green while behind | ||||||||||
| RAYMONDRaymond Limited | -1.3% | -1.3% | -1.6% | -1.4% | -0.3% | -0.8% | -0.5% | -1.1% | -6.0%▼ | -6.2%▼ |
| ORIENTCEMOrient Cement Limited | +0.7% | -0.6% | -3.3%▼ | -1.1%▼ | +4.0%▼ | +2.4%▼ | +4.6%▼ | +1.7%▼ | -0.9%▼ | -0.6%▼ |
| PGELPG Electroplast Ltd. | -0.5% | -1.2% | -0.1% | -1.4% | -1.8% | -3.8% | -3.9%▼ | -7.4%▼ | -9.0%▼ | -9.4%▼ |
| JAIBALAJIJai Balaji Industries Limited | +1.0% | -1.5% | -1.1% | -1.7% | -1.7% | -3.9% | -3.7% | -4.1%▼ | -2.9%▼ | -4.8%▼ |
| REFEXRefex Industries Limited | -0.6% | -3.3% | -3.1% | -5.3%▼ | +9.4%▼ | +12.7%▼ | +9.0%▼ | +6.6%▼ | +3.0%▼ | +2.2%▼ |
| Look at, ahead of Nifty | 0/5 | 0/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 2/5 | 4/5 | 3/5 | 1/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 |
| … on the record | 49% | 49% | 48% | 47% | 47% | 47% | 48% | 48% | 48% | 48% |
| Stay away, behind Nifty | 3/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 |
| … on the record | 58% | 57% | 58% | 58% | 58% | 59% | 59% | 58% | 59% | 59% |
| Spread, look-at minus stay-away | -0.7% | -1.5% | +0.9% | +1.7% | -1.9% | +0.4% | -0.8% | +0.3% | +1.5% | +1.2% |
| … on the record | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Each cell is the name's move from the close of 16 Sep minus Nifty's over the same sessions, at that session's close. A ▲ or ▼ marks the first session by which the card's upside or downside reference had printed. The on the record rows are what every past call has done at that point — 1,865 calls a side — so a day can be read against what usually happens, not just against zero. Sessions are the name's own; a name that did not trade on a day is measured on the sessions it did.
The whole field · top 50 and bottom 50
| Rank | Company | Score | Chance | Close | Move, six months | vs Nifty | vs sector | Range | After results | Delivery | 10 sessions on | vs Nifty |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 look at | GABRIELGabriel India Ltd. | 94.1 | 50% | ₹1,317.20 | +158.5% | +145.8% | +126.4% | 100% | +7.1% | +5.2 pp | -10.3% | -7.8% |
| 2 look at | TFCILTDTourism Finance Corporation of India Limited | 93.7 | 50% | ₹72.69 | +160.8% | +148.1% | — | 100% | +8.7% | +6.6 pp | +0.9% | +3.4% |
| 3 look at | CCLCCL Products (I) Ltd. | 92.8 | 50% | ₹917.00 | +60.8% | +48.1% | +52.1% | 96% | +18.3% | +10.6 pp | -7.8% | -5.3% |
| 4 look at | CHOICEINChoice International Ltd. | 91.6 | 50% | ₹825.00 | +71.6% | +59.0% | +57.9% | 100% | +5.2% | +7.2 pp | -7.0% | -4.5% |
| 5 look at | CENTUMCentum Electronics Limited | 90.7 | 50% | ₹2,692.90 | +110.0% | +97.3% | — | 84% | +21.2% | +7.6 pp | -0.9% | +1.6% |
| 775 stay away | REFEXRefex Industries Limited | 5.3 | 55% | ₹357.65 | -6.4% | -19.1% | — | 7% | -15.2% | -7.6 pp | -0.3% | +2.2% |
| 776 stay away | JAIBALAJIJai Balaji Industries Limited | 3.9 | 55% | ₹101.80 | -25.6% | -38.2% | — | 4% | -7.1% | -8.2 pp | -7.3% | -4.8% |
| 777 stay away | PGELPG Electroplast Ltd. | 3.2 | 55% | ₹569.90 | -31.7% | -44.4% | -46.5% | 17% | -9.8% | -10.2 pp | -11.9% | -9.4% |
| 778 stay away | ORIENTCEMOrient Cement Limited | 2.8 | 55% | ₹226.32 | -34.8% | -47.5% | — | 6% | -7.0% | -17.1 pp | -3.1% | -0.6% |
| 779 stay away | RAYMONDRaymond Limited | 2.7 | 55% | ₹628.30 | -48.7% | -61.4% | — | 8% | -32.0% | -7.1 pp | -8.7% | -6.2% |
Score ranks every name on six checks over six months, each placed from first to last across the field, then blended: the move and the move against Nifty 30% (on one day and one period they order the field the same way, so they count once), against the sector 20%, where the close sits between the period's high and low 20%, the move against Nifty in the ten sessions after each result in the period 15% (* its last result before the period when there was none), and delivery over the second half of the period against the first half 15%. A missing check's weight is shared among the rest. Chance is the historical rate at which names ranked in the same tenth on this period went the way that tenth leans — blank until a tenth has a hundred judged rows. Every call is judged ten sessions after the close against Nifty, whatever the period.