Tourism Finance Corporation of India Limited · TFCILTD
The week ahead
Five sessions from the close each name stands on · levels from its own last 90 sessions| Company | Lean | Stands on | Far reference | Exit reference | Chance | So far |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TFCILTDTourism Finance Corporation of India Limited | ▲ Look at | ₹138.79close 1 Oct | ₹144.89+4.4% · its usual 5‑session rise | ₹134.81-2.9% · a close past it says the idea was wrong | 66%of its last 90 weeks went this way | 1 of 5 sessions in · +0.6% window closes 9 Oct |
This is our reading of each share's own record, stated as levels and chances — it is not advice and nothing here is a promise. The far reference is the close moved by the share's median five-session move over its last ninety sessions; the exit reference is the nearer of the last ten sessions' low (or high, for a stay-away name) and two average daily ranges; the chance is the share of those ninety windows that went this way. It carries risk. The decision, and the risk, are yours.
The daily read · from the close of 6 Oct
Follow in my book That day's whole fieldrank 4 of 856
Nifty in 10 sessions
▲ One of the five to look at in the top tenth of the field
+7.4% over 30 sessions · +96.4% vs Nifty over 90 · 92% of its 52-week range · delivery falling. Layer percentiles across the field: L2 momentum 100.0, L3 vs market 95.0, L5 own record 93.9. The references are its own median ten-session rise and fall over the past year — arithmetic on its own history, not a price goal.
Its daily score over the last 60 sessions, oldest to newest; green when it sat in the top fifth, red in the bottom fifth. Of the 49 judged, 45 went the way its half of the field leaned.
How it has moved
All performers| Window | Move | vs Nifty | vs sector | vs itself | How it moved | Rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week28 Sep on · 6 sessions | +1.7% | +3.3% | — | 58th pct | 4 of 6 up | 137 of 856 | |
| Month1 Sep on · 24 sessions | +0.5% | +5.9% | — | 40th pct | 16 of 24 up | 226 of 856 | |
| Quarter7 Jul on · 64 sessions | +73.4% | +80.1% | — | 87th pct | 43 of 64 up | 13 of 856 | |
| Half year7 Apr on · 125 sessions | +117.5% | +118.3% | — | 98th pct | 73 of 125 up | 28 of 855 | Stretched |
| Year7 Oct on · 246 sessions | +85.7% | +94.9% | — | 31th pct | 123 of 246 up | 57 of 855 |
The read
made on the morning of 18 Jul 2026 for Q1FY27Neutral — middle fifth of the companies reporting that week: rank 67 of 166, composite 57.2 out of 100. Moves 2.3% on results on average; rising broadly in line with the index.
A neutral read points neither way; this site tallies it as such in its track record.
How it went: went nowhere much +30.8% vs market over the ten sessions after 20 Jul 2026 — the post-mortem is further down.
A read is a position on a screen, not advice. The label says where the composite ranked, the tally says how often that has gone the way it pointed, and the choice is the reader's.
The read · morning of 18 Jul 2026
for Q1FY27 on 20 Jul 2026Moves 2.3% on results on average; rising broadly in line with the index.
Each layer is a percentile among this week's reporters (0–100). A missing layer's weight is spread over the others.
Composite = 0.38 × 15.3 + 0.25 × 97.6 + 0.38 × 72.1 = 57.2
Reactivity
Over the last 16 results the average absolute move from the session before the announcement to the session after was 2.3%. The largest was 5.5% (Q4FY25). Historically the pre-result 30-day trend continued through the announcement in 86% of classified quarters.
- Typical move (T-1 → T+1)
- 2.3%
- Median move
- 1.8%
- Biggest
- +5.5% (Q4FY25)
- Up after 10 sessions
- 64% of 14
- Mean 10-session return
- +4.6%
- Mean 10-session vs market
- +3.7%
- Volume on result day
- 1.0× normal
- Pattern
- Continuation
Going in
Up 12.5% over 30 sessions and 23.4% over 90 sessions. Sitting at the 96th percentile of its 52-week range. Closed above its 20-day average on 73% of the last 30 sessions. Delivery volumes have been running 2.6 points lower than the 90-day average.
Normally tracks NIFTY 50 at a correlation of 0.28; over the last 30 sessions that has run at 0.39 (-0.9 standard deviations from its own norm). Over 30 sessions it has outrun what its beta of 1.08 to the index would account for, by 8.3 percentage points. The move is broadly in line with the market's own direction.
No clean sector benchmark for this stock, so sector-relative strength is not part of its score this week.
Where it sits
No clean sector benchmark over 90 sessions: +24.0% against the market. Up and right is ahead of both; down and left is behind both.
Numbers behind the scores
- Share of reactions upward
- 38%
- Continuation ratio
- 86%
- Move spread (SD)
- 1.7%
- Average gap at open
- -0.03%
- 30-session return
- +12.5%
- 90-session return
- +23.4%
- Since last result
- +10.5% (44 sessions)
- 20-DMA vs 50-DMA
- +2.4%
- Sessions above 20-DMA
- 73%
- Position in 52-week range
- 96%
- Delivery, 30 / 90 sessions
- 52.4% / 55.1%
- Delivery trend
- -2.7 pp
- Benchmark
- NIFTY 50
- Correlation, 30 sessions / norm
- 0.39 / 0.28
- Correlation break
- -0.90 SD
- Beta, 30 / 90 sessions
- 1.15 / 1.22
- Alpha, 30 sessions
- +8.3%
- Market regime
- market tide
- Sector index
- none
- vs sector, 30 / 90 sessions
- — / —
- Sector correlation / norm
- — / —
- Quadrant score
- 50
- Evidence
- full · 16 results used
- Price band
- low
What its results record says
16 results · ten sessions after each · from the close before the resultThis is the range each past result travelled, on closing prices. It is a description of the past, not a level for the next one, and this site gives no entry, exit or loss-limit levels.
Intraday · 6 Oct 2026
5-minute candles from 5paisa · 5 sessions on file → · test patterns →75 five-minute candles · 25 fifteen-minute · hollow body closed above its open, filled body below · hover a candle for its open, high, low and close
Last 90 sessions
daily candles · adjusted for splits and bonuses · test patterns → · the outlook for the coming hours and days → · week by week: slope, patterns, next four weeks →Against the market
same 90 sessions · every line starts at 0%No sector index is mapped for this company, so only the market is shown.
Around the last result · Q1FY27
ten sessions in, the result day, ten sessions out · from the close before the resultTen sessions after each result
share vs market · move from the close before the resultResults record
move from the close before each result| Quarter | Result day | Gap | T+1 | T+10 | Market T+10 | vs market | vs sector | Vol × | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1FY27 | 21 Jul 2026 | +1.4% | -1.1% | +32.3% | +1.6% | +30.8% | — | 1.2 | Rev 29% · PAT 100% YoY |
| Q4FY26 | 14 May 2026 | +0.9% | +1.7% | — | — | — | — | 3.0 | Rev 17% · PAT 6% YoY |
| Q3FY26 | 2 Feb 2026 | -3.8% | -0.6% | +14.5% | +1.4% | +13.1% | — | 0.5 | Rev 22% · PAT 41% YoY |
| Q2FY26 | 11 Nov 2025 | -0.2% | -1.0% | -2.0% | +1.2% | -3.3% | — | 1.0 | Rev 13% · PAT 14% YoY |
| Q1FY26 | 5 Aug 2025 | +0.5% | +4.2% | +13.5% | +1.3% | +12.2% | — | 0.2 | Rev -10% · PAT 20% YoY |
| Q4FY25 | 12 May 2025 | +5.6% | +5.5% | +9.4% | +4.1% | +5.3% | — | 0.6 | Rev 18% · PAT 48% YoY |
| Q3FY25 | 29 Jan 2025 | -2.1% | -3.2% | -9.4% | +0.4% | -9.8% | — | 1.1 | — |
| Q2FY25 | 25 Oct 2024 | +0.0% | -1.0% | +14.0% | -1.0% | +15.0% | — | 1.5 | — |
| Q1FY25 | 14 Aug 2024 | +0.2% | -2.8% | -0.8% | +4.2% | -5.0% | — | 1.3 | — |
| Q4FY24 | 21 May 2024 | -2.6% | -0.7% | -4.5% | -2.6% | -1.9% | — | 1.7 | — |
| Q3FY24 | 15 Feb 2024 | +4.1% | +5.0% | +26.0% | +0.7% | +25.3% | — | 0.3 | Rev 20% · PAT 50% YoY |
| Q2FY24 | 13 Nov 2023 | -1.0% | +4.0% | +8.3% | +3.5% | +4.8% | — | 0.5 | Rev 13% · PAT -5% YoY |
| Q1FY24 | 14 Aug 2023 | -0.9% | +1.9% | +0.3% | -0.4% | +0.7% | — | 0.8 | — |
| Q4FY23 | 22 May 2023 | -0.7% | -0.1% | — | -3.3% | — | — | 1.0 | — |
| Q3FY23 | 13 Feb 2023 | +0.7% | -1.7% | -8.2% | -2.6% | -5.6% | — | 0.4 | — |
| Q2FY23 | 14 Nov 2022 | -1.8% | -0.5% | +0.9% | +1.2% | -0.3% | — | 0.6 | — |
Reported figures
₹ crore; from the exchange's XBRL filings| Quarter | Period end | Revenue | YoY | PAT | YoY | Op. margin | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1FY27 | 30 Jun 2026 | 72 | +29.1% | 61 | +100.3% | — | 1.32 |
| Q4FY26 | 31 Mar 2026 | 65 | +16.5% | 32 | +6.0% | — | 0.69 |
| Q3FY26 | 31 Dec 2025 | 58 | +22.4% | 31 | +40.6% | — | 0.69 |
| Q2FY26 | 30 Sep 2025 | 57 | +13.4% | 29 | +13.6% | — | 0.63 |
| Q1FY26 | 30 Jun 2025 | 55 | -9.6% | 30 | +20.3% | — | 3.30 |
| Q4FY25 | 31 Mar 2025 | 56 | +17.6% | 30 | +48.1% | — | 3.26 |
| Q3FY25 | 31 Dec 2024 | 48 | — | 22 | — | — | 2.44 |
| Q2FY25 | 30 Sep 2024 | 50 | — | 25 | — | — | 2.76 |
| Q1FY25 | 30 Jun 2024 | 61 | — | 25 | — | 90.7% | 2.74 |
| Q4FY24 | 31 Mar 2024 | 48 | — | 20 | — | — | 2.26 |
| Q3FY24 | 31 Dec 2023 | 53 | +20.3% | 27 | +50.1% | — | 3.05 |
| Q2FY24 | 30 Sep 2023 | 57 | +13.1% | 18 | -4.8% | 86.8% | 2.07 |
Post-mortems
Every result in full →- No reported figures on file for this quarter, so the result itself could not be judged.
- Went into the result within 3% of its 52-week high.
- Volume ran 1.6x its prior month in the fortnight before.
- Its usual continuation pattern did not hold this quarter.
- No reported figures on file for this quarter, so the result itself could not be judged.
- No reported figures on file for this quarter, so the result itself could not be judged.
- Its continuation habit held this quarter.
- Ran up 17% in the 30 sessions before the result — a good number had little left to reward.
- No reported figures on file for this quarter, so the result itself could not be judged.
- Delivery share rose 9 points in the fortnight before — someone was taking stock home.
- Its continuation habit held this quarter.
- Ran up 37% in the 30 sessions before the result — a good number had little left to reward.
- The market itself moved +4.1% over the same ten sessions; the raw move is mostly tide.
- No reported figures on file for this quarter, so the result itself could not be judged.
- Its continuation habit held this quarter.
- Fell 21% in the 30 sessions before the result — expectations were already low.
- No reported figures on file for this quarter, so the result itself could not be judged.
- No read was made before this result; recorded for the base rate.
- Fell 25% in the 30 sessions before the result — expectations were already low.
- No reported figures on file for this quarter, so the result itself could not be judged.
- No read was made before this result; recorded for the base rate.
- The market itself moved +4.2% over the same ten sessions; the raw move is mostly tide.
- No reported figures on file for this quarter, so the result itself could not be judged.
- Delivery share rose 5 points in the fortnight before — someone was taking stock home.
- No read was made before this result; recorded for the base rate.
- No reported figures on file for this quarter, so the result itself could not be judged.
- No read was made before this result; recorded for the base rate.
- Ran up 46% in the 30 sessions before the result — a good number had little left to reward.
- No reported figures on file for this quarter, so the result itself could not be judged.
- No read was made before this result; recorded for the base rate.
- The market itself moved +3.5% over the same ten sessions; the raw move is mostly tide.
- No reported figures on file for this quarter, so the result itself could not be judged.
- No read was made before this result; recorded for the base rate.
- Ran up 32% in the 30 sessions before the result — a good number had little left to reward.
- No reported figures on file for this quarter, so the result itself could not be judged.
- Volume ran 2.9x its prior month in the fortnight before.
- No read was made before this result; recorded for the base rate.