The daily read from the close of 16 Sep 2025
Computed on the morning of 17 Sep 2025 (simulated: computed after the fact, standing on that close with only what was known then): 780 names ranked. Judged ten sessions later: the names to look at averaged -4.1% vs Nifty (1 of 5 beat it), the names to stay away from averaged -6.0% (5 of 5 trailed it), the whole field -5.1%.
The read from the close of 16 Sep 2025 · Month
Our calculation, not advice.
Follow in my book
rank 1 of 780
AIIL
Authum Investment & Infrastructure Ltd. · FINANCIAL SERVICES
▲ Look at
94.8
score /100rank 1 of 780
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹656.92close 16 Sep
Upside reference₹697.92+6.2% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹628.31-4.4% · its typical 10-session fall
+18.3% over the month · +16.4% vs Nifty · +18.9% vs its sector · 100% of its month range · after results +9.2% vs Nifty (last result, before the month) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -6.2% (-3.7% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 2 of 780
SARDAEN
Sarda Energy and Minerals Ltd. · METAL
▲ Look at
93.6
score /100rank 2 of 780
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹617.70close 16 Sep
Upside reference₹662.37+7.2% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹591.70-4.2% · its typical 10-session fall
+38.0% over the month · +36.1% vs Nifty · +30.6% vs its sector · 96% of its month range · after results +32.7% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -12.7% (-10.2% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 3 of 780
JAYNECOIND
Jayaswal Neco Industries Limited
▲ Look at
92.5
score /100rank 3 of 780
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹71.78close 16 Sep
Upside reference₹76.00+7.3% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹68.28-4.9% · its typical 10-session fall
+36.4% over the month · +34.5% vs Nifty · 100% of its month range · after results +30.3% vs Nifty (last result, before the month) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -6.2% (-3.8% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 4 of 780
UNOMINDA
UNO Minda Ltd. · AUTO
▲ Look at
92.2
score /100rank 4 of 780
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,321.10close 16 Sep
Upside reference₹1,378.15+4.3% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹1,250.94-5.3% · its typical 10-session fall
+26.9% over the month · +25.0% vs Nifty · +12.1% vs its sector · 100% of its month range · after results +15.3% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -1.7% (+0.8% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 5 of 780
PVRINOX
PVR INOX Ltd. · MEDIA
▲ Look at
90.5
score /100rank 5 of 780
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,146.10close 16 Sep
Upside reference₹1,189.39+3.8% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹1,086.93-5.2% · its typical 10-session fall
+14.6% over the month · +12.7% vs Nifty · +14.6% vs its sector · 100% of its month range · after results +8.0% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -6.2% (-3.7% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 780 of 780
VPRPL
Vishnu Prakash R Punglia Limited
▼ Stay away
3.2
score /100rank 780 of 780
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹116.44close 16 Sep
Upside reference₹124.31+6.8% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹108.06-7.2% · its typical 10-session fall
-27.6% over the month · -29.5% vs Nifty · 1% of its month range · after results -24.3% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -19.1% (-16.6% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 779 of 780
RELINFRA
Reliance Infrastructure Limited
▼ Stay away
3.6
score /100rank 779 of 780
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹260.40close 16 Sep
Upside reference₹279.31+7.3% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹237.21-8.9% · its typical 10-session fall
-20.6% over the month · -22.5% vs Nifty · 16% of its month range · after results -18.6% vs Nifty (last result, before the month)
10 sessions on: -7.0% (-4.5% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 778 of 780
SYMPHONY
Symphony Limited
▼ Stay away
6.4
score /100rank 778 of 780
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹951.50close 16 Sep
Upside reference₹998.65+5.0% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹904.99-4.9% · its typical 10-session fall
-14.7% over the month · -16.6% vs Nifty · 11% of its month range · after results -13.8% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -4.9% (-2.4% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 777 of 780
THERMAX
Thermax Ltd. · ENERGY
▼ Stay away
7.3
score /100rank 777 of 780
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹3,318.80close 16 Sep
Upside reference₹3,458.46+4.2% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹3,177.32-4.3% · its typical 10-session fall
-15.8% over the month · -17.7% vs Nifty · -16.7% vs its sector · 18% of its month range · after results -17.3% vs Nifty
10 sessions on: -4.5% (-2.0% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 776 of 780
NAZARA
Nazara Technologies Limited
▼ Stay away
8.2
score /100rank 776 of 780
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹273.82close 16 Sep
Upside reference₹283.69+3.6% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹262.77-4.0% · its typical 10-session fall
-19.0% over the month · -20.9% vs Nifty · 5% of its month range · after results -18.0% vs Nifty
10 sessions on: -7.0% (-4.5% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Session by session · the full window
| Name | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 | T+4 | T+5 | T+6 | T+7 | T+8 | T+9 | T+10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ Names to look at — move vs Nifty since the close; green while ahead | ||||||||||
| AIILAuthum Investment & Infrastructure Ltd. | -0.6% | -3.4% | -4.1% | -7.4% | -7.9% | -6.1% | -7.2% | -7.4% | -6.0% | -3.7% |
| SARDAENSarda Energy and Minerals Ltd. | -2.9% | -8.7% | -7.5% | -5.2% | -5.0% | -5.4% | -4.1% | -6.0% | -8.0% | -10.2% |
| JAYNECOINDJayaswal Neco Industries Limited | -0.8% | +2.1% | -3.4% | -1.4% | -0.7% | +0.9% | +1.3% | -1.7% | -2.2% | -3.8% |
| UNOMINDAUNO Minda Ltd. | -1.7% | -1.4% | -0.5% | -0.5% | -0.0% | -0.2% | +0.2% | -1.6% | -0.3% | +0.8% |
| PVRINOXPVR INOX Ltd. | -1.3% | -2.3% | -3.0% | -3.2% | -2.4% | -2.1% | -1.8% | -1.0% | -1.6% | -3.7% |
| ▼ Names to stay away from — move vs Nifty since the close; green while behind | ||||||||||
| VPRPLVishnu Prakash R Punglia Limited | -3.0% | -7.3% | -7.7%▼ | -10.4%▼ | -11.5%▼ | -13.2%▼ | -15.2%▼ | -17.7%▼ | -16.8%▼ | -16.6%▼ |
| RELINFRAReliance Infrastructure Limited | +3.9% | +1.9% | -1.3% | +2.0% | +2.0% | -0.6% | -1.5% | -2.8% | -2.5% | -4.5% |
| SYMPHONYSymphony Limited | -0.2% | -1.8% | -0.1% | -1.3% | -2.8% | -2.8% | -2.5% | -2.8%▼ | -3.6%▼ | -2.4%▼ |
| THERMAXThermax Ltd. | -0.6% | -0.4% | -0.7% | -1.3% | +1.5% | +0.7% | -1.2% | -1.3% | -3.2%▼ | -2.0%▼ |
| NAZARANazara Technologies Limited | -0.3% | +0.4% | -1.4% | +1.0% | +1.1% | +2.9% | +3.3% | +4.6% | -0.5% | -4.5%▼ |
| Look at, ahead of Nifty | 0/5 | 1/5 | 0/5 | 0/5 | 0/5 | 1/5 | 2/5 | 0/5 | 0/5 | 1/5 |
| … on the record | 50% | 49% | 50% | 51% | 52% | 53% | 53% | 52% | 53% | 53% |
| Stay away, behind Nifty | 4/5 | 3/5 | 5/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 |
| … on the record | 55% | 55% | 55% | 54% | 54% | 55% | 55% | 54% | 53% | 53% |
| Spread, look-at minus stay-away | -1.4% | -1.3% | -1.5% | -1.5% | -1.3% | +0.0% | +1.1% | +0.5% | +1.7% | +1.9% |
| … on the record | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Each cell is the name's move from the close of 16 Sep minus Nifty's over the same sessions, at that session's close. A ▲ or ▼ marks the first session by which the card's upside or downside reference had printed. The on the record rows are what every past call has done at that point — 1,865 calls a side — so a day can be read against what usually happens, not just against zero. Sessions are the name's own; a name that did not trade on a day is measured on the sessions it did.
The whole field · top 50 and bottom 50
| Rank | Company | Score | Chance | Close | Move, the month | vs Nifty | vs sector | Range | After results | Delivery | 10 sessions on | vs Nifty |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 look at | AIILAuthum Investment & Infrastructure Ltd. | 94.8 | 51% | ₹656.92 | +18.3% | +16.4% | +18.9% | 100% | +9.2%* | +17.7 pp | -6.2% | -3.7% |
| 2 look at | SARDAENSarda Energy and Minerals Ltd. | 93.6 | 51% | ₹617.70 | +38.0% | +36.1% | +30.6% | 96% | +32.7% | +8.6 pp | -12.7% | -10.2% |
| 3 look at | JAYNECOINDJayaswal Neco Industries Limited | 92.5 | 51% | ₹71.78 | +36.4% | +34.5% | — | 100% | +30.3%* | +5.6 pp | -6.2% | -3.8% |
| 4 look at | UNOMINDAUNO Minda Ltd. | 92.2 | 51% | ₹1,321.10 | +26.9% | +25.0% | +12.1% | 100% | +15.3% | +6.2 pp | -1.7% | +0.8% |
| 5 look at | PVRINOXPVR INOX Ltd. | 90.5 | 51% | ₹1,146.10 | +14.6% | +12.7% | +14.6% | 100% | +8.0% | +10.6 pp | -6.2% | -3.7% |
| 776 stay away | NAZARANazara Technologies Limited | 8.2 | 52% | ₹273.82 | -19.0% | -20.9% | — | 5% | -18.0% | -0.3 pp | -7.0% | -4.5% |
| 777 stay away | THERMAXThermax Ltd. | 7.3 | 52% | ₹3,318.80 | -15.8% | -17.7% | -16.7% | 18% | -17.3% | -1.8 pp | -4.5% | -2.0% |
| 778 stay away | SYMPHONYSymphony Limited | 6.4 | 52% | ₹951.50 | -14.7% | -16.6% | — | 11% | -13.8% | -4.2 pp | -4.9% | -2.4% |
| 779 stay away | RELINFRAReliance Infrastructure Limited | 3.6 | 52% | ₹260.40 | -20.6% | -22.5% | — | 16% | -18.6%* | — | -7.0% | -4.5% |
| 780 stay away | VPRPLVishnu Prakash R Punglia Limited | 3.2 | 52% | ₹116.44 | -27.6% | -29.5% | — | 1% | -24.3% | -4.3 pp | -19.1% | -16.6% |
Score ranks every name on six checks over the month (last month plus this month so far), each placed from first to last across the field, then blended: the move and the move against Nifty 30% (on one day and one period they order the field the same way, so they count once), against the sector 20%, where the close sits between the period's high and low 20%, the move against Nifty in the ten sessions after each result in the period 15% (* its last result before the period when there was none), and delivery over the second half of the period against the first half 15%. A missing check's weight is shared among the rest. Chance is the historical rate at which names ranked in the same tenth on this period went the way that tenth leans — blank until a tenth has a hundred judged rows. Every call is judged ten sessions after the close against Nifty, whatever the period.