Reliance Infrastructure Limited · RELINFRA
The week ahead
Five sessions from the close each name stands on · levels from its own last 90 sessions| Company | Lean | Stands on | Far reference | Exit reference | Chance | So far |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RELINFRAReliance Infrastructure Limited | ▼ Stay away | ₹49.99close 18 Sep | ₹45.65-8.7% · its usual 5‑session fall | ₹53.06+6.1% · a close past it says the idea was wrong | 75%of its last 90 weeks went this way | reached the far reference at session 5 · -9.6% |
This is our reading of each share's own record, stated as levels and chances — it is not advice and nothing here is a promise. The far reference is the close moved by the share's median five-session move over its last ninety sessions; the exit reference is the nearer of the last ten sessions' low (or high, for a stay-away name) and two average daily ranges; the chance is the share of those ninety windows that went this way. It carries risk. The decision, and the risk, are yours.
The daily read · from the close of 21 Sep
Follow in my book That day's whole fieldrank 848 of 848
Nifty in 10 sessions
▼ One of the five to stay away from in the bottom tenth of the field
-36.0% over 30 sessions · -44.9% vs Nifty over 90 · 0% of its 52-week range. Layer percentiles across the field: L2 momentum 0.0, L3 vs market 0.1, L5 own record 89.8. The references are its own median ten-session rise and fall over the past year — arithmetic on its own history, not a price goal.
Its daily score over the last 60 sessions, oldest to newest; green when it sat in the top fifth, red in the bottom fifth. Of the 59 judged, 47 went the way its half of the field leaned.
The read
made on the morning of 23 May 2026 for Q4FY26Weak — bottom fifth of the companies reporting that week: rank 283 of 283, composite 5.5 out of 100. Moves 2.5% on results on average.
Across every post-mortem on this site, companies read weak went down over the next ten sessions — the way the label points — in 535 of 1097 (49%), averaging -0.9% against the market. Track record
That read was for a result already past. The next read, for Q2FY27 on 11 Nov 2026 (projected), begins about seven days before it.
A read is a position on a screen, not advice. The label says where the composite ranked, the tally says how often that has gone the way it pointed, and the choice is the reader's.
The read · morning of 23 May 2026
for Q4FY26 on 23 May 2026Moves 2.5% on results on average.
Each layer is a percentile among this week's reporters (0–100). A missing layer's weight is spread over the others.
Composite = 0.38 × 12.6 + 0.25 × 0.0 + 0.38 × 2.1 = 5.5
Reactivity
Over the last 14 results the average absolute move from the session before the announcement to the session after was 2.5%. The largest was 6.3% (Q2FY26). The pre-result trend has continued and reversed in roughly equal measure, so the trend carries no historical information here.
- Typical move (T-1 → T+1)
- 2.5%
- Median move
- 1.6%
- Biggest
- +6.3% (Q2FY26)
- Up after 10 sessions
- 64% of 14
- Mean 10-session return
- +5.8%
- Mean 10-session vs market
- +4.8%
- Volume on result day
- 1.3× normal
- Pattern
- Mixed
Going in
Down 21.5% over 30 sessions, -68.8% over 90 sessions. Sitting at the 1th percentile of its 52-week range. Closed above its 20-day average on 20% of the last 30 sessions.
Normally tracks NIFTY 50 at a correlation of 0.32; over the last 30 sessions that has run at 0.48 (-1.6 standard deviations from its own norm). Over 30 sessions it has lagged what its beta of 1.37 to the index would account for, by 14.7 percentage points.
No clean sector benchmark for this stock, so sector-relative strength is not part of its score this week.
Where it sits
No clean sector benchmark over 90 sessions: -60.7% against the market. Up and right is ahead of both; down and left is behind both.
Numbers behind the scores
- Share of reactions upward
- 36%
- Continuation ratio
- 57%
- Move spread (SD)
- 2.2%
- Average gap at open
- +0.71%
- 30-session return
- -21.5%
- 90-session return
- -68.8%
- Since last result
- -44.2% (50 sessions)
- 20-DMA vs 50-DMA
- -16.3%
- Sessions above 20-DMA
- 20%
- Position in 52-week range
- 1%
- Delivery, 30 / 90 sessions
- — / —
- Delivery trend
- — pp
- Benchmark
- NIFTY 50
- Correlation, 30 sessions / norm
- 0.48 / 0.32
- Correlation break
- -1.59 SD
- Beta, 30 / 90 sessions
- 1.20 / 1.45
- Alpha, 30 sessions
- -14.7%
- Market regime
- broad weakness
- Sector index
- none
- vs sector, 30 / 90 sessions
- — / —
- Sector correlation / norm
- — / —
- Quadrant score
- 50
- Evidence
- full · 14 results used
- Price band
- low
What its results record says
16 results · ten sessions after each · from the close before the resultThis is the range each past result travelled, on closing prices. It is a description of the past, not a level for the next one, and this site gives no entry, exit or loss-limit levels.
Last 90 sessions
daily candles · adjusted for splits and bonuses · test patterns → · the outlook for the coming hours and days → · week by week: slope, patterns, next four weeks →Against the market
same 90 sessions · every line starts at 0%No sector index is mapped for this company, so only the market is shown.
Around the last result · Q1FY27
ten sessions in, the result day, ten sessions out · from the close before the resultTen sessions after each result
share vs market · move from the close before the resultResults record
move from the close before each result| Quarter | Result day | Gap | T+1 | T+10 | Market T+10 | vs market | vs sector | Vol × | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1FY27 | 17 Aug 2026 | -2.0% | -3.9% | -11.5% | -1.2% | -10.3% | — | 0.4 | Rev 7% · PAT 151% YoY |
| Q2FY26 | 12 Nov 2025 | +1.8% | +6.3% | -9.1% | +2.0% | -11.1% | — | 1.9 | Rev -14% · PAT -39% YoY |
| Q1FY26 | 28 Jul 2025 | -1.7% | -0.5% | -19.6% | -1.0% | -18.6% | — | 2.4 | Rev -18% · PAT -429% YoY |
| Q4FY25 | 19 May 2025 | +0.2% | -1.7% | +27.7% | -1.2% | +28.9% | — | 1.0 | Rev -12% · PAT -8,562% YoY |
| Q3FY25 | 17 Feb 2025 | -5.7% | -0.6% | -17.7% | -3.7% | -14.0% | — | 2.1 | — |
| Q2FY25 | 18 Nov 2024 | +3.2% | -0.5% | +5.9% | +3.2% | +2.7% | — | 0.6 | — |
| Q1FY25 | 16 Aug 2024 | +2.6% | +2.5% | -5.0% | +4.5% | -9.5% | — | 1.1 | — |
| Q4FY24 | 3 Jun 2024 | +7.6% | -6.3% | +26.9% | +4.6% | +22.3% | — | 1.1 | — |
| Q3FY24 | 12 Feb 2024 | -1.4% | -1.3% | +7.3% | +1.6% | +5.7% | — | 1.2 | Rev 14% · PAT 136% YoY |
| Q2FY24 | 9 Nov 2023 | +0.4% | -1.0% | -3.2% | +1.8% | -5.0% | — | 1.6 | Rev 15% · PAT 638% YoY |
| Q1FY24 | 14 Aug 2023 | +1.3% | -4.1% | +8.5% | -0.4% | +9.0% | — | 0.6 | — |
| Q4FY23 | 1 Jun 2023 | -0.1% | -0.1% | +11.3% | +1.2% | +10.1% | — | 0.6 | — |
| Q3FY23 | 6 Feb 2023 | -1.4% | +1.5% | +1.9% | -0.1% | +1.9% | — | 1.3 | — |
| Q2FY23 | 14 Nov 2022 | +2.1% | +3.5% | +5.1% | +1.2% | +3.9% | — | 2.2 | — |
| Q1FY23 | 16 Aug 2022 | +1.1% | +5.8% | +40.7% | +0.3% | +40.3% | — | 0.5 | — |
| Q4FY22 | 16 May 2022 | -4.0% | +4.9% | +0.5% | +5.6% | -5.1% | — | 1.0 | — |
Reported figures
₹ crore; from the exchange's XBRL filings| Quarter | Period end | Revenue | YoY | PAT | YoY | Op. margin | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1FY27 | 30 Jun 2026 | 6,344 | +7.4% | 767 | +151.4% | -0.2% | 9.10 |
| Q4FY26 | 31 Mar 2026 | 4,001 | -2.6% | 1,640 | -80.1% | -30.4% | 22.47 |
| Q3FY26 | 31 Dec 2025 | 4,296 | -14.6% | 317 | -110.0% | 24.6% | 0.27 |
| Q2FY26 | 30 Sep 2025 | 6,234 | -14.1% | 2,575 | -38.6% | 52.7% | 46.67 |
| Q1FY26 | 30 Jun 2025 | 5,907 | -17.9% | 305 | -429.0% | 3.8% | 2.20 |
| Q4FY25 | 31 Mar 2025 | 4,108 | -12.3% | 8,261 | -8562.5% | 12.9% | 110.75 |
| Q3FY25 | 31 Dec 2024 | 5,032 | — | −3,186 | — | -43.2% | -83.26 |
| Q2FY25 | 30 Sep 2024 | 7,258 | — | 4,194 | — | 72.9% | 103.06 |
| Q1FY25 | 30 Jun 2024 | 7,192 | — | −92 | — | 16.8% | -5.90 |
| Q4FY24 | 31 Mar 2024 | 4,685 | — | −97 | — | 11.5% | -5.22 |
| Q3FY24 | 31 Dec 2023 | 4,657 | +14.0% | −300 | +136.5% | 14.4% | -10.10 |
| Q2FY24 | 30 Sep 2023 | 7,136 | +14.6% | −182 | +638.4% | 14.5% | -8.21 |
Post-mortems
Every result in full →- No reported figures on file for this quarter, so the result itself could not be judged.
- No read was made before this result; recorded for the base rate.
- Fell 31% in the 30 sessions before the result — expectations were already low.
- No reported figures on file for this quarter, so the result itself could not be judged.
- Went into the result within 5% of its 52-week low.
- Volume ran 2.1x its prior month in the fortnight before.
- Its usual continuation pattern did not hold this quarter.
- No reported figures on file for this quarter, so the result itself could not be judged.
- No reported figures on file for this quarter, so the result itself could not be judged.
- Its usual continuation pattern did not hold this quarter.
- Fell 22% in the 30 sessions before the result — expectations were already low.
- The market itself moved -3.7% over the same ten sessions; the raw move is mostly tide.
- No reported figures on file for this quarter, so the result itself could not be judged.
- Volume ran 1.8x its prior month in the fortnight before.
- Announced during market hours, so the reaction session is the announcement day itself.
- No read was made before this result; recorded for the base rate.
- Fell 21% in the 30 sessions before the result — expectations were already low.
- The market itself moved +3.2% over the same ten sessions; the raw move is mostly tide.
- No reported figures on file for this quarter, so the result itself could not be judged.
- No read was made before this result; recorded for the base rate.
- Ran up 17% in the 30 sessions before the result — a good number had little left to reward.
- The market itself moved +4.5% over the same ten sessions; the raw move is mostly tide.
- No reported figures on file for this quarter, so the result itself could not be judged.
- Volume ran 2.5x its prior month in the fortnight before.
- No read was made before this result; recorded for the base rate.
- The market itself moved +4.6% over the same ten sessions; the raw move is mostly tide.
- No reported figures on file for this quarter, so the result itself could not be judged.
- No read was made before this result; recorded for the base rate.
- No reported figures on file for this quarter, so the result itself could not be judged.
- Announced during market hours, so the reaction session is the announcement day itself.
- No read was made before this result; recorded for the base rate.
- No reported figures on file for this quarter, so the result itself could not be judged.
- Volume ran 1.5x its prior month in the fortnight before.
- No read was made before this result; recorded for the base rate.
- Ran up 23% in the 30 sessions before the result — a good number had little left to reward.
- No reported figures on file for this quarter, so the result itself could not be judged.
- No read was made before this result; recorded for the base rate.
- Fell 16% in the 30 sessions before the result — expectations were already low.
- No reported figures on file for this quarter, so the result itself could not be judged.
- No read was made before this result; recorded for the base rate.