The daily read from the close of 15 Sep 2025
Computed on the morning of 16 Sep 2025 (simulated: computed after the fact, standing on that close with only what was known then): 780 names ranked. Judged ten sessions later: the names to look at averaged -3.9% vs Nifty (2 of 5 beat it), the names to stay away from averaged -1.2% (3 of 5 trailed it), the whole field -2.6%.
The read from the close of 15 Sep 2025 · Month
Our calculation, not advice.
Follow in my book
rank 1 of 780
SARDAEN
Sarda Energy and Minerals Ltd. · METAL
▲ Look at
96.8
score /100rank 1 of 780
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹626.15close 15 Sep
Upside reference₹671.43+7.2% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹599.80-4.2% · its typical 10-session fall
+39.9% over the month · +38.7% vs Nifty · +33.4% vs its sector · 100% of its month range · after results +32.7% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -11.6% (-9.9% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 2 of 780
AIIL
Authum Investment & Infrastructure Ltd. · FINANCIAL SERVICES
▲ Look at
95.2
score /100rank 2 of 780
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹655.38close 15 Sep
Upside reference₹696.66+6.3% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹626.82-4.4% · its typical 10-session fall
+18.0% over the month · +16.8% vs Nifty · +19.0% vs its sector · 100% of its month range · after results +9.2% vs Nifty (last result, before the month) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -8.2% (-6.5% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 3 of 780
JAYNECOIND
Jayaswal Neco Industries Limited
▲ Look at
92.5
score /100rank 3 of 780
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹69.45close 15 Sep
Upside reference₹74.50+7.3% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹66.07-4.9% · its typical 10-session fall
+32.0% over the month · +30.8% vs Nifty · 100% of its month range · after results +30.3% vs Nifty (last result, before the month) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -1.4% (+0.3% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 4 of 780
KPIL
Kalpataru Projects International Ltd. · INFRASTRUCTURE
▲ Look at
92.0
score /100rank 4 of 780
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,301.20close 15 Sep
Upside reference₹1,367.93+5.1% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹1,242.95-4.5% · its typical 10-session fall
+13.4% over the month · +12.2% vs Nifty · +13.1% vs its sector · 100% of its month range · after results +14.2% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -5.7% (-4.0% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 5 of 780
UNOMINDA
UNO Minda Ltd. · AUTO
▲ Look at
90.0
score /100rank 5 of 780
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,301.50close 15 Sep
Upside reference₹1,358.08+4.3% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹1,232.33-5.3% · its typical 10-session fall
+25.0% over the month · +23.8% vs Nifty · +11.9% vs its sector · 95% of its month range · after results +15.3% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -1.2% (+0.5% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 780 of 780
RELINFRA
Reliance Infrastructure Limited
▼ Stay away
0.8
score /100rank 780 of 780
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹248.00close 15 Sep
Upside reference₹265.64+7.1% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹225.80-8.9% · its typical 10-session fall
-24.4% over the month · -25.6% vs Nifty · 0% of its month range · after results -18.6% vs Nifty (last result, before the month)
10 sessions on: -0.1% (+1.6% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 779 of 780
VPRPL
Vishnu Prakash R Punglia Limited
▼ Stay away
3.1
score /100rank 779 of 780
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹116.99close 15 Sep
Upside reference₹124.90+6.8% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹108.57-7.2% · its typical 10-session fall
-27.3% over the month · -28.5% vs Nifty · 3% of its month range · after results -24.3% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -19.6% (-17.9% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 778 of 780
SYMPHONY
Symphony Limited
▼ Stay away
5.4
score /100rank 778 of 780
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹937.45close 15 Sep
Upside reference₹983.90+5.0% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹891.63-4.9% · its typical 10-session fall
-15.9% over the month · -17.1% vs Nifty · 3% of its month range · after results -13.8% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -4.6% (-2.9% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 777 of 780
BAJAJHCARE
Bajaj Healthcare Limited
▼ Stay away
6.7
score /100rank 777 of 780
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹425.65close 15 Sep
Upside reference₹456.29+7.2% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹404.43-5.0% · its typical 10-session fall
-12.5% over the month · -13.7% vs Nifty · 6% of its month range · after results -11.8% vs Nifty (last result, before the month) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +15.2% (+16.9% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 776 of 780
THERMAX
Thermax Ltd. · ENERGY
▼ Stay away
7.5
score /100rank 776 of 780
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹3,314.90close 15 Sep
Upside reference₹3,458.80+4.3% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹3,173.59-4.3% · its typical 10-session fall
-15.9% over the month · -17.1% vs Nifty · -15.9% vs its sector · 17% of its month range · after results -17.3% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -5.5% (-3.8% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Session by session · the full window
| Name | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 | T+4 | T+5 | T+6 | T+7 | T+8 | T+9 | T+10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ Names to look at — move vs Nifty since the close; green while ahead | ||||||||||
| SARDAENSarda Energy and Minerals Ltd. | -2.0% | -4.9% | -10.6% | -9.4% | -7.1% | -6.9% | -7.3% | -6.1% | -7.9% | -9.9% |
| AIILAuthum Investment & Infrastructure Ltd. | -0.4% | -1.1% | -3.8% | -4.6% | -7.9% | -8.4% | -6.6% | -7.7% | -7.8% | -6.5% |
| JAYNECOINDJayaswal Neco Industries Limited | +2.7% | +1.9% | +4.9% | -0.8% | +1.2% | +1.9% | +3.6% | +4.0% | +0.8% | +0.3% |
| KPILKalpataru Projects International Ltd. | -2.0% | -3.3% | -4.1% | -3.5% | -5.0% | -4.2% | -3.0% | -2.8% | -2.9% | -4.0% |
| UNOMINDAUNO Minda Ltd. | +0.8% | -0.9% | -0.6% | +0.4% | +0.3% | +0.8% | +0.6% | +1.0% | -0.9% | +0.5% |
| ▼ Names to stay away from — move vs Nifty since the close; green while behind | ||||||||||
| RELINFRAReliance Infrastructure Limited | +4.3% | +8.4% | +6.4% | +3.0% | +6.5% | +6.4% | +3.7% | +2.7% | +1.3% | +1.6% |
| VPRPLVishnu Prakash R Punglia Limited | -1.1% | -4.1% | -8.4% | -8.8%▼ | -11.5%▼ | -12.6%▼ | -14.2%▼ | -16.3%▼ | -18.7%▼ | -17.9%▼ |
| SYMPHONYSymphony Limited | +0.8% | +0.6% | -1.0% | +0.8% | -0.5% | -2.0% | -2.0% | -1.7% | -2.0% | -2.9% |
| BAJAJHCAREBajaj Healthcare Limited | +1.7% | +0.8% | -1.1% | -1.5% | -1.8% | +8.5% | +19.2% | +16.9% | +12.6% | +16.9% |
| THERMAXThermax Ltd. | -0.6% | -1.1% | -1.0% | -1.2% | -1.9% | +0.9% | +0.1% | -1.8% | -1.9% | -3.8%▼ |
| Look at, ahead of Nifty | 2/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 1/5 | 2/5 |
| … on the record | 50% | 49% | 50% | 51% | 52% | 53% | 53% | 52% | 53% | 53% |
| Stay away, behind Nifty | 2/5 | 2/5 | 4/5 | 3/5 | 4/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 |
| … on the record | 55% | 55% | 55% | 54% | 54% | 55% | 55% | 54% | 53% | 53% |
| Spread, look-at minus stay-away | -1.2% | -2.6% | -1.8% | -2.0% | -1.9% | -3.6% | -3.9% | -2.3% | -2.0% | -2.7% |
| … on the record | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Each cell is the name's move from the close of 15 Sep minus Nifty's over the same sessions, at that session's close. A ▲ or ▼ marks the first session by which the card's upside or downside reference had printed. The on the record rows are what every past call has done at that point — 1,865 calls a side — so a day can be read against what usually happens, not just against zero. Sessions are the name's own; a name that did not trade on a day is measured on the sessions it did.
The whole field · top 50 and bottom 50
| Rank | Company | Score | Chance | Close | Move, the month | vs Nifty | vs sector | Range | After results | Delivery | 10 sessions on | vs Nifty |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 look at | SARDAENSarda Energy and Minerals Ltd. | 96.8 | 51% | ₹626.15 | +39.9% | +38.7% | +33.4% | 100% | +32.7% | +8.8 pp | -11.6% | -9.9% |
| 2 look at | AIILAuthum Investment & Infrastructure Ltd. | 95.2 | 51% | ₹655.38 | +18.0% | +16.8% | +19.0% | 100% | +9.2%* | +17.1 pp | -8.2% | -6.5% |
| 3 look at | JAYNECOINDJayaswal Neco Industries Limited | 92.5 | 51% | ₹69.45 | +32.0% | +30.8% | — | 100% | +30.3%* | +5.3 pp | -1.4% | +0.3% |
| 4 look at | KPILKalpataru Projects International Ltd. | 92.0 | 51% | ₹1,301.20 | +13.4% | +12.2% | +13.1% | 100% | +14.2% | +8.1 pp | -5.7% | -4.0% |
| 5 look at | UNOMINDAUNO Minda Ltd. | 90.0 | 51% | ₹1,301.50 | +25.0% | +23.8% | +11.9% | 95% | +15.3% | +6.5 pp | -1.2% | +0.5% |
| 776 stay away | THERMAXThermax Ltd. | 7.5 | 52% | ₹3,314.90 | -15.9% | -17.1% | -15.9% | 17% | -17.3% | -2.2 pp | -5.5% | -3.8% |
| 777 stay away | BAJAJHCAREBajaj Healthcare Limited | 6.7 | 52% | ₹425.65 | -12.5% | -13.7% | — | 6% | -11.8%* | -5.2 pp | +15.2% | +16.9% |
| 778 stay away | SYMPHONYSymphony Limited | 5.4 | 52% | ₹937.45 | -15.9% | -17.1% | — | 3% | -13.8% | -4.5 pp | -4.6% | -2.9% |
| 779 stay away | VPRPLVishnu Prakash R Punglia Limited | 3.1 | 52% | ₹116.99 | -27.3% | -28.5% | — | 3% | -24.3% | -5.3 pp | -19.6% | -17.9% |
| 780 stay away | RELINFRAReliance Infrastructure Limited | 0.8 | 52% | ₹248.00 | -24.4% | -25.6% | — | 0% | -18.6%* | — | -0.1% | +1.6% |
Score ranks every name on six checks over the month (last month plus this month so far), each placed from first to last across the field, then blended: the move and the move against Nifty 30% (on one day and one period they order the field the same way, so they count once), against the sector 20%, where the close sits between the period's high and low 20%, the move against Nifty in the ten sessions after each result in the period 15% (* its last result before the period when there was none), and delivery over the second half of the period against the first half 15%. A missing check's weight is shared among the rest. Chance is the historical rate at which names ranked in the same tenth on this period went the way that tenth leans — blank until a tenth has a hundred judged rows. Every call is judged ten sessions after the close against Nifty, whatever the period.