The daily read from the close of 15 Sep 2025
Computed on the morning of 16 Sep 2025 (simulated: computed after the fact, standing on that close with only what was known then): 780 names ranked. Judged ten sessions later: the names to look at averaged -0.9% vs Nifty (2 of 5 beat it), the names to stay away from averaged -1.7% (3 of 5 trailed it), the whole field -1.3%.
The read from the close of 15 Sep 2025 · Quarter
Our calculation, not advice.
Follow in my book
rank 1 of 779
GABRIEL
Gabriel India Ltd. · AUTO
▲ Look at
96.1
score /100rank 1 of 779
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,302.40close 15 Sep
Upside reference₹1,419.26+9.0% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹1,230.21-5.5% · its typical 10-session fall
+113.3% over three months · +111.8% vs Nifty · +98.5% vs its sector · 100% of its three-month range · after results +8.9% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -6.4% (-4.7% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 2 of 779
AIIL
Authum Investment & Infrastructure Ltd. · FINANCIAL SERVICES
▲ Look at
94.3
score /100rank 2 of 779
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹655.38close 15 Sep
Upside reference₹696.66+6.3% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹626.82-4.4% · its typical 10-session fall
+33.8% over three months · +32.4% vs Nifty · +33.6% vs its sector · 100% of its three-month range · after results +9.2% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -8.2% (-6.5% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 3 of 779
IMFA
Indian Metals & Ferro Alloys Limited
▲ Look at
92.9
score /100rank 3 of 779
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,043.65close 15 Sep
Upside reference₹1,119.44+7.3% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹992.57-4.9% · its typical 10-session fall
+46.0% over three months · +44.5% vs Nifty · 100% of its three-month range · after results +12.4% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +7.2% (+8.9% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 4 of 779
TFCILTD
Tourism Finance Corporation of India Limited
▲ Look at
90.3
score /100rank 4 of 779
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹72.19close 15 Sep
Upside reference₹78.61+8.9% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹67.79-6.1% · its typical 10-session fall
+66.1% over three months · +64.7% vs Nifty · 98% of its three-month range · after results +12.2% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -0.1% (+1.6% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 5 of 779
NAVA
Nava Ltd. · ENERGY
▲ Look at
89.8
score /100rank 5 of 779
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹704.95close 15 Sep
Upside reference₹759.39+7.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹667.37-5.3% · its typical 10-session fall
+27.1% over three months · +25.7% vs Nifty · +28.8% vs its sector · 96% of its three-month range · after results +21.3% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -5.5% (-3.7% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 779 of 779
RELINFRA
Reliance Infrastructure Limited
▼ Stay away
0.5
score /100rank 779 of 779
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹248.00close 15 Sep
Upside reference₹265.64+7.1% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹225.80-8.9% · its typical 10-session fall
-35.5% over three months · -36.9% vs Nifty · 0% of its three-month range · after results -18.6% vs Nifty
10 sessions on: -0.1% (+1.6% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 778 of 779
NEWGEN
Newgen Software Technologies Ltd. · IT
▼ Stay away
5.7
score /100rank 778 of 779
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹885.55close 15 Sep
Upside reference₹950.20+7.3% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹831.54-6.1% · its typical 10-session fall
-24.1% over three months · -25.6% vs Nifty · -17.5% vs its sector · 16% of its three-month range · after results -18.1% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -1.0% (+0.8% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 777 of 779
HIKAL
Hikal Limited
▼ Stay away
5.9
score /100rank 777 of 779
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹259.20close 15 Sep
Upside reference₹269.89+4.1% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹244.67-5.6% · its typical 10-session fall
-31.0% over three months · -32.4% vs Nifty · 8% of its three-month range · after results -13.8% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -3.4% (-1.6% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 776 of 779
CAMLINFINE
Camlin Fine Sciences Limited
▼ Stay away
6.8
score /100rank 776 of 779
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹220.73close 15 Sep
Upside reference₹239.82+8.6% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹211.44-4.2% · its typical 10-session fall
-26.9% over three months · -28.4% vs Nifty · 15% of its three-month range · after results -9.4% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -9.4% (-7.6% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 775 of 779
NAZARA
Nazara Technologies Limited
▼ Stay away
7.2
score /100rank 775 of 779
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹275.57close 15 Sep
Upside reference₹285.67+3.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹264.49-4.0% · its typical 10-session fall
-17.0% over three months · -18.4% vs Nifty · 7% of its three-month range · after results -18.0% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -3.5% (-1.7% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Session by session · the full window
| Name | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 | T+4 | T+5 | T+6 | T+7 | T+8 | T+9 | T+10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ Names to look at — move vs Nifty since the close; green while ahead | ||||||||||
| GABRIELGabriel India Ltd. | +0.5% | -0.4% | -5.6% | -2.5% | -1.8% | -1.4% | -1.2% | -3.0% | -3.3% | -4.7% |
| AIILAuthum Investment & Infrastructure Ltd. | -0.4% | -1.1% | -3.8% | -4.6% | -7.9% | -8.4% | -6.6% | -7.7% | -7.8% | -6.5% |
| IMFAIndian Metals & Ferro Alloys Limited | -2.7% | -0.9% | +2.8% | +1.6% | +6.2% | +11.0%▲ | +12.6%▲ | +11.8%▲ | +9.3%▲ | +8.9%▲ |
| TFCILTDTourism Finance Corporation of India Limited | +0.0% | -1.0% | -0.6% | -0.7% | -0.7% | +0.4% | +1.0% | +1.5% | +2.2% | +1.6% |
| NAVANava Ltd. | +0.7% | -1.0% | -0.0% | +0.7% | +0.1% | +0.4% | -0.2% | -0.9% | -1.4% | -3.7% |
| ▼ Names to stay away from — move vs Nifty since the close; green while behind | ||||||||||
| RELINFRAReliance Infrastructure Limited | +4.3% | +8.4% | +6.4% | +3.0% | +6.5% | +6.4% | +3.7% | +2.7% | +1.3% | +1.6% |
| NEWGENNewgen Software Technologies Ltd. | -0.7% | -1.1% | +2.3% | +2.4% | +0.9% | -0.6% | -1.1% | +3.4% | +2.0% | +0.8% |
| HIKALHikal Limited | +2.7% | +3.0% | +1.6% | +2.9% | +0.9% | -0.1% | +0.3% | +0.5% | +0.1% | -1.6% |
| CAMLINFINECamlin Fine Sciences Limited | +0.8% | +3.6% | +1.9% | +3.1% | +2.3% | +2.0% | +1.7% | +0.0% | -2.9%▼ | -7.6%▼ |
| NAZARANazara Technologies Limited | -1.3% | -1.6% | -1.0% | -2.7% | -0.3% | -0.2% | +1.6% | +2.0% | +3.3% | -1.7% |
| Look at, ahead of Nifty | 3/5 | 0/5 | 1/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 |
| … on the record | 49% | 50% | 52% | 52% | 52% | 51% | 51% | 51% | 50% | 50% |
| Stay away, behind Nifty | 2/5 | 2/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 3/5 | 1/5 | 0/5 | 1/5 | 3/5 |
| … on the record | 55% | 55% | 54% | 54% | 55% | 55% | 54% | 54% | 55% | 54% |
| Spread, look-at minus stay-away | -1.6% | -3.3% | -3.7% | -2.8% | -2.9% | -1.1% | -0.1% | -1.4% | -1.0% | +0.9% |
| … on the record | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Each cell is the name's move from the close of 15 Sep minus Nifty's over the same sessions, at that session's close. A ▲ or ▼ marks the first session by which the card's upside or downside reference had printed. The on the record rows are what every past call has done at that point — 1,865 calls a side — so a day can be read against what usually happens, not just against zero. Sessions are the name's own; a name that did not trade on a day is measured on the sessions it did.
The whole field · top 50 and bottom 50
| Rank | Company | Score | Chance | Close | Move, three months | vs Nifty | vs sector | Range | After results | Delivery | 10 sessions on | vs Nifty |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 look at | GABRIELGabriel India Ltd. | 96.1 | 51% | ₹1,302.40 | +113.3% | +111.8% | +98.5% | 100% | +8.9% | +6.6 pp | -6.4% | -4.7% |
| 2 look at | AIILAuthum Investment & Infrastructure Ltd. | 94.3 | 51% | ₹655.38 | +33.8% | +32.4% | +33.6% | 100% | +9.2% | +6.3 pp | -8.2% | -6.5% |
| 3 look at | IMFAIndian Metals & Ferro Alloys Limited | 92.9 | 51% | ₹1,043.65 | +46.0% | +44.5% | — | 100% | +12.4% | +4.4 pp | +7.2% | +8.9% |
| 4 look at | TFCILTDTourism Finance Corporation of India Limited | 90.3 | 51% | ₹72.19 | +66.1% | +64.7% | — | 98% | +12.2% | +3.1 pp | -0.1% | +1.6% |
| 5 look at | NAVANava Ltd. | 89.8 | 51% | ₹704.95 | +27.1% | +25.7% | +28.8% | 96% | +21.3% | +3.3 pp | -5.5% | -3.7% |
| 775 stay away | NAZARANazara Technologies Limited | 7.2 | 52% | ₹275.57 | -17.0% | -18.4% | — | 7% | -18.0% | -4.5 pp | -3.5% | -1.7% |
| 776 stay away | CAMLINFINECamlin Fine Sciences Limited | 6.8 | 52% | ₹220.73 | -26.9% | -28.4% | — | 15% | -9.4% | -12.5 pp | -9.4% | -7.6% |
| 777 stay away | HIKALHikal Limited | 5.9 | 52% | ₹259.20 | -31.0% | -32.4% | — | 8% | -13.8% | -4.2 pp | -3.4% | -1.6% |
| 778 stay away | NEWGENNewgen Software Technologies Ltd. | 5.7 | 52% | ₹885.55 | -24.1% | -25.6% | -17.5% | 16% | -18.1% | -11.2 pp | -1.0% | +0.8% |
| 779 stay away | RELINFRAReliance Infrastructure Limited | 0.5 | 52% | ₹248.00 | -35.5% | -36.9% | — | 0% | -18.6% | — | -0.1% | +1.6% |
Score ranks every name on six checks over three months, each placed from first to last across the field, then blended: the move and the move against Nifty 30% (on one day and one period they order the field the same way, so they count once), against the sector 20%, where the close sits between the period's high and low 20%, the move against Nifty in the ten sessions after each result in the period 15% (* its last result before the period when there was none), and delivery over the second half of the period against the first half 15%. A missing check's weight is shared among the rest. Chance is the historical rate at which names ranked in the same tenth on this period went the way that tenth leans — blank until a tenth has a hundred judged rows. Every call is judged ten sessions after the close against Nifty, whatever the period.