The daily read from the close of 8 Sep 2025
Computed on the morning of 9 Sep 2025 (simulated: computed after the fact, standing on that close with only what was known then): 775 names ranked. Judged ten sessions later: the names to look at averaged +1.5% vs Nifty (3 of 5 beat it), the names to stay away from averaged -2.5% (4 of 5 trailed it), the whole field -0.5%.
The read from the close of 8 Sep 2025 · Half year
Our calculation, not advice.
Follow in my book
rank 1 of 774
CENTUM
Centum Electronics Limited
▲ Look at
96.7
score /100rank 1 of 774
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹2,959.80close 8 Sep
Upside reference₹3,195.61+8.0% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹2,774.22-6.3% · its typical 10-session fall
+152.8% over six months · +143.0% vs Nifty · 100% of its six-month range · after results +21.2% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -5.1% (-6.8% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 2 of 774
CARYSIL
CARYSIL LIMITED
▲ Look at
94.6
score /100rank 2 of 774
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹943.35close 8 Sep
Upside reference₹994.42+5.4% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹896.92-4.9% · its typical 10-session fall
+75.7% over six months · +65.9% vs Nifty · 97% of its six-month range · after results +20.5% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -4.9% (-6.7% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 3 of 774
TFCILTD
Tourism Finance Corporation of India Limited
▲ Look at
93.2
score /100rank 3 of 774
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹69.53close 8 Sep
Upside reference₹75.56+8.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹65.29-6.1% · its typical 10-session fall
+132.6% over six months · +122.8% vs Nifty · 100% of its six-month range · after results +8.7% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +3.7% (+2.0% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 4 of 774
GABRIEL
Gabriel India Ltd. · AUTO
▲ Look at
93.0
score /100rank 4 of 774
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,221.10close 8 Sep
Upside reference₹1,324.16+8.4% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹1,155.59-5.4% · its typical 10-session fall
+135.9% over six months · +126.0% vs Nifty · +106.5% vs its sector · 94% of its six-month range · after results +7.1% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +5.3% (+3.5% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 5 of 774
AXISCADES
AXISCADES Technologies Limited
▲ Look at
92.3
score /100rank 5 of 774
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,508.60close 8 Sep
Upside reference₹1,680.88+11.4% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹1,410.84-6.5% · its typical 10-session fall
+84.2% over six months · +74.4% vs Nifty · 100% of its six-month range · after results +4.3% vs Nifty (avg of 2)
10 sessions on: +17.0% (+15.2% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 774 of 774
RAYMOND
Raymond Limited
▼ Stay away
2.5
score /100rank 774 of 774
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹607.65close 8 Sep
Upside reference₹643.31+5.9% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹572.28-5.8% · its typical 10-session fall
-54.3% over six months · -64.2% vs Nifty · 6% of its six-month range · after results -32.0% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +1.8% (+0.1% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 773 of 774
ORIENTCEM
Orient Cement Limited
▼ Stay away
3.3
score /100rank 773 of 774
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹222.47close 8 Sep
Upside reference₹228.95+2.9% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹217.23-2.4% · its typical 10-session fall
-33.9% over six months · -43.7% vs Nifty · 4% of its six-month range · after results -7.0% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +0.4% (-1.3% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 772 of 774
JAIBALAJI
Jai Balaji Industries Limited
▼ Stay away
3.5
score /100rank 772 of 774
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹101.18close 8 Sep
Upside reference₹107.49+6.2% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹95.19-5.9% · its typical 10-session fall
-33.5% over six months · -43.3% vs Nifty · 2% of its six-month range · after results -7.1% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -1.2% (-3.0% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 771 of 774
REFEX
Refex Industries Limited
▼ Stay away
4.1
score /100rank 771 of 774
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹362.30close 8 Sep
Upside reference₹395.90+9.3% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹343.19-5.3% · its typical 10-session fall
-14.5% over six months · -24.4% vs Nifty · 2% of its six-month range · after results -15.2% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -6.7% (-8.4% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 770 of 774
PGEL
PG Electroplast Ltd. · CONSUMER DURABLES
▼ Stay away
4.4
score /100rank 770 of 774
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹551.75close 8 Sep
Upside reference₹595.48+7.9% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹525.75-4.7% · its typical 10-session fall
-37.1% over six months · -46.9% vs Nifty · -49.6% vs its sector · 14% of its six-month range · after results -9.8% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +1.7% (-0.1% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Session by session · the full window
| Name | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 | T+4 | T+5 | T+6 | T+7 | T+8 | T+9 | T+10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ Names to look at — move vs Nifty since the close; green while ahead | ||||||||||
| CENTUMCentum Electronics Limited | -5.8% | -11.5% | -13.4% | -10.0% | -10.6% | -10.9% | -11.2% | -13.2% | -6.6% | -6.8% |
| CARYSILCARYSIL LIMITED | -1.2% | -1.0% | +0.5% | -1.4% | -2.1% | -3.0% | -6.4% | -5.5% | -5.0% | -6.7% |
| TFCILTDTourism Finance Corporation of India Limited | +1.8% | +2.3% | +3.2% | +3.4% | +2.6% | +2.7% | +1.6% | +2.0% | +1.9% | +2.0% |
| GABRIELGabriel India Ltd. | +2.7% | +2.6% | +0.9% | -0.5% | +5.5% | +6.0% | +5.1% | -0.5% | +2.8% | +3.5% |
| AXISCADESAXISCADES Technologies Limited | -2.6% | +1.8% | -0.0% | +3.3% | +5.0% | +9.6%▲ | +9.6%▲ | +8.5%▲ | +9.4%▲ | +15.2%▲ |
| ▼ Names to stay away from — move vs Nifty since the close; green while behind | ||||||||||
| RAYMONDRaymond Limited | +0.3% | +1.7% | +0.9% | -0.2% | +1.2% | +1.5% | +0.2% | +0.2% | -0.1% | +0.1% |
| ORIENTCEMOrient Cement Limited | -0.4% | -1.2% | -0.7% | -2.2% | -1.2% | -0.1% | +0.6% | -0.7% | -3.5% | -1.3% |
| JAIBALAJIJai Balaji Industries Limited | -1.4% | -1.9% | -2.2% | -2.1% | +1.9% | -1.3% | -0.2% | -2.7% | -2.4% | -3.0% |
| REFEXRefex Industries Limited | -4.7% | -3.1% | -3.4% | -4.2% | -3.2% | -3.2% | -3.8% | -6.5% | -6.3% | -8.4%▼ |
| PGELPG Electroplast Ltd. | +2.2% | +2.9% | +2.4% | +1.9% | +2.7% | +1.4% | +0.9% | +0.2% | +1.3% | -0.1% |
| Look at, ahead of Nifty | 2/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 |
| … on the record | 49% | 49% | 48% | 47% | 47% | 47% | 48% | 48% | 48% | 48% |
| Stay away, behind Nifty | 3/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 4/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 |
| … on the record | 58% | 57% | 58% | 58% | 58% | 59% | 59% | 58% | 59% | 59% |
| Spread, look-at minus stay-away | -0.2% | -0.8% | -1.2% | +0.3% | -0.2% | +1.2% | +0.2% | +0.2% | +2.7% | +4.0% |
| … on the record | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Each cell is the name's move from the close of 8 Sep minus Nifty's over the same sessions, at that session's close. A ▲ or ▼ marks the first session by which the card's upside or downside reference had printed. The on the record rows are what every past call has done at that point — 1,865 calls a side — so a day can be read against what usually happens, not just against zero. Sessions are the name's own; a name that did not trade on a day is measured on the sessions it did.
The whole field · top 50 and bottom 50
| Rank | Company | Score | Chance | Close | Move, six months | vs Nifty | vs sector | Range | After results | Delivery | 10 sessions on | vs Nifty |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 look at | CENTUMCentum Electronics Limited | 96.7 | 50% | ₹2,959.80 | +152.8% | +143.0% | — | 100% | +21.2% | +8.8 pp | -5.1% | -6.8% |
| 2 look at | CARYSILCARYSIL LIMITED | 94.6 | 50% | ₹943.35 | +75.7% | +65.9% | — | 97% | +20.5% | +9.5 pp | -4.9% | -6.7% |
| 3 look at | TFCILTDTourism Finance Corporation of India Limited | 93.2 | 50% | ₹69.53 | +132.6% | +122.8% | — | 100% | +8.7% | +4.9 pp | +3.7% | +2.0% |
| 4 look at | GABRIELGabriel India Ltd. | 93.0 | 50% | ₹1,221.10 | +135.9% | +126.0% | +106.5% | 94% | +7.1% | +5.6 pp | +5.3% | +3.5% |
| 5 look at | AXISCADESAXISCADES Technologies Limited | 92.3 | 50% | ₹1,508.60 | +84.2% | +74.4% | — | 100% | +4.3% | — | +17.0% | +15.2% |
| 770 stay away | PGELPG Electroplast Ltd. | 4.4 | 55% | ₹551.75 | -37.1% | -46.9% | -49.6% | 14% | -9.8% | -8.2 pp | +1.7% | -0.1% |
| 771 stay away | REFEXRefex Industries Limited | 4.1 | 55% | ₹362.30 | -14.5% | -24.4% | — | 2% | -15.2% | -10.0 pp | -6.7% | -8.4% |
| 772 stay away | JAIBALAJIJai Balaji Industries Limited | 3.5 | 55% | ₹101.18 | -33.5% | -43.3% | — | 2% | -7.1% | -9.9 pp | -1.2% | -3.0% |
| 773 stay away | ORIENTCEMOrient Cement Limited | 3.3 | 55% | ₹222.47 | -33.9% | -43.7% | — | 4% | -7.0% | -21.8 pp | +0.4% | -1.3% |
| 774 stay away | RAYMONDRaymond Limited | 2.5 | 55% | ₹607.65 | -54.3% | -64.2% | — | 6% | -32.0% | -8.8 pp | +1.8% | +0.1% |
Score ranks every name on six checks over six months, each placed from first to last across the field, then blended: the move and the move against Nifty 30% (on one day and one period they order the field the same way, so they count once), against the sector 20%, where the close sits between the period's high and low 20%, the move against Nifty in the ten sessions after each result in the period 15% (* its last result before the period when there was none), and delivery over the second half of the period against the first half 15%. A missing check's weight is shared among the rest. Chance is the historical rate at which names ranked in the same tenth on this period went the way that tenth leans — blank until a tenth has a hundred judged rows. Every call is judged ten sessions after the close against Nifty, whatever the period.