The daily read from the close of 9 Sep 2025
Computed on the morning of 10 Sep 2025 (simulated: computed after the fact, standing on that close with only what was known then): 776 names ranked. Judged ten sessions later: the names to look at averaged -1.2% vs Nifty (2 of 5 beat it), the names to stay away from averaged +2.5% (2 of 5 trailed it), the whole field +0.7%.
The read from the close of 9 Sep 2025 · Half year
Our calculation, not advice.
Follow in my book
rank 1 of 775
GABRIEL
Gabriel India Ltd. · AUTO
▲ Look at
94.3
score /100rank 1 of 775
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,258.80close 9 Sep
Upside reference₹1,371.75+9.0% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹1,191.27-5.4% · its typical 10-session fall
+143.2% over six months · +132.9% vs Nifty · +113.8% vs its sector · 99% of its six-month range · after results +7.1% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +2.4% (+1.2% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 2 of 775
CENTUM
Centum Electronics Limited
▲ Look at
94.3
score /100rank 2 of 775
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹2,799.30close 9 Sep
Upside reference₹3,021.65+7.9% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹2,623.78-6.3% · its typical 10-session fall
+139.1% over six months · +128.8% vs Nifty · 91% of its six-month range · after results +21.2% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -0.2% (-1.4% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 3 of 775
CARYSIL
CARYSIL LIMITED
▲ Look at
94.1
score /100rank 3 of 775
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹935.25close 9 Sep
Upside reference₹988.42+5.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹889.22-4.9% · its typical 10-session fall
+74.2% over six months · +64.0% vs Nifty · 95% of its six-month range · after results +20.5% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -5.3% (-6.5% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 4 of 775
TFCILTD
Tourism Finance Corporation of India Limited
▲ Look at
93.7
score /100rank 4 of 775
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹71.02close 9 Sep
Upside reference₹77.21+8.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹66.69-6.1% · its typical 10-session fall
+137.6% over six months · +127.4% vs Nifty · 100% of its six-month range · after results +8.7% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +2.5% (+1.3% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 5 of 775
AFFLE
Affle 3i Ltd. · IT
▲ Look at
91.5
score /100rank 5 of 775
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹2,070.20close 9 Sep
Upside reference₹2,172.05+4.9% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹1,992.17-3.8% · its typical 10-session fall
+39.6% over six months · +29.4% vs Nifty · +46.4% vs its sector · 100% of its six-month range · after results +10.0% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +0.7% (-0.5% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 775 of 775
REFEX
Refex Industries Limited
▼ Stay away
2.8
score /100rank 775 of 775
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹346.50close 9 Sep
Upside reference₹378.34+9.2% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹327.13-5.6% · its typical 10-session fall
-18.3% over six months · -28.5% vs Nifty · 0% of its six-month range · after results -15.2% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +12.7% (+11.4% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 774 of 775
RAYMOND
Raymond Limited
▼ Stay away
2.9
score /100rank 774 of 775
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹611.80close 9 Sep
Upside reference₹647.71+5.9% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹576.19-5.8% · its typical 10-session fall
-54.0% over six months · -64.3% vs Nifty · 6% of its six-month range · after results -32.0% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +2.1% (+0.9% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 773 of 775
JAIBALAJI
Jai Balaji Industries Limited
▼ Stay away
3.2
score /100rank 773 of 775
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹100.17close 9 Sep
Upside reference₹106.07+5.9% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹94.28-5.9% · its typical 10-session fall
-34.1% over six months · -44.4% vs Nifty · 0% of its six-month range · after results -7.1% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -0.4% (-1.6% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 772 of 775
ORIENTCEM
Orient Cement Limited
▼ Stay away
3.2
score /100rank 772 of 775
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹222.42close 9 Sep
Upside reference₹228.89+2.9% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹217.18-2.4% · its typical 10-session fall
-33.9% over six months · -44.2% vs Nifty · 4% of its six-month range · after results -7.0% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +5.6% (+4.4% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 771 of 775
PGEL
PG Electroplast Ltd. · CONSUMER DURABLES
▼ Stay away
4.6
score /100rank 771 of 775
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹566.25close 9 Sep
Upside reference₹611.19+7.9% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹539.85-4.7% · its typical 10-session fall
-35.4% over six months · -45.7% vs Nifty · -47.8% vs its sector · 17% of its six-month range · after results -9.8% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -1.4% (-2.6% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Session by session · the full window
| Name | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 | T+4 | T+5 | T+6 | T+7 | T+8 | T+9 | T+10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ Names to look at — move vs Nifty since the close; green while ahead | ||||||||||
| GABRIELGabriel India Ltd. | -0.1% | -1.8% | -3.2% | +2.7% | +3.1% | +2.3% | -3.1% | +0.1% | +0.8% | +1.2% |
| CENTUMCentum Electronics Limited | -6.0% | -8.0% | -4.3% | -5.0% | -5.3% | -5.5% | -7.7% | -0.7% | -1.0% | -1.4% |
| CARYSILCARYSIL LIMITED | +0.3% | +1.8% | -0.2% | -0.9% | -1.8% | -5.2% | -4.2% | -3.7% | -5.5% | -6.5% |
| TFCILTDTourism Finance Corporation of India Limited | +0.5% | +1.4% | +1.6% | +0.8% | +0.9% | -0.2% | +0.2% | +0.1% | +0.2% | +1.3% |
| AFFLEAffle 3i Ltd. | -2.4% | +0.9% | -0.7% | -1.6% | -1.6% | +1.8% | -0.6% | +1.8% | +2.4% | -0.5% |
| ▼ Names to stay away from — move vs Nifty since the close; green while behind | ||||||||||
| REFEXRefex Industries Limited | +1.8% | +1.5% | +0.6% | +1.6% | +1.7% | +1.1% | -1.7% | -1.5% | -3.8% | +11.4% |
| RAYMONDRaymond Limited | +1.4% | +0.6% | -0.5% | +0.9% | +1.2% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.4% | -0.2% | +0.9% |
| JAIBALAJIJai Balaji Industries Limited | -0.5% | -0.8% | -0.7% | +3.3% | +0.1% | +1.2% | -1.3% | -1.0% | -1.6% | -1.6% |
| ORIENTCEMOrient Cement Limited | -0.8% | -0.3% | -1.8% | -0.8% | +0.3% | +1.0% | -0.3% | -3.1% | -0.9% | +4.4% |
| PGELPG Electroplast Ltd. | +0.6% | +0.1% | -0.3% | +0.4% | -0.8% | -1.4% | -2.0% | -1.0% | -2.3% | -2.6% |
| Look at, ahead of Nifty | 2/5 | 3/5 | 1/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 1/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 |
| … on the record | 49% | 49% | 48% | 47% | 47% | 47% | 48% | 48% | 48% | 48% |
| Stay away, behind Nifty | 2/5 | 2/5 | 4/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 2/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 2/5 |
| … on the record | 58% | 57% | 58% | 58% | 58% | 59% | 59% | 59% | 59% | 59% |
| Spread, look-at minus stay-away | -2.0% | -1.4% | -0.8% | -1.9% | -1.4% | -1.7% | -2.0% | +0.9% | +1.1% | -3.7% |
| … on the record | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Each cell is the name's move from the close of 9 Sep minus Nifty's over the same sessions, at that session's close. A ▲ or ▼ marks the first session by which the card's upside or downside reference had printed. The on the record rows are what every past call has done at that point — 1,860 calls a side — so a day can be read against what usually happens, not just against zero. Sessions are the name's own; a name that did not trade on a day is measured on the sessions it did.
The whole field · top 50 and bottom 50
| Rank | Company | Score | Chance | Close | Move, six months | vs Nifty | vs sector | Range | After results | Delivery | 10 sessions on | vs Nifty |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 look at | GABRIELGabriel India Ltd. | 94.3 | 50% | ₹1,258.80 | +143.2% | +132.9% | +113.8% | 99% | +7.1% | +5.7 pp | +2.4% | +1.2% |
| 2 look at | CENTUMCentum Electronics Limited | 94.3 | 50% | ₹2,799.30 | +139.1% | +128.8% | — | 91% | +21.2% | +8.7 pp | -0.2% | -1.4% |
| 3 look at | CARYSILCARYSIL LIMITED | 94.1 | 50% | ₹935.25 | +74.2% | +64.0% | — | 95% | +20.5% | +9.4 pp | -5.3% | -6.5% |
| 4 look at | TFCILTDTourism Finance Corporation of India Limited | 93.7 | 50% | ₹71.02 | +137.6% | +127.4% | — | 100% | +8.7% | +5.0 pp | +2.5% | +1.3% |
| 5 look at | AFFLEAffle 3i Ltd. | 91.5 | 50% | ₹2,070.20 | +39.6% | +29.4% | +46.4% | 100% | +10.0% | +9.0 pp | +0.7% | -0.5% |
| 771 stay away | PGELPG Electroplast Ltd. | 4.6 | 55% | ₹566.25 | -35.4% | -45.7% | -47.8% | 17% | -9.8% | -8.9 pp | -1.4% | -2.6% |
| 772 stay away | ORIENTCEMOrient Cement Limited | 3.2 | 55% | ₹222.42 | -33.9% | -44.2% | — | 4% | -7.0% | -21.5 pp | +5.6% | +4.4% |
| 773 stay away | JAIBALAJIJai Balaji Industries Limited | 3.2 | 55% | ₹100.17 | -34.1% | -44.4% | — | 0% | -7.1% | -9.7 pp | -0.4% | -1.6% |
| 774 stay away | RAYMONDRaymond Limited | 2.9 | 55% | ₹611.80 | -54.0% | -64.3% | — | 6% | -32.0% | -8.5 pp | +2.1% | +0.9% |
| 775 stay away | REFEXRefex Industries Limited | 2.8 | 55% | ₹346.50 | -18.3% | -28.5% | — | 0% | -15.2% | -9.7 pp | +12.7% | +11.4% |
Score ranks every name on six checks over six months, each placed from first to last across the field, then blended: the move and the move against Nifty 30% (on one day and one period they order the field the same way, so they count once), against the sector 20%, where the close sits between the period's high and low 20%, the move against Nifty in the ten sessions after each result in the period 15% (* its last result before the period when there was none), and delivery over the second half of the period against the first half 15%. A missing check's weight is shared among the rest. Chance is the historical rate at which names ranked in the same tenth on this period went the way that tenth leans — blank until a tenth has a hundred judged rows. Every call is judged ten sessions after the close against Nifty, whatever the period.