The daily read from the close of 8 Sep 2025
Computed on the morning of 9 Sep 2025 (simulated: computed after the fact, standing on that close with only what was known then): 775 names ranked. Judged ten sessions later: the names to look at averaged +0.1% vs Nifty (4 of 5 beat it), the names to stay away from averaged -1.0% (4 of 5 trailed it), the whole field -0.5%.
The read from the close of 8 Sep 2025 · Quarter
Our calculation, not advice.
Follow in my book
rank 1 of 774
IMFA
Indian Metals & Ferro Alloys Limited
▲ Look at
96.1
score /100rank 1 of 774
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,033.15close 8 Sep
Upside reference₹1,106.08+7.1% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹980.29-5.1% · its typical 10-session fall
+40.7% over three months · +41.6% vs Nifty · 100% of its three-month range · after results +12.4% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +7.8% (+6.1% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 2 of 774
GABRIEL
Gabriel India Ltd. · AUTO
▲ Look at
93.8
score /100rank 2 of 774
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,221.10close 8 Sep
Upside reference₹1,324.16+8.4% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹1,155.59-5.4% · its typical 10-session fall
+92.0% over three months · +92.9% vs Nifty · +77.1% vs its sector · 94% of its three-month range · after results +8.9% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +5.3% (+3.5% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 3 of 774
TFCILTD
Tourism Finance Corporation of India Limited
▲ Look at
92.4
score /100rank 3 of 774
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹69.53close 8 Sep
Upside reference₹75.56+8.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹65.29-6.1% · its typical 10-session fall
+48.9% over three months · +49.8% vs Nifty · 100% of its three-month range · after results +12.2% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +3.7% (+2.0% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 4 of 774
NAVA
Nava Ltd. · ENERGY
▲ Look at
90.8
score /100rank 4 of 774
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹686.55close 8 Sep
Upside reference₹739.45+7.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹649.59-5.4% · its typical 10-session fall
+31.3% over three months · +32.2% vs Nifty · +35.8% vs its sector · 87% of its three-month range · after results +21.3% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +3.4% (+1.6% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 5 of 774
JMFINANCIL
JM Financial Ltd. · FINANCIAL SERVICES
▲ Look at
90.0
score /100rank 5 of 774
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹192.24close 8 Sep
Upside reference₹209.32+8.9% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹179.46-6.6% · its typical 10-session fall
+34.8% over three months · +35.8% vs Nifty · +38.2% vs its sector · 99% of its three-month range · after results +16.1% vs Nifty (last result, before three months)
10 sessions on: -10.9% (-12.7% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 774 of 774
RELINFRA
Reliance Infrastructure Limited
▼ Stay away
6.9
score /100rank 774 of 774
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹271.85close 8 Sep
Upside reference₹290.35+6.8% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹246.45-9.3% · its typical 10-session fall
-26.9% over three months · -26.0% vs Nifty · 9% of its three-month range · after results -18.6% vs Nifty
10 sessions on: -2.4% (-4.1% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 773 of 774
IONEXCHANG
ION Exchange (India) Limited
▼ Stay away
7.1
score /100rank 773 of 774
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹417.40close 8 Sep
Upside reference₹436.39+4.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹399.41-4.3% · its typical 10-session fall
-23.2% over three months · -22.3% vs Nifty · 0% of its three-month range · after results -8.7% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +2.9% (+1.1% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 772 of 774
NEWGEN
Newgen Software Technologies Ltd. · IT
▼ Stay away
8.2
score /100rank 772 of 774
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹884.65close 8 Sep
Upside reference₹947.29+7.1% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹830.41-6.1% · its typical 10-session fall
-28.3% over three months · -27.4% vs Nifty · -20.3% vs its sector · 16% of its three-month range · after results -18.1% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +1.5% (-0.2% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 771 of 774
HIKAL
Hikal Limited
▼ Stay away
8.6
score /100rank 771 of 774
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹259.60close 8 Sep
Upside reference₹271.58+4.6% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹245.05-5.6% · its typical 10-session fall
-30.3% over three months · -29.4% vs Nifty · 8% of its three-month range · after results -13.8% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +1.3% (-0.5% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 770 of 774
TTML
Tata Teleservices (Maharashtra) Ltd. · INFRASTRUCTURE
▼ Stay away
9.3
score /100rank 770 of 774
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹57.12close 8 Sep
Upside reference₹59.62+4.4% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹53.82-5.8% · its typical 10-session fall
-19.7% over three months · -18.8% vs Nifty · -18.5% vs its sector · 6% of its three-month range · after results -7.7% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +0.2% (-1.5% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Session by session · the full window
| Name | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 | T+4 | T+5 | T+6 | T+7 | T+8 | T+9 | T+10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ Names to look at — move vs Nifty since the close; green while ahead | ||||||||||
| IMFAIndian Metals & Ferro Alloys Limited | -3.3% | -2.9% | -2.2% | -1.6% | -0.2% | -2.9% | -1.1% | +2.7% | +1.4% | +6.1%▲ |
| GABRIELGabriel India Ltd. | +2.7% | +2.6% | +0.9% | -0.5% | +5.5% | +6.0% | +5.1% | -0.5% | +2.8% | +3.5% |
| TFCILTDTourism Finance Corporation of India Limited | +1.8% | +2.3% | +3.2% | +3.4% | +2.6% | +2.7% | +1.6% | +2.0% | +1.9% | +2.0% |
| NAVANava Ltd. | +1.7% | +0.2% | +1.6% | +1.1% | +1.5% | +2.2% | +0.5% | +1.5% | +2.2% | +1.6% |
| JMFINANCILJM Financial Ltd. | -1.2% | -9.4% | -7.1% | -7.8% | -7.3% | -9.3% | -10.7% | -11.0% | -13.0% | -12.7% |
| ▼ Names to stay away from — move vs Nifty since the close; green while behind | ||||||||||
| RELINFRAReliance Infrastructure Limited | -2.7% | -4.6% | -6.1% | -10.1% | -10.0% | -6.1% | -2.4% | -4.3% | -7.3% | -4.1% |
| IONEXCHANGION Exchange (India) Limited | -2.1% | -1.7% | -0.9% | -2.4% | +1.4% | +0.3% | -0.8% | -1.6% | -0.5% | +1.1% |
| NEWGENNewgen Software Technologies Ltd. | -1.1% | -0.8% | -0.8% | -1.1% | -1.1% | -1.8% | -2.3% | +1.2% | +1.3% | -0.2% |
| HIKALHikal Limited | +1.2% | -0.7% | -0.8% | -2.2% | -1.3% | +1.3% | +1.7% | +0.2% | +1.5% | -0.5% |
| TTMLTata Teleservices (Maharashtra) Ltd. | -0.6% | -0.9% | -0.8% | -1.4% | -0.1% | +1.0% | -0.1% | -1.4% | -1.2% | -1.5% |
| Look at, ahead of Nifty | 3/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 |
| … on the record | 49% | 50% | 52% | 52% | 52% | 51% | 51% | 51% | 50% | 50% |
| Stay away, behind Nifty | 4/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 4/5 | 2/5 | 4/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 4/5 |
| … on the record | 55% | 55% | 54% | 54% | 55% | 55% | 54% | 54% | 55% | 54% |
| Spread, look-at minus stay-away | +1.4% | +0.3% | +1.2% | +2.4% | +2.6% | +0.8% | -0.1% | +0.1% | +0.3% | +1.1% |
| … on the record | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Each cell is the name's move from the close of 8 Sep minus Nifty's over the same sessions, at that session's close. A ▲ or ▼ marks the first session by which the card's upside or downside reference had printed. The on the record rows are what every past call has done at that point — 1,865 calls a side — so a day can be read against what usually happens, not just against zero. Sessions are the name's own; a name that did not trade on a day is measured on the sessions it did.
The whole field · top 50 and bottom 50
| Rank | Company | Score | Chance | Close | Move, three months | vs Nifty | vs sector | Range | After results | Delivery | 10 sessions on | vs Nifty |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 look at | IMFAIndian Metals & Ferro Alloys Limited | 96.1 | 51% | ₹1,033.15 | +40.7% | +41.6% | — | 100% | +12.4% | +8.4 pp | +7.8% | +6.1% |
| 2 look at | GABRIELGabriel India Ltd. | 93.8 | 51% | ₹1,221.10 | +92.0% | +92.9% | +77.1% | 94% | +8.9% | +5.5 pp | +5.3% | +3.5% |
| 3 look at | TFCILTDTourism Finance Corporation of India Limited | 92.4 | 51% | ₹69.53 | +48.9% | +49.8% | — | 100% | +12.2% | +3.9 pp | +3.7% | +2.0% |
| 4 look at | NAVANava Ltd. | 90.8 | 51% | ₹686.55 | +31.3% | +32.2% | +35.8% | 87% | +21.3% | +4.1 pp | +3.4% | +1.6% |
| 5 look at | JMFINANCILJM Financial Ltd. | 90.0 | 51% | ₹192.24 | +34.8% | +35.8% | +38.2% | 99% | +16.1%* | +1.8 pp | -10.9% | -12.7% |
| 770 stay away | TTMLTata Teleservices (Maharashtra) Ltd. | 9.3 | 52% | ₹57.12 | -19.7% | -18.8% | -18.5% | 6% | -7.7% | -8.0 pp | +0.2% | -1.5% |
| 771 stay away | HIKALHikal Limited | 8.6 | 52% | ₹259.60 | -30.3% | -29.4% | — | 8% | -13.8% | -3.5 pp | +1.3% | -0.5% |
| 772 stay away | NEWGENNewgen Software Technologies Ltd. | 8.2 | 52% | ₹884.65 | -28.3% | -27.4% | -20.3% | 16% | -18.1% | -8.9 pp | +1.5% | -0.2% |
| 773 stay away | IONEXCHANGION Exchange (India) Limited | 7.1 | 52% | ₹417.40 | -23.2% | -22.3% | — | 0% | -8.7% | -5.5 pp | +2.9% | +1.1% |
| 774 stay away | RELINFRAReliance Infrastructure Limited | 6.9 | 52% | ₹271.85 | -26.9% | -26.0% | — | 9% | -18.6% | — | -2.4% | -4.1% |
Score ranks every name on six checks over three months, each placed from first to last across the field, then blended: the move and the move against Nifty 30% (on one day and one period they order the field the same way, so they count once), against the sector 20%, where the close sits between the period's high and low 20%, the move against Nifty in the ten sessions after each result in the period 15% (* its last result before the period when there was none), and delivery over the second half of the period against the first half 15%. A missing check's weight is shared among the rest. Chance is the historical rate at which names ranked in the same tenth on this period went the way that tenth leans — blank until a tenth has a hundred judged rows. Every call is judged ten sessions after the close against Nifty, whatever the period.