The daily read from the close of 5 Sep 2025
Computed on the morning of 6 Sep 2025 (simulated: computed after the fact, standing on that close with only what was known then): 774 names ranked. Judged ten sessions later: the names to look at averaged -2.6% vs Nifty (2 of 5 beat it), the names to stay away from averaged -2.9% (4 of 5 trailed it), the whole field -2.7%.
The read from the close of 5 Sep 2025 · Half year
Our calculation, not advice.
Follow in my book
rank 1 of 773
CENTUM
Centum Electronics Limited
▲ Look at
97.7
score /100rank 1 of 773
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹2,965.70close 5 Sep
Upside reference₹3,202.63+8.0% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹2,779.75-6.3% · its typical 10-session fall
+149.6% over six months · +138.8% vs Nifty · 100% of its six-month range · after results +21.2% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -4.5% (-6.9% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 2 of 773
CARYSIL
CARYSIL LIMITED
▲ Look at
96.6
score /100rank 2 of 773
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹959.40close 5 Sep
Upside reference₹1,010.26+5.3% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹912.18-4.9% · its typical 10-session fall
+83.8% over six months · +73.0% vs Nifty · 100% of its six-month range · after results +20.5% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -4.4% (-6.7% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 3 of 773
TFCILTD
Tourism Finance Corporation of India Limited
▲ Look at
93.4
score /100rank 3 of 773
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹69.21close 5 Sep
Upside reference₹75.20+8.6% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹64.99-6.1% · its typical 10-session fall
+128.9% over six months · +118.1% vs Nifty · 100% of its six-month range · after results +8.7% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +4.6% (+2.2% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 4 of 773
GABRIEL
Gabriel India Ltd. · AUTO
▲ Look at
92.5
score /100rank 4 of 773
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,201.70close 5 Sep
Upside reference₹1,306.33+8.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹1,137.72-5.3% · its typical 10-session fall
+142.4% over six months · +131.7% vs Nifty · +115.9% vs its sector · 92% of its six-month range · after results +7.1% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +6.7% (+4.4% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 5 of 773
CCL
CCL Products (I) Ltd. · FMCG
▲ Look at
92.4
score /100rank 5 of 773
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹918.00close 5 Sep
Upside reference₹977.61+6.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹879.51-4.2% · its typical 10-session fall
+57.4% over six months · +46.6% vs Nifty · +47.6% vs its sector · 96% of its six-month range · after results +18.3% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -3.5% (-5.8% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 773 of 773
RAYMOND
Raymond Limited
▼ Stay away
2.3
score /100rank 773 of 773
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹611.70close 5 Sep
Upside reference₹647.74+5.9% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹575.79-5.9% · its typical 10-session fall
-53.3% over six months · -64.1% vs Nifty · 6% of its six-month range · after results -32.0% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +1.4% (-0.9% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 772 of 773
ORIENTCEM
Orient Cement Limited
▼ Stay away
3.3
score /100rank 772 of 773
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹223.99close 5 Sep
Upside reference₹230.51+2.9% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹218.71-2.4% · its typical 10-session fall
-32.7% over six months · -43.4% vs Nifty · 5% of its six-month range · after results -7.0% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -2.0% (-4.3% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 771 of 773
JAIBALAJI
Jai Balaji Industries Limited
▼ Stay away
4.1
score /100rank 771 of 773
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹102.00close 5 Sep
Upside reference₹108.72+6.6% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹95.93-6.0% · its typical 10-session fall
-23.5% over six months · -34.3% vs Nifty · 3% of its six-month range · after results -7.1% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -0.9% (-3.3% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 770 of 773
PGEL
PG Electroplast Ltd. · CONSUMER DURABLES
▼ Stay away
4.5
score /100rank 770 of 773
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹554.15close 5 Sep
Upside reference₹597.99+7.9% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹527.75-4.8% · its typical 10-session fall
-34.6% over six months · -45.4% vs Nifty · -46.9% vs its sector · 14% of its six-month range · after results -9.8% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +3.1% (+0.7% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 769 of 773
REFEX
Refex Industries Limited
▼ Stay away
4.7
score /100rank 769 of 773
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹363.35close 5 Sep
Upside reference₹397.56+9.4% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹343.04-5.6% · its typical 10-session fall
-9.2% over six months · -20.0% vs Nifty · 3% of its six-month range · after results -15.2% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -4.3% (-6.7% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Session by session · the full window
| Name | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 | T+4 | T+5 | T+6 | T+7 | T+8 | T+9 | T+10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ Names to look at — move vs Nifty since the close; green while ahead | ||||||||||
| CENTUMCentum Electronics Limited | -0.3% | -6.1% | -11.8% | -13.7% | -10.3% | -10.9% | -11.2% | -11.5% | -13.5% | -6.9% |
| CARYSILCARYSIL LIMITED | -1.8% | -3.0% | -2.8% | -1.3% | -3.2% | -3.9% | -4.8% | -8.1% | -7.2% | -6.7% |
| TFCILTDTourism Finance Corporation of India Limited | +0.3% | +2.1% | +2.6% | +3.5% | +3.8% | +3.0% | +3.0% | +1.9% | +2.4% | +2.2% |
| GABRIELGabriel India Ltd. | +1.5% | +4.2% | +4.2% | +2.4% | +1.0% | +7.1% | +7.6%▲ | +6.7%▲ | +1.0%▲ | +4.4%▲ |
| CCLCCL Products (I) Ltd. | -1.8% | -3.0% | -1.0% | -2.8% | -4.8% | -2.9% | -2.1% | -3.7% | -7.0% | -5.8% |
| ▼ Names to stay away from — move vs Nifty since the close; green while behind | ||||||||||
| RAYMONDRaymond Limited | -0.8% | -0.5% | +0.9% | +0.1% | -1.0% | +0.4% | +0.7% | -0.6% | -0.6% | -0.9% |
| ORIENTCEMOrient Cement Limited | -0.8% | -1.2% | -2.0% | -1.5% | -3.0% | -2.0% | -1.0% | -0.2% | -1.5% | -4.3% |
| JAIBALAJIJai Balaji Industries Limited | -0.9% | -2.3% | -2.9% | -3.1% | -3.0% | +0.9% | -2.2% | -1.2% | -3.7% | -3.3% |
| PGELPG Electroplast Ltd. | -0.6% | +1.7% | +2.3% | +1.8% | +1.3% | +2.1% | +0.8% | +0.3% | -0.4% | +0.7% |
| REFEXRefex Industries Limited | -0.4% | -5.2% | -3.5% | -3.8% | -4.7% | -3.7% | -3.6% | -4.2% | -6.9% | -6.7% |
| Look at, ahead of Nifty | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 |
| … on the record | 49% | 49% | 48% | 47% | 47% | 47% | 48% | 48% | 48% | 48% |
| Stay away, behind Nifty | 5/5 | 4/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 4/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 4/5 | 5/5 | 4/5 |
| … on the record | 58% | 57% | 58% | 58% | 58% | 59% | 59% | 59% | 59% | 59% |
| Spread, look-at minus stay-away | +0.3% | +0.3% | -0.7% | -1.1% | -0.6% | -1.1% | -0.5% | -1.7% | -2.2% | +0.3% |
| … on the record | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Each cell is the name's move from the close of 5 Sep minus Nifty's over the same sessions, at that session's close. A ▲ or ▼ marks the first session by which the card's upside or downside reference had printed. The on the record rows are what every past call has done at that point — 1,860 calls a side — so a day can be read against what usually happens, not just against zero. Sessions are the name's own; a name that did not trade on a day is measured on the sessions it did.
The whole field · top 50 and bottom 50
| Rank | Company | Score | Chance | Close | Move, six months | vs Nifty | vs sector | Range | After results | Delivery | 10 sessions on | vs Nifty |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 look at | CENTUMCentum Electronics Limited | 97.7 | 50% | ₹2,965.70 | +149.6% | +138.8% | — | 100% | +21.2% | +8.8 pp | -4.5% | -6.9% |
| 2 look at | CARYSILCARYSIL LIMITED | 96.6 | 50% | ₹959.40 | +83.8% | +73.0% | — | 100% | +20.5% | +9.4 pp | -4.4% | -6.7% |
| 3 look at | TFCILTDTourism Finance Corporation of India Limited | 93.4 | 50% | ₹69.21 | +128.9% | +118.1% | — | 100% | +8.7% | +5.0 pp | +4.6% | +2.2% |
| 4 look at | GABRIELGabriel India Ltd. | 92.5 | 50% | ₹1,201.70 | +142.4% | +131.7% | +115.9% | 92% | +7.1% | +6.0 pp | +6.7% | +4.4% |
| 5 look at | CCLCCL Products (I) Ltd. | 92.4 | 50% | ₹918.00 | +57.4% | +46.6% | +47.6% | 96% | +18.3% | +7.1 pp | -3.5% | -5.8% |
| 769 stay away | REFEXRefex Industries Limited | 4.7 | 55% | ₹363.35 | -9.2% | -20.0% | — | 3% | -15.2% | -10.3 pp | -4.3% | -6.7% |
| 770 stay away | PGELPG Electroplast Ltd. | 4.5 | 55% | ₹554.15 | -34.6% | -45.4% | -46.9% | 14% | -9.8% | -7.5 pp | +3.1% | +0.7% |
| 771 stay away | JAIBALAJIJai Balaji Industries Limited | 4.1 | 55% | ₹102.00 | -23.5% | -34.3% | — | 3% | -7.1% | -9.5 pp | -0.9% | -3.3% |
| 772 stay away | ORIENTCEMOrient Cement Limited | 3.3 | 55% | ₹223.99 | -32.7% | -43.4% | — | 5% | -7.0% | -22.2 pp | -2.0% | -4.3% |
| 773 stay away | RAYMONDRaymond Limited | 2.3 | 55% | ₹611.70 | -53.3% | -64.1% | — | 6% | -32.0% | -9.2 pp | +1.4% | -0.9% |
Score ranks every name on six checks over six months, each placed from first to last across the field, then blended: the move and the move against Nifty 30% (on one day and one period they order the field the same way, so they count once), against the sector 20%, where the close sits between the period's high and low 20%, the move against Nifty in the ten sessions after each result in the period 15% (* its last result before the period when there was none), and delivery over the second half of the period against the first half 15%. A missing check's weight is shared among the rest. Chance is the historical rate at which names ranked in the same tenth on this period went the way that tenth leans — blank until a tenth has a hundred judged rows. Every call is judged ten sessions after the close against Nifty, whatever the period.