The daily read from the close of 4 Sep 2025
Computed on the morning of 5 Sep 2025 (simulated: computed after the fact, standing on that close with only what was known then): 772 names ranked. Judged ten sessions later: the names to look at averaged -2.7% vs Nifty (1 of 5 beat it), the names to stay away from averaged -2.8% (5 of 5 trailed it), the whole field -2.8%.
The read from the close of 4 Sep 2025 · Half year
Our calculation, not advice.
Follow in my book
rank 1 of 771
CENTUM
Centum Electronics Limited
▲ Look at
96.9
score /100rank 1 of 771
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹2,817.30close 4 Sep
Upside reference₹3,047.47+8.2% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹2,640.66-6.3% · its typical 10-session fall
+142.4% over six months · +130.4% vs Nifty · 98% of its six-month range · after results +21.2% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -6.0% (-8.8% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 2 of 771
GABRIEL
Gabriel India Ltd. · AUTO
▲ Look at
93.7
score /100rank 2 of 771
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,222.20close 4 Sep
Upside reference₹1,328.62+8.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹1,157.13-5.3% · its typical 10-session fall
+175.9% over six months · +163.9% vs Nifty · +147.6% vs its sector · 95% of its six-month range · after results +7.1% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +2.1% (-0.7% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 3 of 771
CARYSIL
CARYSIL LIMITED
▲ Look at
93.5
score /100rank 3 of 771
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹894.40close 4 Sep
Upside reference₹941.81+5.3% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹850.38-4.9% · its typical 10-session fall
+81.2% over six months · +69.2% vs Nifty · 92% of its six-month range · after results +20.5% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +2.5% (-0.3% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 4 of 771
TFCILTD
Tourism Finance Corporation of India Limited
▲ Look at
93.1
score /100rank 4 of 771
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹68.11close 4 Sep
Upside reference₹73.95+8.6% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹63.96-6.1% · its typical 10-session fall
+128.0% over six months · +116.0% vs Nifty · 100% of its six-month range · after results +8.7% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +6.8% (+4.0% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 5 of 771
CCL
CCL Products (I) Ltd. · FMCG
▲ Look at
92.1
score /100rank 5 of 771
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹924.60close 4 Sep
Upside reference₹984.64+6.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹885.83-4.2% · its typical 10-session fall
+58.1% over six months · +46.0% vs Nifty · +45.0% vs its sector · 98% of its six-month range · after results +18.3% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -4.9% (-7.7% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 771 of 771
RAYMOND
Raymond Limited
▼ Stay away
2.3
score /100rank 771 of 771
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹610.70close 4 Sep
Upside reference₹647.58+6.0% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹574.56-5.9% · its typical 10-session fall
-52.3% over six months · -64.3% vs Nifty · 6% of its six-month range · after results -32.0% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +2.3% (-0.5% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 770 of 771
ORIENTCEM
Orient Cement Limited
▼ Stay away
3.6
score /100rank 770 of 771
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹226.54close 4 Sep
Upside reference₹233.13+2.9% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹221.20-2.4% · its typical 10-session fall
-30.8% over six months · -42.8% vs Nifty · 7% of its six-month range · after results -7.0% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +0.1% (-2.7% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 769 of 771
JAIBALAJI
Jai Balaji Industries Limited
▼ Stay away
3.7
score /100rank 769 of 771
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹101.12close 4 Sep
Upside reference₹108.06+6.9% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹95.06-6.0% · its typical 10-session fall
-22.3% over six months · -34.3% vs Nifty · 2% of its six-month range · after results -7.1% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -0.1% (-2.8% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 768 of 771
PGEL
PG Electroplast Ltd. · CONSUMER DURABLES
▼ Stay away
4.7
score /100rank 768 of 771
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹555.00close 4 Sep
Upside reference₹598.88+7.9% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹528.44-4.8% · its typical 10-session fall
-34.0% over six months · -46.0% vs Nifty · -48.2% vs its sector · 14% of its six-month range · after results -9.8% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +2.2% (-0.6% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 767 of 771
REFEX
Refex Industries Limited
▼ Stay away
6.1
score /100rank 767 of 771
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹365.90close 4 Sep
Upside reference₹400.88+9.6% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹344.30-5.9% · its typical 10-session fall
-4.0% over six months · -16.0% vs Nifty · 5% of its six-month range · after results -15.2% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -4.8% (-7.6% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Session by session · the full window
| Name | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 | T+4 | T+5 | T+6 | T+7 | T+8 | T+9 | T+10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ Names to look at — move vs Nifty since the close; green while ahead | ||||||||||
| CENTUMCentum Electronics Limited | +5.2% | +4.9% | -1.2% | -7.1% | -9.1% | -5.5% | -6.2% | -6.5% | -6.7% | -8.8% |
| GABRIELGabriel India Ltd. | -1.7% | -0.2% | +2.5% | +2.4% | +0.6% | -0.8% | +5.2% | +5.7% | +4.9% | -0.7% |
| CARYSILCARYSIL LIMITED | +7.2%▲ | +5.3%▲ | +4.0%▲ | +4.3%▲ | +5.9%▲ | +3.9%▲ | +3.2%▲ | +2.2%▲ | -1.3%▲ | -0.3%▲ |
| TFCILTDTourism Finance Corporation of India Limited | +1.6% | +1.9% | +3.7% | +4.3% | +5.2% | +5.4% | +4.6% | +4.7% | +3.6% | +4.0% |
| CCLCCL Products (I) Ltd. | -0.7% | -2.6% | -3.7% | -1.7% | -3.5% | -5.5% | -3.6% | -2.9% | -4.4% | -7.7% |
| ▼ Names to stay away from — move vs Nifty since the close; green while behind | ||||||||||
| RAYMONDRaymond Limited | +0.1% | -0.7% | -0.4% | +1.0% | +0.2% | -0.9% | +0.5% | +0.8% | -0.5% | -0.5% |
| ORIENTCEMOrient Cement Limited | -1.2% | -2.0% | -2.4% | -3.2% | -2.6% | -4.2%▼ | -3.2%▼ | -2.1%▼ | -1.4%▼ | -2.7%▼ |
| JAIBALAJIJai Balaji Industries Limited | +0.8% | -0.1% | -1.5% | -2.0% | -2.3% | -2.2% | +1.8% | -1.4% | -0.3% | -2.8% |
| PGELPG Electroplast Ltd. | -0.2% | -0.7% | +1.5% | +2.2% | +1.6% | +1.1% | +1.9% | +0.6% | +0.1% | -0.6% |
| REFEXRefex Industries Limited | -0.7% | -1.1% | -5.8% | -4.2% | -4.5% | -5.4% | -4.4% | -4.3% | -4.9% | -7.6% |
| Look at, ahead of Nifty | 3/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 | 1/5 |
| … on the record | 49% | 49% | 48% | 47% | 47% | 47% | 48% | 48% | 48% | 48% |
| Stay away, behind Nifty | 3/5 | 5/5 | 4/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 4/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 4/5 | 5/5 |
| … on the record | 58% | 57% | 58% | 58% | 58% | 59% | 59% | 59% | 59% | 59% |
| Spread, look-at minus stay-away | +2.5% | +2.8% | +2.8% | +1.7% | +1.3% | +1.8% | +1.3% | +1.9% | +0.6% | +0.1% |
| … on the record | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Each cell is the name's move from the close of 4 Sep minus Nifty's over the same sessions, at that session's close. A ▲ or ▼ marks the first session by which the card's upside or downside reference had printed. The on the record rows are what every past call has done at that point — 1,860 calls a side — so a day can be read against what usually happens, not just against zero. Sessions are the name's own; a name that did not trade on a day is measured on the sessions it did.
The whole field · top 50 and bottom 50
| Rank | Company | Score | Chance | Close | Move, six months | vs Nifty | vs sector | Range | After results | Delivery | 10 sessions on | vs Nifty |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 look at | CENTUMCentum Electronics Limited | 96.9 | 50% | ₹2,817.30 | +142.4% | +130.4% | — | 98% | +21.2% | +9.2 pp | -6.0% | -8.8% |
| 2 look at | GABRIELGabriel India Ltd. | 93.7 | 50% | ₹1,222.20 | +175.9% | +163.9% | +147.6% | 95% | +7.1% | +6.6 pp | +2.1% | -0.7% |
| 3 look at | CARYSILCARYSIL LIMITED | 93.5 | 50% | ₹894.40 | +81.2% | +69.2% | — | 92% | +20.5% | +9.7 pp | +2.5% | -0.3% |
| 4 look at | TFCILTDTourism Finance Corporation of India Limited | 93.1 | 50% | ₹68.11 | +128.0% | +116.0% | — | 100% | +8.7% | +4.8 pp | +6.8% | +4.0% |
| 5 look at | CCLCCL Products (I) Ltd. | 92.1 | 50% | ₹924.60 | +58.1% | +46.0% | +45.0% | 98% | +18.3% | +6.8 pp | -4.9% | -7.7% |
| 767 stay away | REFEXRefex Industries Limited | 6.1 | 55% | ₹365.90 | -4.0% | -16.0% | — | 5% | -15.2% | -11.1 pp | -4.8% | -7.6% |
| 768 stay away | PGELPG Electroplast Ltd. | 4.7 | 55% | ₹555.00 | -34.0% | -46.0% | -48.2% | 14% | -9.8% | -6.7 pp | +2.2% | -0.6% |
| 769 stay away | JAIBALAJIJai Balaji Industries Limited | 3.7 | 55% | ₹101.12 | -22.3% | -34.3% | — | 2% | -7.1% | -9.6 pp | -0.1% | -2.8% |
| 770 stay away | ORIENTCEMOrient Cement Limited | 3.6 | 55% | ₹226.54 | -30.8% | -42.8% | — | 7% | -7.0% | -23.1 pp | +0.1% | -2.7% |
| 771 stay away | RAYMONDRaymond Limited | 2.3 | 55% | ₹610.70 | -52.3% | -64.3% | — | 6% | -32.0% | -9.1 pp | +2.3% | -0.5% |
Score ranks every name on six checks over six months, each placed from first to last across the field, then blended: the move and the move against Nifty 30% (on one day and one period they order the field the same way, so they count once), against the sector 20%, where the close sits between the period's high and low 20%, the move against Nifty in the ten sessions after each result in the period 15% (* its last result before the period when there was none), and delivery over the second half of the period against the first half 15%. A missing check's weight is shared among the rest. Chance is the historical rate at which names ranked in the same tenth on this period went the way that tenth leans — blank until a tenth has a hundred judged rows. Every call is judged ten sessions after the close against Nifty, whatever the period.