The daily read from the close of 11 Dec 2025
Computed on the morning of 12 Dec 2025 (simulated: computed after the fact, standing on that close with only what was known then): 756 names ranked. Judged ten sessions later: the names to look at averaged +0.4% vs Nifty (2 of 5 beat it), the names to stay away from averaged +8.9% (1 of 5 trailed it), the whole field +4.7%.
The read from the close of 11 Dec 2025 · Quarter
Our calculation, not advice.
Follow in my book
rank 1 of 756
AUBANK
AU Small Finance Bank Ltd. · BANK
▲ Look at
96.7
score /100rank 1 of 756
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹973.00close 11 Dec
Upside reference₹1,012.46+4.1% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹932.46-4.2% · its typical 10-session fall
+36.9% over three months · +33.3% vs Nifty · +28.6% vs its sector · 93% of its three-month range · after results +11.5% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +0.2% (-0.4% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 2 of 756
FEDERALBNK
Federal Bank Ltd. · BANK
▲ Look at
96.6
score /100rank 2 of 756
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹260.90close 11 Dec
Upside reference₹270.43+3.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹253.88-2.7% · its typical 10-session fall
+32.7% over three months · +29.1% vs Nifty · +24.4% vs its sector · 100% of its three-month range · after results +12.4% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +0.4% (-0.1% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 3 of 756
MUTHOOTFIN
Muthoot Finance Ltd. · FINANCIAL SERVICES
▲ Look at
93.8
score /100rank 3 of 756
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹3,734.20close 11 Dec
Upside reference₹3,913.29+4.8% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹3,642.53-2.5% · its typical 10-session fall
+29.8% over three months · +26.2% vs Nifty · +24.5% vs its sector · 92% of its three-month range · after results +9.1% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +1.7% (+1.1% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 4 of 756
JAMNAAUTO
Jamna Auto Industries Limited
▲ Look at
93.3
score /100rank 4 of 756
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹125.53close 11 Dec
Upside reference₹133.00+6.0% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹119.65-4.7% · its typical 10-session fall
+16.8% over three months · +13.2% vs Nifty · 100% of its three-month range · after results +9.8% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +0.3% (-0.3% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 5 of 756
CANBK
Canara Bank · BANK
▲ Look at
92.7
score /100rank 5 of 756
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹146.80close 11 Dec
Upside reference₹155.47+5.9% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹140.89-4.0% · its typical 10-session fall
+31.0% over three months · +27.4% vs Nifty · +22.7% vs its sector · 87% of its three-month range · after results +11.7% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +2.2% (+1.7% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 756 of 756
TARIL
Transformers And Rectifiers (India) Ltd.
▼ Stay away
2.8
score /100rank 756 of 756
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹239.15close 11 Dec
Upside reference₹251.39+5.1% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹223.57-6.5% · its typical 10-session fall
-52.6% over three months · -56.2% vs Nifty · 1% of its three-month range · after results -28.5% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +20.7% (+20.1% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 755 of 756
RELINFRA
Reliance Infrastructure Limited
▼ Stay away
4.1
score /100rank 755 of 756
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹129.29close 11 Dec
Upside reference₹137.67+6.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹119.05-7.9% · its typical 10-session fall
-49.9% over three months · -53.4% vs Nifty · 0% of its three-month range · after results -11.1% vs Nifty
10 sessions on: +9.1% (+10.3% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 754 of 756
RPOWER
Reliance Power Ltd. · ENERGY
▼ Stay away
4.3
score /100rank 754 of 756
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹33.54close 11 Dec
Upside reference₹35.47+5.8% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹31.41-6.3% · its typical 10-session fall
-27.7% over three months · -31.3% vs Nifty · -27.5% vs its sector · 0% of its three-month range · after results -10.7% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +8.9% (+8.4% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 753 of 756
BCG
Brightcom Group Limited
▼ Stay away
7.7
score /100rank 753 of 756
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹11.03close 11 Dec
Upside reference₹11.92+8.1% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹10.14-8.1% · its typical 10-session fall
-31.1% over three months · -34.7% vs Nifty · 0% of its three-month range · after results -12.7% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -5.7% (-6.3% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 752 of 756
EPACK
EPACK Durable Limited
▼ Stay away
7.7
score /100rank 752 of 756
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹251.50close 11 Dec
Upside reference₹267.11+6.2% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹235.91-6.2% · its typical 10-session fall
-33.8% over three months · -37.3% vs Nifty · 0% of its three-month range · after results -21.7% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +12.5% (+11.9% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Session by session · the full window
| Name | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 | T+4 | T+5 | T+6 | T+7 | T+8 | T+9 | T+10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ Names to look at — move vs Nifty since the close; green while ahead | ||||||||||
| AUBANKAU Small Finance Bank Ltd. | -1.1% | +0.1% | +0.9% | +2.1% | +1.8% | +1.0% | +0.1% | -0.3% | -0.8% | -0.4% |
| FEDERALBNKFederal Bank Ltd. | -0.4% | +1.2% | +0.6% | +1.3% | +2.0% | +2.4% | +2.1% | +0.7% | -0.6% | -0.1% |
| MUTHOOTFINMuthoot Finance Ltd. | +2.2% | +2.8% | +3.2% | +1.2% | +0.7% | +1.0% | +0.4% | +0.9% | +0.9% | +1.1% |
| JAMNAAUTOJamna Auto Industries Limited | -1.2% | +0.2% | +1.8% | +2.5% | +0.4% | +0.0% | +0.3% | +1.6% | -0.5% | -0.3% |
| CANBKCanara Bank | -0.7% | +0.5% | +0.4% | +2.6% | +2.4% | +1.0% | +1.3% | +1.3% | +1.0% | +1.7% |
| ▼ Names to stay away from — move vs Nifty since the close; green while behind | ||||||||||
| TARILTransformers And Rectifiers (India) Ltd. | +16.6% | +27.6% | +21.7% | +18.5% | +18.3% | +22.7% | +23.6% | +25.0% | +22.9% | +20.1% |
| RELINFRAReliance Infrastructure Limited | +4.4% | +9.7% | +15.9% | +21.8% | +27.9% | +33.7% | +27.1% | +19.5% | +15.3% | +10.3% |
| RPOWERReliance Power Ltd. | +2.4% | +1.9% | +3.3% | +6.7% | +13.0% | +14.7% | +4.1% | +7.1% | +12.8% | +8.4% |
| BCGBrightcom Group Limited | +0.9% | +1.5% | -0.1% | -1.7% | -4.5% | -1.5% | +0.6% | -3.5% | -5.9% | -6.3% |
| EPACKEPACK Durable Limited | +1.0% | +2.7% | +19.8% | +20.7% | +19.7% | +14.3% | +10.8% | +9.3% | +8.4% | +11.9% |
| Look at, ahead of Nifty | 1/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 4/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 |
| … on the record | 49% | 50% | 52% | 52% | 52% | 51% | 51% | 51% | 50% | 50% |
| Stay away, behind Nifty | 0/5 | 0/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 0/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 |
| … on the record | 55% | 55% | 54% | 54% | 55% | 55% | 54% | 54% | 55% | 54% |
| Spread, look-at minus stay-away | -5.3% | -7.7% | -10.7% | -11.3% | -13.4% | -15.7% | -12.4% | -10.7% | -10.7% | -8.5% |
| … on the record | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Each cell is the name's move from the close of 11 Dec minus Nifty's over the same sessions, at that session's close. A ▲ or ▼ marks the first session by which the card's upside or downside reference had printed. The on the record rows are what every past call has done at that point — 1,865 calls a side — so a day can be read against what usually happens, not just against zero. Sessions are the name's own; a name that did not trade on a day is measured on the sessions it did.
The whole field · top 50 and bottom 50
| Rank | Company | Score | Chance | Close | Move, three months | vs Nifty | vs sector | Range | After results | Delivery | 10 sessions on | vs Nifty |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 look at | AUBANKAU Small Finance Bank Ltd. | 96.7 | 51% | ₹973.00 | +36.9% | +33.3% | +28.6% | 93% | +11.5% | +5.9 pp | +0.2% | -0.4% |
| 2 look at | FEDERALBNKFederal Bank Ltd. | 96.6 | 51% | ₹260.90 | +32.7% | +29.1% | +24.4% | 100% | +12.4% | +5.5 pp | +0.4% | -0.1% |
| 3 look at | MUTHOOTFINMuthoot Finance Ltd. | 93.8 | 51% | ₹3,734.20 | +29.8% | +26.2% | +24.5% | 92% | +9.1% | +3.7 pp | +1.7% | +1.1% |
| 4 look at | JAMNAAUTOJamna Auto Industries Limited | 93.3 | 51% | ₹125.53 | +16.8% | +13.2% | — | 100% | +9.8% | +5.2 pp | +0.3% | -0.3% |
| 5 look at | CANBKCanara Bank | 92.7 | 51% | ₹146.80 | +31.0% | +27.4% | +22.7% | 87% | +11.7% | +3.2 pp | +2.2% | +1.7% |
| 752 stay away | EPACKEPACK Durable Limited | 7.7 | 52% | ₹251.50 | -33.8% | -37.3% | — | 0% | -21.7% | -2.2 pp | +12.5% | +11.9% |
| 753 stay away | BCGBrightcom Group Limited | 7.7 | 52% | ₹11.03 | -31.1% | -34.7% | — | 0% | -12.7% | -3.7 pp | -5.7% | -6.3% |
| 754 stay away | RPOWERReliance Power Ltd. | 4.3 | 52% | ₹33.54 | -27.7% | -31.3% | -27.5% | 0% | -10.7% | -16.6 pp | +8.9% | +8.4% |
| 755 stay away | RELINFRAReliance Infrastructure Limited | 4.1 | 52% | ₹129.29 | -49.9% | -53.4% | — | 0% | -11.1% | — | +9.1% | +10.3% |
| 756 stay away | TARILTransformers And Rectifiers (India) Ltd. | 2.8 | 52% | ₹239.15 | -52.6% | -56.2% | — | 1% | -28.5% | -11.4 pp | +20.7% | +20.1% |
Score ranks every name on six checks over three months, each placed from first to last across the field, then blended: the move and the move against Nifty 30% (on one day and one period they order the field the same way, so they count once), against the sector 20%, where the close sits between the period's high and low 20%, the move against Nifty in the ten sessions after each result in the period 15% (* its last result before the period when there was none), and delivery over the second half of the period against the first half 15%. A missing check's weight is shared among the rest. Chance is the historical rate at which names ranked in the same tenth on this period went the way that tenth leans — blank until a tenth has a hundred judged rows. Every call is judged ten sessions after the close against Nifty, whatever the period.