The daily read from the close of 10 Dec 2025
Computed on the morning of 11 Dec 2025 (simulated: computed after the fact, standing on that close with only what was known then): 757 names ranked. Judged ten sessions later: the names to look at averaged +2.4% vs Nifty (3 of 5 beat it), the names to stay away from averaged +8.3% (1 of 5 trailed it), the whole field +5.4%.
The read from the close of 10 Dec 2025 · Quarter
Our calculation, not advice.
Follow in my book
rank 1 of 757
AUBANK
AU Small Finance Bank Ltd. · BANK
▲ Look at
97.3
score /100rank 1 of 757
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹993.70close 10 Dec
Upside reference₹1,034.86+4.1% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹952.84-4.1% · its typical 10-session fall
+39.2% over three months · +36.1% vs Nifty · +31.1% vs its sector · 100% of its three-month range · after results +11.5% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -2.0% (-3.5% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 2 of 757
FEDERALBNK
Federal Bank Ltd. · BANK
▲ Look at
96.2
score /100rank 2 of 757
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹259.60close 10 Dec
Upside reference₹269.08+3.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹252.61-2.7% · its typical 10-session fall
+32.4% over three months · +29.3% vs Nifty · +24.3% vs its sector · 98% of its three-month range · after results +12.4% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +0.8% (-0.7% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 3 of 757
MUTHOOTFIN
Muthoot Finance Ltd. · FINANCIAL SERVICES
▲ Look at
93.4
score /100rank 3 of 757
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹3,745.80close 10 Dec
Upside reference₹3,921.82+4.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹3,652.83-2.5% · its typical 10-session fall
+29.2% over three months · +26.1% vs Nifty · +24.3% vs its sector · 93% of its three-month range · after results +9.1% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +1.6% (+0.1% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 4 of 757
JAMNAAUTO
Jamna Auto Industries Limited
▲ Look at
92.6
score /100rank 4 of 757
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹122.62close 10 Dec
Upside reference₹129.84+5.9% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹116.87-4.7% · its typical 10-session fall
+13.3% over three months · +10.2% vs Nifty · 100% of its three-month range · after results +9.8% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +2.8% (+1.3% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 5 of 757
SHRIRAMFIN
Shriram Finance Ltd. · FINANCIAL SERVICES
▲ Look at
92.4
score /100rank 5 of 757
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹837.25close 10 Dec
Upside reference₹881.41+5.3% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹800.08-4.4% · its typical 10-session fall
+38.4% over three months · +35.3% vs Nifty · +33.5% vs its sector · 88% of its three-month range · after results +8.8% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +16.3% (+14.8% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 757 of 757
TARIL
Transformers And Rectifiers (India) Ltd.
▼ Stay away
5.1
score /100rank 757 of 757
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹240.55close 10 Dec
Upside reference₹253.34+5.3% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹224.90-6.5% · its typical 10-session fall
-53.4% over three months · -56.5% vs Nifty · 1% of its three-month range · after results -28.5% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +23.1% (+21.6% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 756 of 757
RELINFRA
Reliance Infrastructure Limited
▼ Stay away
5.4
score /100rank 756 of 757
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹135.13close 10 Dec
Upside reference₹143.96+6.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹124.46-7.9% · its typical 10-session fall
-48.3% over three months · -51.5% vs Nifty · 0% of its three-month range · after results -11.1% vs Nifty
10 sessions on: +9.9% (+9.8% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 755 of 757
RPOWER
Reliance Power Ltd. · ENERGY
▼ Stay away
5.5
score /100rank 755 of 757
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹33.98close 10 Dec
Upside reference₹35.98+5.9% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹31.83-6.3% · its typical 10-session fall
-27.3% over three months · -30.5% vs Nifty · -27.7% vs its sector · 0% of its three-month range · after results -10.7% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +12.3% (+10.8% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 754 of 757
HCC
Hindustan Construction Company Limited
▼ Stay away
6.1
score /100rank 754 of 757
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹18.22close 10 Dec
Upside reference₹19.46+6.8% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹16.81-7.7% · its typical 10-session fall
-34.5% over three months · -37.6% vs Nifty · 0% of its three-month range · after results -12.7% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +2.1% (+0.6% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 753 of 757
BLUEJET
Blue Jet Healthcare Ltd. · HEALTHCARE INDEX
▼ Stay away
10.4
score /100rank 753 of 757
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹538.00close 10 Dec
Upside reference₹577.96+7.4% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹508.04-5.6% · its typical 10-session fall
-23.0% over three months · -26.1% vs Nifty · -22.6% vs its sector · 0% of its three-month range · after results -7.0% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +0.1% (-1.4% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Session by session · the full window
| Name | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 | T+4 | T+5 | T+6 | T+7 | T+8 | T+9 | T+10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ Names to look at — move vs Nifty since the close; green while ahead | ||||||||||
| AUBANKAU Small Finance Bank Ltd. | -2.6% | -3.7% | -2.5% | -1.7% | -0.6% | -0.8% | -1.7% | -2.5% | -3.0% | -3.5% |
| FEDERALBNKFederal Bank Ltd. | -0.0% | -0.4% | +1.1% | +0.6% | +1.3% | +2.0% | +2.4% | +2.1%▲ | +0.6%▲ | -0.7%▲ |
| MUTHOOTFINMuthoot Finance Ltd. | -0.9% | +1.3% | +1.9% | +2.3% | +0.3% | -0.1% | +0.1% | -0.4% | +0.0% | +0.1% |
| JAMNAAUTOJamna Auto Industries Limited | +1.8% | +0.6% | +2.0% | +3.7% | +4.3% | +2.2% | +1.9% | +2.1% | +3.5% | +1.3% |
| SHRIRAMFINShriram Finance Ltd. | +0.6% | +0.2% | +1.1% | +0.9% | +3.0% | +3.6% | +6.9%▲ | +10.0%▲ | +12.8%▲ | +14.8%▲ |
| ▼ Names to stay away from — move vs Nifty since the close; green while behind | ||||||||||
| TARILTransformers And Rectifiers (India) Ltd. | -1.1% | +15.4% | +26.3% | +20.4% | +17.3% | +17.0% | +21.4% | +22.3% | +23.7% | +21.6% |
| RELINFRAReliance Infrastructure Limited | -4.9% | -0.7% | +4.4% | +10.3% | +16.0% | +21.9% | +27.4% | +21.0% | +13.8% | +9.8% |
| RPOWERReliance Power Ltd. | -1.8% | +0.5% | +0.0% | +1.5% | +4.8% | +11.0% | +12.7% | +2.2% | +5.1% | +10.8% |
| HCCHindustan Construction Company Limited | +3.1% | -2.7% | -3.7% | -2.9% | -5.3% | -1.4% | +0.9% | +7.5% | +6.0% | +0.6% |
| BLUEJETBlue Jet Healthcare Ltd. | +2.4% | +2.7% | +0.8% | +0.3% | -1.5% | -2.8% | -2.1% | +1.4% | +0.5% | -1.4% |
| Look at, ahead of Nifty | 2/5 | 3/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 3/5 | 4/5 | 3/5 | 4/5 | 3/5 |
| … on the record | 49% | 50% | 52% | 52% | 52% | 51% | 51% | 51% | 50% | 50% |
| Stay away, behind Nifty | 3/5 | 2/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 1/5 | 0/5 | 0/5 | 1/5 |
| … on the record | 55% | 55% | 54% | 54% | 55% | 55% | 54% | 54% | 55% | 54% |
| Spread, look-at minus stay-away | +0.2% | -3.4% | -4.8% | -4.8% | -4.6% | -7.8% | -10.1% | -8.6% | -7.0% | -5.9% |
| … on the record | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Each cell is the name's move from the close of 10 Dec minus Nifty's over the same sessions, at that session's close. A ▲ or ▼ marks the first session by which the card's upside or downside reference had printed. The on the record rows are what every past call has done at that point — 1,865 calls a side — so a day can be read against what usually happens, not just against zero. Sessions are the name's own; a name that did not trade on a day is measured on the sessions it did.
The whole field · top 50 and bottom 50
| Rank | Company | Score | Chance | Close | Move, three months | vs Nifty | vs sector | Range | After results | Delivery | 10 sessions on | vs Nifty |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 look at | AUBANKAU Small Finance Bank Ltd. | 97.3 | 51% | ₹993.70 | +39.2% | +36.1% | +31.1% | 100% | +11.5% | +6.1 pp | -2.0% | -3.5% |
| 2 look at | FEDERALBNKFederal Bank Ltd. | 96.2 | 51% | ₹259.60 | +32.4% | +29.3% | +24.3% | 98% | +12.4% | +5.6 pp | +0.8% | -0.7% |
| 3 look at | MUTHOOTFINMuthoot Finance Ltd. | 93.4 | 51% | ₹3,745.80 | +29.2% | +26.1% | +24.3% | 93% | +9.1% | +3.7 pp | +1.6% | +0.1% |
| 4 look at | JAMNAAUTOJamna Auto Industries Limited | 92.6 | 51% | ₹122.62 | +13.3% | +10.2% | — | 100% | +9.8% | +5.6 pp | +2.8% | +1.3% |
| 5 look at | SHRIRAMFINShriram Finance Ltd. | 92.4 | 51% | ₹837.25 | +38.4% | +35.3% | +33.5% | 88% | +8.8% | +2.2 pp | +16.3% | +14.8% |
| 753 stay away | BLUEJETBlue Jet Healthcare Ltd. | 10.4 | 52% | ₹538.00 | -23.0% | -26.1% | -22.6% | 0% | -7.0% | -7.7 pp | +0.1% | -1.4% |
| 754 stay away | HCCHindustan Construction Company Limited | 6.1 | 52% | ₹18.22 | -34.5% | -37.6% | — | 0% | -12.7% | -6.5 pp | +2.1% | +0.6% |
| 755 stay away | RPOWERReliance Power Ltd. | 5.5 | 52% | ₹33.98 | -27.3% | -30.5% | -27.7% | 0% | -10.7% | -16.4 pp | +12.3% | +10.8% |
| 756 stay away | RELINFRAReliance Infrastructure Limited | 5.4 | 52% | ₹135.13 | -48.3% | -51.5% | — | 0% | -11.1% | — | +9.9% | +9.8% |
| 757 stay away | TARILTransformers And Rectifiers (India) Ltd. | 5.1 | 52% | ₹240.55 | -53.4% | -56.5% | — | 1% | -28.5% | -10.7 pp | +23.1% | +21.6% |
Score ranks every name on six checks over three months, each placed from first to last across the field, then blended: the move and the move against Nifty 30% (on one day and one period they order the field the same way, so they count once), against the sector 20%, where the close sits between the period's high and low 20%, the move against Nifty in the ten sessions after each result in the period 15% (* its last result before the period when there was none), and delivery over the second half of the period against the first half 15%. A missing check's weight is shared among the rest. Chance is the historical rate at which names ranked in the same tenth on this period went the way that tenth leans — blank until a tenth has a hundred judged rows. Every call is judged ten sessions after the close against Nifty, whatever the period.