The daily read from the close of 12 Dec 2025
Computed on the morning of 13 Dec 2025 (simulated: computed after the fact, standing on that close with only what was known then): 760 names ranked. Judged ten sessions later: the names to look at averaged +2.6% vs Nifty (3 of 5 beat it), the names to stay away from averaged +2.9% (1 of 5 trailed it), the whole field +2.7%.
The read from the close of 12 Dec 2025 · Quarter
Our calculation, not advice.
Follow in my book
rank 1 of 760
FEDERALBNK
Federal Bank Ltd. · BANK
▲ Look at
96.4
score /100rank 1 of 760
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹261.35close 12 Dec
Upside reference₹270.90+3.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹254.31-2.7% · its typical 10-session fall
+34.5% over three months · +30.8% vs Nifty · +26.1% vs its sector · 100% of its three-month range · after results +12.4% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +0.6% (+1.0% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 2 of 760
AUBANK
AU Small Finance Bank Ltd. · BANK
▲ Look at
94.8
score /100rank 2 of 760
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹968.05close 12 Dec
Upside reference₹1,006.48+4.0% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹927.20-4.2% · its typical 10-session fall
+37.0% over three months · +33.3% vs Nifty · +28.6% vs its sector · 91% of its three-month range · after results +11.5% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +1.9% (+2.3% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 3 of 760
MUTHOOTFIN
Muthoot Finance Ltd. · FINANCIAL SERVICES
▲ Look at
93.2
score /100rank 3 of 760
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹3,837.60close 12 Dec
Upside reference₹4,021.65+4.8% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹3,743.39-2.5% · its typical 10-session fall
+31.1% over three months · +27.4% vs Nifty · +26.2% vs its sector · 100% of its three-month range · after results +9.1% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -2.6% (-2.2% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 4 of 760
SHRIRAMFIN
Shriram Finance Ltd. · FINANCIAL SERVICES
▲ Look at
91.7
score /100rank 4 of 760
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹848.00close 12 Dec
Upside reference₹892.73+5.3% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹811.07-4.4% · its typical 10-session fall
+34.0% over three months · +30.3% vs Nifty · +29.0% vs its sector · 93% of its three-month range · after results +8.8% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +12.7% (+13.1% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 5 of 760
PERSISTENT
Persistent Systems Ltd. · IT
▲ Look at
91.4
score /100rank 5 of 760
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹6,336.50close 12 Dec
Upside reference₹6,598.20+4.1% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹5,965.05-5.9% · its typical 10-session fall
+17.1% over three months · +13.4% vs Nifty · +11.1% vs its sector · 89% of its three-month range · after results +8.8% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -1.7% (-1.3% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 760 of 760
HCC
Hindustan Construction Company Limited
▼ Stay away
4.3
score /100rank 760 of 760
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹17.94close 12 Dec
Upside reference₹19.13+6.6% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹16.54-7.8% · its typical 10-session fall
-37.0% over three months · -40.7% vs Nifty · 0% of its three-month range · after results -12.7% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +2.5% (+2.9% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 759 of 760
RELINFRA
Reliance Infrastructure Limited
▼ Stay away
7.4
score /100rank 759 of 760
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹135.75close 12 Dec
Upside reference₹144.49+6.4% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹124.97-7.9% · its typical 10-session fall
-45.3% over three months · -49.0% vs Nifty · 5% of its three-month range · after results -11.1% vs Nifty
10 sessions on: -1.3% (+2.1% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 758 of 760
GANECOS
Ganesha Ecosphere Limited
▼ Stay away
8.2
score /100rank 758 of 760
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹874.00close 12 Dec
Upside reference₹902.48+3.3% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹827.99-5.3% · its typical 10-session fall
-33.8% over three months · -37.5% vs Nifty · 8% of its three-month range · after results -18.4% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -1.9% (-1.5% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 757 of 760
EPACK
EPACK Durable Limited
▼ Stay away
8.4
score /100rank 757 of 760
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹255.50close 12 Dec
Upside reference₹271.10+6.1% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹239.68-6.2% · its typical 10-session fall
-31.7% over three months · -35.4% vs Nifty · 3% of its three-month range · after results -21.7% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +7.8% (+8.2% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 756 of 760
RPOWER
Reliance Power Ltd. · ENERGY
▼ Stay away
8.4
score /100rank 756 of 760
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹34.53close 12 Dec
Upside reference₹36.51+5.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹32.33-6.4% · its typical 10-session fall
-24.6% over three months · -28.3% vs Nifty · -24.9% vs its sector · 7% of its three-month range · after results -10.7% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +2.2% (+2.6% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Session by session · the full window
| Name | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 | T+4 | T+5 | T+6 | T+7 | T+8 | T+9 | T+10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ Names to look at — move vs Nifty since the close; green while ahead | ||||||||||
| FEDERALBNKFederal Bank Ltd. | +1.6% | +1.0% | +1.7% | +2.4% | +2.8% | +2.5% | +1.1% | -0.2% | +0.3% | +1.0% |
| AUBANKAU Small Finance Bank Ltd. | +1.2% | +2.0% | +3.2% | +2.9% | +2.1% | +1.2% | +0.8% | +0.3% | +0.7% | +2.3% |
| MUTHOOTFINMuthoot Finance Ltd. | +0.6% | +1.0% | -1.0% | -1.4% | -1.2% | -1.7% | -1.3% | -1.2% | -1.0% | -2.2% |
| SHRIRAMFINShriram Finance Ltd. | +0.9% | +0.8% | +2.8% | +3.4% | +6.6%▲ | +9.8%▲ | +12.4%▲ | +14.5%▲ | +13.3%▲ | +13.1%▲ |
| PERSISTENTPersistent Systems Ltd. | -0.5% | -0.4% | +0.0% | +0.6% | +0.6% | +3.1% | +1.9% | -0.1% | -0.5% | -1.3% |
| ▼ Names to stay away from — move vs Nifty since the close; green while behind | ||||||||||
| HCCHindustan Construction Company Limited | -1.1% | -0.3% | -2.7% | +1.3% | +3.7% | +10.3% | +8.8% | +3.4% | +3.8% | +2.9% |
| RELINFRAReliance Infrastructure Limited | +5.1% | +11.0% | +16.6% | +22.4% | +27.9% | +21.6% | +14.4% | +10.4% | +5.7% | +2.1% |
| GANECOSGanesha Ecosphere Limited | +3.0% | +6.0% | +5.6% | +1.9% | +2.5% | -0.8% | -1.7% | -0.3% | -0.2% | -1.5% |
| EPACKEPACK Durable Limited | +1.7% | +18.4% | +19.4% | +18.4% | +13.0% | +9.6% | +8.2% | +7.3% | +10.8% | +8.2% |
| RPOWERReliance Power Ltd. | -0.4% | +0.9% | +4.2% | +10.3% | +12.0% | +1.7% | +4.6% | +10.1% | +5.8% | +2.6% |
| Look at, ahead of Nifty | 4/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 |
| … on the record | 49% | 50% | 52% | 52% | 52% | 51% | 51% | 51% | 50% | 50% |
| Stay away, behind Nifty | 2/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 0/5 | 0/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 |
| … on the record | 55% | 55% | 54% | 54% | 55% | 55% | 54% | 54% | 55% | 54% |
| Spread, look-at minus stay-away | -0.9% | -6.3% | -7.3% | -9.3% | -9.6% | -5.5% | -3.9% | -3.5% | -2.7% | -0.3% |
| … on the record | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Each cell is the name's move from the close of 12 Dec minus Nifty's over the same sessions, at that session's close. A ▲ or ▼ marks the first session by which the card's upside or downside reference had printed. The on the record rows are what every past call has done at that point — 1,865 calls a side — so a day can be read against what usually happens, not just against zero. Sessions are the name's own; a name that did not trade on a day is measured on the sessions it did.
The whole field · top 50 and bottom 50
| Rank | Company | Score | Chance | Close | Move, three months | vs Nifty | vs sector | Range | After results | Delivery | 10 sessions on | vs Nifty |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 look at | FEDERALBNKFederal Bank Ltd. | 96.4 | 51% | ₹261.35 | +34.5% | +30.8% | +26.1% | 100% | +12.4% | +5.8 pp | +0.6% | +1.0% |
| 2 look at | AUBANKAU Small Finance Bank Ltd. | 94.8 | 51% | ₹968.05 | +37.0% | +33.3% | +28.6% | 91% | +11.5% | +5.0 pp | +1.9% | +2.3% |
| 3 look at | MUTHOOTFINMuthoot Finance Ltd. | 93.2 | 51% | ₹3,837.60 | +31.1% | +27.4% | +26.2% | 100% | +9.1% | +2.9 pp | -2.6% | -2.2% |
| 4 look at | SHRIRAMFINShriram Finance Ltd. | 91.7 | 51% | ₹848.00 | +34.0% | +30.3% | +29.0% | 93% | +8.8% | +2.2 pp | +12.7% | +13.1% |
| 5 look at | PERSISTENTPersistent Systems Ltd. | 91.4 | 51% | ₹6,336.50 | +17.1% | +13.4% | +11.1% | 89% | +8.8% | +7.9 pp | -1.7% | -1.3% |
| 756 stay away | RPOWERReliance Power Ltd. | 8.4 | 52% | ₹34.53 | -24.6% | -28.3% | -24.9% | 7% | -10.7% | -15.9 pp | +2.2% | +2.6% |
| 757 stay away | EPACKEPACK Durable Limited | 8.4 | 52% | ₹255.50 | -31.7% | -35.4% | — | 3% | -21.7% | -3.1 pp | +7.8% | +8.2% |
| 758 stay away | GANECOSGanesha Ecosphere Limited | 8.2 | 52% | ₹874.00 | -33.8% | -37.5% | — | 8% | -18.4% | -7.1 pp | -1.9% | -1.5% |
| 759 stay away | RELINFRAReliance Infrastructure Limited | 7.4 | 52% | ₹135.75 | -45.3% | -49.0% | — | 5% | -11.1% | — | -1.3% | +2.1% |
| 760 stay away | HCCHindustan Construction Company Limited | 4.3 | 52% | ₹17.94 | -37.0% | -40.7% | — | 0% | -12.7% | -7.8 pp | +2.5% | +2.9% |
Score ranks every name on six checks over three months, each placed from first to last across the field, then blended: the move and the move against Nifty 30% (on one day and one period they order the field the same way, so they count once), against the sector 20%, where the close sits between the period's high and low 20%, the move against Nifty in the ten sessions after each result in the period 15% (* its last result before the period when there was none), and delivery over the second half of the period against the first half 15%. A missing check's weight is shared among the rest. Chance is the historical rate at which names ranked in the same tenth on this period went the way that tenth leans — blank until a tenth has a hundred judged rows. Every call is judged ten sessions after the close against Nifty, whatever the period.