The daily read from the close of 16 Sep 2025
Computed on the morning of 17 Sep 2025 (simulated: computed after the fact, standing on that close with only what was known then): 780 names ranked. Judged ten sessions later: the names to look at averaged -3.9% vs Nifty (1 of 5 beat it), the names to stay away from averaged -2.2% (4 of 5 trailed it), the whole field -3.1%.
The read from the close of 16 Sep 2025 · Quarter
Our calculation, not advice.
Follow in my book
rank 1 of 779
GABRIEL
Gabriel India Ltd. · AUTO
▲ Look at
94.7
score /100rank 1 of 779
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,317.20close 16 Sep
Upside reference₹1,431.89+8.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹1,244.10-5.5% · its typical 10-session fall
+116.2% over three months · +115.0% vs Nifty · +100.0% vs its sector · 100% of its three-month range · after results +8.9% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -10.3% (-7.8% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 2 of 779
AIIL
Authum Investment & Infrastructure Ltd. · FINANCIAL SERVICES
▲ Look at
94.5
score /100rank 2 of 779
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹656.92close 16 Sep
Upside reference₹697.92+6.2% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹628.31-4.4% · its typical 10-session fall
+32.3% over three months · +31.1% vs Nifty · +32.5% vs its sector · 100% of its three-month range · after results +9.2% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -6.2% (-3.7% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 3 of 779
IMFA
Indian Metals & Ferro Alloys Limited
▲ Look at
91.4
score /100rank 3 of 779
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,022.50close 16 Sep
Upside reference₹1,096.95+7.3% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹971.60-5.0% · its typical 10-session fall
+39.4% over three months · +38.2% vs Nifty · 94% of its three-month range · after results +12.4% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +8.4% (+10.9% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 4 of 779
FORCEMOT
Force Motors Ltd. · AUTO
▲ Look at
90.0
score /100rank 4 of 779
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹19,734.00close 16 Sep
Upside reference₹21,434.87+8.6% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹18,948.39-4.0% · its typical 10-session fall
+41.4% over three months · +40.2% vs Nifty · +25.2% vs its sector · 74% of its three-month range · after results +8.0% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -14.9% (-12.4% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 5 of 779
NAVA
Nava Ltd. · ENERGY
▲ Look at
89.6
score /100rank 5 of 779
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹714.50close 16 Sep
Upside reference₹769.68+7.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹676.41-5.3% · its typical 10-session fall
+24.5% over three months · +23.4% vs Nifty · +26.1% vs its sector · 100% of its three-month range · after results +21.3% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -8.9% (-6.4% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 779 of 779
RELINFRA
Reliance Infrastructure Limited
▼ Stay away
1.9
score /100rank 779 of 779
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹260.40close 16 Sep
Upside reference₹279.31+7.3% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹237.21-8.9% · its typical 10-session fall
-31.6% over three months · -32.8% vs Nifty · 7% of its three-month range · after results -18.6% vs Nifty
10 sessions on: -7.0% (-4.5% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 778 of 779
NEWGEN
Newgen Software Technologies Ltd. · IT
▼ Stay away
4.5
score /100rank 778 of 779
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹885.20close 16 Sep
Upside reference₹950.26+7.3% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹831.79-6.0% · its typical 10-session fall
-28.2% over three months · -29.4% vs Nifty · -20.9% vs its sector · 16% of its three-month range · after results -18.1% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +0.5% (+3.0% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 777 of 779
ZENTEC
Zen Technologies Ltd.
▼ Stay away
5.5
score /100rank 777 of 779
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,470.60close 16 Sep
Upside reference₹1,595.03+8.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹1,366.36-7.1% · its typical 10-session fall
-25.5% over three months · -26.6% vs Nifty · 12% of its three-month range · after results -18.6% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -2.6% (-0.1% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 776 of 779
RPOWER
Reliance Power Ltd. · ENERGY
▼ Stay away
6.0
score /100rank 776 of 779
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹47.93close 16 Sep
Upside reference₹51.86+8.2% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹44.43-7.3% · its typical 10-session fall
-28.4% over three months · -29.6% vs Nifty · -26.9% vs its sector · 20% of its three-month range · after results -24.7% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -7.4% (-5.0% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 775 of 779
NAZARA
Nazara Technologies Limited
▼ Stay away
6.0
score /100rank 775 of 779
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹273.82close 16 Sep
Upside reference₹283.69+3.6% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹262.77-4.0% · its typical 10-session fall
-17.8% over three months · -18.9% vs Nifty · 5% of its three-month range · after results -18.0% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -7.0% (-4.5% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Session by session · the full window
| Name | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 | T+4 | T+5 | T+6 | T+7 | T+8 | T+9 | T+10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ Names to look at — move vs Nifty since the close; green while ahead | ||||||||||
| GABRIELGabriel India Ltd. | -0.8% | -6.0% | -3.0% | -2.3% | -1.8% | -1.7% | -3.4% | -3.7% | -5.0% | -7.8% |
| AIILAuthum Investment & Infrastructure Ltd. | -0.6% | -3.4% | -4.1% | -7.4% | -7.9% | -6.1% | -7.2% | -7.4% | -6.0% | -3.7% |
| IMFAIndian Metals & Ferro Alloys Limited | +1.8% | +5.6% | +4.4% | +9.1%▲ | +13.9%▲ | +15.6%▲ | +14.7%▲ | +12.1%▲ | +11.8%▲ | +10.9%▲ |
| FORCEMOTForce Motors Ltd. | +0.2% | -4.7% | -6.2% | -7.6% | -7.9% | -7.9% | -8.6% | -9.7% | -11.7% | -12.4% |
| NAVANava Ltd. | -1.6% | -0.7% | +0.0% | -0.5% | -0.3% | -0.9% | -1.5% | -2.1% | -4.3% | -6.4% |
| ▼ Names to stay away from — move vs Nifty since the close; green while behind | ||||||||||
| RELINFRAReliance Infrastructure Limited | +3.9% | +1.9% | -1.3% | +2.0% | +2.0% | -0.6% | -1.5% | -2.8% | -2.5% | -4.5% |
| NEWGENNewgen Software Technologies Ltd. | -0.4% | +3.1% | +3.1% | +1.6% | +0.2% | -0.4% | +4.1% | +2.7% | +1.5% | +3.0% |
| ZENTECZen Technologies Ltd. | +4.6% | +9.5% | +8.7% | +9.3% | +9.3% | +5.0% | +4.8% | +4.4% | -0.6% | -0.1% |
| RPOWERReliance Power Ltd. | +1.5% | -1.8% | -0.1% | +2.0% | +0.1% | -2.3% | -2.6% | -4.3% | -3.9% | -5.0%▼ |
| NAZARANazara Technologies Limited | -0.3% | +0.4% | -1.4% | +1.0% | +1.1% | +2.9% | +3.3% | +4.6% | -0.5% | -4.5%▼ |
| Look at, ahead of Nifty | 2/5 | 1/5 | 2/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 |
| … on the record | 49% | 50% | 52% | 52% | 52% | 51% | 51% | 51% | 50% | 50% |
| Stay away, behind Nifty | 2/5 | 1/5 | 3/5 | 0/5 | 0/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 |
| … on the record | 55% | 55% | 54% | 54% | 55% | 55% | 54% | 54% | 55% | 54% |
| Spread, look-at minus stay-away | -2.1% | -4.5% | -3.6% | -5.0% | -3.3% | -1.1% | -2.8% | -3.1% | -1.8% | -1.7% |
| … on the record | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Each cell is the name's move from the close of 16 Sep minus Nifty's over the same sessions, at that session's close. A ▲ or ▼ marks the first session by which the card's upside or downside reference had printed. The on the record rows are what every past call has done at that point — 1,865 calls a side — so a day can be read against what usually happens, not just against zero. Sessions are the name's own; a name that did not trade on a day is measured on the sessions it did.
The whole field · top 50 and bottom 50
| Rank | Company | Score | Chance | Close | Move, three months | vs Nifty | vs sector | Range | After results | Delivery | 10 sessions on | vs Nifty |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 look at | GABRIELGabriel India Ltd. | 94.7 | 51% | ₹1,317.20 | +116.2% | +115.0% | +100.0% | 100% | +8.9% | +4.8 pp | -10.3% | -7.8% |
| 2 look at | AIILAuthum Investment & Infrastructure Ltd. | 94.5 | 51% | ₹656.92 | +32.3% | +31.1% | +32.5% | 100% | +9.2% | +7.2 pp | -6.2% | -3.7% |
| 3 look at | IMFAIndian Metals & Ferro Alloys Limited | 91.4 | 51% | ₹1,022.50 | +39.4% | +38.2% | — | 94% | +12.4% | +5.9 pp | +8.4% | +10.9% |
| 4 look at | FORCEMOTForce Motors Ltd. | 90.0 | 51% | ₹19,734.00 | +41.4% | +40.2% | +25.2% | 74% | +8.0% | +9.5 pp | -14.9% | -12.4% |
| 5 look at | NAVANava Ltd. | 89.6 | 51% | ₹714.50 | +24.5% | +23.4% | +26.1% | 100% | +21.3% | +2.3 pp | -8.9% | -6.4% |
| 775 stay away | NAZARANazara Technologies Limited | 6.0 | 52% | ₹273.82 | -17.8% | -18.9% | — | 5% | -18.0% | -4.6 pp | -7.0% | -4.5% |
| 776 stay away | RPOWERReliance Power Ltd. | 6.0 | 52% | ₹47.93 | -28.4% | -29.6% | -26.9% | 20% | -24.7% | -6.2 pp | -7.4% | -5.0% |
| 777 stay away | ZENTECZen Technologies Ltd. | 5.5 | 52% | ₹1,470.60 | -25.5% | -26.6% | — | 12% | -18.6% | -4.8 pp | -2.6% | -0.1% |
| 778 stay away | NEWGENNewgen Software Technologies Ltd. | 4.5 | 52% | ₹885.20 | -28.2% | -29.4% | -20.9% | 16% | -18.1% | -12.7 pp | +0.5% | +3.0% |
| 779 stay away | RELINFRAReliance Infrastructure Limited | 1.9 | 52% | ₹260.40 | -31.6% | -32.8% | — | 7% | -18.6% | — | -7.0% | -4.5% |
Score ranks every name on six checks over three months, each placed from first to last across the field, then blended: the move and the move against Nifty 30% (on one day and one period they order the field the same way, so they count once), against the sector 20%, where the close sits between the period's high and low 20%, the move against Nifty in the ten sessions after each result in the period 15% (* its last result before the period when there was none), and delivery over the second half of the period against the first half 15%. A missing check's weight is shared among the rest. Chance is the historical rate at which names ranked in the same tenth on this period went the way that tenth leans — blank until a tenth has a hundred judged rows. Every call is judged ten sessions after the close against Nifty, whatever the period.