The daily read from the close of 9 Sep 2025
Computed on the morning of 10 Sep 2025 (simulated: computed after the fact, standing on that close with only what was known then): 776 names ranked. Judged ten sessions later: the names to look at averaged +3.2% vs Nifty (4 of 5 beat it), the names to stay away from averaged +1.9% (3 of 5 trailed it), the whole field +2.5%.
The read from the close of 9 Sep 2025 · Quarter
Our calculation, not advice.
Follow in my book
rank 1 of 775
GABRIEL
Gabriel India Ltd. · AUTO
▲ Look at
95.2
score /100rank 1 of 775
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,258.80close 9 Sep
Upside reference₹1,371.75+9.0% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹1,191.27-5.4% · its typical 10-session fall
+99.5% over three months · +100.4% vs Nifty · +85.2% vs its sector · 99% of its three-month range · after results +8.9% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +2.4% (+1.2% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 2 of 775
TFCILTD
Tourism Finance Corporation of India Limited
▲ Look at
93.3
score /100rank 2 of 775
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹71.02close 9 Sep
Upside reference₹77.21+8.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹66.69-6.1% · its typical 10-session fall
+51.9% over three months · +52.8% vs Nifty · 100% of its three-month range · after results +12.2% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +2.5% (+1.3% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 3 of 775
IMFA
Indian Metals & Ferro Alloys Limited
▲ Look at
92.9
score /100rank 3 of 775
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,002.90close 9 Sep
Upside reference₹1,074.33+7.1% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹952.17-5.1% · its typical 10-session fall
+35.3% over three months · +36.2% vs Nifty · 91% of its three-month range · after results +12.4% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +15.9% (+14.7% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 4 of 775
NAVA
Nava Ltd. · ENERGY
▲ Look at
92.4
score /100rank 4 of 775
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹701.05close 9 Sep
Upside reference₹755.07+7.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹663.31-5.4% · its typical 10-session fall
+32.6% over three months · +33.5% vs Nifty · +38.3% vs its sector · 95% of its three-month range · after results +21.3% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +1.3% (+0.1% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 5 of 775
FORCEMOT
Force Motors Ltd. · AUTO
▲ Look at
89.2
score /100rank 5 of 775
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹18,158.00close 9 Sep
Upside reference₹19,725.58+8.6% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹17,415.70-4.1% · its typical 10-session fall
+49.3% over three months · +50.2% vs Nifty · +35.0% vs its sector · 62% of its three-month range · after results +8.0% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -0.3% (-1.5% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 775 of 775
RELINFRA
Reliance Infrastructure Limited
▼ Stay away
4.2
score /100rank 775 of 775
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹265.50close 9 Sep
Upside reference₹283.57+6.8% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹241.21-9.1% · its typical 10-session fall
-32.0% over three months · -31.1% vs Nifty · 5% of its three-month range · after results -18.6% vs Nifty
10 sessions on: -0.3% (-1.5% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 774 of 775
IONEXCHANG
ION Exchange (India) Limited
▼ Stay away
7.3
score /100rank 774 of 775
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹410.15close 9 Sep
Upside reference₹428.81+4.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹392.47-4.3% · its typical 10-session fall
-25.2% over three months · -24.2% vs Nifty · 0% of its three-month range · after results -8.7% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +3.6% (+2.4% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 773 of 775
NEWGEN
Newgen Software Technologies Ltd. · IT
▼ Stay away
7.6
score /100rank 773 of 775
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹878.00close 9 Sep
Upside reference₹941.69+7.3% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹824.38-6.1% · its typical 10-session fall
-28.6% over three months · -27.7% vs Nifty · -22.2% vs its sector · 14% of its three-month range · after results -18.1% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +0.7% (-0.5% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 772 of 775
REFEX
Refex Industries Limited
▼ Stay away
9.1
score /100rank 772 of 775
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹346.50close 9 Sep
Upside reference₹378.34+9.2% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹327.13-5.6% · its typical 10-session fall
-33.2% over three months · -32.3% vs Nifty · 0% of its three-month range · after results -10.6% vs Nifty
10 sessions on: +12.7% (+11.4% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 771 of 775
HIKAL
Hikal Limited
▼ Stay away
9.4
score /100rank 771 of 775
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹263.75close 9 Sep
Upside reference₹275.44+4.4% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹248.97-5.6% · its typical 10-session fall
-29.8% over three months · -28.9% vs Nifty · 11% of its three-month range · after results -13.8% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -1.4% (-2.6% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Session by session · the full window
| Name | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 | T+4 | T+5 | T+6 | T+7 | T+8 | T+9 | T+10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ Names to look at — move vs Nifty since the close; green while ahead | ||||||||||
| GABRIELGabriel India Ltd. | -0.1% | -1.8% | -3.2% | +2.7% | +3.1% | +2.3% | -3.1% | +0.1% | +0.8% | +1.2% |
| TFCILTDTourism Finance Corporation of India Limited | +0.5% | +1.4% | +1.6% | +0.8% | +0.9% | -0.2% | +0.2% | +0.1% | +0.2% | +1.3% |
| IMFAIndian Metals & Ferro Alloys Limited | +0.4% | +1.2% | +1.8% | +3.3% | +0.5% | +2.3% | +6.2%▲ | +4.9%▲ | +9.7%▲ | +14.7%▲ |
| NAVANava Ltd. | -1.5% | -0.1% | -0.6% | -0.2% | +0.4% | -1.2% | -0.3% | +0.5% | -0.1% | +0.1% |
| FORCEMOTForce Motors Ltd. | +0.7% | -1.3% | +0.3% | +2.6% | +7.2%▲ | +7.5%▲ | +2.1%▲ | +0.5%▲ | -1.1%▲ | -1.5%▲ |
| ▼ Names to stay away from — move vs Nifty since the close; green while behind | ||||||||||
| RELINFRAReliance Infrastructure Limited | -1.9% | -3.4% | -7.5% | -7.4% | -3.4% | +0.4% | -1.5% | -4.7% | -1.4% | -1.5% |
| IONEXCHANGION Exchange (India) Limited | +0.4% | +1.2% | -0.2% | +3.6% | +2.5% | +1.3% | +0.6% | +1.7% | +3.4% | +2.4% |
| NEWGENNewgen Software Technologies Ltd. | +0.4% | +0.3% | +0.1% | +0.1% | -0.7% | -1.1% | +2.4% | +2.4% | +0.9% | -0.5% |
| REFEXRefex Industries Limited | +1.8% | +1.5% | +0.6% | +1.6% | +1.7% | +1.1% | -1.7% | -1.5% | -3.8% | +11.4% |
| HIKALHikal Limited | -1.9% | -2.0% | -3.4% | -2.5% | +0.1% | +0.4% | -1.0% | +0.3% | -1.7% | -2.6% |
| Look at, ahead of Nifty | 3/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 4/5 | 5/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 5/5 | 3/5 | 4/5 |
| … on the record | 49% | 50% | 52% | 52% | 52% | 51% | 51% | 51% | 50% | 50% |
| Stay away, behind Nifty | 2/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 1/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 |
| … on the record | 55% | 55% | 54% | 54% | 55% | 55% | 54% | 54% | 55% | 54% |
| Spread, look-at minus stay-away | +0.3% | +0.4% | +2.1% | +2.8% | +2.4% | +1.7% | +1.3% | +1.6% | +2.4% | +1.3% |
| … on the record | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Each cell is the name's move from the close of 9 Sep minus Nifty's over the same sessions, at that session's close. A ▲ or ▼ marks the first session by which the card's upside or downside reference had printed. The on the record rows are what every past call has done at that point — 1,865 calls a side — so a day can be read against what usually happens, not just against zero. Sessions are the name's own; a name that did not trade on a day is measured on the sessions it did.
The whole field · top 50 and bottom 50
| Rank | Company | Score | Chance | Close | Move, three months | vs Nifty | vs sector | Range | After results | Delivery | 10 sessions on | vs Nifty |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 look at | GABRIELGabriel India Ltd. | 95.2 | 51% | ₹1,258.80 | +99.5% | +100.4% | +85.2% | 99% | +8.9% | +6.2 pp | +2.4% | +1.2% |
| 2 look at | TFCILTDTourism Finance Corporation of India Limited | 93.3 | 51% | ₹71.02 | +51.9% | +52.8% | — | 100% | +12.2% | +4.5 pp | +2.5% | +1.3% |
| 3 look at | IMFAIndian Metals & Ferro Alloys Limited | 92.9 | 51% | ₹1,002.90 | +35.3% | +36.2% | — | 91% | +12.4% | +7.6 pp | +15.9% | +14.7% |
| 4 look at | NAVANava Ltd. | 92.4 | 51% | ₹701.05 | +32.6% | +33.5% | +38.3% | 95% | +21.3% | +4.7 pp | +1.3% | +0.1% |
| 5 look at | FORCEMOTForce Motors Ltd. | 89.2 | 51% | ₹18,158.00 | +49.3% | +50.2% | +35.0% | 62% | +8.0% | +6.9 pp | -0.3% | -1.5% |
| 771 stay away | HIKALHikal Limited | 9.4 | 52% | ₹263.75 | -29.8% | -28.9% | — | 11% | -13.8% | -4.7 pp | -1.4% | -2.6% |
| 772 stay away | REFEXRefex Industries Limited | 9.1 | 52% | ₹346.50 | -33.2% | -32.3% | — | 0% | -10.6% | -1.0 pp | +12.7% | +11.4% |
| 773 stay away | NEWGENNewgen Software Technologies Ltd. | 7.6 | 52% | ₹878.00 | -28.6% | -27.7% | -22.2% | 14% | -18.1% | -9.7 pp | +0.7% | -0.5% |
| 774 stay away | IONEXCHANGION Exchange (India) Limited | 7.3 | 52% | ₹410.15 | -25.2% | -24.2% | — | 0% | -8.7% | -4.1 pp | +3.6% | +2.4% |
| 775 stay away | RELINFRAReliance Infrastructure Limited | 4.2 | 52% | ₹265.50 | -32.0% | -31.1% | — | 5% | -18.6% | — | -0.3% | -1.5% |
Score ranks every name on six checks over three months, each placed from first to last across the field, then blended: the move and the move against Nifty 30% (on one day and one period they order the field the same way, so they count once), against the sector 20%, where the close sits between the period's high and low 20%, the move against Nifty in the ten sessions after each result in the period 15% (* its last result before the period when there was none), and delivery over the second half of the period against the first half 15%. A missing check's weight is shared among the rest. Chance is the historical rate at which names ranked in the same tenth on this period went the way that tenth leans — blank until a tenth has a hundred judged rows. Every call is judged ten sessions after the close against Nifty, whatever the period.