The daily read from the close of 17 Feb 2026
Computed on the morning of 18 Feb 2026 (simulated: computed after the fact, standing on that close with only what was known then): 746 names ranked. Judged ten sessions later: the names to look at averaged -3.2% vs Nifty (1 of 5 beat it), the names to stay away from averaged -3.7% (4 of 5 trailed it), the whole field -3.4%.
The read from the close of 17 Feb 2026 · Year
Our calculation, not advice.
Follow in my book
rank 1 of 745
SHARDACROP
Sharda Cropchem Limited
▲ Look at
92.3
score /100rank 1 of 745
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,250.40close 17 Feb
Upside reference₹1,367.19+9.3% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹1,183.13-5.4% · its typical 10-session fall
+129.8% over the year · +117.8% vs Nifty · 99% of its year range · after results +9.4% vs Nifty (avg of 4) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -16.9% (-12.1% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 2 of 745
TFCILTD
Tourism Finance Corporation of India Limited
▲ Look at
90.9
score /100rank 2 of 745
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹75.94close 17 Feb
Upside reference₹81.55+7.4% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹73.28-3.5% · its typical 10-session fall
+193.9% over the year · +181.8% vs Nifty · 100% of its year range · after results +6.8% vs Nifty (avg of 4) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -9.3% (-4.5% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 3 of 745
TVSMOTOR
TVS Motor Company Ltd. · AUTO
▲ Look at
90.7
score /100rank 3 of 745
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹3,877.80close 17 Feb
Upside reference₹4,043.65+4.3% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹3,792.49-2.2% · its typical 10-session fall
+719.6% over the year · +707.5% vs Nifty · +691.2% vs its sector · 100% of its year range · after results +2.5% vs Nifty (avg of 4) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -3.4% (+1.5% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 4 of 745
RBLBANK
RBL Bank Ltd. · PRIVATE BANK
▲ Look at
89.9
score /100rank 4 of 745
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹322.25close 17 Feb
Upside reference₹338.48+5.0% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹314.13-2.5% · its typical 10-session fall
+106.8% over the year · +94.8% vs Nifty · +88.6% vs its sector · 96% of its year range · after results +3.1% vs Nifty (avg of 4) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -5.0% (-0.2% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 5 of 745
AUBANK
AU Small Finance Bank Ltd. · BANK
▲ Look at
89.0
score /100rank 5 of 745
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹999.75close 17 Feb
Upside reference₹1,034.99+3.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹962.99-3.7% · its typical 10-session fall
+91.5% over the year · +79.5% vs Nifty · +67.3% vs its sector · 95% of its year range · after results +4.0% vs Nifty (avg of 4) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -5.4% (-0.5% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 745 of 745
VPRPL
Vishnu Prakash R Punglia Limited
▼ Stay away
2.3
score /100rank 745 of 745
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹45.87close 17 Feb
Upside reference₹48.36+5.4% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹42.29-7.8% · its typical 10-session fall
-73.2% over the year · -85.3% vs Nifty · 1% of its year range · after results -12.1% vs Nifty (avg of 4) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -9.7% (-4.9% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 744 of 745
ORIENTCEM
Orient Cement Limited
▼ Stay away
4.8
score /100rank 744 of 745
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹161.29close 17 Feb
Upside reference₹165.65+2.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹156.13-3.2% · its typical 10-session fall
-51.1% over the year · -63.1% vs Nifty · 4% of its year range · after results -8.1% vs Nifty (avg of 4) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -9.0% (-4.1% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 743 of 745
TATAINVEST
Tata Investment Corporation Ltd. · FINANCIAL SERVICES
▼ Stay away
5.0
score /100rank 743 of 745
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹638.90close 17 Feb
Upside reference₹663.73+3.9% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹613.75-3.9% · its typical 10-session fall
-87.8% over the year · -99.8% vs Nifty · -109.3% vs its sector · 0% of its year range · after results -4.7% vs Nifty (avg of 4) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -2.1% (+2.8% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 742 of 745
REFEX
Refex Industries Limited
▼ Stay away
5.4
score /100rank 742 of 745
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹236.48close 17 Feb
Upside reference₹250.24+5.8% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹221.92-6.2% · its typical 10-session fall
-36.6% over the year · -48.6% vs Nifty · 6% of its year range · after results -11.6% vs Nifty (avg of 4) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -14.4% (-9.6% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 741 of 745
SYNGENE
Syngene International Ltd. · HEALTHCARE INDEX
▼ Stay away
5.5
score /100rank 741 of 745
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹432.90close 17 Feb
Upside reference₹442.11+2.1% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹417.32-3.6% · its typical 10-session fall
-38.2% over the year · -50.3% vs Nifty · -46.1% vs its sector · 0% of its year range · after results -11.2% vs Nifty (avg of 4) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -7.4% (-2.6% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Session by session · the full window
| Name | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 | T+4 | T+5 | T+6 | T+7 | T+8 | T+9 | T+10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ Names to look at — move vs Nifty since the close; green while ahead | ||||||||||
| SHARDACROPSharda Cropchem Limited | -3.3% | -5.1% | -3.2% | -6.0% | -5.8% | -4.0% | -4.8% | -2.6% | -5.8% | -12.1% |
| TFCILTDTourism Finance Corporation of India Limited | -1.2% | -3.4% | -3.3% | +3.2% | +3.9% | -0.2% | -4.6% | -4.6% | -4.7% | -4.5% |
| TVSMOTORTVS Motor Company Ltd. | -0.2% | -0.2% | -1.0% | -1.2% | -0.4% | +2.3% | +2.9% | +1.9% | +1.7% | +1.5% |
| RBLBANKRBL Bank Ltd. | +0.7% | +4.2% | +2.7% | -0.4% | +2.3% | +3.3% | +2.3% | +1.4% | +0.5% | -0.2% |
| AUBANKAU Small Finance Bank Ltd. | +1.9% | +2.8% | +3.6% | -2.5% | +1.4% | -0.8% | -1.8% | -2.0% | -1.5% | -0.5% |
| ▼ Names to stay away from — move vs Nifty since the close; green while behind | ||||||||||
| VPRPLVishnu Prakash R Punglia Limited | -1.4% | -2.6% | +3.0% | -2.5% | -2.6% | +0.1% | -0.9% | -1.5% | -4.9%▼ | -4.9%▼ |
| ORIENTCEMOrient Cement Limited | -0.0% | -1.0% | -1.2% | -2.3% | -1.0% | -1.1% | -1.3% | -2.3%▼ | -3.3%▼ | -4.1%▼ |
| TATAINVESTTata Investment Corporation Ltd. | +0.4% | +9.4% | +11.3% | +7.8% | +5.4% | +4.1% | +3.4% | +5.2% | +3.7% | +2.8% |
| REFEXRefex Industries Limited | +2.3% | +4.2% | +2.0% | +0.7% | +0.8% | -2.2% | -3.4% | -4.6%▼ | -5.8%▼ | -9.6%▼ |
| SYNGENESyngene International Ltd. | -0.3% | +2.3% | +2.9% | +3.3% | +2.1% | +1.1% | -0.7% | -0.3% | -1.4%▼ | -2.6%▼ |
| Look at, ahead of Nifty | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 1/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 1/5 |
| … on the record | 50% | 50% | 51% | 51% | 53% | 52% | 52% | 52% | 52% | 52% |
| Stay away, behind Nifty | 3/5 | 2/5 | 1/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 |
| … on the record | 58% | 59% | 58% | 58% | 59% | 60% | 60% | 61% | 61% | 62% |
| Spread, look-at minus stay-away | -0.6% | -2.8% | -3.8% | -2.8% | -0.7% | -0.3% | -0.6% | -0.5% | +0.4% | +0.5% |
| … on the record | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Each cell is the name's move from the close of 17 Feb minus Nifty's over the same sessions, at that session's close. A ▲ or ▼ marks the first session by which the card's upside or downside reference had printed. The on the record rows are what every past call has done at that point — 1,865 calls a side — so a day can be read against what usually happens, not just against zero. Sessions are the name's own; a name that did not trade on a day is measured on the sessions it did.
The whole field · top 50 and bottom 50
| Rank | Company | Score | Chance | Close | Move, the year | vs Nifty | vs sector | Range | After results | Delivery | 10 sessions on | vs Nifty |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 look at | SHARDACROPSharda Cropchem Limited | 92.3 | 53% | ₹1,250.40 | +129.8% | +117.8% | — | 99% | +9.4% | +4.7 pp | -16.9% | -12.1% |
| 2 look at | TFCILTDTourism Finance Corporation of India Limited | 90.9 | 53% | ₹75.94 | +193.9% | +181.8% | — | 100% | +6.8% | +3.4 pp | -9.3% | -4.5% |
| 3 look at | TVSMOTORTVS Motor Company Ltd. | 90.7 | 53% | ₹3,877.80 | +719.6% | +707.5% | +691.2% | 100% | +2.5% | +4.2 pp | -3.4% | +1.5% |
| 4 look at | RBLBANKRBL Bank Ltd. | 89.9 | 53% | ₹322.25 | +106.8% | +94.8% | +88.6% | 96% | +3.1% | +5.0 pp | -5.0% | -0.2% |
| 5 look at | AUBANKAU Small Finance Bank Ltd. | 89.0 | 53% | ₹999.75 | +91.5% | +79.5% | +67.3% | 95% | +4.0% | +4.6 pp | -5.4% | -0.5% |
| 741 stay away | SYNGENESyngene International Ltd. | 5.5 | 58% | ₹432.90 | -38.2% | -50.3% | -46.1% | 0% | -11.2% | -2.2 pp | -7.4% | -2.6% |
| 742 stay away | REFEXRefex Industries Limited | 5.4 | 58% | ₹236.48 | -36.6% | -48.6% | — | 6% | -11.6% | -14.6 pp | -14.4% | -9.6% |
| 743 stay away | TATAINVESTTata Investment Corporation Ltd. | 5.0 | 58% | ₹638.90 | -87.8% | -99.8% | -109.3% | 0% | -4.7% | -2.5 pp | -2.1% | +2.8% |
| 744 stay away | ORIENTCEMOrient Cement Limited | 4.8 | 58% | ₹161.29 | -51.1% | -63.1% | — | 4% | -8.1% | -7.9 pp | -9.0% | -4.1% |
| 745 stay away | VPRPLVishnu Prakash R Punglia Limited | 2.3 | 58% | ₹45.87 | -73.2% | -85.3% | — | 1% | -12.1% | -7.9 pp | -9.7% | -4.9% |
Score ranks every name on six checks over the year, each placed from first to last across the field, then blended: the move and the move against Nifty 30% (on one day and one period they order the field the same way, so they count once), against the sector 20%, where the close sits between the period's high and low 20%, the move against Nifty in the ten sessions after each result in the period 15% (* its last result before the period when there was none), and delivery over the second half of the period against the first half 15%. A missing check's weight is shared among the rest. Chance is the historical rate at which names ranked in the same tenth on this period went the way that tenth leans — blank until a tenth has a hundred judged rows. Every call is judged ten sessions after the close against Nifty, whatever the period.