The daily read from the close of 16 Feb 2026
Computed on the morning of 17 Feb 2026 (simulated: computed after the fact, standing on that close with only what was known then): 744 names ranked. Judged ten sessions later: the names to look at averaged -0.9% vs Nifty (2 of 5 beat it), the names to stay away from averaged -2.8% (4 of 5 trailed it), the whole field -1.9%.
The read from the close of 16 Feb 2026 · Year
Our calculation, not advice.
Follow in my book
rank 1 of 743
SHARDACROP
Sharda Cropchem Limited
▲ Look at
92.1
score /100rank 1 of 743
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,231.20close 16 Feb
Upside reference₹1,344.16+9.2% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹1,164.96-5.4% · its typical 10-session fall
+129.9% over the year · +117.9% vs Nifty · 97% of its year range · after results +9.4% vs Nifty (avg of 4) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -7.7% (-4.6% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 2 of 743
TFCILTD
Tourism Finance Corporation of India Limited
▲ Look at
90.8
score /100rank 2 of 743
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹74.95close 16 Feb
Upside reference₹80.46+7.4% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹72.26-3.6% · its typical 10-session fall
+190.1% over the year · +178.1% vs Nifty · 98% of its year range · after results +6.8% vs Nifty (avg of 4) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -6.8% (-3.6% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 3 of 743
TVSMOTOR
TVS Motor Company Ltd. · AUTO
▲ Look at
90.6
score /100rank 3 of 743
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹3,807.40close 16 Feb
Upside reference₹3,970.51+4.3% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹3,723.64-2.2% · its typical 10-session fall
+692.7% over the year · +680.7% vs Nifty · +665.7% vs its sector · 98% of its year range · after results +2.5% vs Nifty (avg of 4) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +0.1% (+3.3% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 4 of 743
AUBANK
AU Small Finance Bank Ltd. · BANK
▲ Look at
89.4
score /100rank 4 of 743
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,010.00close 16 Feb
Upside reference₹1,045.70+3.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹973.96-3.6% · its typical 10-session fall
+88.8% over the year · +76.8% vs Nifty · +64.7% vs its sector · 97% of its year range · after results +4.0% vs Nifty (avg of 4) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -5.8% (-2.6% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 5 of 743
RBLBANK
RBL Bank Ltd. · PRIVATE BANK
▲ Look at
89.0
score /100rank 5 of 743
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹314.35close 16 Feb
Upside reference₹330.14+5.0% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹306.43-2.5% · its typical 10-session fall
+100.5% over the year · +88.4% vs Nifty · +82.0% vs its sector · 92% of its year range · after results +3.1% vs Nifty (avg of 4) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -0.4% (+2.8% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 743 of 743
VPRPL
Vishnu Prakash R Punglia Limited
▼ Stay away
3.1
score /100rank 743 of 743
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹44.63close 16 Feb
Upside reference₹47.05+5.4% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹41.10-7.9% · its typical 10-session fall
-74.1% over the year · -86.1% vs Nifty · 0% of its year range · after results -15.0% vs Nifty (avg of 3) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -5.7% (-2.5% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 742 of 743
REFEX
Refex Industries Limited
▼ Stay away
5.3
score /100rank 742 of 743
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹233.50close 16 Feb
Upside reference₹247.37+5.9% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹218.94-6.2% · its typical 10-session fall
-40.5% over the year · -52.5% vs Nifty · 5% of its year range · after results -11.6% vs Nifty (avg of 4) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -8.0% (-4.8% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 741 of 743
ORIENTCEM
Orient Cement Limited
▼ Stay away
5.7
score /100rank 741 of 743
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹161.70close 16 Feb
Upside reference₹166.05+2.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹156.38-3.3% · its typical 10-session fall
-51.3% over the year · -63.3% vs Nifty · 4% of its year range · after results -8.1% vs Nifty (avg of 4) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -6.9% (-3.7% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 740 of 743
TATAINVEST
Tata Investment Corporation Ltd. · FINANCIAL SERVICES
▼ Stay away
6.0
score /100rank 740 of 743
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹630.40close 16 Feb
Upside reference₹655.45+4.0% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹605.78-3.9% · its typical 10-session fall
-88.1% over the year · -100.1% vs Nifty · -110.2% vs its sector · 0% of its year range · after results -4.7% vs Nifty (avg of 4) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +1.7% (+4.9% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 739 of 743
SHAKTIPUMP
Shakti Pumps (India) Limited
▼ Stay away
6.5
score /100rank 739 of 743
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹564.70close 16 Feb
Upside reference₹594.36+5.3% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹534.55-5.3% · its typical 10-session fall
-33.2% over the year · -45.2% vs Nifty · 3% of its year range · after results -8.0% vs Nifty (avg of 3) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -11.0% (-7.8% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Session by session · the full window
| Name | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 | T+4 | T+5 | T+6 | T+7 | T+8 | T+9 | T+10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ Names to look at — move vs Nifty since the close; green while ahead | ||||||||||
| SHARDACROPSharda Cropchem Limited | +1.4% | -2.0% | -3.8% | -1.9% | -4.7% | -4.6% | -2.6% | -3.5% | -1.3% | -4.6% |
| TFCILTDTourism Finance Corporation of India Limited | +1.2% | -0.1% | -2.3% | -2.2% | +4.4% | +5.1% | +0.9% | -3.5% | -3.5% | -3.6% |
| TVSMOTORTVS Motor Company Ltd. | +1.7% | +1.5% | +1.5% | +0.7% | +0.5% | +1.2% | +4.1% | +4.6% | +3.6% | +3.3% |
| AUBANKAU Small Finance Bank Ltd. | -1.2% | +0.7% | +1.6% | +2.4% | -3.7% | +0.2% | -2.0% | -3.0% | -3.2% | -2.6% |
| RBLBANKRBL Bank Ltd. | +2.3% | +3.1% | +6.7%▲ | +5.1%▲ | +2.0%▲ | +4.7%▲ | +5.7%▲ | +4.7%▲ | +3.7%▲ | +2.8%▲ |
| ▼ Names to stay away from — move vs Nifty since the close; green while behind | ||||||||||
| VPRPLVishnu Prakash R Punglia Limited | +2.6% | +1.1% | -0.1% | +5.7% | +0.1% | -0.1% | +2.7% | +1.6% | +1.0% | -2.5% |
| REFEXRefex Industries Limited | +1.1% | +3.4% | +5.4% | +3.1% | +1.8% | +2.0% | -1.1% | -2.4% | -3.5% | -4.8%▼ |
| ORIENTCEMOrient Cement Limited | -0.4% | -0.5% | -1.4% | -1.6% | -2.7% | -1.4% | -1.6% | -1.8% | -2.7%▼ | -3.7%▼ |
| TATAINVESTTata Investment Corporation Ltd. | +1.2% | +1.6% | +10.7% | +12.6% | +9.1% | +6.7% | +5.3% | +4.6% | +6.5% | +4.9% |
| SHAKTIPUMPShakti Pumps (India) Limited | +1.6% | +1.4% | +0.2% | -0.4% | -1.5% | -3.8% | -5.8%▼ | -6.0%▼ | -6.8%▼ | -7.8%▼ |
| Look at, ahead of Nifty | 4/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 4/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 |
| … on the record | 50% | 50% | 51% | 51% | 53% | 52% | 52% | 52% | 52% | 52% |
| Stay away, behind Nifty | 1/5 | 1/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 4/5 |
| … on the record | 58% | 59% | 58% | 58% | 59% | 60% | 60% | 61% | 61% | 62% |
| Spread, look-at minus stay-away | -0.1% | -0.8% | -2.2% | -3.1% | -1.7% | +0.7% | +1.3% | +0.6% | +1.0% | +1.9% |
| … on the record | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Each cell is the name's move from the close of 16 Feb minus Nifty's over the same sessions, at that session's close. A ▲ or ▼ marks the first session by which the card's upside or downside reference had printed. The on the record rows are what every past call has done at that point — 1,865 calls a side — so a day can be read against what usually happens, not just against zero. Sessions are the name's own; a name that did not trade on a day is measured on the sessions it did.
The whole field · top 50 and bottom 50
| Rank | Company | Score | Chance | Close | Move, the year | vs Nifty | vs sector | Range | After results | Delivery | 10 sessions on | vs Nifty |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 look at | SHARDACROPSharda Cropchem Limited | 92.1 | 53% | ₹1,231.20 | +129.9% | +117.9% | — | 97% | +9.4% | +4.9 pp | -7.7% | -4.6% |
| 2 look at | TFCILTDTourism Finance Corporation of India Limited | 90.8 | 53% | ₹74.95 | +190.1% | +178.1% | — | 98% | +6.8% | +3.8 pp | -6.8% | -3.6% |
| 3 look at | TVSMOTORTVS Motor Company Ltd. | 90.6 | 53% | ₹3,807.40 | +692.7% | +680.7% | +665.7% | 98% | +2.5% | +4.3 pp | +0.1% | +3.3% |
| 4 look at | AUBANKAU Small Finance Bank Ltd. | 89.4 | 53% | ₹1,010.00 | +88.8% | +76.8% | +64.7% | 97% | +4.0% | +4.6 pp | -5.8% | -2.6% |
| 5 look at | RBLBANKRBL Bank Ltd. | 89.0 | 53% | ₹314.35 | +100.5% | +88.4% | +82.0% | 92% | +3.1% | +5.0 pp | -0.4% | +2.8% |
| 739 stay away | SHAKTIPUMPShakti Pumps (India) Limited | 6.5 | 58% | ₹564.70 | -33.2% | -45.2% | — | 3% | -8.0% | -10.8 pp | -11.0% | -7.8% |
| 740 stay away | TATAINVESTTata Investment Corporation Ltd. | 6.0 | 58% | ₹630.40 | -88.1% | -100.1% | -110.2% | 0% | -4.7% | -2.4 pp | +1.7% | +4.9% |
| 741 stay away | ORIENTCEMOrient Cement Limited | 5.7 | 58% | ₹161.70 | -51.3% | -63.3% | — | 4% | -8.1% | -7.9 pp | -6.9% | -3.7% |
| 742 stay away | REFEXRefex Industries Limited | 5.3 | 58% | ₹233.50 | -40.5% | -52.5% | — | 5% | -11.6% | -14.4 pp | -8.0% | -4.8% |
| 743 stay away | VPRPLVishnu Prakash R Punglia Limited | 3.1 | 58% | ₹44.63 | -74.1% | -86.1% | — | 0% | -15.0% | -7.6 pp | -5.7% | -2.5% |
Score ranks every name on six checks over the year, each placed from first to last across the field, then blended: the move and the move against Nifty 30% (on one day and one period they order the field the same way, so they count once), against the sector 20%, where the close sits between the period's high and low 20%, the move against Nifty in the ten sessions after each result in the period 15% (* its last result before the period when there was none), and delivery over the second half of the period against the first half 15%. A missing check's weight is shared among the rest. Chance is the historical rate at which names ranked in the same tenth on this period went the way that tenth leans — blank until a tenth has a hundred judged rows. Every call is judged ten sessions after the close against Nifty, whatever the period.