The daily read from the close of 3 Feb 2026
Computed on the morning of 4 Feb 2026 (simulated: computed after the fact, standing on that close with only what was known then): 751 names ranked. Judged ten sessions later: the names to look at averaged -4.5% vs Nifty (0 of 5 beat it), the names to stay away from averaged +1.3% (2 of 5 trailed it), the whole field -1.6%.
The read from the close of 3 Feb 2026 · Half year
Our calculation, not advice.
Follow in my book
rank 1 of 751
VTL
Vardhman Textiles Ltd.
▲ Look at
94.1
score /100rank 1 of 751
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹511.95close 3 Feb
Upside reference₹535.80+4.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹489.80-4.3% · its typical 10-session fall
+21.7% over six months · +16.9% vs Nifty · 100% of its six-month range · after results +12.8% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -1.2% (-1.2% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 2 of 751
MCX
Multi Commodity Exchange of India Ltd. · FINANCIAL SERVICES
▲ Look at
91.8
score /100rank 2 of 751
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹2,434.10close 3 Feb
Upside reference₹2,579.03+6.0% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹2,310.89-5.1% · its typical 10-session fall
+60.2% over six months · +55.5% vs Nifty · +55.8% vs its sector · 79% of its six-month range · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -6.2% (-6.2% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 3 of 751
RATEGAIN
Rategain Travel Technologies Limited
▲ Look at
91.5
score /100rank 3 of 751
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹647.15close 3 Feb
Upside reference₹682.60+5.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹613.96-5.1% · its typical 10-session fall
+49.6% over six months · +44.8% vs Nifty · 75% of its six-month range · after results +13.1% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -10.6% (-10.5% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 4 of 751
BLACKBUCK
BLACKBUCK LIMITED
▲ Look at
90.7
score /100rank 4 of 751
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹624.75close 3 Feb
Upside reference₹662.14+6.0% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹601.53-3.7% · its typical 10-session fall
+39.7% over six months · +35.0% vs Nifty · 62% of its six-month range · after results +11.6% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -1.4% (-1.4% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 5 of 751
HEROMOTOCO
Hero MotoCorp Ltd. · AUTO
▲ Look at
89.8
score /100rank 5 of 751
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹5,763.00close 3 Feb
Upside reference₹6,000.78+4.1% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹5,575.53-3.3% · its typical 10-session fall
+33.7% over six months · +28.9% vs Nifty · +16.2% vs its sector · 71% of its six-month range · after results +10.7% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -3.2% (-3.2% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 751 of 751
VPRPL
Vishnu Prakash R Punglia Limited
▼ Stay away
2.3
score /100rank 751 of 751
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹46.86close 3 Feb
Upside reference₹49.16+4.9% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹43.10-8.0% · its typical 10-session fall
-70.6% over six months · -75.4% vs Nifty · 2% of its six-month range · after results -17.7% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -2.1% (-2.1% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 750 of 751
TARIL
Transformers And Rectifiers (India) Ltd.
▼ Stay away
2.5
score /100rank 750 of 751
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹245.82close 3 Feb
Upside reference₹258.89+5.3% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹229.78-6.5% · its typical 10-session fall
-52.3% over six months · -57.0% vs Nifty · 5% of its six-month range · after results -16.6% vs Nifty (avg of 3) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +11.5% (+11.5% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 749 of 751
RELINFRA
Reliance Infrastructure Limited
▼ Stay away
2.6
score /100rank 749 of 751
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹126.35close 3 Feb
Upside reference₹135.19+7.0% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹116.07-8.1% · its typical 10-session fall
-59.5% over six months · -64.2% vs Nifty · 3% of its six-month range · after results -11.1% vs Nifty
10 sessions on: -17.8% (-17.8% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 748 of 751
REFEX
Refex Industries Limited
▼ Stay away
4.7
score /100rank 748 of 751
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹228.47close 3 Feb
Upside reference₹240.93+5.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹214.78-6.0% · its typical 10-session fall
-45.3% over six months · -50.0% vs Nifty · 4% of its six-month range · after results -8.8% vs Nifty (avg of 3) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +3.5% (+3.5% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 747 of 751
KAYNES
Kaynes Technology India Ltd.
▼ Stay away
5.2
score /100rank 747 of 751
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹3,550.30close 3 Feb
Upside reference₹3,791.19+6.8% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹3,333.80-6.1% · its typical 10-session fall
-44.3% over six months · -49.0% vs Nifty · 5% of its six-month range · after results -12.7% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +11.3% (+11.3% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Session by session · the full window
| Name | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 | T+4 | T+5 | T+6 | T+7 | T+8 | T+9 | T+10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ Names to look at — move vs Nifty since the close; green while ahead | ||||||||||
| VTLVardhman Textiles Ltd. | -4.2% | -4.9% | -5.7% | -1.5% | -5.5% | -7.4% | -5.8% | +0.7% | -0.5% | -1.2% |
| MCXMulti Commodity Exchange of India Ltd. | +4.3% | -0.6% | -2.1% | -0.5% | +0.7% | -3.4% | +0.0% | -2.8% | -3.7% | -6.2% |
| RATEGAINRategain Travel Technologies Limited | -3.0% | -6.1% | -9.8% | -8.7% | -9.2% | -9.5% | -12.1% | -14.3% | -16.6% | -10.5% |
| BLACKBUCKBLACKBUCK LIMITED | -0.7% | -2.6% | -0.1% | -0.4% | -0.5% | -2.8% | +1.5% | +2.6% | +0.9% | -1.4% |
| HEROMOTOCOHero MotoCorp Ltd. | +1.3% | +0.4% | -0.0% | -0.7% | -1.0% | -2.3% | -0.8% | -2.1% | -4.5% | -3.2% |
| ▼ Names to stay away from — move vs Nifty since the close; green while behind | ||||||||||
| VPRPLVishnu Prakash R Punglia Limited | +4.6% | +2.4% | +0.3% | +7.7% | +11.4% | +7.1% | +5.8% | +1.1% | -4.6% | -2.1% |
| TARILTransformers And Rectifiers (India) Ltd. | +3.9% | +3.0% | +1.0% | +15.7% | +13.9% | +15.8% | +13.9% | +11.3% | +10.2% | +11.5% |
| RELINFRAReliance Infrastructure Limited | +4.8% | +0.1% | -4.8% | -8.1% | -6.0% | -10.0%▼ | -13.6%▼ | -16.6%▼ | -21.5%▼ | -17.8%▼ |
| REFEXRefex Industries Limited | +3.6% | +2.2% | -0.1% | +4.4% | +9.7% | +8.0% | +6.1% | +2.7% | +2.4% | +3.5% |
| KAYNESKaynes Technology India Ltd. | +6.3% | +2.2% | +4.4% | +10.5% | +10.7% | +16.1% | +14.8% | +12.0% | +11.9% | +11.3% |
| Look at, ahead of Nifty | 2/5 | 1/5 | 0/5 | 0/5 | 1/5 | 0/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 1/5 | 0/5 |
| … on the record | 49% | 49% | 48% | 47% | 47% | 47% | 48% | 48% | 48% | 48% |
| Stay away, behind Nifty | 0/5 | 0/5 | 2/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 |
| … on the record | 58% | 57% | 58% | 58% | 58% | 59% | 59% | 58% | 59% | 59% |
| Spread, look-at minus stay-away | -5.1% | -4.7% | -3.7% | -8.4% | -11.0% | -12.5% | -8.8% | -5.3% | -4.6% | -5.8% |
| … on the record | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Each cell is the name's move from the close of 3 Feb minus Nifty's over the same sessions, at that session's close. A ▲ or ▼ marks the first session by which the card's upside or downside reference had printed. The on the record rows are what every past call has done at that point — 1,865 calls a side — so a day can be read against what usually happens, not just against zero. Sessions are the name's own; a name that did not trade on a day is measured on the sessions it did.
The whole field · top 50 and bottom 50
| Rank | Company | Score | Chance | Close | Move, six months | vs Nifty | vs sector | Range | After results | Delivery | 10 sessions on | vs Nifty |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 look at | VTLVardhman Textiles Ltd. | 94.1 | 50% | ₹511.95 | +21.7% | +16.9% | — | 100% | +12.8% | +8.8 pp | -1.2% | -1.2% |
| 2 look at | MCXMulti Commodity Exchange of India Ltd. | 91.8 | 50% | ₹2,434.10 | +60.2% | +55.5% | +55.8% | 79% | — | +2.9 pp | -6.2% | -6.2% |
| 3 look at | RATEGAINRategain Travel Technologies Limited | 91.5 | 50% | ₹647.15 | +49.6% | +44.8% | — | 75% | +13.1% | +4.0 pp | -10.6% | -10.5% |
| 4 look at | BLACKBUCKBLACKBUCK LIMITED | 90.7 | 50% | ₹624.75 | +39.7% | +35.0% | — | 62% | +11.6% | +8.7 pp | -1.4% | -1.4% |
| 5 look at | HEROMOTOCOHero MotoCorp Ltd. | 89.8 | 50% | ₹5,763.00 | +33.7% | +28.9% | +16.2% | 71% | +10.7% | +6.0 pp | -3.2% | -3.2% |
| 747 stay away | KAYNESKaynes Technology India Ltd. | 5.2 | 55% | ₹3,550.30 | -44.3% | -49.0% | — | 5% | -12.7% | -7.5 pp | +11.3% | +11.3% |
| 748 stay away | REFEXRefex Industries Limited | 4.7 | 55% | ₹228.47 | -45.3% | -50.0% | — | 4% | -8.8% | -12.5 pp | +3.5% | +3.5% |
| 749 stay away | RELINFRAReliance Infrastructure Limited | 2.6 | 55% | ₹126.35 | -59.5% | -64.2% | — | 3% | -11.1% | — | -17.8% | -17.8% |
| 750 stay away | TARILTransformers And Rectifiers (India) Ltd. | 2.5 | 55% | ₹245.82 | -52.3% | -57.0% | — | 5% | -16.6% | -19.9 pp | +11.5% | +11.5% |
| 751 stay away | VPRPLVishnu Prakash R Punglia Limited | 2.3 | 55% | ₹46.86 | -70.6% | -75.4% | — | 2% | -17.7% | -9.9 pp | -2.1% | -2.1% |
Score ranks every name on six checks over six months, each placed from first to last across the field, then blended: the move and the move against Nifty 30% (on one day and one period they order the field the same way, so they count once), against the sector 20%, where the close sits between the period's high and low 20%, the move against Nifty in the ten sessions after each result in the period 15% (* its last result before the period when there was none), and delivery over the second half of the period against the first half 15%. A missing check's weight is shared among the rest. Chance is the historical rate at which names ranked in the same tenth on this period went the way that tenth leans — blank until a tenth has a hundred judged rows. Every call is judged ten sessions after the close against Nifty, whatever the period.