The daily read from the close of 2 Feb 2026
Computed on the morning of 3 Feb 2026 (simulated: computed after the fact, standing on that close with only what was known then): 751 names ranked. Judged ten sessions later: the names to look at averaged -5.2% vs Nifty (1 of 5 beat it), the names to stay away from averaged -1.3% (3 of 5 trailed it), the whole field -3.2%.
The read from the close of 2 Feb 2026 · Half year
Our calculation, not advice.
Follow in my book
rank 1 of 751
RATEGAIN
Rategain Travel Technologies Limited
▲ Look at
92.9
score /100rank 1 of 751
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹638.20close 2 Feb
Upside reference₹673.16+5.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹605.47-5.1% · its typical 10-session fall
+47.5% over six months · +45.4% vs Nifty · 72% of its six-month range · after results +13.1% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -15.6% (-17.9% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 2 of 751
MCX
Multi Commodity Exchange of India Ltd. · FINANCIAL SERVICES
▲ Look at
92.0
score /100rank 2 of 751
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹2,321.80close 2 Feb
Upside reference₹2,460.30+6.0% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹2,204.67-5.0% · its typical 10-session fall
+52.8% over six months · +50.7% vs Nifty · +51.7% vs its sector · 70% of its six-month range · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +0.8% (-1.6% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 3 of 751
AVL
Aditya Vision Limited
▲ Look at
90.9
score /100rank 3 of 751
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹507.80close 2 Feb
Upside reference₹530.95+4.6% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹487.75-3.9% · its typical 10-session fall
+29.7% over six months · +27.5% vs Nifty · 57% of its six-month range · after results +7.4% vs Nifty (avg of 3) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +0.5% (-1.9% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 4 of 751
HEROMOTOCO
Hero MotoCorp Ltd. · AUTO
▲ Look at
90.8
score /100rank 4 of 751
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹5,623.00close 2 Feb
Upside reference₹5,855.12+4.1% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹5,444.02-3.2% · its typical 10-session fall
+30.4% over six months · +28.3% vs Nifty · +16.2% vs its sector · 64% of its six-month range · after results +10.7% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -2.3% (-4.7% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 5 of 751
FEDERALBNK
Federal Bank Ltd. · BANK
▲ Look at
89.8
score /100rank 5 of 751
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹281.30close 2 Feb
Upside reference₹291.85+3.8% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹274.18-2.5% · its typical 10-session fall
+43.5% over six months · +41.3% vs Nifty · +38.1% vs its sector · 93% of its six-month range · after results +6.8% vs Nifty (avg of 3)
10 sessions on: +2.7% (+0.4% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 751 of 751
TARIL
Transformers And Rectifiers (India) Ltd.
▼ Stay away
1.9
score /100rank 751 of 751
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹229.58close 2 Feb
Upside reference₹241.79+5.3% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹214.01-6.8% · its typical 10-session fall
-55.4% over six months · -57.6% vs Nifty · 0% of its six-month range · after results -16.6% vs Nifty (avg of 3) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +17.8% (+15.5% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 750 of 751
RELINFRA
Reliance Infrastructure Limited
▼ Stay away
2.9
score /100rank 750 of 751
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹120.98close 2 Feb
Upside reference₹129.30+6.9% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹111.33-8.0% · its typical 10-session fall
-61.2% over six months · -63.3% vs Nifty · 0% of its six-month range · after results -11.1% vs Nifty
10 sessions on: -18.2% (-20.6% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 749 of 751
RPOWER
Reliance Power Ltd. · ENERGY
▼ Stay away
3.0
score /100rank 749 of 751
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹26.82close 2 Feb
Upside reference₹28.31+5.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹25.02-6.7% · its typical 10-session fall
-46.5% over six months · -48.6% vs Nifty · -45.7% vs its sector · 0% of its six-month range · after results -10.7% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -0.6% (-3.0% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 748 of 751
VPRPL
Vishnu Prakash R Punglia Limited
▼ Stay away
4.2
score /100rank 748 of 751
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹44.55close 2 Feb
Upside reference₹46.73+4.9% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹40.98-8.0% · its typical 10-session fall
-72.1% over six months · -74.2% vs Nifty · 1% of its six-month range · after results -17.7% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +0.2% (-2.2% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 747 of 751
REFEX
Refex Industries Limited
▼ Stay away
4.7
score /100rank 747 of 751
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹219.51close 2 Feb
Upside reference₹231.48+5.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹207.93-5.3% · its typical 10-session fall
-47.4% over six months · -49.6% vs Nifty · 0% of its six-month range · after results -8.8% vs Nifty (avg of 3) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +6.4% (+4.0% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Session by session · the full window
| Name | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 | T+4 | T+5 | T+6 | T+7 | T+8 | T+9 | T+10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ Names to look at — move vs Nifty since the close; green while ahead | ||||||||||
| RATEGAINRategain Travel Technologies Limited | -1.1% | -4.2% | -7.3% | -11.1% | -10.0% | -10.5% | -10.8% | -13.4% | -15.7% | -17.9% |
| MCXMulti Commodity Exchange of India Ltd. | +2.3% | +6.8%▲ | +1.6%▲ | +0.1%▲ | +1.8%▲ | +3.0%▲ | -1.3%▲ | +2.3%▲ | -0.7%▲ | -1.6%▲ |
| AVLAditya Vision Limited | -2.1% | -5.0% | -5.7% | -6.8% | -5.1% | -1.4% | -0.7% | -1.2% | -1.5% | -1.9% |
| HEROMOTOCOHero MotoCorp Ltd. | -0.1% | +1.3% | +0.3% | -0.1% | -0.7% | -1.1% | -2.4% | -0.9% | -2.2% | -4.7% |
| FEDERALBNKFederal Bank Ltd. | -1.1% | -0.6% | +0.0% | -0.5% | -1.2% | -3.0% | -0.2% | -0.8% | +1.0% | +0.4% |
| ▼ Names to stay away from — move vs Nifty since the close; green while behind | ||||||||||
| TARILTransformers And Rectifiers (India) Ltd. | +4.5% | +8.7% | +7.7% | +5.6% | +21.3% | +19.4% | +21.5% | +19.4% | +16.6% | +15.5% |
| RELINFRAReliance Infrastructure Limited | +1.9% | +6.9% | +2.0% | -3.1% | -6.6% | -4.3% | -8.6% | -12.3%▼ | -15.5%▼ | -20.6%▼ |
| RPOWERReliance Power Ltd. | +2.5% | +5.2% | +2.6% | +1.9% | +2.9% | +2.7% | +0.4% | +0.1% | -1.6% | -3.0% |
| VPRPLVishnu Prakash R Punglia Limited | +2.6% | +7.5% | +5.1% | +3.0% | +10.7% | +14.6% | +10.1% | +8.7% | +3.8% | -2.2% |
| REFEXRefex Industries Limited | +1.5% | +5.2% | +3.8% | +1.4% | +6.1% | +11.6% | +9.9% | +7.9% | +4.3% | +4.0% |
| Look at, ahead of Nifty | 1/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 0/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 |
| … on the record | 49% | 49% | 48% | 47% | 47% | 47% | 48% | 48% | 48% | 48% |
| Stay away, behind Nifty | 0/5 | 0/5 | 0/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 |
| … on the record | 58% | 57% | 58% | 58% | 58% | 59% | 59% | 59% | 59% | 59% |
| Spread, look-at minus stay-away | -3.0% | -7.0% | -6.5% | -5.4% | -10.0% | -11.4% | -9.7% | -7.6% | -5.4% | -3.9% |
| … on the record | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Each cell is the name's move from the close of 2 Feb minus Nifty's over the same sessions, at that session's close. A ▲ or ▼ marks the first session by which the card's upside or downside reference had printed. The on the record rows are what every past call has done at that point — 1,860 calls a side — so a day can be read against what usually happens, not just against zero. Sessions are the name's own; a name that did not trade on a day is measured on the sessions it did.
The whole field · top 50 and bottom 50
| Rank | Company | Score | Chance | Close | Move, six months | vs Nifty | vs sector | Range | After results | Delivery | 10 sessions on | vs Nifty |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 look at | RATEGAINRategain Travel Technologies Limited | 92.9 | 50% | ₹638.20 | +47.5% | +45.4% | — | 72% | +13.1% | +3.9 pp | -15.6% | -17.9% |
| 2 look at | MCXMulti Commodity Exchange of India Ltd. | 92.0 | 50% | ₹2,321.80 | +52.8% | +50.7% | +51.7% | 70% | — | +2.7 pp | +0.8% | -1.6% |
| 3 look at | AVLAditya Vision Limited | 90.9 | 50% | ₹507.80 | +29.7% | +27.5% | — | 57% | +7.4% | +10.6 pp | +0.5% | -1.9% |
| 4 look at | HEROMOTOCOHero MotoCorp Ltd. | 90.8 | 50% | ₹5,623.00 | +30.4% | +28.3% | +16.2% | 64% | +10.7% | +6.1 pp | -2.3% | -4.7% |
| 5 look at | FEDERALBNKFederal Bank Ltd. | 89.8 | 50% | ₹281.30 | +43.5% | +41.3% | +38.1% | 93% | +6.8% | -0.4 pp | +2.7% | +0.4% |
| 747 stay away | REFEXRefex Industries Limited | 4.7 | 55% | ₹219.51 | -47.4% | -49.6% | — | 0% | -8.8% | -12.3 pp | +6.4% | +4.0% |
| 748 stay away | VPRPLVishnu Prakash R Punglia Limited | 4.2 | 55% | ₹44.55 | -72.1% | -74.2% | — | 1% | -17.7% | -10.1 pp | +0.2% | -2.2% |
| 749 stay away | RPOWERReliance Power Ltd. | 3.0 | 55% | ₹26.82 | -46.5% | -48.6% | -45.7% | 0% | -10.7% | -12.8 pp | -0.6% | -3.0% |
| 750 stay away | RELINFRAReliance Infrastructure Limited | 2.9 | 55% | ₹120.98 | -61.2% | -63.3% | — | 0% | -11.1% | — | -18.2% | -20.6% |
| 751 stay away | TARILTransformers And Rectifiers (India) Ltd. | 1.9 | 55% | ₹229.58 | -55.4% | -57.6% | — | 0% | -16.6% | -19.1 pp | +17.8% | +15.5% |
Score ranks every name on six checks over six months, each placed from first to last across the field, then blended: the move and the move against Nifty 30% (on one day and one period they order the field the same way, so they count once), against the sector 20%, where the close sits between the period's high and low 20%, the move against Nifty in the ten sessions after each result in the period 15% (* its last result before the period when there was none), and delivery over the second half of the period against the first half 15%. A missing check's weight is shared among the rest. Chance is the historical rate at which names ranked in the same tenth on this period went the way that tenth leans — blank until a tenth has a hundred judged rows. Every call is judged ten sessions after the close against Nifty, whatever the period.