The daily read from the close of 3 Oct 2025
Computed on the morning of 4 Oct 2025 (simulated: computed after the fact, standing on that close with only what was known then): 787 names ranked. Judged ten sessions later: the names to look at averaged -6.0% vs Nifty (0 of 5 beat it), the names to stay away from averaged -2.2% (4 of 5 trailed it), the whole field -4.1%.
The read from the close of 3 Oct 2025 · Half year
Our calculation, not advice.
Follow in my book
rank 1 of 786
TFCILTD
Tourism Finance Corporation of India Limited
▲ Look at
95.8
score /100rank 1 of 786
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹73.96close 3 Oct
Upside reference₹80.25+8.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹69.26-6.4% · its typical 10-session fall
+108.9% over six months · +101.8% vs Nifty · 100% of its six-month range · after results +8.7% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -0.6% (-3.9% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 2 of 786
LUMAXTECH
Lumax Auto Technologies Limited
▲ Look at
93.4
score /100rank 2 of 786
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,302.60close 3 Oct
Upside reference₹1,387.23+6.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹1,247.29-4.2% · its typical 10-session fall
+135.7% over six months · +128.6% vs Nifty · 98% of its six-month range · after results +28.6% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -9.2% (-12.4% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 3 of 786
CCL
CCL Products (I) Ltd. · FMCG
▲ Look at
91.6
score /100rank 3 of 786
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹857.85close 3 Oct
Upside reference₹910.15+6.1% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹821.94-4.2% · its typical 10-session fall
+50.8% over six months · +43.7% vs Nifty · +48.2% vs its sector · 80% of its six-month range · after results +18.3% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -2.6% (-5.9% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 4 of 786
NAM-INDIA
Nippon Life India Asset Management Ltd. · FINANCIAL SERVICES
▲ Look at
91.0
score /100rank 4 of 786
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹887.10close 3 Oct
Upside reference₹934.58+5.4% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹842.55-5.0% · its typical 10-session fall
+51.9% over six months · +44.8% vs Nifty · +45.0% vs its sector · 100% of its six-month range · after results +5.3% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +3.0% (-0.3% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 5 of 786
GABRIEL
Gabriel India Ltd. · AUTO
▲ Look at
91.0
score /100rank 5 of 786
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,289.80close 3 Oct
Upside reference₹1,391.95+7.9% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹1,210.76-6.1% · its typical 10-session fall
+120.8% over six months · +113.7% vs Nifty · +94.4% vs its sector · 97% of its six-month range · after results +7.1% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -4.2% (-7.5% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 786 of 786
PGEL
PG Electroplast Ltd. · CONSUMER DURABLES
▼ Stay away
2.0
score /100rank 786 of 786
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹514.15close 3 Oct
Upside reference₹550.53+7.1% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹488.83-4.9% · its typical 10-session fall
-45.1% over six months · -52.2% vs Nifty · -50.8% vs its sector · 6% of its six-month range · after results -9.8% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +14.4% (+11.1% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 785 of 786
ORIENTCEM
Orient Cement Limited
▼ Stay away
3.5
score /100rank 785 of 786
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹224.72close 3 Oct
Upside reference₹230.79+2.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹219.73-2.2% · its typical 10-session fall
-36.0% over six months · -43.1% vs Nifty · 5% of its six-month range · after results -7.0% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -4.6% (-7.8% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 784 of 786
RAYMOND
Raymond Limited
▼ Stay away
3.9
score /100rank 784 of 786
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹588.30close 3 Oct
Upside reference₹618.09+5.1% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹553.48-5.9% · its typical 10-session fall
-60.8% over six months · -67.8% vs Nifty · 4% of its six-month range · after results -32.0% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -2.0% (-5.3% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 783 of 786
ANUP
The Anup Engineering Limited
▼ Stay away
7.7
score /100rank 783 of 786
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹2,325.30close 3 Oct
Upside reference₹2,445.45+5.2% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹2,198.52-5.5% · its typical 10-session fall
-32.0% over six months · -39.1% vs Nifty · 9% of its six-month range · after results -10.6% vs Nifty (avg of 2)
10 sessions on: +2.5% (-0.7% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 782 of 786
REFEX
Refex Industries Limited
▼ Stay away
8.3
score /100rank 782 of 786
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹365.40close 3 Oct
Upside reference₹391.08+7.0% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹347.85-4.8% · its typical 10-session fall
-12.2% over six months · -19.3% vs Nifty · 15% of its six-month range · after results -15.2% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -5.0% (-8.3% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Session by session · the full window
| Name | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 | T+4 | T+5 | T+6 | T+7 | T+8 | T+9 | T+10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ Names to look at — move vs Nifty since the close; green while ahead | ||||||||||
| TFCILTDTourism Finance Corporation of India Limited | +1.7% | +0.9% | +0.9% | -1.0% | -1.7% | -2.0% | -1.8% | -1.3% | -2.8% | -3.9% |
| LUMAXTECHLumax Auto Technologies Limited | -3.6% | -4.2% | -5.9% | -9.7% | -12.3% | -10.8% | -13.5% | -12.0% | -11.6% | -12.4% |
| CCLCCL Products (I) Ltd. | -2.2% | -1.5% | -3.1% | -4.3% | -4.9% | -4.7% | -3.9% | -4.5% | -4.4% | -5.9% |
| NAM-INDIANippon Life India Asset Management Ltd. | -2.5% | -2.2% | -3.6% | -4.5% | -3.3% | -1.6% | -1.8% | -0.4% | -2.8% | -0.3% |
| GABRIELGabriel India Ltd. | -1.6% | +0.9% | +1.4% | -1.1% | -3.0% | -4.5% | -6.5% | -1.4% | -4.6% | -7.5% |
| ▼ Names to stay away from — move vs Nifty since the close; green while behind | ||||||||||
| PGELPG Electroplast Ltd. | -0.1% | +0.5% | -0.5% | +6.4% | +12.4% | +12.2% | +9.7% | +9.4% | +7.9% | +11.1% |
| ORIENTCEMOrient Cement Limited | -1.6% | -1.2% | -2.2% | -2.6% | -3.1% | -3.7%▼ | -5.4%▼ | -5.8%▼ | -7.0%▼ | -7.8%▼ |
| RAYMONDRaymond Limited | -1.9% | -1.7% | -2.5% | -3.0% | -3.1% | -3.9% | -4.1% | -3.3% | -3.3% | -5.3% |
| ANUPThe Anup Engineering Limited | +6.5% | +5.8% | +1.8% | +1.8% | +1.6% | -0.3% | -1.6% | -1.4% | -0.3% | -0.7% |
| REFEXRefex Industries Limited | -1.8% | +0.3% | -1.2% | -3.1% | -3.9% | -3.4% | -2.6% | -4.7% | -6.1% | -8.3%▼ |
| Look at, ahead of Nifty | 1/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 0/5 | 0/5 | 0/5 | 0/5 | 0/5 | 0/5 | 0/5 |
| … on the record | 49% | 49% | 48% | 47% | 47% | 47% | 48% | 48% | 48% | 48% |
| Stay away, behind Nifty | 4/5 | 2/5 | 4/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 |
| … on the record | 58% | 57% | 58% | 58% | 58% | 59% | 59% | 58% | 59% | 59% |
| Spread, look-at minus stay-away | -1.8% | -2.0% | -1.1% | -4.1% | -5.8% | -4.9% | -4.7% | -2.8% | -3.5% | -3.8% |
| … on the record | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Each cell is the name's move from the close of 3 Oct minus Nifty's over the same sessions, at that session's close. A ▲ or ▼ marks the first session by which the card's upside or downside reference had printed. The on the record rows are what every past call has done at that point — 1,865 calls a side — so a day can be read against what usually happens, not just against zero. Sessions are the name's own; a name that did not trade on a day is measured on the sessions it did.
The whole field · top 50 and bottom 50
| Rank | Company | Score | Chance | Close | Move, six months | vs Nifty | vs sector | Range | After results | Delivery | 10 sessions on | vs Nifty |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 look at | TFCILTDTourism Finance Corporation of India Limited | 95.8 | 50% | ₹73.96 | +108.9% | +101.8% | — | 100% | +8.7% | +8.9 pp | -0.6% | -3.9% |
| 2 look at | LUMAXTECHLumax Auto Technologies Limited | 93.4 | 50% | ₹1,302.60 | +135.7% | +128.6% | — | 98% | +28.6% | +5.2 pp | -9.2% | -12.4% |
| 3 look at | CCLCCL Products (I) Ltd. | 91.6 | 50% | ₹857.85 | +50.8% | +43.7% | +48.2% | 80% | +18.3% | +10.9 pp | -2.6% | -5.9% |
| 4 look at | NAM-INDIANippon Life India Asset Management Ltd. | 91.0 | 50% | ₹887.10 | +51.9% | +44.8% | +45.0% | 100% | +5.3% | +6.9 pp | +3.0% | -0.3% |
| 5 look at | GABRIELGabriel India Ltd. | 91.0 | 50% | ₹1,289.80 | +120.8% | +113.7% | +94.4% | 97% | +7.1% | +4.1 pp | -4.2% | -7.5% |
| 782 stay away | REFEXRefex Industries Limited | 8.3 | 55% | ₹365.40 | -12.2% | -19.3% | — | 15% | -15.2% | -6.7 pp | -5.0% | -8.3% |
| 783 stay away | ANUPThe Anup Engineering Limited | 7.7 | 55% | ₹2,325.30 | -32.0% | -39.1% | — | 9% | -10.6% | -0.9 pp | +2.5% | -0.7% |
| 784 stay away | RAYMONDRaymond Limited | 3.9 | 55% | ₹588.30 | -60.8% | -67.8% | — | 4% | -32.0% | -2.8 pp | -2.0% | -5.3% |
| 785 stay away | ORIENTCEMOrient Cement Limited | 3.5 | 55% | ₹224.72 | -36.0% | -43.1% | — | 5% | -7.0% | -12.4 pp | -4.6% | -7.8% |
| 786 stay away | PGELPG Electroplast Ltd. | 2.0 | 55% | ₹514.15 | -45.1% | -52.2% | -50.8% | 6% | -9.8% | -13.5 pp | +14.4% | +11.1% |
Score ranks every name on six checks over six months, each placed from first to last across the field, then blended: the move and the move against Nifty 30% (on one day and one period they order the field the same way, so they count once), against the sector 20%, where the close sits between the period's high and low 20%, the move against Nifty in the ten sessions after each result in the period 15% (* its last result before the period when there was none), and delivery over the second half of the period against the first half 15%. A missing check's weight is shared among the rest. Chance is the historical rate at which names ranked in the same tenth on this period went the way that tenth leans — blank until a tenth has a hundred judged rows. Every call is judged ten sessions after the close against Nifty, whatever the period.