The daily read from the close of 1 Oct 2025
Computed on the morning of 2 Oct 2025 (simulated: computed after the fact, standing on that close with only what was known then): 786 names ranked. Judged ten sessions later: the names to look at averaged -4.5% vs Nifty (0 of 5 beat it), the names to stay away from averaged -1.4% (4 of 5 trailed it), the whole field -3.0%.
The read from the close of 1 Oct 2025 · Half year
Our calculation, not advice.
Follow in my book
rank 1 of 785
TFCILTD
Tourism Finance Corporation of India Limited
▲ Look at
96.2
score /100rank 1 of 785
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹73.64close 1 Oct
Upside reference₹79.96+8.6% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹68.77-6.6% · its typical 10-session fall
+112.0% over six months · +104.8% vs Nifty · 100% of its six-month range · after results +8.7% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +0.4% (-2.6% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 2 of 785
LUMAXTECH
Lumax Auto Technologies Limited
▲ Look at
94.0
score /100rank 2 of 785
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,318.10close 1 Oct
Upside reference₹1,403.35+6.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹1,262.41-4.2% · its typical 10-session fall
+142.5% over six months · +135.3% vs Nifty · 100% of its six-month range · after results +28.6% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -9.9% (-12.9% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 3 of 785
CCL
CCL Products (I) Ltd. · FMCG
▲ Look at
92.0
score /100rank 3 of 785
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹853.65close 1 Oct
Upside reference₹905.70+6.1% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹817.92-4.2% · its typical 10-session fall
+51.8% over six months · +44.6% vs Nifty · +48.0% vs its sector · 79% of its six-month range · after results +18.3% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -1.2% (-4.2% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 4 of 785
NAM-INDIA
Nippon Life India Asset Management Ltd. · FINANCIAL SERVICES
▲ Look at
91.2
score /100rank 4 of 785
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹876.10close 1 Oct
Upside reference₹922.42+5.3% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹833.09-4.9% · its typical 10-session fall
+53.9% over six months · +46.7% vs Nifty · +46.4% vs its sector · 100% of its six-month range · after results +5.3% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +1.3% (-1.7% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 5 of 785
GABRIEL
Gabriel India Ltd. · AUTO
▲ Look at
90.2
score /100rank 5 of 785
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,241.10close 1 Oct
Upside reference₹1,342.20+8.1% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹1,165.41-6.1% · its typical 10-session fall
+109.5% over six months · +102.3% vs Nifty · +83.5% vs its sector · 91% of its six-month range · after results +7.1% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +2.0% (-1.0% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 785 of 785
PGEL
PG Electroplast Ltd. · CONSUMER DURABLES
▼ Stay away
2.1
score /100rank 785 of 785
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹510.85close 1 Oct
Upside reference₹546.20+6.9% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹485.85-4.9% · its typical 10-session fall
-43.3% over six months · -50.6% vs Nifty · -50.9% vs its sector · 5% of its six-month range · after results -9.8% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +11.4% (+8.3% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 784 of 785
ORIENTCEM
Orient Cement Limited
▼ Stay away
3.8
score /100rank 784 of 785
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹223.03close 1 Oct
Upside reference₹229.06+2.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹218.04-2.2% · its typical 10-session fall
-34.6% over six months · -41.8% vs Nifty · 4% of its six-month range · after results -7.0% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -3.5% (-6.5% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 783 of 785
RAYMOND
Raymond Limited
▼ Stay away
4.0
score /100rank 783 of 785
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹582.55close 1 Oct
Upside reference₹612.04+5.1% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹548.07-5.9% · its typical 10-session fall
-57.6% over six months · -64.8% vs Nifty · 3% of its six-month range · after results -32.0% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +0.5% (-2.6% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 782 of 785
ANUP
The Anup Engineering Limited
▼ Stay away
8.0
score /100rank 782 of 785
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹2,323.20close 1 Oct
Upside reference₹2,443.24+5.2% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹2,196.54-5.5% · its typical 10-session fall
-31.5% over six months · -38.7% vs Nifty · 9% of its six-month range · after results -10.6% vs Nifty (avg of 2)
10 sessions on: +2.6% (-0.4% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 781 of 785
JAIBALAJI
Jai Balaji Industries Limited
▼ Stay away
8.1
score /100rank 781 of 785
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹98.42close 1 Oct
Upside reference₹103.19+4.8% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹93.00-5.5% · its typical 10-session fall
-29.7% over six months · -36.9% vs Nifty · 9% of its six-month range · after results -7.1% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -2.8% (-5.9% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Session by session · the full window
| Name | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 | T+4 | T+5 | T+6 | T+7 | T+8 | T+9 | T+10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ Names to look at — move vs Nifty since the close; green while ahead | ||||||||||
| TFCILTDTourism Finance Corporation of India Limited | +0.2% | +1.9% | +1.1% | +1.2% | -0.8% | -1.5% | -1.8% | -1.6% | -1.1% | -2.6% |
| LUMAXTECHLumax Auto Technologies Limited | -1.4% | -5.0% | -5.6% | -7.2% | -11.0% | -13.6% | -12.1% | -14.8% | -13.3% | -12.9% |
| CCLCCL Products (I) Ltd. | +0.3% | -1.9% | -1.3% | -2.9% | -4.1% | -4.6% | -4.4% | -3.7% | -4.3% | -4.2% |
| NAM-INDIANippon Life India Asset Management Ltd. | +1.0% | -1.5% | -1.2% | -2.6% | -3.5% | -2.3% | -0.6% | -0.8% | +0.6% | -1.7% |
| GABRIELGabriel India Ltd. | +3.7% | +2.1% | +4.6% | +5.2% | +2.6% | +0.6% | -0.9% | -3.1% | +2.3% | -1.0% |
| ▼ Names to stay away from — move vs Nifty since the close; green while behind | ||||||||||
| PGELPG Electroplast Ltd. | +0.4% | +0.3% | +0.9% | -0.1% | +6.9% | +12.9% | +12.7% | +10.1% | +9.9% | +8.3% |
| ORIENTCEMOrient Cement Limited | +0.5% | -1.1% | -0.7% | -1.7% | -2.0% | -2.6% | -3.2% | -4.9%▼ | -5.3%▼ | -6.5%▼ |
| RAYMONDRaymond Limited | +0.8% | -1.2% | -1.0% | -1.7% | -2.3% | -2.3% | -3.2% | -3.4% | -2.6% | -2.6% |
| ANUPThe Anup Engineering Limited | -0.1% | +6.3% | +5.7% | +1.7% | +1.7% | +1.4% | -0.5% | -1.8% | -1.5% | -0.4% |
| JAIBALAJIJai Balaji Industries Limited | +1.7% | -0.6% | -0.6% | -1.4% | -1.8% | -2.2% | -4.0% | -5.8% | -4.3% | -5.9% |
| Look at, ahead of Nifty | 4/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 0/5 | 0/5 | 2/5 | 0/5 |
| … on the record | 49% | 49% | 48% | 47% | 47% | 47% | 48% | 48% | 48% | 48% |
| Stay away, behind Nifty | 1/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 4/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 |
| … on the record | 58% | 57% | 58% | 58% | 58% | 59% | 59% | 58% | 59% | 59% |
| Spread, look-at minus stay-away | +0.1% | -1.6% | -1.3% | -0.6% | -3.9% | -5.7% | -4.3% | -3.6% | -2.4% | -3.1% |
| … on the record | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Each cell is the name's move from the close of 1 Oct minus Nifty's over the same sessions, at that session's close. A ▲ or ▼ marks the first session by which the card's upside or downside reference had printed. The on the record rows are what every past call has done at that point — 1,865 calls a side — so a day can be read against what usually happens, not just against zero. Sessions are the name's own; a name that did not trade on a day is measured on the sessions it did.
The whole field · top 50 and bottom 50
| Rank | Company | Score | Chance | Close | Move, six months | vs Nifty | vs sector | Range | After results | Delivery | 10 sessions on | vs Nifty |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 look at | TFCILTDTourism Finance Corporation of India Limited | 96.2 | 50% | ₹73.64 | +112.0% | +104.8% | — | 100% | +8.7% | +9.4 pp | +0.4% | -2.6% |
| 2 look at | LUMAXTECHLumax Auto Technologies Limited | 94.0 | 50% | ₹1,318.10 | +142.5% | +135.3% | — | 100% | +28.6% | +5.1 pp | -9.9% | -12.9% |
| 3 look at | CCLCCL Products (I) Ltd. | 92.0 | 50% | ₹853.65 | +51.8% | +44.6% | +48.0% | 79% | +18.3% | +10.6 pp | -1.2% | -4.2% |
| 4 look at | NAM-INDIANippon Life India Asset Management Ltd. | 91.2 | 50% | ₹876.10 | +53.9% | +46.7% | +46.4% | 100% | +5.3% | +6.6 pp | +1.3% | -1.7% |
| 5 look at | GABRIELGabriel India Ltd. | 90.2 | 50% | ₹1,241.10 | +109.5% | +102.3% | +83.5% | 91% | +7.1% | +3.7 pp | +2.0% | -1.0% |
| 781 stay away | JAIBALAJIJai Balaji Industries Limited | 8.1 | 55% | ₹98.42 | -29.7% | -36.9% | — | 9% | -7.1% | -2.3 pp | -2.8% | -5.9% |
| 782 stay away | ANUPThe Anup Engineering Limited | 8.0 | 55% | ₹2,323.20 | -31.5% | -38.7% | — | 9% | -10.6% | -0.9 pp | +2.6% | -0.4% |
| 783 stay away | RAYMONDRaymond Limited | 4.0 | 55% | ₹582.55 | -57.6% | -64.8% | — | 3% | -32.0% | -2.8 pp | +0.5% | -2.6% |
| 784 stay away | ORIENTCEMOrient Cement Limited | 3.8 | 55% | ₹223.03 | -34.6% | -41.8% | — | 4% | -7.0% | -12.8 pp | -3.5% | -6.5% |
| 785 stay away | PGELPG Electroplast Ltd. | 2.1 | 55% | ₹510.85 | -43.3% | -50.6% | -50.9% | 5% | -9.8% | -13.3 pp | +11.4% | +8.3% |
Score ranks every name on six checks over six months, each placed from first to last across the field, then blended: the move and the move against Nifty 30% (on one day and one period they order the field the same way, so they count once), against the sector 20%, where the close sits between the period's high and low 20%, the move against Nifty in the ten sessions after each result in the period 15% (* its last result before the period when there was none), and delivery over the second half of the period against the first half 15%. A missing check's weight is shared among the rest. Chance is the historical rate at which names ranked in the same tenth on this period went the way that tenth leans — blank until a tenth has a hundred judged rows. Every call is judged ten sessions after the close against Nifty, whatever the period.