The daily read from the close of 1 Oct 2025
Computed on the morning of 2 Oct 2025 (simulated: computed after the fact, standing on that close with only what was known then): 786 names ranked. Judged ten sessions later: the names to look at averaged -4.2% vs Nifty (1 of 5 beat it), the names to stay away from averaged -1.7% (4 of 5 trailed it), the whole field -2.9%.
The read from the close of 1 Oct 2025 · Month
Our calculation, not advice.
Follow in my book
rank 1 of 786
TFCILTD
Tourism Finance Corporation of India Limited
▲ Look at
93.8
score /100rank 1 of 786
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹73.64close 1 Oct
Upside reference₹79.96+8.6% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹68.77-6.6% · its typical 10-session fall
+22.3% over the month · +20.6% vs Nifty · 100% of its month range · after results +12.2% vs Nifty (last result, before the month) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +0.4% (-2.6% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 2 of 786
FUSION
Fusion Finance Limited
▲ Look at
92.1
score /100rank 2 of 786
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹193.67close 1 Oct
Upside reference₹206.37+6.6% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹179.35-7.4% · its typical 10-session fall
+13.6% over the month · +11.9% vs Nifty · 100% of its month range · after results +12.5% vs Nifty (last result, before the month) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -6.4% (-9.4% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 3 of 786
JAYNECOIND
Jayaswal Neco Industries Limited
▲ Look at
89.0
score /100rank 3 of 786
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹69.18close 1 Oct
Upside reference₹74.30+7.4% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹65.77-4.9% · its typical 10-session fall
+19.8% over the month · +18.1% vs Nifty · 71% of its month range · after results +30.3% vs Nifty (last result, before the month) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +2.7% (-0.3% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 4 of 786
GRANULES
Granules India Ltd. · HEALTHCARE INDEX
▲ Look at
88.5
score /100rank 4 of 786
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹542.65close 1 Oct
Upside reference₹561.32+3.4% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹518.21-4.5% · its typical 10-session fall
+10.2% over the month · +8.6% vs Nifty · +10.5% vs its sector · 94% of its month range · after results +8.4% vs Nifty (last result, before the month) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +5.1% (+2.0% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 5 of 786
NSLNISP
NMDC Steel Ltd. · METAL
▲ Look at
88.1
score /100rank 5 of 786
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹47.32close 1 Oct
Upside reference₹49.95+5.6% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹45.10-4.7% · its typical 10-session fall
+25.1% over the month · +23.4% vs Nifty · +14.9% vs its sector · 100% of its month range · after results +5.7% vs Nifty (last result, before the month)
10 sessions on: -7.8% (-10.8% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 786 of 786
RELINFRA
Reliance Infrastructure Limited
▼ Stay away
6.2
score /100rank 786 of 786
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹243.61close 1 Oct
Upside reference₹259.89+6.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹224.76-7.7% · its typical 10-session fall
-8.1% over the month · -9.8% vs Nifty · 3% of its month range · after results -18.6% vs Nifty (last result, before the month)
10 sessions on: -5.6% (-8.6% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 785 of 786
MEDPLUS
Medplus Health Services Limited
▼ Stay away
7.5
score /100rank 785 of 786
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹741.80close 1 Oct
Upside reference₹772.15+4.1% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹712.98-3.9% · its typical 10-session fall
-11.9% over the month · -13.6% vs Nifty · 0% of its month range · after results -10.5% vs Nifty (last result, before the month) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +2.4% (-0.6% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 784 of 786
CRISIL
CRISIL Ltd. · FINANCIAL SERVICES
▼ Stay away
8.7
score /100rank 784 of 786
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹4,451.40close 1 Oct
Upside reference₹4,684.16+5.2% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹4,253.13-4.5% · its typical 10-session fall
-10.7% over the month · -12.4% vs Nifty · -13.9% vs its sector · 2% of its month range · after results -6.3% vs Nifty (last result, before the month) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +6.3% (+3.3% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 783 of 786
GMMPFAUDLR
GMM Pfaudler Limited
▼ Stay away
10.3
score /100rank 783 of 786
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,053.10close 1 Oct
Upside reference₹1,091.35+3.6% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹1,011.53-3.9% · its typical 10-session fall
-10.6% over the month · -12.3% vs Nifty · 4% of its month range · after results -7.3% vs Nifty (last result, before the month) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +1.3% (-1.7% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 782 of 786
AURIONPRO
Aurionpro Solutions Limited
▼ Stay away
11.1
score /100rank 782 of 786
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,150.20close 1 Oct
Upside reference₹1,206.79+4.9% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹1,082.46-5.9% · its typical 10-session fall
-13.2% over the month · -14.9% vs Nifty · 6% of its month range · after results -4.6% vs Nifty (last result, before the month) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +2.4% (-0.7% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Session by session · the full window
| Name | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 | T+4 | T+5 | T+6 | T+7 | T+8 | T+9 | T+10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ Names to look at — move vs Nifty since the close; green while ahead | ||||||||||
| TFCILTDTourism Finance Corporation of India Limited | +0.2% | +1.9% | +1.1% | +1.2% | -0.8% | -1.5% | -1.8% | -1.6% | -1.1% | -2.6% |
| FUSIONFusion Finance Limited | -0.5% | -2.9% | -1.4% | -0.7% | -1.9% | -1.8% | -1.9% | -2.1% | -4.0% | -9.4% |
| JAYNECOINDJayaswal Neco Industries Limited | +4.0% | +3.6% | +6.2% | +2.1% | +3.3% | +0.1% | +2.3% | +2.5% | +1.9% | -0.3% |
| GRANULESGranules India Ltd. | +2.5% | +0.9% | +1.3% | +0.3% | +2.9%▲ | +3.0%▲ | +2.4%▲ | +3.8%▲ | +2.9%▲ | +2.0%▲ |
| NSLNISPNMDC Steel Ltd. | -0.5% | -4.4% | -5.3% | -5.9% | -3.5% | -6.9% | -8.1% | -9.2% | -9.4% | -10.8% |
| ▼ Names to stay away from — move vs Nifty since the close; green while behind | ||||||||||
| RELINFRAReliance Infrastructure Limited | +2.2% | -0.9% | -4.6% | -5.4% | -6.8% | -2.5% | -4.3% | -8.7% | -7.9% | -8.6% |
| MEDPLUSMedplus Health Services Limited | +0.4% | +0.8% | -0.0% | +2.0% | +3.7% | +3.9% | +3.3% | +2.6% | +0.1% | -0.6% |
| CRISILCRISIL Ltd. | +3.3% | +2.1% | +4.8% | +3.2% | +2.5% | +3.4% | +1.2% | +1.9% | +4.3% | +3.3% |
| GMMPFAUDLRGMM Pfaudler Limited | -1.0% | -4.1% | -0.9% | +2.6% | -1.9% | -1.2% | -0.4% | -2.5% | -0.8% | -1.7% |
| AURIONPROAurionpro Solutions Limited | -1.4% | -1.0% | -5.0% | -6.1% | -5.2% | -4.8% | +2.3% | +3.2% | +0.2% | -0.7% |
| Look at, ahead of Nifty | 3/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 1/5 |
| … on the record | 50% | 49% | 50% | 51% | 52% | 53% | 53% | 52% | 53% | 53% |
| Stay away, behind Nifty | 2/5 | 3/5 | 4/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 4/5 |
| … on the record | 55% | 55% | 55% | 54% | 54% | 55% | 55% | 54% | 53% | 53% |
| Spread, look-at minus stay-away | +0.4% | +0.4% | +1.5% | +0.1% | +1.6% | -1.2% | -1.9% | -0.6% | -1.1% | -2.5% |
| … on the record | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Each cell is the name's move from the close of 1 Oct minus Nifty's over the same sessions, at that session's close. A ▲ or ▼ marks the first session by which the card's upside or downside reference had printed. The on the record rows are what every past call has done at that point — 1,865 calls a side — so a day can be read against what usually happens, not just against zero. Sessions are the name's own; a name that did not trade on a day is measured on the sessions it did.
The whole field · top 50 and bottom 50
| Rank | Company | Score | Chance | Close | Move, the month | vs Nifty | vs sector | Range | After results | Delivery | 10 sessions on | vs Nifty |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 look at | TFCILTDTourism Finance Corporation of India Limited | 93.8 | 51% | ₹73.64 | +22.3% | +20.6% | — | 100% | +12.2%* | +6.1 pp | +0.4% | -2.6% |
| 2 look at | FUSIONFusion Finance Limited | 92.1 | 51% | ₹193.67 | +13.6% | +11.9% | — | 100% | +12.5%* | +7.1 pp | -6.4% | -9.4% |
| 3 look at | JAYNECOINDJayaswal Neco Industries Limited | 89.0 | 51% | ₹69.18 | +19.8% | +18.1% | — | 71% | +30.3%* | +5.6 pp | +2.7% | -0.3% |
| 4 look at | GRANULESGranules India Ltd. | 88.5 | 51% | ₹542.65 | +10.2% | +8.6% | +10.5% | 94% | +8.4%* | +7.3 pp | +5.1% | +2.0% |
| 5 look at | NSLNISPNMDC Steel Ltd. | 88.1 | 51% | ₹47.32 | +25.1% | +23.4% | +14.9% | 100% | +5.7%* | +1.7 pp | -7.8% | -10.8% |
| 782 stay away | AURIONPROAurionpro Solutions Limited | 11.1 | 52% | ₹1,150.20 | -13.2% | -14.9% | — | 6% | -4.6%* | -7.6 pp | +2.4% | -0.7% |
| 783 stay away | GMMPFAUDLRGMM Pfaudler Limited | 10.3 | 52% | ₹1,053.10 | -10.6% | -12.3% | — | 4% | -7.3%* | -4.0 pp | +1.3% | -1.7% |
| 784 stay away | CRISILCRISIL Ltd. | 8.7 | 52% | ₹4,451.40 | -10.7% | -12.4% | -13.9% | 2% | -6.3%* | -4.4 pp | +6.3% | +3.3% |
| 785 stay away | MEDPLUSMedplus Health Services Limited | 7.5 | 52% | ₹741.80 | -11.9% | -13.6% | — | 0% | -10.5%* | -2.6 pp | +2.4% | -0.6% |
| 786 stay away | RELINFRAReliance Infrastructure Limited | 6.2 | 52% | ₹243.61 | -8.1% | -9.8% | — | 3% | -18.6%* | — | -5.6% | -8.6% |
Score ranks every name on six checks over the month (last month plus this month so far), each placed from first to last across the field, then blended: the move and the move against Nifty 30% (on one day and one period they order the field the same way, so they count once), against the sector 20%, where the close sits between the period's high and low 20%, the move against Nifty in the ten sessions after each result in the period 15% (* its last result before the period when there was none), and delivery over the second half of the period against the first half 15%. A missing check's weight is shared among the rest. Chance is the historical rate at which names ranked in the same tenth on this period went the way that tenth leans — blank until a tenth has a hundred judged rows. Every call is judged ten sessions after the close against Nifty, whatever the period.