The daily read from the close of 1 Oct 2025
Computed on the morning of 2 Oct 2025 (simulated: computed after the fact, standing on that close with only what was known then): 786 names ranked. Judged ten sessions later: the names to look at averaged +1.5% vs Nifty (4 of 5 beat it), the names to stay away from averaged -8.1% (5 of 5 trailed it), the whole field -3.3%.
The read from the close of 1 Oct 2025 · Quarter
Our calculation, not advice.
Follow in my book
rank 1 of 785
TFCILTD
Tourism Finance Corporation of India Limited
▲ Look at
95.2
score /100rank 1 of 785
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹73.64close 1 Oct
Upside reference₹79.96+8.6% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹68.77-6.6% · its typical 10-session fall
+56.7% over three months · +59.5% vs Nifty · 100% of its three-month range · after results +12.2% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +0.4% (-2.6% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 2 of 785
TVSMOTOR
TVS Motor Company Ltd. · AUTO
▲ Look at
94.3
score /100rank 2 of 785
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹3,457.80close 1 Oct
Upside reference₹3,613.30+4.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹3,357.49-2.9% · its typical 10-session fall
+497.5% over three months · +500.3% vs Nifty · +485.1% vs its sector · 96% of its three-month range · after results +14.5% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +3.4% (+0.4% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 3 of 785
AIIL
Authum Investment & Infrastructure Ltd. · FINANCIAL SERVICES
▲ Look at
93.2
score /100rank 3 of 785
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹617.26close 1 Oct
Upside reference₹656.66+6.4% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹588.48-4.7% · its typical 10-session fall
+23.8% over three months · +26.6% vs Nifty · +26.6% vs its sector · 75% of its three-month range · after results +9.2% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +4.9% (+1.9% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 4 of 785
FORTIS
Fortis Healthcare Ltd. · INFRASTRUCTURE
▲ Look at
92.5
score /100rank 4 of 785
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹989.65close 1 Oct
Upside reference₹1,031.80+4.3% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹966.34-2.4% · its typical 10-session fall
+27.7% over three months · +30.5% vs Nifty · +32.3% vs its sector · 100% of its three-month range · after results +7.7% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +10.7% (+7.7% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 5 of 785
VSTTILLERS
V.S.T Tillers Tractors Limited
▲ Look at
92.3
score /100rank 5 of 785
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹5,259.00close 1 Oct
Upside reference₹5,528.37+5.1% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹5,060.16-3.8% · its typical 10-session fall
+42.0% over three months · +44.8% vs Nifty · 89% of its three-month range · after results +10.4% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +3.3% (+0.3% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 785 of 785
RELINFRA
Reliance Infrastructure Limited
▼ Stay away
1.8
score /100rank 785 of 785
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹243.61close 1 Oct
Upside reference₹259.89+6.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹224.76-7.7% · its typical 10-session fall
-40.1% over three months · -37.3% vs Nifty · 1% of its three-month range · after results -18.6% vs Nifty
10 sessions on: -5.6% (-8.6% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 784 of 785
VPRPL
Vishnu Prakash R Punglia Limited
▼ Stay away
7.1
score /100rank 784 of 785
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹96.63close 1 Oct
Upside reference₹103.19+6.8% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹89.10-7.8% · its typical 10-session fall
-42.0% over three months · -39.2% vs Nifty · 4% of its three-month range · after results -24.3% vs Nifty
10 sessions on: -4.6% (-7.6% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 783 of 785
RPOWER
Reliance Power Ltd. · ENERGY
▼ Stay away
7.4
score /100rank 783 of 785
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹45.70close 1 Oct
Upside reference₹49.37+8.0% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹42.40-7.2% · its typical 10-session fall
-34.4% over three months · -31.6% vs Nifty · -30.8% vs its sector · 13% of its three-month range · after results -24.7% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -1.4% (-4.4% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 782 of 785
HIKAL
Hikal Limited
▼ Stay away
7.6
score /100rank 782 of 785
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹255.00close 1 Oct
Upside reference₹264.44+3.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹240.95-5.5% · its typical 10-session fall
-26.3% over three months · -23.5% vs Nifty · 6% of its three-month range · after results -13.8% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -5.8% (-8.8% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 781 of 785
ZENTEC
Zen Technologies Ltd.
▼ Stay away
8.0
score /100rank 781 of 785
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,467.00close 1 Oct
Upside reference₹1,607.86+9.6% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹1,365.56-6.9% · its typical 10-session fall
-25.8% over three months · -23.1% vs Nifty · 11% of its three-month range · after results -18.6% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -8.0% (-11.0% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Session by session · the full window
| Name | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 | T+4 | T+5 | T+6 | T+7 | T+8 | T+9 | T+10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ Names to look at — move vs Nifty since the close; green while ahead | ||||||||||
| TFCILTDTourism Finance Corporation of India Limited | +0.2% | +1.9% | +1.1% | +1.2% | -0.8% | -1.5% | -1.8% | -1.6% | -1.1% | -2.6% |
| TVSMOTORTVS Motor Company Ltd. | -0.3% | +0.6% | +0.5% | -0.1% | -0.6% | -0.9% | -0.3% | +0.1% | +1.4% | +0.4% |
| AIILAuthum Investment & Infrastructure Ltd. | +3.2% | +2.9% | +4.2% | +5.8%▲ | +5.2%▲ | +5.1%▲ | +1.5%▲ | +0.3%▲ | +3.3%▲ | +1.9%▲ |
| FORTISFortis Healthcare Ltd. | -1.2% | +5.5%▲ | +4.2%▲ | +5.8%▲ | +6.6%▲ | +5.3%▲ | +9.1%▲ | +8.0%▲ | +7.9%▲ | +7.7%▲ |
| VSTTILLERSV.S.T Tillers Tractors Limited | +3.9% | +5.3%▲ | +5.1%▲ | +5.1%▲ | +3.9%▲ | +2.4%▲ | +2.5%▲ | +3.8%▲ | +2.1%▲ | +0.3%▲ |
| ▼ Names to stay away from — move vs Nifty since the close; green while behind | ||||||||||
| RELINFRAReliance Infrastructure Limited | +2.2% | -0.9% | -4.6% | -5.4% | -6.8% | -2.5% | -4.3% | -8.7% | -7.9% | -8.6% |
| VPRPLVishnu Prakash R Punglia Limited | -0.7% | -4.7% | -5.9% | -8.0% | -9.5%▼ | -0.8%▼ | +0.4%▼ | -4.3%▼ | -6.2%▼ | -7.6%▼ |
| RPOWERReliance Power Ltd. | +1.5% | -1.7% | -3.6% | -2.8% | -4.1% | +4.5% | -0.4% | -2.6% | -3.7% | -4.4% |
| HIKALHikal Limited | -0.6% | -1.7% | -3.0% | -2.6% | -4.5% | -4.5% | -7.5%▼ | -7.8%▼ | -7.1%▼ | -8.8%▼ |
| ZENTECZen Technologies Ltd. | +1.2% | -1.7% | -3.2% | -3.8% | -5.0% | -5.1% | -6.6% | -8.4%▼ | -8.8%▼ | -11.0%▼ |
| Look at, ahead of Nifty | 3/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 4/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 |
| … on the record | 49% | 50% | 52% | 52% | 52% | 51% | 51% | 51% | 50% | 50% |
| Stay away, behind Nifty | 2/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 |
| … on the record | 55% | 55% | 54% | 54% | 55% | 55% | 54% | 54% | 55% | 54% |
| Spread, look-at minus stay-away | +0.5% | +5.4% | +7.1% | +8.1% | +8.9% | +3.8% | +5.9% | +8.5% | +9.5% | +9.6% |
| … on the record | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Each cell is the name's move from the close of 1 Oct minus Nifty's over the same sessions, at that session's close. A ▲ or ▼ marks the first session by which the card's upside or downside reference had printed. The on the record rows are what every past call has done at that point — 1,865 calls a side — so a day can be read against what usually happens, not just against zero. Sessions are the name's own; a name that did not trade on a day is measured on the sessions it did.
The whole field · top 50 and bottom 50
| Rank | Company | Score | Chance | Close | Move, three months | vs Nifty | vs sector | Range | After results | Delivery | 10 sessions on | vs Nifty |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 look at | TFCILTDTourism Finance Corporation of India Limited | 95.2 | 51% | ₹73.64 | +56.7% | +59.5% | — | 100% | +12.2% | +7.2 pp | +0.4% | -2.6% |
| 2 look at | TVSMOTORTVS Motor Company Ltd. | 94.3 | 51% | ₹3,457.80 | +497.5% | +500.3% | +485.1% | 96% | +14.5% | +5.0 pp | +3.4% | +0.4% |
| 3 look at | AIILAuthum Investment & Infrastructure Ltd. | 93.2 | 51% | ₹617.26 | +23.8% | +26.6% | +26.6% | 75% | +9.2% | +18.4 pp | +4.9% | +1.9% |
| 4 look at | FORTISFortis Healthcare Ltd. | 92.5 | 51% | ₹989.65 | +27.7% | +30.5% | +32.3% | 100% | +7.7% | +5.9 pp | +10.7% | +7.7% |
| 5 look at | VSTTILLERSV.S.T Tillers Tractors Limited | 92.3 | 51% | ₹5,259.00 | +42.0% | +44.8% | — | 89% | +10.4% | +6.4 pp | +3.3% | +0.3% |
| 781 stay away | ZENTECZen Technologies Ltd. | 8.0 | 52% | ₹1,467.00 | -25.8% | -23.1% | — | 11% | -18.6% | -6.9 pp | -8.0% | -11.0% |
| 782 stay away | HIKALHikal Limited | 7.6 | 52% | ₹255.00 | -26.3% | -23.5% | — | 6% | -13.8% | -3.3 pp | -5.8% | -8.8% |
| 783 stay away | RPOWERReliance Power Ltd. | 7.4 | 52% | ₹45.70 | -34.4% | -31.6% | -30.8% | 13% | -24.7% | -3.6 pp | -1.4% | -4.4% |
| 784 stay away | VPRPLVishnu Prakash R Punglia Limited | 7.1 | 52% | ₹96.63 | -42.0% | -39.2% | — | 4% | -24.3% | -1.6 pp | -4.6% | -7.6% |
| 785 stay away | RELINFRAReliance Infrastructure Limited | 1.8 | 52% | ₹243.61 | -40.1% | -37.3% | — | 1% | -18.6% | — | -5.6% | -8.6% |
Score ranks every name on six checks over three months, each placed from first to last across the field, then blended: the move and the move against Nifty 30% (on one day and one period they order the field the same way, so they count once), against the sector 20%, where the close sits between the period's high and low 20%, the move against Nifty in the ten sessions after each result in the period 15% (* its last result before the period when there was none), and delivery over the second half of the period against the first half 15%. A missing check's weight is shared among the rest. Chance is the historical rate at which names ranked in the same tenth on this period went the way that tenth leans — blank until a tenth has a hundred judged rows. Every call is judged ten sessions after the close against Nifty, whatever the period.