The daily read from the close of 30 Sep 2025
Computed on the morning of 1 Oct 2025 (simulated: computed after the fact, standing on that close with only what was known then): 784 names ranked. Judged ten sessions later: the names to look at averaged -2.1% vs Nifty (1 of 5 beat it), the names to stay away from averaged +4.8% (3 of 5 trailed it), the whole field +1.3%.
The read from the close of 30 Sep 2025 · Half year
Our calculation, not advice.
Follow in my book
rank 1 of 783
TFCILTD
Tourism Finance Corporation of India Limited
▲ Look at
96.3
score /100rank 1 of 783
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹73.35close 30 Sep
Upside reference₹79.69+8.6% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹68.32-6.9% · its typical 10-session fall
+115.9% over six months · +111.3% vs Nifty · 100% of its six-month range · after results +8.7% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +1.3% (-1.6% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 2 of 783
LUMAXTECH
Lumax Auto Technologies Limited
▲ Look at
94.0
score /100rank 2 of 783
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,249.80close 30 Sep
Upside reference₹1,330.64+6.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹1,196.00-4.2% · its typical 10-session fall
+131.5% over six months · +126.8% vs Nifty · 91% of its six-month range · after results +28.6% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -6.5% (-9.4% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 3 of 783
DELHIVERY
Delhivery Ltd.
▲ Look at
93.2
score /100rank 3 of 783
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹450.05close 30 Sep
Upside reference₹474.97+5.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹430.54-4.3% · its typical 10-session fall
+76.4% over six months · +71.8% vs Nifty · 86% of its six-month range · after results +11.8% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +2.4% (-0.5% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 4 of 783
CCL
CCL Products (I) Ltd. · FMCG
▲ Look at
92.5
score /100rank 4 of 783
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹845.25close 30 Sep
Upside reference₹896.78+6.1% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹809.87-4.2% · its typical 10-session fall
+52.3% over six months · +47.7% vs Nifty · +50.2% vs its sector · 77% of its six-month range · after results +18.3% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -1.3% (-4.2% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 5 of 783
RBLBANK
RBL Bank Ltd. · PRIVATE BANK
▲ Look at
91.0
score /100rank 5 of 783
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹277.25close 30 Sep
Upside reference₹290.62+4.8% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹266.60-3.8% · its typical 10-session fall
+59.8% over six months · +55.1% vs Nifty · +56.9% vs its sector · 100% of its six-month range · after results +5.0% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +8.0% (+5.1% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 783 of 783
PGEL
PG Electroplast Ltd. · CONSUMER DURABLES
▼ Stay away
2.4
score /100rank 783 of 783
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹502.30close 30 Sep
Upside reference₹537.84+7.1% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹477.94-4.8% · its typical 10-session fall
-45.2% over six months · -49.8% vs Nifty · -49.3% vs its sector · 3% of its six-month range · after results -9.8% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +13.7% (+10.8% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 782 of 783
ORIENTCEM
Orient Cement Limited
▼ Stay away
3.9
score /100rank 782 of 783
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹219.32close 30 Sep
Upside reference₹225.25+2.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹214.41-2.2% · its typical 10-session fall
-35.5% over six months · -40.1% vs Nifty · 2% of its six-month range · after results -7.0% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -1.7% (-4.6% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 781 of 783
RAYMOND
Raymond Limited
▼ Stay away
4.3
score /100rank 781 of 783
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹573.75close 30 Sep
Upside reference₹602.80+5.1% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹540.36-5.8% · its typical 10-session fall
-59.1% over six months · -63.7% vs Nifty · 2% of its six-month range · after results -32.0% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +0.9% (-2.0% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 780 of 783
JAIBALAJI
Jai Balaji Industries Limited
▼ Stay away
6.1
score /100rank 780 of 783
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹94.37close 30 Sep
Upside reference₹99.06+5.0% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹89.13-5.6% · its typical 10-session fall
-31.6% over six months · -36.2% vs Nifty · 0% of its six-month range · after results -7.1% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +1.9% (-1.0% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 779 of 783
SKYGOLD
SKY GOLD AND DIAMONDS LIMITED
▼ Stay away
8.1
score /100rank 779 of 783
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹263.25close 30 Sep
Upside reference₹283.93+7.9% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹241.56-8.2% · its typical 10-session fall
-18.1% over six months · -22.8% vs Nifty · 3% of its six-month range · after results -4.4% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +23.5% (+20.6% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Session by session · the full window
| Name | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 | T+4 | T+5 | T+6 | T+7 | T+8 | T+9 | T+10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ Names to look at — move vs Nifty since the close; green while ahead | ||||||||||
| TFCILTDTourism Finance Corporation of India Limited | -0.5% | -0.3% | +1.3% | +0.6% | +0.6% | -1.4% | -2.1% | -2.3% | -2.1% | -1.6% |
| LUMAXTECHLumax Auto Technologies Limited | +4.5% | +3.1% | -0.7% | -1.3% | -3.0% | -7.0% | -9.7% | -8.1% | -11.0% | -9.4% |
| DELHIVERYDelhivery Ltd. | -4.4% | -4.0% | +0.9% | +2.2% | +2.1% | +1.7% | +0.5% | +2.8% | +2.1% | -0.5% |
| CCLCCL Products (I) Ltd. | +0.1% | +0.3% | -1.9% | -1.2% | -2.8% | -4.0% | -4.6% | -4.4% | -3.6% | -4.2% |
| RBLBANKRBL Bank Ltd. | -1.7% | -1.6% | -2.5% | -3.4% | +1.6% | +1.1% | +2.4%▲ | +2.1%▲ | +3.0%▲ | +5.1%▲ |
| ▼ Names to stay away from — move vs Nifty since the close; green while behind | ||||||||||
| PGELPG Electroplast Ltd. | +0.8% | +1.2% | +1.1% | +1.8% | +0.7% | +7.8% | +13.9% | +13.7% | +11.1% | +10.8% |
| ORIENTCEMOrient Cement Limited | +0.8% | +1.3% | -0.4% | +0.1% | -1.0% | -1.3% | -1.8% | -2.5% | -4.2% | -4.6% |
| RAYMONDRaymond Limited | +0.6% | +1.4% | -0.6% | -0.4% | -1.1% | -1.7% | -1.7% | -2.6% | -2.8% | -2.0% |
| JAIBALAJIJai Balaji Industries Limited | +3.4% | +5.2% | +2.8% | +2.8% | +1.9% | +1.6% | +1.2% | -0.8% | -2.6% | -1.0% |
| SKYGOLDSKY GOLD AND DIAMONDS LIMITED | +4.2% | +6.9% | +5.4% | +10.9% | +17.2% | +25.7% | +27.4% | +25.8% | +21.1% | +20.6% |
| Look at, ahead of Nifty | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 1/5 |
| … on the record | 49% | 49% | 48% | 47% | 47% | 47% | 48% | 48% | 48% | 48% |
| Stay away, behind Nifty | 0/5 | 0/5 | 2/5 | 1/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 |
| … on the record | 58% | 57% | 58% | 58% | 58% | 59% | 59% | 58% | 59% | 59% |
| Spread, look-at minus stay-away | -2.3% | -3.7% | -2.2% | -3.7% | -3.8% | -8.4% | -10.5% | -8.7% | -6.9% | -6.9% |
| … on the record | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Each cell is the name's move from the close of 30 Sep minus Nifty's over the same sessions, at that session's close. A ▲ or ▼ marks the first session by which the card's upside or downside reference had printed. The on the record rows are what every past call has done at that point — 1,865 calls a side — so a day can be read against what usually happens, not just against zero. Sessions are the name's own; a name that did not trade on a day is measured on the sessions it did.
The whole field · every name
| Rank | Company | Score | Chance | Close | Move, six months | vs Nifty | vs sector | Range | After results | Delivery | 10 sessions on | vs Nifty |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 look at | TFCILTDTourism Finance Corporation of India Limited | 96.3 | 50% | ₹73.35 | +115.9% | +111.3% | — | 100% | +8.7% | +9.2 pp | +1.3% | -1.6% |
| 2 look at | LUMAXTECHLumax Auto Technologies Limited | 94.0 | 50% | ₹1,249.80 | +131.5% | +126.8% | — | 91% | +28.6% | +5.5 pp | -6.5% | -9.4% |
| 3 look at | DELHIVERYDelhivery Ltd. | 93.2 | 50% | ₹450.05 | +76.4% | +71.8% | — | 86% | +11.8% | +8.0 pp | +2.4% | -0.5% |
| 4 look at | CCLCCL Products (I) Ltd. | 92.5 | 50% | ₹845.25 | +52.3% | +47.7% | +50.2% | 77% | +18.3% | +10.7 pp | -1.3% | -4.2% |
| 5 look at | RBLBANKRBL Bank Ltd. | 91.0 | 50% | ₹277.25 | +59.8% | +55.1% | +56.9% | 100% | +5.0% | +6.1 pp | +8.0% | +5.1% |
| 779 stay away | SKYGOLDSKY GOLD AND DIAMONDS LIMITED | 8.1 | 55% | ₹263.25 | -18.1% | -22.8% | — | 3% | -4.4% | -9.5 pp | +23.5% | +20.6% |
| 780 stay away | JAIBALAJIJai Balaji Industries Limited | 6.1 | 55% | ₹94.37 | -31.6% | -36.2% | — | 0% | -7.1% | -2.2 pp | +1.9% | -1.0% |
| 781 stay away | RAYMONDRaymond Limited | 4.3 | 55% | ₹573.75 | -59.1% | -63.7% | — | 2% | -32.0% | -3.1 pp | +0.9% | -2.0% |
| 782 stay away | ORIENTCEMOrient Cement Limited | 3.9 | 55% | ₹219.32 | -35.5% | -40.1% | — | 2% | -7.0% | -12.3 pp | -1.7% | -4.6% |
| 783 stay away | PGELPG Electroplast Ltd. | 2.4 | 55% | ₹502.30 | -45.2% | -49.8% | -49.3% | 3% | -9.8% | -13.4 pp | +13.7% | +10.8% |
Score ranks every name on six checks over six months, each placed from first to last across the field, then blended: the move and the move against Nifty 30% (on one day and one period they order the field the same way, so they count once), against the sector 20%, where the close sits between the period's high and low 20%, the move against Nifty in the ten sessions after each result in the period 15% (* its last result before the period when there was none), and delivery over the second half of the period against the first half 15%. A missing check's weight is shared among the rest. Chance is the historical rate at which names ranked in the same tenth on this period went the way that tenth leans — blank until a tenth has a hundred judged rows. Every call is judged ten sessions after the close against Nifty, whatever the period.