The daily read from the close of 26 Sep 2025
Computed on the morning of 27 Sep 2025 (simulated: computed after the fact, standing on that close with only what was known then): 780 names ranked. Judged ten sessions later: the names to look at averaged +0.8% vs Nifty (2 of 5 beat it), the names to stay away from averaged -1.5% (3 of 5 trailed it), the whole field -0.4%.
The read from the close of 26 Sep 2025 · Month
Our calculation, not advice.
Follow in my book
rank 1 of 780
TFCILTD
Tourism Finance Corporation of India Limited
▲ Look at
95.2
score /100rank 1 of 780
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹72.60close 26 Sep
Upside reference₹78.90+8.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹67.80-6.6% · its typical 10-session fall
+23.4% over the month · +23.8% vs Nifty · 98% of its month range · after results +12.2% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +1.2% (-1.1% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 2 of 780
JAYNECOIND
Jayaswal Neco Industries Limited
▲ Look at
95.2
score /100rank 2 of 780
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹68.88close 26 Sep
Upside reference₹73.98+7.4% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹65.49-4.9% · its typical 10-session fall
+30.9% over the month · +31.4% vs Nifty · 80% of its month range · after results +30.3% vs Nifty (last result, before the month) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +4.3% (+2.0% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 3 of 780
FUSION
Fusion Finance Limited
▲ Look at
94.8
score /100rank 3 of 780
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹190.26close 26 Sep
Upside reference₹202.87+6.6% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹175.83-7.6% · its typical 10-session fall
+16.8% over the month · +17.2% vs Nifty · 94% of its month range · after results +12.5% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +1.4% (-0.9% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 4 of 780
SARDAEN
Sarda Energy and Minerals Ltd. · METAL
▲ Look at
94.1
score /100rank 4 of 780
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹566.40close 26 Sep
Upside reference₹601.79+6.2% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹543.23-4.1% · its typical 10-session fall
+26.6% over the month · +27.0% vs Nifty · +20.1% vs its sector · 68% of its month range · after results +32.7% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -1.6% (-3.9% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 5 of 780
KIOCL
KIOCL Limited
▲ Look at
93.0
score /100rank 5 of 780
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹438.20close 26 Sep
Upside reference₹473.99+8.2% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹408.14-6.9% · its typical 10-session fall
+37.8% over the month · +38.3% vs Nifty · 77% of its month range · after results +17.7% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +10.1% (+7.8% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 780 of 780
RELINFRA
Reliance Infrastructure Limited
▼ Stay away
4.4
score /100rank 780 of 780
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹247.20close 26 Sep
Upside reference₹264.03+6.8% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹227.80-7.8% · its typical 10-session fall
-24.7% over the month · -24.2% vs Nifty · 0% of its month range · after results -18.6% vs Nifty (last result, before the month)
10 sessions on: -4.2% (-6.5% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 779 of 780
VPRPL
Vishnu Prakash R Punglia Limited
▼ Stay away
5.8
score /100rank 779 of 780
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹93.15close 26 Sep
Upside reference₹99.45+6.8% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹86.11-7.6% · its typical 10-session fall
-42.1% over the month · -41.6% vs Nifty · 0% of its month range · after results -24.3% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +5.8% (+3.4% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 778 of 780
SCHNEIDER
Schneider Electric Infrastructure Ltd.
▼ Stay away
7.3
score /100rank 778 of 780
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹835.50close 26 Sep
Upside reference₹882.94+5.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹788.39-5.6% · its typical 10-session fall
-16.7% over the month · -16.2% vs Nifty · 0% of its month range · after results -14.3% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +0.2% (-2.2% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 777 of 780
FIVESTAR
Five-Star Business Finance Ltd. · FINANCIAL SERVICES
▼ Stay away
11.0
score /100rank 777 of 780
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹510.25close 26 Sep
Upside reference₹538.31+5.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹478.57-6.2% · its typical 10-session fall
-14.1% over the month · -13.6% vs Nifty · -11.6% vs its sector · 0% of its month range · after results -13.9% vs Nifty (last result, before the month) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +2.8% (+0.4% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 776 of 780
THERMAX
Thermax Ltd. · ENERGY
▼ Stay away
11.1
score /100rank 776 of 780
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹3,197.70close 26 Sep
Upside reference₹3,312.11+3.6% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹3,068.51-4.0% · its typical 10-session fall
-18.8% over the month · -18.4% vs Nifty · -18.0% vs its sector · 2% of its month range · after results -17.3% vs Nifty
10 sessions on: -0.3% (-2.6% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Session by session · the full window
| Name | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 | T+4 | T+5 | T+6 | T+7 | T+8 | T+9 | T+10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ Names to look at — move vs Nifty since the close; green while ahead | ||||||||||
| TFCILTDTourism Finance Corporation of India Limited | -0.6% | +1.2% | +0.7% | +0.9% | +2.6% | +1.8% | +1.9% | -0.1% | -0.8% | -1.1% |
| JAYNECOINDJayaswal Neco Industries Limited | -0.5% | -2.1% | -0.3% | +3.7% | +3.4% | +5.9%▲ | +1.8%▲ | +3.0%▲ | -0.2%▲ | +2.0%▲ |
| FUSIONFusion Finance Limited | +0.4% | +1.0% | +1.1% | +0.6% | -1.9% | -0.3% | +0.4% | -0.9% | -0.8% | -0.9% |
| SARDAENSarda Energy and Minerals Ltd. | -2.2% | -4.6% | -3.5% | +1.0% | +1.4% | -0.7% | -2.4% | -1.3% | -2.3% | -3.9% |
| KIOCLKIOCL Limited | -1.1% | -3.0% | -0.2% | +19.7%▲ | +41.5%▲ | +27.2%▲ | +16.8%▲ | +14.8%▲ | +13.4%▲ | +7.8%▲ |
| ▼ Names to stay away from — move vs Nifty since the close; green while behind | ||||||||||
| RELINFRAReliance Infrastructure Limited | +0.3% | -1.9% | -2.2% | -0.0% | -3.1% | -6.7% | -7.5% | -9.0% | -4.7% | -6.5% |
| VPRPLVishnu Prakash R Punglia Limited | +1.1% | +1.3% | +3.0% | +2.2% | -1.9% | -3.1% | -5.3% | -6.8% | +2.2% | +3.4% |
| SCHNEIDERSchneider Electric Infrastructure Ltd. | +1.2% | -1.6% | -1.6% | +1.4% | -1.0% | -1.0% | -1.8% | -3.2% | -3.3% | -2.2% |
| FIVESTARFive-Star Business Finance Ltd. | +1.2% | +5.3% | +4.3% | +3.7% | +3.4% | +2.5% | +1.1% | +0.6% | +1.0% | +0.4% |
| THERMAXThermax Ltd. | -2.0% | -0.7% | -1.8% | -1.3% | -2.3% | -2.1% | -2.8% | -2.6% | -1.7% | -2.6% |
| Look at, ahead of Nifty | 1/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 5/5 | 4/5 | 3/5 | 4/5 | 2/5 | 1/5 | 2/5 |
| … on the record | 50% | 49% | 50% | 51% | 52% | 53% | 53% | 52% | 53% | 53% |
| Stay away, behind Nifty | 1/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 |
| … on the record | 55% | 55% | 55% | 54% | 54% | 55% | 55% | 54% | 53% | 53% |
| Spread, look-at minus stay-away | -1.1% | -2.0% | -0.8% | +3.9% | +10.4% | +8.9% | +6.9% | +7.3% | +3.1% | +2.2% |
| … on the record | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Each cell is the name's move from the close of 26 Sep minus Nifty's over the same sessions, at that session's close. A ▲ or ▼ marks the first session by which the card's upside or downside reference had printed. The on the record rows are what every past call has done at that point — 1,865 calls a side — so a day can be read against what usually happens, not just against zero. Sessions are the name's own; a name that did not trade on a day is measured on the sessions it did.
The whole field · top 50 and bottom 50
| Rank | Company | Score | Chance | Close | Move, the month | vs Nifty | vs sector | Range | After results | Delivery | 10 sessions on | vs Nifty |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 look at | TFCILTDTourism Finance Corporation of India Limited | 95.2 | 51% | ₹72.60 | +23.4% | +23.8% | — | 98% | +12.2% | +7.9 pp | +1.2% | -1.1% |
| 2 look at | JAYNECOINDJayaswal Neco Industries Limited | 95.2 | 51% | ₹68.88 | +30.9% | +31.4% | — | 80% | +30.3%* | +8.1 pp | +4.3% | +2.0% |
| 3 look at | FUSIONFusion Finance Limited | 94.8 | 51% | ₹190.26 | +16.8% | +17.2% | — | 94% | +12.5% | +8.8 pp | +1.4% | -0.9% |
| 4 look at | SARDAENSarda Energy and Minerals Ltd. | 94.1 | 51% | ₹566.40 | +26.6% | +27.0% | +20.1% | 68% | +32.7% | +8.6 pp | -1.6% | -3.9% |
| 5 look at | KIOCLKIOCL Limited | 93.0 | 51% | ₹438.20 | +37.8% | +38.3% | — | 77% | +17.7% | +5.7 pp | +10.1% | +7.8% |
| 776 stay away | THERMAXThermax Ltd. | 11.1 | 52% | ₹3,197.70 | -18.8% | -18.4% | -18.0% | 2% | -17.3% | -1.5 pp | -0.3% | -2.6% |
| 777 stay away | FIVESTARFive-Star Business Finance Ltd. | 11.0 | 52% | ₹510.25 | -14.1% | -13.6% | -11.6% | 0% | -13.9%* | -2.5 pp | +2.8% | +0.4% |
| 778 stay away | SCHNEIDERSchneider Electric Infrastructure Ltd. | 7.3 | 52% | ₹835.50 | -16.7% | -16.2% | — | 0% | -14.3% | -5.5 pp | +0.2% | -2.2% |
| 779 stay away | VPRPLVishnu Prakash R Punglia Limited | 5.8 | 52% | ₹93.15 | -42.1% | -41.6% | — | 0% | -24.3% | -4.4 pp | +5.8% | +3.4% |
| 780 stay away | RELINFRAReliance Infrastructure Limited | 4.4 | 52% | ₹247.20 | -24.7% | -24.2% | — | 0% | -18.6%* | — | -4.2% | -6.5% |
Score ranks every name on six checks over the month (last month plus this month so far), each placed from first to last across the field, then blended: the move and the move against Nifty 30% (on one day and one period they order the field the same way, so they count once), against the sector 20%, where the close sits between the period's high and low 20%, the move against Nifty in the ten sessions after each result in the period 15% (* its last result before the period when there was none), and delivery over the second half of the period against the first half 15%. A missing check's weight is shared among the rest. Chance is the historical rate at which names ranked in the same tenth on this period went the way that tenth leans — blank until a tenth has a hundred judged rows. Every call is judged ten sessions after the close against Nifty, whatever the period.