The daily read from the close of 25 Sep 2025
Computed on the morning of 26 Sep 2025 (simulated: computed after the fact, standing on that close with only what was known then): 780 names ranked. Judged ten sessions later: the names to look at averaged -0.4% vs Nifty (2 of 5 beat it), the names to stay away from averaged -0.3% (3 of 5 trailed it), the whole field -0.4%.
The read from the close of 25 Sep 2025 · Quarter
Our calculation, not advice.
Follow in my book
rank 1 of 779
TVSMOTOR
TVS Motor Company Ltd. · AUTO
▲ Look at
93.8
score /100rank 1 of 779
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹3,408.40close 25 Sep
Upside reference₹3,559.29+4.4% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹3,307.38-3.0% · its typical 10-session fall
+484.3% over three months · +485.7% vs Nifty · +472.0% vs its sector · 94% of its three-month range · after results +14.5% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +2.4% (+0.8% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 2 of 779
USHAMART
Usha Martin Ltd.
▲ Look at
92.4
score /100rank 2 of 779
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹448.70close 25 Sep
Upside reference₹472.33+5.3% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹428.37-4.5% · its typical 10-session fall
+33.4% over three months · +34.8% vs Nifty · 100% of its three-month range · after results +9.2% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +4.7% (+3.1% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 3 of 779
TFCILTD
Tourism Finance Corporation of India Limited
▲ Look at
91.8
score /100rank 3 of 779
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹72.75close 25 Sep
Upside reference₹79.06+8.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹67.94-6.6% · its typical 10-session fall
+58.4% over three months · +59.8% vs Nifty · 99% of its three-month range · after results +12.2% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +1.5% (-0.1% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 4 of 779
GABRIEL
Gabriel India Ltd. · AUTO
▲ Look at
90.0
score /100rank 4 of 779
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,254.10close 25 Sep
Upside reference₹1,350.58+7.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹1,180.26-5.9% · its typical 10-session fall
+96.8% over three months · +98.2% vs Nifty · +84.5% vs its sector · 91% of its three-month range · after results +8.9% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +1.4% (-0.2% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 5 of 779
DIXON
Dixon Technologies (India) Ltd. · CONSUMER DURABLES
▲ Look at
89.6
score /100rank 5 of 779
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹18,202.00close 25 Sep
Upside reference₹19,202.20+5.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹17,450.08-4.1% · its typical 10-session fall
+28.5% over three months · +29.9% vs Nifty · +27.5% vs its sector · 97% of its three-month range · after results +4.4% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -4.2% (-5.7% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 779 of 779
RELINFRA
Reliance Infrastructure Limited
▼ Stay away
4.7
score /100rank 779 of 779
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹253.00close 25 Sep
Upside reference₹270.39+6.9% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹232.87-8.0% · its typical 10-session fall
-37.5% over three months · -36.1% vs Nifty · 3% of its three-month range · after results -18.6% vs Nifty
10 sessions on: -4.4% (-6.0% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 778 of 779
RPOWER
Reliance Power Ltd. · ENERGY
▼ Stay away
6.3
score /100rank 778 of 779
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹46.01close 25 Sep
Upside reference₹49.71+8.0% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹42.66-7.3% · its typical 10-session fall
-31.1% over three months · -29.7% vs Nifty · -29.5% vs its sector · 13% of its three-month range · after results -24.7% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +5.6% (+4.0% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 777 of 779
VPRPL
Vishnu Prakash R Punglia Limited
▼ Stay away
8.8
score /100rank 777 of 779
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹97.10close 25 Sep
Upside reference₹103.66+6.8% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹89.77-7.5% · its typical 10-session fall
-40.7% over three months · -39.3% vs Nifty · 0% of its three-month range · after results -24.3% vs Nifty
10 sessions on: +0.5% (-1.1% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 776 of 779
HIKAL
Hikal Limited
▼ Stay away
8.8
score /100rank 776 of 779
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹258.60close 25 Sep
Upside reference₹268.13+3.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹244.22-5.6% · its typical 10-session fall
-29.4% over three months · -28.0% vs Nifty · 8% of its three-month range · after results -13.8% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -4.1% (-5.7% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 775 of 779
PGEL
PG Electroplast Ltd. · CONSUMER DURABLES
▼ Stay away
9.6
score /100rank 775 of 779
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹539.75close 25 Sep
Upside reference₹578.77+7.2% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹514.04-4.8% · its typical 10-session fall
-29.2% over three months · -27.8% vs Nifty · -30.2% vs its sector · 16% of its three-month range · after results -6.8% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +8.6% (+7.0% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference reached
Session by session · the full window
| Name | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 | T+4 | T+5 | T+6 | T+7 | T+8 | T+9 | T+10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ Names to look at — move vs Nifty since the close; green while ahead | ||||||||||
| TVSMOTORTVS Motor Company Ltd. | +1.1% | +1.9% | +2.0% | +1.7% | +1.4% | +2.3% | +2.2% | +1.6% | +1.1% | +0.8% |
| USHAMARTUsha Martin Ltd. | +1.0% | +7.2%▲ | +3.5%▲ | +1.1%▲ | +3.0%▲ | -0.3%▲ | -0.4%▲ | -1.2%▲ | +6.2%▲ | +3.1%▲ |
| TFCILTDTourism Finance Corporation of India Limited | +0.7% | +0.1% | +1.9% | +1.4% | +1.7% | +3.3% | +2.6% | +2.6% | +0.6% | -0.1% |
| GABRIELGabriel India Ltd. | -0.4% | -1.8% | -4.7% | -0.8% | +2.8% | +1.2% | +3.8% | +4.3% | +1.7% | -0.2% |
| DIXONDixon Technologies (India) Ltd. | -2.8% | -7.3% | -9.2% | -9.4% | -8.9% | -7.1% | -6.2% | -8.0% | -7.2% | -5.7% |
| ▼ Names to stay away from — move vs Nifty since the close; green while behind | ||||||||||
| RELINFRAReliance Infrastructure Limited | -1.3% | -1.1% | -3.2% | -3.5% | -1.4% | -4.4% | -7.9% | -8.7%▼ | -10.1%▼ | -6.0%▼ |
| RPOWERReliance Power Ltd. | -1.8% | -1.4% | -2.5% | -0.5% | +1.0% | -2.2% | -4.0% | -3.3% | -4.6% | +4.0% |
| VPRPLVishnu Prakash R Punglia Limited | -3.1% | -2.1% | -1.9% | -0.3% | -1.0% | -5.0% | -6.2% | -8.2%▼ | -9.7%▼ | -1.1%▼ |
| HIKALHikal Limited | -0.4% | -2.1% | -1.6% | -1.2% | -1.8% | -2.9% | -4.1% | -3.8% | -5.7% | -5.7% |
| PGELPG Electroplast Ltd. | -3.7% | -5.5%▼ | -5.8%▼ | -5.1%▼ | -4.8%▼ | -4.9%▼ | -4.3%▼ | -5.3%▼ | +1.3%▼ | +7.0%▼ |
| Look at, ahead of Nifty | 3/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 4/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 4/5 | 2/5 |
| … on the record | 49% | 50% | 52% | 52% | 52% | 51% | 51% | 51% | 50% | 50% |
| Stay away, behind Nifty | 5/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 4/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 4/5 | 3/5 |
| … on the record | 55% | 55% | 54% | 54% | 55% | 55% | 54% | 54% | 55% | 54% |
| Spread, look-at minus stay-away | +2.0% | +2.5% | +1.7% | +0.9% | +1.6% | +3.8% | +5.7% | +5.7% | +6.2% | -0.1% |
| … on the record | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Each cell is the name's move from the close of 25 Sep minus Nifty's over the same sessions, at that session's close. A ▲ or ▼ marks the first session by which the card's upside or downside reference had printed. The on the record rows are what every past call has done at that point — 1,865 calls a side — so a day can be read against what usually happens, not just against zero. Sessions are the name's own; a name that did not trade on a day is measured on the sessions it did.
The whole field · every name
| Rank | Company | Score | Chance | Close | Move, three months | vs Nifty | vs sector | Range | After results | Delivery | 10 sessions on | vs Nifty |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 look at | TVSMOTORTVS Motor Company Ltd. | 93.8 | 51% | ₹3,408.40 | +484.3% | +485.7% | +472.0% | 94% | +14.5% | +4.2 pp | +2.4% | +0.8% |
| 2 look at | USHAMARTUsha Martin Ltd. | 92.4 | 51% | ₹448.70 | +33.4% | +34.8% | — | 100% | +9.2% | +5.2 pp | +4.7% | +3.1% |
| 3 look at | TFCILTDTourism Finance Corporation of India Limited | 91.8 | 51% | ₹72.75 | +58.4% | +59.8% | — | 99% | +12.2% | +3.8 pp | +1.5% | -0.1% |
| 4 look at | GABRIELGabriel India Ltd. | 90.0 | 51% | ₹1,254.10 | +96.8% | +98.2% | +84.5% | 91% | +8.9% | +2.1 pp | +1.4% | -0.2% |
| 5 look at | DIXONDixon Technologies (India) Ltd. | 89.6 | 51% | ₹18,202.00 | +28.5% | +29.9% | +27.5% | 97% | +4.4% | +4.2 pp | -4.2% | -5.7% |
| 775 stay away | PGELPG Electroplast Ltd. | 9.6 | 52% | ₹539.75 | -29.2% | -27.8% | -30.2% | 16% | -6.8% | -7.7 pp | +8.6% | +7.0% |
| 776 stay away | HIKALHikal Limited | 8.8 | 52% | ₹258.60 | -29.4% | -28.0% | — | 8% | -13.8% | -3.7 pp | -4.1% | -5.7% |
| 777 stay away | VPRPLVishnu Prakash R Punglia Limited | 8.8 | 52% | ₹97.10 | -40.7% | -39.3% | — | 0% | -24.3% | +0.1 pp | +0.5% | -1.1% |
| 778 stay away | RPOWERReliance Power Ltd. | 6.3 | 52% | ₹46.01 | -31.1% | -29.7% | -29.5% | 13% | -24.7% | -6.8 pp | +5.6% | +4.0% |
| 779 stay away | RELINFRAReliance Infrastructure Limited | 4.7 | 52% | ₹253.00 | -37.5% | -36.1% | — | 3% | -18.6% | — | -4.4% | -6.0% |
Score ranks every name on six checks over three months, each placed from first to last across the field, then blended: the move and the move against Nifty 30% (on one day and one period they order the field the same way, so they count once), against the sector 20%, where the close sits between the period's high and low 20%, the move against Nifty in the ten sessions after each result in the period 15% (* its last result before the period when there was none), and delivery over the second half of the period against the first half 15%. A missing check's weight is shared among the rest. Chance is the historical rate at which names ranked in the same tenth on this period went the way that tenth leans — blank until a tenth has a hundred judged rows. Every call is judged ten sessions after the close against Nifty, whatever the period.