The daily read from the close of 24 Sep 2025
Computed on the morning of 25 Sep 2025 (simulated: computed after the fact, standing on that close with only what was known then): 780 names ranked. Judged ten sessions later: the names to look at averaged +3.9% vs Nifty (4 of 5 beat it), the names to stay away from averaged -4.2% (4 of 5 trailed it), the whole field -0.1%.
The read from the close of 24 Sep 2025 · Quarter
Our calculation, not advice.
Follow in my book
rank 1 of 779
TVSMOTOR
TVS Motor Company Ltd. · AUTO
▲ Look at
92.4
score /100rank 1 of 779
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹3,453.00close 24 Sep
Upside reference₹3,605.24+4.4% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹3,350.27-3.0% · its typical 10-session fall
+508.5% over three months · +508.5% vs Nifty · +494.1% vs its sector · 96% of its three-month range · after results +14.5% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +1.0% (+0.5% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 2 of 779
USHAMART
Usha Martin Ltd.
▲ Look at
92.4
score /100rank 2 of 779
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹445.95close 24 Sep
Upside reference₹469.38+5.3% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹425.77-4.5% · its typical 10-session fall
+34.3% over three months · +34.3% vs Nifty · 100% of its three-month range · after results +9.2% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +8.0% (+7.5% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 3 of 779
TFCILTD
Tourism Finance Corporation of India Limited
▲ Look at
91.5
score /100rank 3 of 779
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹72.90close 24 Sep
Upside reference₹79.24+8.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹68.27-6.4% · its typical 10-session fall
+56.4% over three months · +56.3% vs Nifty · 100% of its three-month range · after results +12.2% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +1.6% (+1.1% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 4 of 779
GABRIEL
Gabriel India Ltd. · AUTO
▲ Look at
89.9
score /100rank 4 of 779
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,285.70close 24 Sep
Upside reference₹1,384.61+7.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹1,209.00-5.9% · its typical 10-session fall
+113.2% over three months · +113.1% vs Nifty · +98.7% vs its sector · 96% of its three-month range · after results +8.9% vs Nifty
10 sessions on: +0.3% (-0.2% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 5 of 779
FORTIS
Fortis Healthcare Ltd. · INFRASTRUCTURE
▲ Look at
89.7
score /100rank 5 of 779
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹960.40close 24 Sep
Upside reference₹1,002.55+4.4% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹937.74-2.4% · its typical 10-session fall
+25.5% over three months · +25.4% vs Nifty · +25.2% vs its sector · 92% of its three-month range · after results +7.7% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +11.3% (+10.8% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 779 of 779
RELINFRA
Reliance Infrastructure Limited
▼ Stay away
4.6
score /100rank 779 of 779
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹257.00close 24 Sep
Upside reference₹274.97+7.0% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹235.79-8.3% · its typical 10-session fall
-33.3% over three months · -33.4% vs Nifty · 5% of its three-month range · after results -18.6% vs Nifty
10 sessions on: -10.4% (-10.9% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 778 of 779
RPOWER
Reliance Power Ltd. · ENERGY
▼ Stay away
6.2
score /100rank 778 of 779
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹46.46close 24 Sep
Upside reference₹50.21+8.1% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹43.07-7.3% · its typical 10-session fall
-26.9% over three months · -27.0% vs Nifty · -26.3% vs its sector · 15% of its three-month range · after results -24.7% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -4.3% (-4.8% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 777 of 779
HIKAL
Hikal Limited
▼ Stay away
7.7
score /100rank 777 of 779
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹259.85close 24 Sep
Upside reference₹269.39+3.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹245.39-5.6% · its typical 10-session fall
-29.2% over three months · -29.2% vs Nifty · 9% of its three-month range · after results -13.8% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -5.0% (-5.5% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 776 of 779
NEWGEN
Newgen Software Technologies Ltd. · IT
▼ Stay away
8.1
score /100rank 776 of 779
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹875.50close 24 Sep
Upside reference₹934.18+6.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹824.22-5.9% · its typical 10-session fall
-21.7% over three months · -21.8% vs Nifty · -12.8% vs its sector · 16% of its three-month range · after results -18.1% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -0.3% (-0.8% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 775 of 779
PGEL
PG Electroplast Ltd. · CONSUMER DURABLES
▼ Stay away
8.7
score /100rank 775 of 779
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹544.30close 24 Sep
Upside reference₹583.65+7.2% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹518.92-4.7% · its typical 10-session fall
-28.8% over three months · -28.8% vs Nifty · -31.9% vs its sector · 17% of its three-month range · after results -6.8% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +1.6% (+1.1% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference reached
Session by session · the full window
| Name | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 | T+4 | T+5 | T+6 | T+7 | T+8 | T+9 | T+10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ Names to look at — move vs Nifty since the close; green while ahead | ||||||||||
| TVSMOTORTVS Motor Company Ltd. | -0.6% | +0.5% | +1.3% | +1.4% | +1.0% | +0.7% | +1.6% | +1.5% | +0.9% | +0.5% |
| USHAMARTUsha Martin Ltd. | +1.3% | +2.3% | +8.5%▲ | +4.8%▲ | +2.4%▲ | +4.3%▲ | +1.0%▲ | +0.9%▲ | +0.1%▲ | +7.5%▲ |
| TFCILTDTourism Finance Corporation of India Limited | +0.5% | +1.2% | +0.6% | +2.4% | +1.9% | +2.1% | +3.8% | +3.0% | +3.1% | +1.1% |
| GABRIELGabriel India Ltd. | -1.8% | -2.1% | -3.5% | -6.3% | -2.6% | +1.0% | -0.6% | +1.9% | +2.4% | -0.2% |
| FORTISFortis Healthcare Ltd. | -1.0% | -1.3% | +2.8% | +2.8% | +3.9% | +2.7% | +9.7%▲ | +8.3%▲ | +9.9%▲ | +10.8%▲ |
| ▼ Names to stay away from — move vs Nifty since the close; green while behind | ||||||||||
| RELINFRAReliance Infrastructure Limited | -0.9% | -2.2% | -2.0% | -4.0% | -4.3% | -2.2% | -5.2% | -8.7%▼ | -9.5%▼ | -10.9%▼ |
| RPOWERReliance Power Ltd. | -0.3% | -2.1% | -1.7% | -2.7% | -0.8% | +0.7% | -2.5% | -4.3% | -3.6% | -4.8% |
| HIKALHikal Limited | +0.2% | -0.2% | -1.9% | -1.4% | -1.0% | -1.6% | -2.7% | -3.9% | -3.6% | -5.5% |
| NEWGENNewgen Software Technologies Ltd. | +4.5% | +3.1% | +1.8% | +3.4% | +3.7% | +2.5% | +0.7% | +0.7% | -0.1% | -0.8% |
| PGELPG Electroplast Ltd. | -0.2% | -3.8%▼ | -5.6%▼ | -5.9%▼ | -5.3%▼ | -4.9%▼ | -5.1%▼ | -4.4%▼ | -5.4%▼ | +1.1%▼ |
| Look at, ahead of Nifty | 2/5 | 3/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 5/5 | 4/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 4/5 |
| … on the record | 49% | 50% | 52% | 52% | 52% | 51% | 51% | 51% | 50% | 50% |
| Stay away, behind Nifty | 3/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 3/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 5/5 | 4/5 |
| … on the record | 55% | 55% | 54% | 54% | 55% | 55% | 54% | 54% | 55% | 54% |
| Spread, look-at minus stay-away | -1.0% | +1.2% | +3.8% | +3.1% | +2.9% | +3.3% | +6.0% | +7.3% | +7.7% | +8.1% |
| … on the record | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Each cell is the name's move from the close of 24 Sep minus Nifty's over the same sessions, at that session's close. A ▲ or ▼ marks the first session by which the card's upside or downside reference had printed. The on the record rows are what every past call has done at that point — 1,865 calls a side — so a day can be read against what usually happens, not just against zero. Sessions are the name's own; a name that did not trade on a day is measured on the sessions it did.
The whole field · top 50 and bottom 50
| Rank | Company | Score | Chance | Close | Move, three months | vs Nifty | vs sector | Range | After results | Delivery | 10 sessions on | vs Nifty |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 look at | TVSMOTORTVS Motor Company Ltd. | 92.4 | 51% | ₹3,453.00 | +508.5% | +508.5% | +494.1% | 96% | +14.5% | +3.1 pp | +1.0% | +0.5% |
| 2 look at | USHAMARTUsha Martin Ltd. | 92.4 | 51% | ₹445.95 | +34.3% | +34.3% | — | 100% | +9.2% | +5.4 pp | +8.0% | +7.5% |
| 3 look at | TFCILTDTourism Finance Corporation of India Limited | 91.5 | 51% | ₹72.90 | +56.4% | +56.3% | — | 100% | +12.2% | +3.5 pp | +1.6% | +1.1% |
| 4 look at | GABRIELGabriel India Ltd. | 89.9 | 51% | ₹1,285.70 | +113.2% | +113.1% | +98.7% | 96% | +8.9% | +1.8 pp | +0.3% | -0.2% |
| 5 look at | FORTISFortis Healthcare Ltd. | 89.7 | 51% | ₹960.40 | +25.5% | +25.4% | +25.2% | 92% | +7.7% | +5.3 pp | +11.3% | +10.8% |
| 775 stay away | PGELPG Electroplast Ltd. | 8.7 | 52% | ₹544.30 | -28.8% | -28.8% | -31.9% | 17% | -6.8% | -8.6 pp | +1.6% | +1.1% |
| 776 stay away | NEWGENNewgen Software Technologies Ltd. | 8.1 | 52% | ₹875.50 | -21.7% | -21.8% | -12.8% | 16% | -18.1% | -9.5 pp | -0.3% | -0.8% |
| 777 stay away | HIKALHikal Limited | 7.7 | 52% | ₹259.85 | -29.2% | -29.2% | — | 9% | -13.8% | -4.4 pp | -5.0% | -5.5% |
| 778 stay away | RPOWERReliance Power Ltd. | 6.2 | 52% | ₹46.46 | -26.9% | -27.0% | -26.3% | 15% | -24.7% | -6.6 pp | -4.3% | -4.8% |
| 779 stay away | RELINFRAReliance Infrastructure Limited | 4.6 | 52% | ₹257.00 | -33.3% | -33.4% | — | 5% | -18.6% | — | -10.4% | -10.9% |
Score ranks every name on six checks over three months, each placed from first to last across the field, then blended: the move and the move against Nifty 30% (on one day and one period they order the field the same way, so they count once), against the sector 20%, where the close sits between the period's high and low 20%, the move against Nifty in the ten sessions after each result in the period 15% (* its last result before the period when there was none), and delivery over the second half of the period against the first half 15%. A missing check's weight is shared among the rest. Chance is the historical rate at which names ranked in the same tenth on this period went the way that tenth leans — blank until a tenth has a hundred judged rows. Every call is judged ten sessions after the close against Nifty, whatever the period.