The daily read from the close of 19 Sep 2025
Computed on the morning of 20 Sep 2025 (simulated: computed after the fact, standing on that close with only what was known then): 782 names ranked. Judged ten sessions later: the names to look at averaged -1.4% vs Nifty (2 of 5 beat it), the names to stay away from averaged -1.5% (3 of 5 trailed it), the whole field -1.5%.
The read from the close of 19 Sep 2025 · Half year
Our calculation, not advice.
Follow in my book
rank 1 of 781
TFCILTD
Tourism Finance Corporation of India Limited
▲ Look at
94.5
score /100rank 1 of 781
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹72.40close 19 Sep
Upside reference₹78.76+8.8% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹67.80-6.3% · its typical 10-session fall
+156.2% over six months · +145.6% vs Nifty · 99% of its six-month range · after results +8.7% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +4.6% (+5.6% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 2 of 781
GABRIEL
Gabriel India Ltd. · AUTO
▲ Look at
92.5
score /100rank 2 of 781
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,282.70close 19 Sep
Upside reference₹1,387.19+8.1% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹1,210.59-5.6% · its typical 10-session fall
+119.9% over six months · +109.3% vs Nifty · +92.2% vs its sector · 96% of its six-month range · after results +7.1% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -0.3% (+0.7% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 3 of 781
CENTUM
Centum Electronics Limited
▲ Look at
91.8
score /100rank 3 of 781
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹2,832.00close 19 Sep
Upside reference₹3,055.56+7.9% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹2,664.43-5.9% · its typical 10-session fall
+95.3% over six months · +84.7% vs Nifty · 91% of its six-month range · after results +21.2% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -8.3% (-7.3% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 4 of 781
DELHIVERY
Delhivery Ltd.
▲ Look at
91.8
score /100rank 4 of 781
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹478.80close 19 Sep
Upside reference₹505.13+5.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹457.88-4.4% · its typical 10-session fall
+83.5% over six months · +72.9% vs Nifty · 98% of its six-month range · after results +11.8% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -3.4% (-2.4% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 5 of 781
CCL
CCL Products (I) Ltd. · FMCG
▲ Look at
91.6
score /100rank 5 of 781
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹886.05close 19 Sep
Upside reference₹940.64+6.2% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹849.03-4.2% · its typical 10-session fall
+60.0% over six months · +49.4% vs Nifty · +52.1% vs its sector · 88% of its six-month range · after results +18.3% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -4.6% (-3.6% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 781 of 781
RAYMOND
Raymond Limited
▼ Stay away
2.4
score /100rank 781 of 781
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹620.55close 19 Sep
Upside reference₹652.38+5.1% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹584.43-5.8% · its typical 10-session fall
-56.2% over six months · -66.8% vs Nifty · 7% of its six-month range · after results -32.0% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -6.3% (-5.3% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 780 of 781
ORIENTCEM
Orient Cement Limited
▼ Stay away
2.6
score /100rank 780 of 781
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹219.56close 19 Sep
Upside reference₹225.47+2.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹214.43-2.3% · its typical 10-session fall
-36.5% over six months · -47.1% vs Nifty · 2% of its six-month range · after results -7.0% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +1.4% (+2.4% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 779 of 781
PGEL
PG Electroplast Ltd. · CONSUMER DURABLES
▼ Stay away
3.1
score /100rank 779 of 781
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹571.15close 19 Sep
Upside reference₹612.44+7.2% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹544.52-4.7% · its typical 10-session fall
-36.1% over six months · -46.6% vs Nifty · -45.0% vs its sector · 18% of its six-month range · after results -9.8% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -9.4% (-8.5% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 778 of 781
JAIBALAJI
Jai Balaji Industries Limited
▼ Stay away
4.3
score /100rank 778 of 781
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹101.04close 19 Sep
Upside reference₹106.12+5.0% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹95.42-5.6% · its typical 10-session fall
-29.2% over six months · -39.8% vs Nifty · 2% of its six-month range · after results -7.1% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -2.3% (-1.3% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 777 of 781
REFEX
Refex Industries Limited
▼ Stay away
5.9
score /100rank 777 of 781
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹347.65close 19 Sep
Upside reference₹377.13+8.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹330.95-4.8% · its typical 10-session fall
-6.4% over six months · -16.9% vs Nifty · 1% of its six-month range · after results -15.2% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +3.9% (+4.9% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Session by session · the full window
| Name | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 | T+4 | T+5 | T+6 | T+7 | T+8 | T+9 | T+10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ Names to look at — move vs Nifty since the close; green while ahead | ||||||||||
| TFCILTDTourism Finance Corporation of India Limited | +0.1% | +1.2% | +1.8% | +2.2% | +2.9% | +2.3% | +4.1% | +3.6% | +3.9% | +5.6% |
| GABRIELGabriel India Ltd. | +0.7% | +1.2% | +1.3% | -0.5% | -0.9% | -2.2% | -5.1% | -1.3% | +2.3% | +0.7% |
| CENTUMCentum Electronics Limited | -0.3% | -0.7% | +2.7% | -1.3% | -4.9% | -3.3% | -2.9% | -2.9% | -11.5% | -7.3% |
| DELHIVERYDelhivery Ltd. | -1.8% | -3.5% | -3.7% | -3.2% | -4.3% | -5.4% | -3.2% | -7.3% | -7.0% | -2.4% |
| CCLCCL Products (I) Ltd. | +2.0% | +2.2% | +4.8% | +3.1% | +3.0% | -0.5% | -1.8% | -1.7% | -1.5% | -3.6% |
| ▼ Names to stay away from — move vs Nifty since the close; green while behind | ||||||||||
| RAYMONDRaymond Limited | +0.2% | +1.3% | +0.8% | +1.1% | +0.5% | -4.6%▼ | -4.7%▼ | -4.2%▼ | -3.5%▼ | -5.3%▼ |
| ORIENTCEMOrient Cement Limited | +2.2% | +7.6% | +5.9% | +8.2% | +5.1% | +2.4% | +2.7% | +3.5% | +4.1% | +2.4% |
| PGELPG Electroplast Ltd. | -1.3% | -1.6% | -3.6%▼ | -3.8%▼ | -7.2%▼ | -8.9%▼ | -9.2%▼ | -8.6%▼ | -8.3%▼ | -8.5%▼ |
| JAIBALAJIJai Balaji Industries Limited | -0.6% | -0.7% | -2.9% | -2.6% | -3.1%▼ | -1.8%▼ | -3.8%▼ | -0.7%▼ | +1.0%▼ | -1.3%▼ |
| REFEXRefex Industries Limited | -2.3% | +12.9% | +16.3% | +12.4% | +9.9% | +6.2% | +5.4% | +7.1% | +6.8% | +4.9% |
| Look at, ahead of Nifty | 3/5 | 3/5 | 4/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 |
| … on the record | 49% | 49% | 48% | 47% | 47% | 47% | 48% | 48% | 48% | 48% |
| Stay away, behind Nifty | 3/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 |
| … on the record | 58% | 57% | 58% | 58% | 58% | 59% | 59% | 58% | 59% | 59% |
| Spread, look-at minus stay-away | +0.5% | -3.8% | -1.9% | -3.0% | -1.9% | -0.5% | +0.2% | -1.4% | -2.8% | +0.1% |
| … on the record | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Each cell is the name's move from the close of 19 Sep minus Nifty's over the same sessions, at that session's close. A ▲ or ▼ marks the first session by which the card's upside or downside reference had printed. The on the record rows are what every past call has done at that point — 1,865 calls a side — so a day can be read against what usually happens, not just against zero. Sessions are the name's own; a name that did not trade on a day is measured on the sessions it did.
The whole field · top 50 and bottom 50
| Rank | Company | Score | Chance | Close | Move, six months | vs Nifty | vs sector | Range | After results | Delivery | 10 sessions on | vs Nifty |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 look at | TFCILTDTourism Finance Corporation of India Limited | 94.5 | 50% | ₹72.40 | +156.2% | +145.6% | — | 99% | +8.7% | +7.2 pp | +4.6% | +5.6% |
| 2 look at | GABRIELGabriel India Ltd. | 92.5 | 50% | ₹1,282.70 | +119.9% | +109.3% | +92.2% | 96% | +7.1% | +6.0 pp | -0.3% | +0.7% |
| 3 look at | CENTUMCentum Electronics Limited | 91.8 | 50% | ₹2,832.00 | +95.3% | +84.7% | — | 91% | +21.2% | +6.6 pp | -8.3% | -7.3% |
| 4 look at | DELHIVERYDelhivery Ltd. | 91.8 | 50% | ₹478.80 | +83.5% | +72.9% | — | 98% | +11.8% | +5.5 pp | -3.4% | -2.4% |
| 5 look at | CCLCCL Products (I) Ltd. | 91.6 | 50% | ₹886.05 | +60.0% | +49.4% | +52.1% | 88% | +18.3% | +11.4 pp | -4.6% | -3.6% |
| 777 stay away | REFEXRefex Industries Limited | 5.9 | 55% | ₹347.65 | -6.4% | -16.9% | — | 1% | -15.2% | -7.0 pp | +3.9% | +4.9% |
| 778 stay away | JAIBALAJIJai Balaji Industries Limited | 4.3 | 55% | ₹101.04 | -29.2% | -39.8% | — | 2% | -7.1% | -6.5 pp | -2.3% | -1.3% |
| 779 stay away | PGELPG Electroplast Ltd. | 3.1 | 55% | ₹571.15 | -36.1% | -46.6% | -45.0% | 18% | -9.8% | -11.2 pp | -9.4% | -8.5% |
| 780 stay away | ORIENTCEMOrient Cement Limited | 2.6 | 55% | ₹219.56 | -36.5% | -47.1% | — | 2% | -7.0% | -15.5 pp | +1.4% | +2.4% |
| 781 stay away | RAYMONDRaymond Limited | 2.4 | 55% | ₹620.55 | -56.2% | -66.8% | — | 7% | -32.0% | -7.2 pp | -6.3% | -5.3% |
Score ranks every name on six checks over six months, each placed from first to last across the field, then blended: the move and the move against Nifty 30% (on one day and one period they order the field the same way, so they count once), against the sector 20%, where the close sits between the period's high and low 20%, the move against Nifty in the ten sessions after each result in the period 15% (* its last result before the period when there was none), and delivery over the second half of the period against the first half 15%. A missing check's weight is shared among the rest. Chance is the historical rate at which names ranked in the same tenth on this period went the way that tenth leans — blank until a tenth has a hundred judged rows. Every call is judged ten sessions after the close against Nifty, whatever the period.