The daily read from the close of 19 Sep 2025
Computed on the morning of 20 Sep 2025 (simulated: computed after the fact, standing on that close with only what was known then): 782 names ranked. Judged ten sessions later: the names to look at averaged +5.1% vs Nifty (5 of 5 beat it), the names to stay away from averaged -2.5% (4 of 5 trailed it), the whole field +1.3%.
The read from the close of 19 Sep 2025 · Quarter
Our calculation, not advice.
Follow in my book
rank 1 of 781
USHAMART
Usha Martin Ltd.
▲ Look at
92.1
score /100rank 1 of 781
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹426.55close 19 Sep
Upside reference₹448.70+5.2% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹407.64-4.4% · its typical 10-session fall
+37.2% over three months · +35.0% vs Nifty · 100% of its three-month range · after results +9.2% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +5.7% (+6.7% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 2 of 781
ADANIPOWER
Adani Power Ltd. · ENERGY
▲ Look at
92.0
score /100rank 2 of 781
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹141.88close 19 Sep
Upside reference₹147.52+4.0% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹136.83-3.6% · its typical 10-session fall
+32.2% over three months · +30.1% vs Nifty · +30.9% vs its sector · 100% of its three-month range · after results +5.2% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +7.1% (+8.1% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 3 of 781
TVSMOTOR
TVS Motor Company Ltd. · AUTO
▲ Look at
90.6
score /100rank 3 of 781
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹3,529.40close 19 Sep
Upside reference₹3,684.66+4.4% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹3,423.48-3.0% · its typical 10-session fall
+534.8% over three months · +532.7% vs Nifty · +518.7% vs its sector · 98% of its three-month range · after results +14.5% vs Nifty
10 sessions on: -0.5% (+0.5% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 4 of 781
GABRIEL
Gabriel India Ltd. · AUTO
▲ Look at
89.8
score /100rank 4 of 781
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,282.70close 19 Sep
Upside reference₹1,387.19+8.1% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹1,210.59-5.6% · its typical 10-session fall
+116.6% over three months · +114.4% vs Nifty · +100.4% vs its sector · 95% of its three-month range · after results +8.9% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -0.3% (+0.7% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 5 of 781
IMFA
Indian Metals & Ferro Alloys Limited
▲ Look at
89.7
score /100rank 5 of 781
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,070.95close 19 Sep
Upside reference₹1,154.98+7.8% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹1,017.52-5.0% · its typical 10-session fall
+49.3% over three months · +47.1% vs Nifty · 96% of its three-month range · after results +12.4% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +8.6% (+9.6% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 781 of 781
RELINFRA
Reliance Infrastructure Limited
▼ Stay away
1.8
score /100rank 781 of 781
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹258.00close 19 Sep
Upside reference₹277.12+7.4% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹235.38-8.8% · its typical 10-session fall
-32.6% over three months · -34.8% vs Nifty · 6% of its three-month range · after results -18.6% vs Nifty
10 sessions on: -5.5% (-4.5% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 780 of 781
RPOWER
Reliance Power Ltd. · ENERGY
▼ Stay away
4.3
score /100rank 780 of 781
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹48.04close 19 Sep
Upside reference₹51.97+8.2% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹44.52-7.3% · its typical 10-session fall
-24.4% over three months · -26.5% vs Nifty · -25.7% vs its sector · 21% of its three-month range · after results -24.7% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -5.6% (-4.6% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 779 of 781
NEWGEN
Newgen Software Technologies Ltd. · IT
▼ Stay away
5.6
score /100rank 779 of 781
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹915.50close 19 Sep
Upside reference₹981.91+7.3% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹860.85-6.0% · its typical 10-session fall
-23.2% over three months · -25.3% vs Nifty · -17.8% vs its sector · 26% of its three-month range · after results -18.1% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -3.6% (-2.6% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 778 of 781
NAZARA
Nazara Technologies Limited
▼ Stay away
5.7
score /100rank 778 of 781
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹270.88close 19 Sep
Upside reference₹280.43+3.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹260.04-4.0% · its typical 10-session fall
-16.6% over three months · -18.8% vs Nifty · 2% of its three-month range · after results -18.0% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +3.1% (+4.1% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 777 of 781
HIKAL
Hikal Limited
▼ Stay away
6.5
score /100rank 777 of 781
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹269.40close 19 Sep
Upside reference₹280.19+4.0% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹254.41-5.6% · its typical 10-session fall
-25.1% over three months · -27.3% vs Nifty · 17% of its three-month range · after results -13.8% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -6.0% (-5.1% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Session by session · the full window
| Name | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 | T+4 | T+5 | T+6 | T+7 | T+8 | T+9 | T+10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ Names to look at — move vs Nifty since the close; green while ahead | ||||||||||
| USHAMARTUsha Martin Ltd. | +1.7% | +4.4% | +5.6% | +6.9% | +7.9%▲ | +14.4%▲ | +10.5%▲ | +8.1%▲ | +10.1%▲ | +6.7%▲ |
| ADANIPOWERAdani Power Ltd. | +20.5%▲ | +15.0%▲ | +2.9%▲ | +6.7%▲ | +5.7%▲ | +6.1%▲ | +4.8%▲ | +9.4%▲ | +5.6%▲ | +8.1%▲ |
| TVSMOTORTVS Motor Company Ltd. | +0.4% | +0.1% | -1.1% | -1.7% | -0.6% | +0.2% | +0.3% | -0.1% | -0.4% | +0.5% |
| GABRIELGabriel India Ltd. | +0.7% | +1.2% | +1.3% | -0.5% | -0.9% | -2.2% | -5.1% | -1.3% | +2.3% | +0.7% |
| IMFAIndian Metals & Ferro Alloys Limited | +4.5% | +9.1%▲ | +10.8%▲ | +10.0%▲ | +7.5%▲ | +7.2%▲ | +6.3%▲ | +8.0%▲ | +11.0%▲ | +9.6%▲ |
| ▼ Names to stay away from — move vs Nifty since the close; green while behind | ||||||||||
| RELINFRAReliance Infrastructure Limited | +3.3% | +3.3% | +0.7% | -0.2% | -1.5% | -1.3% | -3.3% | -3.6% | -1.6% | -4.5% |
| RPOWERReliance Power Ltd. | +2.1% | +0.2% | -2.2% | -2.5% | -4.2% | -3.8% | -4.8%▼ | -2.9%▼ | -1.5%▼ | -4.6%▼ |
| NEWGENNewgen Software Technologies Ltd. | -1.4% | -2.8% | -3.3% | +1.1% | -0.3% | -1.5% | +0.0% | +0.2% | -0.9% | -2.6% |
| NAZARANazara Technologies Limited | +2.4% | +2.5% | +4.3% | +4.7% | +6.0% | +0.9% | -3.2%▼ | +4.3%▼ | +5.3%▼ | +4.1%▼ |
| HIKALHikal Limited | -1.9% | -2.8% | -2.5% | -2.3% | -2.7% | -4.3%▼ | -3.8%▼ | -3.4%▼ | -4.0%▼ | -5.1%▼ |
| Look at, ahead of Nifty | 5/5 | 5/5 | 4/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 3/5 | 4/5 | 5/5 |
| … on the record | 49% | 50% | 52% | 52% | 52% | 51% | 51% | 51% | 50% | 50% |
| Stay away, behind Nifty | 2/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 3/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 |
| … on the record | 55% | 55% | 54% | 54% | 55% | 55% | 54% | 54% | 55% | 54% |
| Spread, look-at minus stay-away | +4.6% | +5.9% | +4.5% | +4.1% | +4.5% | +7.1% | +6.4% | +5.9% | +6.3% | +7.7% |
| … on the record | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Each cell is the name's move from the close of 19 Sep minus Nifty's over the same sessions, at that session's close. A ▲ or ▼ marks the first session by which the card's upside or downside reference had printed. The on the record rows are what every past call has done at that point — 1,865 calls a side — so a day can be read against what usually happens, not just against zero. Sessions are the name's own; a name that did not trade on a day is measured on the sessions it did.
The whole field · top 50 and bottom 50
| Rank | Company | Score | Chance | Close | Move, three months | vs Nifty | vs sector | Range | After results | Delivery | 10 sessions on | vs Nifty |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 look at | USHAMARTUsha Martin Ltd. | 92.1 | 51% | ₹426.55 | +37.2% | +35.0% | — | 100% | +9.2% | +5.1 pp | +5.7% | +6.7% |
| 2 look at | ADANIPOWERAdani Power Ltd. | 92.0 | 51% | ₹141.88 | +32.2% | +30.1% | +30.9% | 100% | +5.2% | +6.0 pp | +7.1% | +8.1% |
| 3 look at | TVSMOTORTVS Motor Company Ltd. | 90.6 | 51% | ₹3,529.40 | +534.8% | +532.7% | +518.7% | 98% | +14.5% | +1.6 pp | -0.5% | +0.5% |
| 4 look at | GABRIELGabriel India Ltd. | 89.8 | 51% | ₹1,282.70 | +116.6% | +114.4% | +100.4% | 95% | +8.9% | +2.1 pp | -0.3% | +0.7% |
| 5 look at | IMFAIndian Metals & Ferro Alloys Limited | 89.7 | 51% | ₹1,070.95 | +49.3% | +47.1% | — | 96% | +12.4% | +3.7 pp | +8.6% | +9.6% |
| 777 stay away | HIKALHikal Limited | 6.5 | 52% | ₹269.40 | -25.1% | -27.3% | — | 17% | -13.8% | -5.5 pp | -6.0% | -5.1% |
| 778 stay away | NAZARANazara Technologies Limited | 5.7 | 52% | ₹270.88 | -16.6% | -18.8% | — | 2% | -18.0% | -3.2 pp | +3.1% | +4.1% |
| 779 stay away | NEWGENNewgen Software Technologies Ltd. | 5.6 | 52% | ₹915.50 | -23.2% | -25.3% | -17.8% | 26% | -18.1% | -16.0 pp | -3.6% | -2.6% |
| 780 stay away | RPOWERReliance Power Ltd. | 4.3 | 52% | ₹48.04 | -24.4% | -26.5% | -25.7% | 21% | -24.7% | -12.3 pp | -5.6% | -4.6% |
| 781 stay away | RELINFRAReliance Infrastructure Limited | 1.8 | 52% | ₹258.00 | -32.6% | -34.8% | — | 6% | -18.6% | — | -5.5% | -4.5% |
Score ranks every name on six checks over three months, each placed from first to last across the field, then blended: the move and the move against Nifty 30% (on one day and one period they order the field the same way, so they count once), against the sector 20%, where the close sits between the period's high and low 20%, the move against Nifty in the ten sessions after each result in the period 15% (* its last result before the period when there was none), and delivery over the second half of the period against the first half 15%. A missing check's weight is shared among the rest. Chance is the historical rate at which names ranked in the same tenth on this period went the way that tenth leans — blank until a tenth has a hundred judged rows. Every call is judged ten sessions after the close against Nifty, whatever the period.