The daily read from the close of 12 Sep 2025
Computed on the morning of 13 Sep 2025 (simulated: computed after the fact, standing on that close with only what was known then): 780 names ranked. Judged ten sessions later: the names to look at averaged +2.0% vs Nifty (3 of 5 beat it), the names to stay away from averaged +0.3% (1 of 5 trailed it), the whole field +1.1%.
The read from the close of 12 Sep 2025 · Quarter
Our calculation, not advice.
Follow in my book
rank 1 of 779
GABRIEL
Gabriel India Ltd. · AUTO
▲ Look at
95.3
score /100rank 1 of 779
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,231.30close 12 Sep
Upside reference₹1,342.23+9.0% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹1,164.07-5.5% · its typical 10-session fall
+98.3% over three months · +97.4% vs Nifty · +83.6% vs its sector · 95% of its three-month range · after results +8.9% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +0.5% (+2.3% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 2 of 779
IMFA
Indian Metals & Ferro Alloys Limited
▲ Look at
93.4
score /100rank 2 of 779
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,031.00close 12 Sep
Upside reference₹1,105.68+7.2% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹979.68-5.0% · its typical 10-session fall
+44.2% over three months · +43.3% vs Nifty · 99% of its three-month range · after results +12.4% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +8.9% (+10.8% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 3 of 779
TFCILTD
Tourism Finance Corporation of India Limited
▲ Look at
91.7
score /100rank 3 of 779
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹72.86close 12 Sep
Upside reference₹79.31+8.9% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹68.42-6.1% · its typical 10-session fall
+65.2% over three months · +64.3% vs Nifty · 100% of its three-month range · after results +12.2% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -0.4% (+1.5% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 4 of 779
NAVA
Nava Ltd. · ENERGY
▲ Look at
91.3
score /100rank 4 of 779
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹703.85close 12 Sep
Upside reference₹758.08+7.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹665.96-5.4% · its typical 10-session fall
+25.6% over three months · +24.7% vs Nifty · +28.4% vs its sector · 95% of its three-month range · after results +21.3% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -2.9% (-1.1% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 5 of 779
AIIL
Authum Investment & Infrastructure Ltd. · FINANCIAL SERVICES
▲ Look at
89.9
score /100rank 5 of 779
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹626.96close 12 Sep
Upside reference₹666.80+6.4% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹599.62-4.4% · its typical 10-session fall
+25.5% over three months · +24.6% vs Nifty · +26.3% vs its sector · 88% of its three-month range · after results +9.2% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -5.4% (-3.6% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 779 of 779
RELINFRA
Reliance Infrastructure Limited
▼ Stay away
0.6
score /100rank 779 of 779
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹248.20close 12 Sep
Upside reference₹265.85+7.1% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹225.99-8.9% · its typical 10-session fall
-37.2% over three months · -38.1% vs Nifty · 0% of its three-month range · after results -18.6% vs Nifty
10 sessions on: -0.4% (+1.4% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 778 of 779
HIKAL
Hikal Limited
▼ Stay away
5.7
score /100rank 778 of 779
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹257.45close 12 Sep
Upside reference₹268.17+4.2% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹243.02-5.6% · its typical 10-session fall
-32.1% over three months · -33.0% vs Nifty · 6% of its three-month range · after results -13.8% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -0.9% (+0.9% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 777 of 779
NEWGEN
Newgen Software Technologies Ltd. · IT
▼ Stay away
6.8
score /100rank 777 of 779
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹887.50close 12 Sep
Upside reference₹952.30+7.3% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹833.37-6.1% · its typical 10-session fall
-24.5% over three months · -25.4% vs Nifty · -18.4% vs its sector · 17% of its three-month range · after results -18.1% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +0.1% (+2.0% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 776 of 779
IONEXCHANG
ION Exchange (India) Limited
▼ Stay away
8.3
score /100rank 776 of 779
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹413.30close 12 Sep
Upside reference₹432.10+4.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹395.83-4.2% · its typical 10-session fall
-24.6% over three months · -25.5% vs Nifty · 2% of its three-month range · after results -8.7% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -1.6% (+0.2% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 775 of 779
MARKSANS
Marksans Pharma Limited
▼ Stay away
8.5
score /100rank 775 of 779
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹172.93close 12 Sep
Upside reference₹184.93+6.9% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹159.90-7.5% · its typical 10-session fall
-33.5% over three months · -34.4% vs Nifty · 6% of its three-month range · after results -9.5% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -4.9% (-3.1% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Session by session · the full window
| Name | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 | T+4 | T+5 | T+6 | T+7 | T+8 | T+9 | T+10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ Names to look at — move vs Nifty since the close; green while ahead | ||||||||||
| GABRIELGabriel India Ltd. | +6.0% | +6.5% | +5.6% | +0.1% | +3.3% | +4.0% | +4.5% | +4.6% | +2.7% | +2.3% |
| IMFAIndian Metals & Ferro Alloys Limited | +1.4% | -1.3% | +0.5% | +4.3% | +3.0% | +7.7%▲ | +12.5%▲ | +14.2%▲ | +13.3%▲ | +10.8%▲ |
| TFCILTDTourism Finance Corporation of India Limited | -0.7% | -0.7% | -1.8% | -1.4% | -1.5% | -1.4% | -0.3% | +0.3% | +0.7% | +1.5% |
| NAVANava Ltd. | +0.3% | +1.0% | -0.6% | +0.3% | +1.1% | +0.5% | +0.7% | +0.1% | -0.5% | -1.1% |
| AIILAuthum Investment & Infrastructure Ltd. | +4.7% | +4.3% | +3.6% | +0.8% | -0.0% | -3.5% | -4.0% | -2.2% | -3.3% | -3.6% |
| ▼ Names to stay away from — move vs Nifty since the close; green while behind | ||||||||||
| RELINFRAReliance Infrastructure Limited | +0.1% | +4.4% | +8.5% | +6.5% | +3.1% | +6.6% | +6.5% | +3.8% | +2.8% | +1.4% |
| HIKALHikal Limited | +0.9% | +3.6% | +3.9% | +2.5% | +3.8% | +1.8% | +0.8% | +1.2% | +1.3% | +0.9% |
| NEWGENNewgen Software Technologies Ltd. | -0.0% | -0.8% | -1.2% | +2.3% | +2.3% | +0.8% | -0.6% | -1.1% | +3.4% | +2.0% |
| IONEXCHANGION Exchange (India) Limited | +3.8% | +2.7% | +1.5% | +0.8% | +1.9% | +3.5% | +2.6% | +2.2% | +0.5% | +0.2% |
| MARKSANSMarksans Pharma Limited | +1.1% | +1.3% | +2.8% | +1.9% | +2.7% | +0.4% | -1.2% | -1.4% | -1.2% | -3.1% |
| Look at, ahead of Nifty | 4/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 4/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 4/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 |
| … on the record | 49% | 50% | 52% | 52% | 52% | 51% | 51% | 51% | 50% | 50% |
| Stay away, behind Nifty | 1/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 0/5 | 0/5 | 0/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 |
| … on the record | 55% | 55% | 54% | 54% | 55% | 55% | 54% | 54% | 55% | 54% |
| Spread, look-at minus stay-away | +1.2% | -0.3% | -1.6% | -2.0% | -1.6% | -1.2% | +1.0% | +2.5% | +1.2% | +1.7% |
| … on the record | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Each cell is the name's move from the close of 12 Sep minus Nifty's over the same sessions, at that session's close. A ▲ or ▼ marks the first session by which the card's upside or downside reference had printed. The on the record rows are what every past call has done at that point — 1,865 calls a side — so a day can be read against what usually happens, not just against zero. Sessions are the name's own; a name that did not trade on a day is measured on the sessions it did.
The whole field · top 50 and bottom 50
| Rank | Company | Score | Chance | Close | Move, three months | vs Nifty | vs sector | Range | After results | Delivery | 10 sessions on | vs Nifty |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 look at | GABRIELGabriel India Ltd. | 95.3 | 51% | ₹1,231.30 | +98.3% | +97.4% | +83.6% | 95% | +8.9% | +7.6 pp | +0.5% | +2.3% |
| 2 look at | IMFAIndian Metals & Ferro Alloys Limited | 93.4 | 51% | ₹1,031.00 | +44.2% | +43.3% | — | 99% | +12.4% | +5.3 pp | +8.9% | +10.8% |
| 3 look at | TFCILTDTourism Finance Corporation of India Limited | 91.7 | 51% | ₹72.86 | +65.2% | +64.3% | — | 100% | +12.2% | +3.0 pp | -0.4% | +1.5% |
| 4 look at | NAVANava Ltd. | 91.3 | 51% | ₹703.85 | +25.6% | +24.7% | +28.4% | 95% | +21.3% | +4.4 pp | -2.9% | -1.1% |
| 5 look at | AIILAuthum Investment & Infrastructure Ltd. | 89.9 | 51% | ₹626.96 | +25.5% | +24.6% | +26.3% | 88% | +9.2% | +5.2 pp | -5.4% | -3.6% |
| 775 stay away | MARKSANSMarksans Pharma Limited | 8.5 | 52% | ₹172.93 | -33.5% | -34.4% | — | 6% | -9.5% | -2.7 pp | -4.9% | -3.1% |
| 776 stay away | IONEXCHANGION Exchange (India) Limited | 8.3 | 52% | ₹413.30 | -24.6% | -25.5% | — | 2% | -8.7% | -3.2 pp | -1.6% | +0.2% |
| 777 stay away | NEWGENNewgen Software Technologies Ltd. | 6.8 | 52% | ₹887.50 | -24.5% | -25.4% | -18.4% | 17% | -18.1% | -10.9 pp | +0.1% | +2.0% |
| 778 stay away | HIKALHikal Limited | 5.7 | 52% | ₹257.45 | -32.1% | -33.0% | — | 6% | -13.8% | -4.5 pp | -0.9% | +0.9% |
| 779 stay away | RELINFRAReliance Infrastructure Limited | 0.6 | 52% | ₹248.20 | -37.2% | -38.1% | — | 0% | -18.6% | — | -0.4% | +1.4% |
Score ranks every name on six checks over three months, each placed from first to last across the field, then blended: the move and the move against Nifty 30% (on one day and one period they order the field the same way, so they count once), against the sector 20%, where the close sits between the period's high and low 20%, the move against Nifty in the ten sessions after each result in the period 15% (* its last result before the period when there was none), and delivery over the second half of the period against the first half 15%. A missing check's weight is shared among the rest. Chance is the historical rate at which names ranked in the same tenth on this period went the way that tenth leans — blank until a tenth has a hundred judged rows. Every call is judged ten sessions after the close against Nifty, whatever the period.