The daily read from the close of 3 Sep 2025
Computed on the morning of 4 Sep 2025 (simulated: computed after the fact, standing on that close with only what was known then): 771 names ranked. Judged ten sessions later: the names to look at averaged -0.8% vs Nifty (2 of 5 beat it), the names to stay away from averaged -2.1% (4 of 5 trailed it), the whole field -1.4%.
The read from the close of 3 Sep 2025 · Half year
Our calculation, not advice.
Follow in my book
rank 1 of 770
CENTUM
Centum Electronics Limited
▲ Look at
95.9
score /100rank 1 of 770
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹2,806.70close 3 Sep
Upside reference₹3,036.60+8.2% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹2,630.16-6.3% · its typical 10-session fall
+141.5% over six months · +129.8% vs Nifty · 98% of its six-month range · after results +21.2% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -3.9% (-6.4% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 2 of 770
GABRIEL
Gabriel India Ltd. · AUTO
▲ Look at
93.3
score /100rank 2 of 770
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,223.00close 3 Sep
Upside reference₹1,329.49+8.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹1,157.89-5.3% · its typical 10-session fall
+169.4% over six months · +157.7% vs Nifty · +143.9% vs its sector · 95% of its six-month range · after results +7.1% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +7.2% (+4.7% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 3 of 770
CARYSIL
CARYSIL LIMITED
▲ Look at
92.9
score /100rank 3 of 770
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹897.95close 3 Sep
Upside reference₹947.27+5.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹853.70-4.9% · its typical 10-session fall
+77.7% over six months · +65.9% vs Nifty · 93% of its six-month range · after results +20.5% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +0.7% (-1.8% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 4 of 770
TFCILTD
Tourism Finance Corporation of India Limited
▲ Look at
92.4
score /100rank 4 of 770
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹67.32close 3 Sep
Upside reference₹73.05+8.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹63.22-6.1% · its typical 10-session fall
+137.4% over six months · +125.6% vs Nifty · 100% of its six-month range · after results +8.7% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +7.2% (+4.7% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 5 of 770
CCL
CCL Products (I) Ltd. · FMCG
▲ Look at
92.2
score /100rank 5 of 770
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹933.20close 3 Sep
Upside reference₹993.80+6.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹894.07-4.2% · its typical 10-session fall
+61.4% over six months · +49.7% vs Nifty · +49.2% vs its sector · 100% of its six-month range · after results +18.3% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -2.9% (-5.4% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 770 of 770
RAYMOND
Raymond Limited
▼ Stay away
2.1
score /100rank 770 of 770
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹615.05close 3 Sep
Upside reference₹653.10+6.2% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹578.94-5.9% · its typical 10-session fall
-51.3% over six months · -63.0% vs Nifty · 6% of its six-month range · after results -32.0% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +1.2% (-1.3% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 769 of 770
ORIENTCEM
Orient Cement Limited
▼ Stay away
2.9
score /100rank 769 of 770
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹225.16close 3 Sep
Upside reference₹231.71+2.9% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹219.85-2.4% · its typical 10-session fall
-31.9% over six months · -43.6% vs Nifty · 6% of its six-month range · after results -7.0% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +1.6% (-0.9% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 768 of 770
JAIBALAJI
Jai Balaji Industries Limited
▼ Stay away
4.4
score /100rank 768 of 770
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹103.68close 3 Sep
Upside reference₹110.51+6.6% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹97.43-6.0% · its typical 10-session fall
-19.7% over six months · -31.4% vs Nifty · 7% of its six-month range · after results -7.1% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -0.4% (-2.9% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 767 of 770
PGEL
PG Electroplast Ltd. · CONSUMER DURABLES
▼ Stay away
4.5
score /100rank 767 of 770
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹553.20close 3 Sep
Upside reference₹596.97+7.9% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹526.85-4.8% · its typical 10-session fall
-31.4% over six months · -43.1% vs Nifty · -45.9% vs its sector · 14% of its six-month range · after results -9.8% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +2.9% (+0.4% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 766 of 770
REFEX
Refex Industries Limited
▼ Stay away
5.7
score /100rank 766 of 770
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹368.00close 3 Sep
Upside reference₹403.64+9.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹345.72-6.1% · its typical 10-session fall
-3.1% over six months · -14.8% vs Nifty · 6% of its six-month range · after results -15.2% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -3.1% (-5.6% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Session by session · the full window
| Name | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 | T+4 | T+5 | T+6 | T+7 | T+8 | T+9 | T+10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ Names to look at — move vs Nifty since the close; green while ahead | ||||||||||
| CENTUMCentum Electronics Limited | +0.3% | +5.6% | +5.2% | -0.9% | -6.8% | -8.8% | -5.2% | -5.9% | -6.2% | -6.4% |
| GABRIELGabriel India Ltd. | -0.1% | -1.8% | -0.4% | +2.3% | +2.2% | +0.5% | -0.9% | +5.1% | +5.6% | +4.7% |
| CARYSILCARYSIL LIMITED | -0.5% | +6.7%▲ | +4.8%▲ | +3.5%▲ | +3.8%▲ | +5.4%▲ | +3.4%▲ | +2.7%▲ | +1.8%▲ | -1.8%▲ |
| TFCILTDTourism Finance Corporation of India Limited | +1.1% | +2.7% | +3.0% | +4.9% | +5.4% | +6.4% | +6.6% | +5.8% | +5.9% | +4.7% |
| CCLCCL Products (I) Ltd. | -1.0% | -1.7% | -3.6% | -4.7% | -2.7% | -4.5% | -6.5% | -4.6% | -3.9% | -5.4% |
| ▼ Names to stay away from — move vs Nifty since the close; green while behind | ||||||||||
| RAYMONDRaymond Limited | -0.8% | -0.7% | -1.4% | -1.1% | +0.2% | -0.5% | -1.7% | -0.3% | +0.0% | -1.3% |
| ORIENTCEMOrient Cement Limited | +0.5% | -0.6% | -1.4% | -1.8% | -2.6% | -2.1% | -3.7% | -2.6% | -1.6% | -0.9% |
| JAIBALAJIJai Balaji Industries Limited | -2.5% | -1.7% | -2.6% | -4.0% | -4.6% | -4.8% | -4.7% | -0.8% | -3.9% | -2.9% |
| PGELPG Electroplast Ltd. | +0.2% | +0.1% | -0.5% | +1.7% | +2.4% | +1.9% | +1.4% | +2.2% | +0.9% | +0.4% |
| REFEXRefex Industries Limited | -0.6% | -1.4% | -1.8% | -6.5% | -4.8% | -5.1% | -6.0% | -5.0% | -4.9% | -5.6% |
| Look at, ahead of Nifty | 2/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 |
| … on the record | 49% | 49% | 48% | 47% | 47% | 47% | 48% | 48% | 48% | 48% |
| Stay away, behind Nifty | 3/5 | 4/5 | 5/5 | 4/5 | 3/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 3/5 | 4/5 |
| … on the record | 58% | 57% | 58% | 58% | 58% | 59% | 59% | 58% | 59% | 59% |
| Spread, look-at minus stay-away | +0.6% | +3.1% | +3.4% | +3.4% | +2.3% | +1.9% | +2.4% | +1.9% | +2.5% | +1.2% |
| … on the record | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Each cell is the name's move from the close of 3 Sep minus Nifty's over the same sessions, at that session's close. A ▲ or ▼ marks the first session by which the card's upside or downside reference had printed. The on the record rows are what every past call has done at that point — 1,865 calls a side — so a day can be read against what usually happens, not just against zero. Sessions are the name's own; a name that did not trade on a day is measured on the sessions it did.
The whole field · top 50 and bottom 50
| Rank | Company | Score | Chance | Close | Move, six months | vs Nifty | vs sector | Range | After results | Delivery | 10 sessions on | vs Nifty |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 look at | CENTUMCentum Electronics Limited | 95.9 | 50% | ₹2,806.70 | +141.5% | +129.8% | — | 98% | +21.2% | +9.2 pp | -3.9% | -6.4% |
| 2 look at | GABRIELGabriel India Ltd. | 93.3 | 50% | ₹1,223.00 | +169.4% | +157.7% | +143.9% | 95% | +7.1% | +6.9 pp | +7.2% | +4.7% |
| 3 look at | CARYSILCARYSIL LIMITED | 92.9 | 50% | ₹897.95 | +77.7% | +65.9% | — | 93% | +20.5% | +9.8 pp | +0.7% | -1.8% |
| 4 look at | TFCILTDTourism Finance Corporation of India Limited | 92.4 | 50% | ₹67.32 | +137.4% | +125.6% | — | 100% | +8.7% | +4.5 pp | +7.2% | +4.7% |
| 5 look at | CCLCCL Products (I) Ltd. | 92.2 | 50% | ₹933.20 | +61.4% | +49.7% | +49.2% | 100% | +18.3% | +6.4 pp | -2.9% | -5.4% |
| 766 stay away | REFEXRefex Industries Limited | 5.7 | 55% | ₹368.00 | -3.1% | -14.8% | — | 6% | -15.2% | -11.4 pp | -3.1% | -5.6% |
| 767 stay away | PGELPG Electroplast Ltd. | 4.5 | 55% | ₹553.20 | -31.4% | -43.1% | -45.9% | 14% | -9.8% | -5.9 pp | +2.9% | +0.4% |
| 768 stay away | JAIBALAJIJai Balaji Industries Limited | 4.4 | 55% | ₹103.68 | -19.7% | -31.4% | — | 7% | -7.1% | -9.6 pp | -0.4% | -2.9% |
| 769 stay away | ORIENTCEMOrient Cement Limited | 2.9 | 55% | ₹225.16 | -31.9% | -43.6% | — | 6% | -7.0% | -22.2 pp | +1.6% | -0.9% |
| 770 stay away | RAYMONDRaymond Limited | 2.1 | 55% | ₹615.05 | -51.3% | -63.0% | — | 6% | -32.0% | -8.7 pp | +1.2% | -1.3% |
Score ranks every name on six checks over six months, each placed from first to last across the field, then blended: the move and the move against Nifty 30% (on one day and one period they order the field the same way, so they count once), against the sector 20%, where the close sits between the period's high and low 20%, the move against Nifty in the ten sessions after each result in the period 15% (* its last result before the period when there was none), and delivery over the second half of the period against the first half 15%. A missing check's weight is shared among the rest. Chance is the historical rate at which names ranked in the same tenth on this period went the way that tenth leans — blank until a tenth has a hundred judged rows. Every call is judged ten sessions after the close against Nifty, whatever the period.