The daily read from the close of 4 Mar 2026
Computed on the morning of 5 Mar 2026 (simulated: computed after the fact, standing on that close with only what was known then): 747 names ranked. Judged ten sessions later: the names to look at averaged -0.3% vs Nifty (2 of 5 beat it), the names to stay away from averaged +1.2% (3 of 5 trailed it), the whole field +0.5%.
The read from the close of 4 Mar 2026 · Year
Our calculation, not advice.
Follow in my book
rank 1 of 746
MCX
Multi Commodity Exchange of India Ltd. · FINANCIAL SERVICES
▲ Look at
94.4
score /100rank 1 of 746
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹2,478.50close 4 Mar
Upside reference₹2,625.77+5.9% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹2,337.52-5.7% · its typical 10-session fall
+168.5% over the year · +157.6% vs Nifty · +151.1% vs its sector · 88% of its year range · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +5.0% (+7.9% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 2 of 746
TVSMOTOR
TVS Motor Company Ltd. · AUTO
▲ Look at
89.7
score /100rank 2 of 746
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹3,746.70close 4 Mar
Upside reference₹3,903.72+4.2% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹3,675.66-1.9% · its typical 10-session fall
+716.7% over the year · +705.8% vs Nifty · +684.1% vs its sector · 94% of its year range · after results +2.5% vs Nifty (avg of 4) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -4.6% (-1.8% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 3 of 746
POLYCAB
Polycab India Ltd.
▲ Look at
88.9
score /100rank 3 of 746
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹8,284.00close 4 Mar
Upside reference₹8,548.26+3.2% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹8,069.44-2.6% · its typical 10-session fall
+68.9% over the year · +58.0% vs Nifty · 91% of its year range · after results +1.9% vs Nifty (avg of 4) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -11.0% (-8.1% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 4 of 746
TFCILTD
Tourism Finance Corporation of India Limited
▲ Look at
88.5
score /100rank 4 of 746
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹68.88close 4 Mar
Upside reference₹74.04+7.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹66.58-3.3% · its typical 10-session fall
+130.6% over the year · +119.7% vs Nifty · 81% of its year range · after results +6.8% vs Nifty (avg of 4) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -3.7% (-0.8% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 5 of 746
RBLBANK
RBL Bank Ltd. · PRIVATE BANK
▲ Look at
88.4
score /100rank 5 of 746
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹306.05close 4 Mar
Upside reference₹321.91+5.2% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹299.54-2.1% · its typical 10-session fall
+98.1% over the year · +87.2% vs Nifty · +82.2% vs its sector · 85% of its year range · after results +3.1% vs Nifty (avg of 4) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -1.5% (+1.3% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 746 of 746
VPRPL
Vishnu Prakash R Punglia Limited
▼ Stay away
3.6
score /100rank 746 of 746
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹41.40close 4 Mar
Upside reference₹43.64+5.4% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹38.25-7.6% · its typical 10-session fall
-73.9% over the year · -84.8% vs Nifty · 0% of its year range · after results -13.2% vs Nifty (avg of 4) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -5.0% (-2.2% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 745 of 746
REFEX
Refex Industries Limited
▼ Stay away
4.2
score /100rank 745 of 746
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹202.44close 4 Mar
Upside reference₹213.79+5.6% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹190.31-6.0% · its typical 10-session fall
-46.9% over the year · -57.7% vs Nifty · 0% of its year range · after results -11.6% vs Nifty (avg of 4) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +2.2% (+5.0% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 744 of 746
SHAKTIPUMP
Shakti Pumps (India) Limited
▼ Stay away
5.3
score /100rank 744 of 746
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹485.55close 4 Mar
Upside reference₹511.11+5.3% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹459.46-5.4% · its typical 10-session fall
-38.8% over the year · -49.7% vs Nifty · 0% of its year range · after results -10.8% vs Nifty (avg of 4) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +5.3% (+8.2% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 743 of 746
ORIENTCEM
Orient Cement Limited
▼ Stay away
5.6
score /100rank 743 of 746
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹146.82close 4 Mar
Upside reference₹150.80+2.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹141.67-3.5% · its typical 10-session fall
-55.2% over the year · -66.0% vs Nifty · 0% of its year range · after results -8.1% vs Nifty (avg of 4) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -5.1% (-2.2% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 742 of 746
FIVESTAR
Five-Star Business Finance Ltd. · FINANCIAL SERVICES
▼ Stay away
6.5
score /100rank 742 of 746
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹399.45close 4 Mar
Upside reference₹412.58+3.3% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹379.98-4.9% · its typical 10-session fall
-42.6% over the year · -53.5% vs Nifty · -59.9% vs its sector · 0% of its year range · after results -8.5% vs Nifty (avg of 4) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -5.7% (-2.8% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Session by session · the full window
| Name | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 | T+4 | T+5 | T+6 | T+7 | T+8 | T+9 | T+10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ Names to look at — move vs Nifty since the close; green while ahead | ||||||||||
| MCXMulti Commodity Exchange of India Ltd. | +1.9% | +2.4% | +5.8% | +4.9% | +4.6% | +5.4% | +6.2% | +7.5% | +11.5%▲ | +7.9%▲ |
| TVSMOTORTVS Motor Company Ltd. | +0.7% | +1.1% | -1.3% | +1.9% | -1.4% | -5.2% | -5.8% | -5.5% | -3.1% | -1.8% |
| POLYCABPolycab India Ltd. | +2.2%▲ | +3.4%▲ | +1.2%▲ | -5.9%▲ | -7.8%▲ | -6.6%▲ | -7.7%▲ | -9.6%▲ | -9.8%▲ | -8.1%▲ |
| TFCILTDTourism Finance Corporation of India Limited | -1.7% | -2.7% | -5.7% | -2.5% | -1.6% | -3.6% | -3.3% | -0.4% | -1.0% | -0.8% |
| RBLBANKRBL Bank Ltd. | +0.2% | -0.6% | -0.8% | +1.7% | -0.2% | +1.4% | +1.7% | +1.1% | +0.9% | +1.3% |
| ▼ Names to stay away from — move vs Nifty since the close; green while behind | ||||||||||
| VPRPLVishnu Prakash R Punglia Limited | -0.3% | +1.2% | -2.4% | -5.9% | +1.0% | +0.8% | -2.6%▼ | -7.2%▼ | -8.5%▼ | -2.2%▼ |
| REFEXRefex Industries Limited | +4.9% | +8.0% | +5.3% | +4.7% | +6.3% | +6.3% | +3.3% | -0.0% | +0.7% | +5.0% |
| SHAKTIPUMPShakti Pumps (India) Limited | +0.0% | +1.8% | +0.0% | +1.8% | +11.3% | +11.8% | +8.6% | +5.9% | +5.7% | +8.2% |
| ORIENTCEMOrient Cement Limited | -0.3% | -0.9% | -2.8%▼ | -1.2%▼ | +0.1%▼ | -1.2%▼ | -3.8%▼ | -4.8%▼ | -3.3%▼ | -2.2%▼ |
| FIVESTARFive-Star Business Finance Ltd. | +1.0% | +1.8% | -2.0% | -2.0% | -2.2% | -4.2%▼ | -6.1%▼ | -6.0%▼ | -7.4%▼ | -2.8%▼ |
| Look at, ahead of Nifty | 4/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 1/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 |
| … on the record | 50% | 50% | 51% | 51% | 53% | 52% | 52% | 52% | 52% | 52% |
| Stay away, behind Nifty | 2/5 | 1/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 1/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 4/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 |
| … on the record | 58% | 59% | 58% | 58% | 59% | 60% | 60% | 61% | 61% | 62% |
| Spread, look-at minus stay-away | -0.4% | -1.7% | +0.2% | +0.6% | -4.6% | -4.4% | -1.6% | +1.0% | +2.2% | -1.5% |
| … on the record | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Each cell is the name's move from the close of 4 Mar minus Nifty's over the same sessions, at that session's close. A ▲ or ▼ marks the first session by which the card's upside or downside reference had printed. The on the record rows are what every past call has done at that point — 1,865 calls a side — so a day can be read against what usually happens, not just against zero. Sessions are the name's own; a name that did not trade on a day is measured on the sessions it did.
The whole field · top 50 and bottom 50
| Rank | Company | Score | Chance | Close | Move, the year | vs Nifty | vs sector | Range | After results | Delivery | 10 sessions on | vs Nifty |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 look at | MCXMulti Commodity Exchange of India Ltd. | 94.4 | 53% | ₹2,478.50 | +168.5% | +157.6% | +151.1% | 88% | — | +5.1 pp | +5.0% | +7.9% |
| 2 look at | TVSMOTORTVS Motor Company Ltd. | 89.7 | 53% | ₹3,746.70 | +716.7% | +705.8% | +684.1% | 94% | +2.5% | +2.6 pp | -4.6% | -1.8% |
| 3 look at | POLYCABPolycab India Ltd. | 88.9 | 53% | ₹8,284.00 | +68.9% | +58.0% | — | 91% | +1.9% | +8.0 pp | -11.0% | -8.1% |
| 4 look at | TFCILTDTourism Finance Corporation of India Limited | 88.5 | 53% | ₹68.88 | +130.6% | +119.7% | — | 81% | +6.8% | +3.1 pp | -3.7% | -0.8% |
| 5 look at | RBLBANKRBL Bank Ltd. | 88.4 | 53% | ₹306.05 | +98.1% | +87.2% | +82.2% | 85% | +3.1% | +3.2 pp | -1.5% | +1.3% |
| 742 stay away | FIVESTARFive-Star Business Finance Ltd. | 6.5 | 58% | ₹399.45 | -42.6% | -53.5% | -59.9% | 0% | -8.5% | -3.6 pp | -5.7% | -2.8% |
| 743 stay away | ORIENTCEMOrient Cement Limited | 5.6 | 58% | ₹146.82 | -55.2% | -66.0% | — | 0% | -8.1% | -6.4 pp | -5.1% | -2.2% |
| 744 stay away | SHAKTIPUMPShakti Pumps (India) Limited | 5.3 | 58% | ₹485.55 | -38.8% | -49.7% | — | 0% | -10.8% | -10.8 pp | +5.3% | +8.2% |
| 745 stay away | REFEXRefex Industries Limited | 4.2 | 58% | ₹202.44 | -46.9% | -57.7% | — | 0% | -11.6% | -14.6 pp | +2.2% | +5.0% |
| 746 stay away | VPRPLVishnu Prakash R Punglia Limited | 3.6 | 58% | ₹41.40 | -73.9% | -84.8% | — | 0% | -13.2% | -9.7 pp | -5.0% | -2.2% |
Score ranks every name on six checks over the year, each placed from first to last across the field, then blended: the move and the move against Nifty 30% (on one day and one period they order the field the same way, so they count once), against the sector 20%, where the close sits between the period's high and low 20%, the move against Nifty in the ten sessions after each result in the period 15% (* its last result before the period when there was none), and delivery over the second half of the period against the first half 15%. A missing check's weight is shared among the rest. Chance is the historical rate at which names ranked in the same tenth on this period went the way that tenth leans — blank until a tenth has a hundred judged rows. Every call is judged ten sessions after the close against Nifty, whatever the period.