The daily read from the close of 4 Feb 2026
Computed on the morning of 5 Feb 2026 (simulated: computed after the fact, standing on that close with only what was known then): 750 names ranked. Judged ten sessions later: the names to look at averaged +1.3% vs Nifty (3 of 5 beat it), the names to stay away from averaged -3.9% (3 of 5 trailed it), the whole field -1.3%.
The read from the close of 4 Feb 2026 · Half year
Our calculation, not advice.
Follow in my book
rank 1 of 750
MCX
Multi Commodity Exchange of India Ltd. · FINANCIAL SERVICES
▲ Look at
92.2
score /100rank 1 of 750
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹2,543.30close 4 Feb
Upside reference₹2,695.01+6.0% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹2,414.15-5.1% · its typical 10-session fall
+59.4% over six months · +55.1% vs Nifty · +54.4% vs its sector · 88% of its six-month range · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -7.9% (-8.1% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 2 of 750
RATEGAIN
Rategain Travel Technologies Limited
▲ Look at
89.5
score /100rank 2 of 750
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹628.85close 4 Feb
Upside reference₹663.39+5.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹597.55-5.0% · its typical 10-session fall
+42.9% over six months · +38.7% vs Nifty · 68% of its six-month range · after results +13.1% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -10.4% (-10.6% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 3 of 750
SHRIRAMFIN
Shriram Finance Ltd. · FINANCIAL SERVICES
▲ Look at
89.5
score /100rank 3 of 750
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹998.80close 4 Feb
Upside reference₹1,053.47+5.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹964.71-3.4% · its typical 10-session fall
+59.8% over six months · +55.6% vs Nifty · +54.8% vs its sector · 95% of its six-month range · after results +4.6% vs Nifty (avg of 2)
10 sessions on: +7.7% (+7.6% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 4 of 750
VTL
Vardhman Textiles Ltd.
▲ Look at
89.3
score /100rank 4 of 750
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹491.60close 4 Feb
Upside reference₹514.59+4.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹470.07-4.4% · its typical 10-session fall
+17.9% over six months · +13.7% vs Nifty · 83% of its six-month range · after results +12.8% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +3.7% (+3.5% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 5 of 750
SBIN
State Bank of India · BANK
▲ Look at
88.8
score /100rank 5 of 750
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,068.20close 4 Feb
Upside reference₹1,098.40+2.8% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹1,046.09-2.1% · its typical 10-session fall
+34.2% over six months · +30.0% vs Nifty · +25.9% vs its sector · 97% of its six-month range · after results -0.4% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +14.1% (+13.9% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 750 of 750
TARIL
Transformers And Rectifiers (India) Ltd.
▼ Stay away
3.1
score /100rank 750 of 750
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹255.86close 4 Feb
Upside reference₹269.88+5.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹239.19-6.5% · its typical 10-session fall
-54.2% over six months · -58.5% vs Nifty · 8% of its six-month range · after results -22.7% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +17.2% (+17.0% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 749 of 750
VPRPL
Vishnu Prakash R Punglia Limited
▼ Stay away
3.2
score /100rank 749 of 750
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹49.12close 4 Feb
Upside reference₹51.60+5.0% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹45.18-8.0% · its typical 10-session fall
-68.8% over six months · -73.0% vs Nifty · 4% of its six-month range · after results -17.7% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -7.6% (-7.8% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 748 of 750
RELINFRA
Reliance Infrastructure Limited
▼ Stay away
4.1
score /100rank 748 of 750
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹132.66close 4 Feb
Upside reference₹142.09+7.1% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹121.65-8.3% · its typical 10-session fall
-55.2% over six months · -59.5% vs Nifty · 6% of its six-month range · after results -11.1% vs Nifty
10 sessions on: -17.8% (-18.0% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 747 of 750
BLUEJET
Blue Jet Healthcare Ltd. · HEALTHCARE INDEX
▼ Stay away
5.7
score /100rank 747 of 750
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹412.90close 4 Feb
Upside reference₹443.88+7.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹387.01-6.3% · its typical 10-session fall
-47.5% over six months · -51.8% vs Nifty · -45.2% vs its sector · 2% of its six-month range · after results -7.0% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -13.0% (-13.1% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 746 of 750
REFEX
Refex Industries Limited
▼ Stay away
5.8
score /100rank 746 of 750
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹237.03close 4 Feb
Upside reference₹249.96+5.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹222.83-6.0% · its typical 10-session fall
-44.1% over six months · -48.4% vs Nifty · 9% of its six-month range · after results -8.8% vs Nifty (avg of 3) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +2.4% (+2.2% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Session by session · the full window
| Name | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 | T+4 | T+5 | T+6 | T+7 | T+8 | T+9 | T+10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ Names to look at — move vs Nifty since the close; green while ahead | ||||||||||
| MCXMulti Commodity Exchange of India Ltd. | -4.7% | -6.1% | -4.6% | -3.5% | -7.4% | -4.1% | -6.8% | -7.6% | -10.0% | -8.1% |
| RATEGAINRategain Travel Technologies Limited | -3.2% | -7.0% | -5.9% | -6.3% | -6.7% | -9.3% | -11.7% | -14.0% | -7.8% | -10.6% |
| SHRIRAMFINShriram Finance Ltd. | -0.2% | +0.7% | +6.0%▲ | +4.4%▲ | +5.1%▲ | +8.3%▲ | +7.9%▲ | +9.0%▲ | +7.8%▲ | +7.6%▲ |
| VTLVardhman Textiles Ltd. | -0.8% | -1.6% | +2.8% | -1.3% | -3.3% | -1.7% | +5.0% | +3.8% | +3.1% | +3.5% |
| SBINState Bank of India | +1.0% | +0.2% | +6.9%▲ | +6.5%▲ | +10.0%▲ | +11.5%▲ | +13.4%▲ | +13.5%▲ | +13.8%▲ | +13.9%▲ |
| ▼ Names to stay away from — move vs Nifty since the close; green while behind | ||||||||||
| TARILTransformers And Rectifiers (India) Ltd. | -0.9% | -2.8% | +11.3% | +9.6% | +11.4% | +9.6% | +7.1% | +6.1% | +7.3% | +17.0% |
| VPRPLVishnu Prakash R Punglia Limited | -2.1% | -4.1% | +2.9% | +6.4% | +2.3% | +1.1% | -3.3% | -8.8%▼ | -6.4%▼ | -7.8%▼ |
| RELINFRAReliance Infrastructure Limited | -4.5% | -9.1%▼ | -12.3%▼ | -10.3%▼ | -14.1%▼ | -17.5%▼ | -20.3%▼ | -25.1%▼ | -21.5%▼ | -18.0%▼ |
| BLUEJETBlue Jet Healthcare Ltd. | -1.0% | -0.0% | +6.3% | +6.6% | +6.4% | +6.8% | -2.6% | -13.0%▼ | -12.2%▼ | -13.1%▼ |
| REFEXRefex Industries Limited | -1.3% | -3.6% | +0.8% | +5.9% | +4.2% | +2.5% | -0.8% | -1.1% | -0.0% | +2.2% |
| Look at, ahead of Nifty | 1/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 |
| … on the record | 49% | 49% | 48% | 47% | 47% | 47% | 48% | 48% | 48% | 48% |
| Stay away, behind Nifty | 5/5 | 5/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 3/5 |
| … on the record | 58% | 57% | 58% | 58% | 58% | 59% | 59% | 58% | 59% | 59% |
| Spread, look-at minus stay-away | +0.4% | +1.1% | -0.7% | -3.7% | -2.5% | +0.5% | +5.5% | +9.3% | +7.9% | +5.2% |
| … on the record | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Each cell is the name's move from the close of 4 Feb minus Nifty's over the same sessions, at that session's close. A ▲ or ▼ marks the first session by which the card's upside or downside reference had printed. The on the record rows are what every past call has done at that point — 1,865 calls a side — so a day can be read against what usually happens, not just against zero. Sessions are the name's own; a name that did not trade on a day is measured on the sessions it did.
The whole field · every name
| Rank | Company | Score | Chance | Close | Move, six months | vs Nifty | vs sector | Range | After results | Delivery | 10 sessions on | vs Nifty |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 look at | MCXMulti Commodity Exchange of India Ltd. | 92.2 | 50% | ₹2,543.30 | +59.4% | +55.1% | +54.4% | 88% | — | +2.4 pp | -7.9% | -8.1% |
| 2 look at | RATEGAINRategain Travel Technologies Limited | 89.5 | 50% | ₹628.85 | +42.9% | +38.7% | — | 68% | +13.1% | +4.2 pp | -10.4% | -10.6% |
| 3 look at | SHRIRAMFINShriram Finance Ltd. | 89.5 | 50% | ₹998.80 | +59.8% | +55.6% | +54.8% | 95% | +4.6% | +0.1 pp | +7.7% | +7.6% |
| 4 look at | VTLVardhman Textiles Ltd. | 89.3 | 50% | ₹491.60 | +17.9% | +13.7% | — | 83% | +12.8% | +8.2 pp | +3.7% | +3.5% |
| 5 look at | SBINState Bank of India | 88.8 | 50% | ₹1,068.20 | +34.2% | +30.0% | +25.9% | 97% | -0.4% | +8.3 pp | +14.1% | +13.9% |
| 746 stay away | REFEXRefex Industries Limited | 5.8 | 55% | ₹237.03 | -44.1% | -48.4% | — | 9% | -8.8% | -13.3 pp | +2.4% | +2.2% |
| 747 stay away | BLUEJETBlue Jet Healthcare Ltd. | 5.7 | 55% | ₹412.90 | -47.5% | -51.8% | -45.2% | 2% | -7.0% | -6.2 pp | -13.0% | -13.1% |
| 748 stay away | RELINFRAReliance Infrastructure Limited | 4.1 | 55% | ₹132.66 | -55.2% | -59.5% | — | 6% | -11.1% | — | -17.8% | -18.0% |
| 749 stay away | VPRPLVishnu Prakash R Punglia Limited | 3.2 | 55% | ₹49.12 | -68.8% | -73.0% | — | 4% | -17.7% | -10.1 pp | -7.6% | -7.8% |
| 750 stay away | TARILTransformers And Rectifiers (India) Ltd. | 3.1 | 55% | ₹255.86 | -54.2% | -58.5% | — | 8% | -22.7% | -20.7 pp | +17.2% | +17.0% |
Score ranks every name on six checks over six months, each placed from first to last across the field, then blended: the move and the move against Nifty 30% (on one day and one period they order the field the same way, so they count once), against the sector 20%, where the close sits between the period's high and low 20%, the move against Nifty in the ten sessions after each result in the period 15% (* its last result before the period when there was none), and delivery over the second half of the period against the first half 15%. A missing check's weight is shared among the rest. Chance is the historical rate at which names ranked in the same tenth on this period went the way that tenth leans — blank until a tenth has a hundred judged rows. Every call is judged ten sessions after the close against Nifty, whatever the period.