The daily read from the close of 18 Dec 2025
Computed on the morning of 19 Dec 2025 (simulated: computed after the fact, standing on that close with only what was known then): 762 names ranked. Judged ten sessions later: the names to look at averaged +5.9% vs Nifty (3 of 5 beat it), the names to stay away from averaged +3.8% (1 of 5 trailed it), the whole field +4.9%.
The read from the close of 18 Dec 2025 · Quarter
Our calculation, not advice.
Follow in my book
rank 1 of 762
FEDERALBNK
Federal Bank Ltd. · BANK
▲ Look at
96.9
score /100rank 1 of 762
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹265.40close 18 Dec
Upside reference₹275.10+3.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹258.26-2.7% · its typical 10-session fall
+33.8% over three months · +32.2% vs Nifty · +28.0% vs its sector · 100% of its three-month range · after results +12.4% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +0.6% (-1.4% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 2 of 762
AUBANK
AU Small Finance Bank Ltd. · BANK
▲ Look at
96.3
score /100rank 2 of 762
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹987.65close 18 Dec
Upside reference₹1,028.35+4.1% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹940.49-4.8% · its typical 10-session fall
+37.2% over three months · +35.7% vs Nifty · +31.5% vs its sector · 98% of its three-month range · after results +11.5% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +1.2% (-0.8% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 3 of 762
SHRIRAMFIN
Shriram Finance Ltd. · FINANCIAL SERVICES
▲ Look at
95.9
score /100rank 3 of 762
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹869.45close 18 Dec
Upside reference₹914.93+5.2% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹831.59-4.4% · its typical 10-session fall
+38.7% over three months · +37.1% vs Nifty · +36.6% vs its sector · 100% of its three-month range · after results +8.8% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +16.2% (+14.2% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 4 of 762
CANBK
Canara Bank · BANK
▲ Look at
94.5
score /100rank 4 of 762
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹149.83close 18 Dec
Upside reference₹158.51+5.8% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹144.11-3.8% · its typical 10-session fall
+29.8% over three months · +28.3% vs Nifty · +24.1% vs its sector · 94% of its three-month range · after results +11.7% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +3.4% (+1.4% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 5 of 762
NATIONALUM
National Aluminium Co. Ltd. · METAL
▲ Look at
91.6
score /100rank 5 of 762
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹279.25close 18 Dec
Upside reference₹291.56+4.4% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹267.71-4.1% · its typical 10-session fall
+30.6% over three months · +29.1% vs Nifty · +25.0% vs its sector · 100% of its three-month range · after results +5.1% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +18.3% (+16.3% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 762 of 762
DBREALTY
Valor Estate Limited
▼ Stay away
8.3
score /100rank 762 of 762
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹115.50close 18 Dec
Upside reference₹122.91+6.4% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹108.63-5.9% · its typical 10-session fall
-31.0% over three months · -32.6% vs Nifty · 0% of its three-month range · after results -12.3% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +4.4% (+2.4% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 761 of 762
DEVYANI
Devyani International Ltd.
▼ Stay away
8.9
score /100rank 761 of 762
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹126.11close 18 Dec
Upside reference₹131.98+4.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹119.96-4.9% · its typical 10-session fall
-28.9% over three months · -30.5% vs Nifty · 0% of its three-month range · after results -9.5% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +17.4% (+15.4% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 760 of 762
SERVOTECH
Servotech Renewable Power System Limited
▼ Stay away
9.1
score /100rank 760 of 762
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹77.32close 18 Dec
Upside reference₹80.95+4.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹72.24-6.6% · its typical 10-session fall
-41.2% over three months · -42.7% vs Nifty · 0% of its three-month range · after results -20.5% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +3.4% (+1.5% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 759 of 762
JYOTISTRUC
Jyoti Structures Limited
▼ Stay away
9.2
score /100rank 759 of 762
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹9.86close 18 Dec
Upside reference₹10.51+6.6% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹9.11-7.6% · its typical 10-session fall
-42.3% over three months · -43.8% vs Nifty · 0% of its three-month range · after results -6.4% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +3.2% (+1.3% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 758 of 762
BCG
Brightcom Group Limited
▼ Stay away
9.5
score /100rank 758 of 762
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹10.50close 18 Dec
Upside reference₹11.34+8.0% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹9.63-8.3% · its typical 10-session fall
-31.2% over three months · -32.7% vs Nifty · 0% of its three-month range · after results -12.7% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +0.5% (-1.5% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Session by session · the full window
| Name | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 | T+4 | T+5 | T+6 | T+7 | T+8 | T+9 | T+10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ Names to look at — move vs Nifty since the close; green while ahead | ||||||||||
| FEDERALBNKFederal Bank Ltd. | +0.3% | +0.0% | -1.4% | -2.6% | -2.2% | -1.4% | +0.4% | -0.6% | -1.0% | -1.4% |
| AUBANKAU Small Finance Bank Ltd. | -0.8% | -1.7% | -2.1% | -2.6% | -2.2% | -0.6% | +0.4% | -0.5% | -0.1% | -0.8% |
| SHRIRAMFINShriram Finance Ltd. | +3.1% | +6.1%▲ | +8.8%▲ | +10.7%▲ | +9.6%▲ | +9.4%▲ | +12.2%▲ | +13.4%▲ | +16.0%▲ | +14.2%▲ |
| CANBKCanara Bank | -1.4% | -1.1% | -1.1% | -1.4% | -0.7% | +0.2% | +2.3% | +2.2% | +1.7% | +1.4% |
| NATIONALUMNational Aluminium Co. Ltd. | -0.9% | +2.6% | +2.5% | +4.5%▲ | +9.0%▲ | +7.3%▲ | +12.9%▲ | +11.3%▲ | +11.4%▲ | +16.3%▲ |
| ▼ Names to stay away from — move vs Nifty since the close; green while behind | ||||||||||
| DBREALTYValor Estate Limited | +1.9% | +3.1% | +6.0% | +3.5% | +2.0% | +1.5% | +0.6% | +1.4% | +0.6% | +2.4% |
| DEVYANIDevyani International Ltd. | +3.2% | +9.1% | +11.2% | +13.8% | +14.0% | +13.2% | +12.3% | +16.1% | +15.6% | +15.4% |
| SERVOTECHServotech Renewable Power System Limited | +2.2% | +2.1% | +1.9% | +0.4% | +1.8% | +1.7% | -0.1% | +1.6% | +0.3% | +1.5% |
| JYOTISTRUCJyoti Structures Limited | +1.0% | -0.7% | -0.2% | -1.0% | -4.9% | -7.3% | -6.6% | -2.2% | -4.3% | +1.3% |
| BCGBrightcom Group Limited | +3.1% | +5.4% | +1.1% | -1.5% | -1.8% | -2.2% | -3.6% | -0.9% | -0.1% | -1.5% |
| Look at, ahead of Nifty | 2/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 5/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 |
| … on the record | 49% | 50% | 52% | 52% | 52% | 51% | 51% | 51% | 50% | 50% |
| Stay away, behind Nifty | 0/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 1/5 |
| … on the record | 55% | 55% | 54% | 54% | 55% | 55% | 54% | 54% | 55% | 54% |
| Spread, look-at minus stay-away | -2.2% | -2.6% | -2.7% | -1.4% | +0.5% | +1.6% | +5.1% | +2.0% | +3.2% | +2.1% |
| … on the record | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Each cell is the name's move from the close of 18 Dec minus Nifty's over the same sessions, at that session's close. A ▲ or ▼ marks the first session by which the card's upside or downside reference had printed. The on the record rows are what every past call has done at that point — 1,865 calls a side — so a day can be read against what usually happens, not just against zero. Sessions are the name's own; a name that did not trade on a day is measured on the sessions it did.
The whole field · top 50 and bottom 50
| Rank | Company | Score | Chance | Close | Move, three months | vs Nifty | vs sector | Range | After results | Delivery | 10 sessions on | vs Nifty |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 look at | FEDERALBNKFederal Bank Ltd. | 96.9 | 51% | ₹265.40 | +33.8% | +32.2% | +28.0% | 100% | +12.4% | +5.5 pp | +0.6% | -1.4% |
| 2 look at | AUBANKAU Small Finance Bank Ltd. | 96.3 | 51% | ₹987.65 | +37.2% | +35.7% | +31.5% | 98% | +11.5% | +5.2 pp | +1.2% | -0.8% |
| 3 look at | SHRIRAMFINShriram Finance Ltd. | 95.9 | 51% | ₹869.45 | +38.7% | +37.1% | +36.6% | 100% | +8.8% | +4.3 pp | +16.2% | +14.2% |
| 4 look at | CANBKCanara Bank | 94.5 | 51% | ₹149.83 | +29.8% | +28.3% | +24.1% | 94% | +11.7% | +4.4 pp | +3.4% | +1.4% |
| 5 look at | NATIONALUMNational Aluminium Co. Ltd. | 91.6 | 51% | ₹279.25 | +30.6% | +29.1% | +25.0% | 100% | +5.1% | +2.2 pp | +18.3% | +16.3% |
| 758 stay away | BCGBrightcom Group Limited | 9.5 | 52% | ₹10.50 | -31.2% | -32.7% | — | 0% | -12.7% | -3.6 pp | +0.5% | -1.5% |
| 759 stay away | JYOTISTRUCJyoti Structures Limited | 9.2 | 52% | ₹9.86 | -42.3% | -43.8% | — | 0% | -6.4% | -11.7 pp | +3.2% | +1.3% |
| 760 stay away | SERVOTECHServotech Renewable Power System Limited | 9.1 | 52% | ₹77.32 | -41.2% | -42.7% | — | 0% | -20.5% | -4.2 pp | +3.4% | +1.5% |
| 761 stay away | DEVYANIDevyani International Ltd. | 8.9 | 52% | ₹126.11 | -28.9% | -30.5% | — | 0% | -9.5% | -8.0 pp | +17.4% | +15.4% |
| 762 stay away | DBREALTYValor Estate Limited | 8.3 | 52% | ₹115.50 | -31.0% | -32.6% | — | 0% | -12.3% | -5.7 pp | +4.4% | +2.4% |
Score ranks every name on six checks over three months, each placed from first to last across the field, then blended: the move and the move against Nifty 30% (on one day and one period they order the field the same way, so they count once), against the sector 20%, where the close sits between the period's high and low 20%, the move against Nifty in the ten sessions after each result in the period 15% (* its last result before the period when there was none), and delivery over the second half of the period against the first half 15%. A missing check's weight is shared among the rest. Chance is the historical rate at which names ranked in the same tenth on this period went the way that tenth leans — blank until a tenth has a hundred judged rows. Every call is judged ten sessions after the close against Nifty, whatever the period.