The daily read from the close of 17 Dec 2025
Computed on the morning of 18 Dec 2025 (simulated: computed after the fact, standing on that close with only what was known then): 762 names ranked. Judged ten sessions later: the names to look at averaged +3.6% vs Nifty (3 of 5 beat it), the names to stay away from averaged +3.8% (1 of 5 trailed it), the whole field +3.7%.
The read from the close of 17 Dec 2025 · Quarter
Our calculation, not advice.
Follow in my book
rank 1 of 762
AUBANK
AU Small Finance Bank Ltd. · BANK
▲ Look at
97.5
score /100rank 1 of 762
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹990.30close 17 Dec
Upside reference₹1,031.32+4.1% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹948.51-4.2% · its typical 10-session fall
+39.7% over three months · +37.8% vs Nifty · +33.5% vs its sector · 99% of its three-month range · after results +11.5% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +0.9% (-0.3% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 2 of 762
FEDERALBNK
Federal Bank Ltd. · BANK
▲ Look at
96.1
score /100rank 2 of 762
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹263.60close 17 Dec
Upside reference₹273.23+3.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹256.50-2.7% · its typical 10-session fall
+32.5% over three months · +30.6% vs Nifty · +26.3% vs its sector · 98% of its three-month range · after results +12.4% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +1.0% (-0.3% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 3 of 762
CANBK
Canara Bank · BANK
▲ Look at
95.3
score /100rank 3 of 762
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹150.21close 17 Dec
Upside reference₹158.91+5.8% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹144.47-3.8% · its typical 10-session fall
+29.2% over three months · +27.3% vs Nifty · +23.0% vs its sector · 95% of its three-month range · after results +11.7% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +2.7% (+1.4% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 4 of 762
SHRIRAMFIN
Shriram Finance Ltd. · FINANCIAL SERVICES
▲ Look at
95.0
score /100rank 4 of 762
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹864.20close 17 Dec
Upside reference₹909.41+5.2% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹826.56-4.4% · its typical 10-session fall
+38.7% over three months · +36.7% vs Nifty · +36.1% vs its sector · 99% of its three-month range · after results +8.8% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +18.0% (+16.7% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 5 of 762
MUTHOOTFIN
Muthoot Finance Ltd. · FINANCIAL SERVICES
▲ Look at
92.1
score /100rank 5 of 762
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹3,766.50close 17 Dec
Upside reference₹3,937.20+4.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹3,674.03-2.5% · its typical 10-session fall
+28.0% over three months · +26.1% vs Nifty · +25.4% vs its sector · 90% of its three-month range · after results +9.1% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +1.9% (+0.7% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 762 of 762
HCC
Hindustan Construction Company Limited
▼ Stay away
6.1
score /100rank 762 of 762
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹17.30close 17 Dec
Upside reference₹18.44+6.6% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹15.95-7.8% · its typical 10-session fall
-39.7% over three months · -41.6% vs Nifty · 0% of its three-month range · after results -12.7% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +10.1% (+8.8% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 761 of 762
SERVOTECH
Servotech Renewable Power System Limited
▼ Stay away
7.3
score /100rank 761 of 762
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹77.16close 17 Dec
Upside reference₹80.78+4.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹72.13-6.5% · its typical 10-session fall
-42.3% over three months · -44.2% vs Nifty · 0% of its three-month range · after results -20.5% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +1.8% (+0.6% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 760 of 762
DBREALTY
Valor Estate Limited
▼ Stay away
8.1
score /100rank 760 of 762
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹116.12close 17 Dec
Upside reference₹123.54+6.4% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹109.19-6.0% · its typical 10-session fall
-31.6% over three months · -33.5% vs Nifty · 0% of its three-month range · after results -12.3% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +1.4% (+0.1% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 759 of 762
DEVYANI
Devyani International Ltd.
▼ Stay away
9.0
score /100rank 759 of 762
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹127.18close 17 Dec
Upside reference₹133.10+4.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹121.06-4.8% · its typical 10-session fall
-29.0% over three months · -30.9% vs Nifty · 0% of its three-month range · after results -9.5% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +15.9% (+14.7% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 758 of 762
JYOTISTRUC
Jyoti Structures Limited
▼ Stay away
9.3
score /100rank 758 of 762
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹9.95close 17 Dec
Upside reference₹10.61+6.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹9.21-7.4% · its typical 10-session fall
-40.5% over three months · -42.4% vs Nifty · 0% of its three-month range · after results -6.4% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -3.9% (-5.2% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Session by session · the full window
| Name | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 | T+4 | T+5 | T+6 | T+7 | T+8 | T+9 | T+10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ Names to look at — move vs Nifty since the close; green while ahead | ||||||||||
| AUBANKAU Small Finance Bank Ltd. | -0.3% | -1.1% | -2.0% | -2.4% | -2.9% | -2.4% | -0.8% | +0.2% | -0.8% | -0.3% |
| FEDERALBNKFederal Bank Ltd. | +0.7% | +1.0% | +0.7% | -0.7% | -2.0% | -1.5% | -0.7% | +1.1% | +0.1% | -0.3% |
| CANBKCanara Bank | -0.2% | -1.7% | -1.3% | -1.4% | -1.6% | -1.0% | -0.0% | +2.1% | +1.9% | +1.4% |
| SHRIRAMFINShriram Finance Ltd. | +0.6% | +3.8% | +6.8%▲ | +9.4%▲ | +11.4%▲ | +10.2%▲ | +10.1%▲ | +12.9%▲ | +14.1%▲ | +16.7%▲ |
| MUTHOOTFINMuthoot Finance Ltd. | -0.4% | -0.2% | -0.7% | -0.3% | -0.2% | -0.1% | -1.3% | +0.4% | -0.0% | +0.7% |
| ▼ Names to stay away from — move vs Nifty since the close; green while behind | ||||||||||
| HCCHindustan Construction Company Limited | +4.1% | +6.6% | +13.5% | +12.0% | +6.3% | +6.8% | +5.8% | +4.0% | +8.3% | +8.8% |
| SERVOTECHServotech Renewable Power System Limited | +0.2% | +2.5% | +2.4% | +2.2% | +0.6% | +2.0% | +1.9% | +0.1% | +1.9% | +0.6% |
| DBREALTYValor Estate Limited | -0.5% | +1.4% | +2.6% | +5.4% | +3.0% | +1.5% | +1.0% | +0.0% | +0.9% | +0.1% |
| DEVYANIDevyani International Ltd. | -0.8% | +2.3% | +8.1% | +10.3% | +12.9% | +13.0% | +12.2% | +11.4% | +15.1% | +14.7% |
| JYOTISTRUCJyoti Structures Limited | -0.9% | +0.1% | -1.6% | -1.1% | -1.9% | -5.8% | -8.1%▼ | -7.4%▼ | -3.1%▼ | -5.2%▼ |
| Look at, ahead of Nifty | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 5/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 |
| … on the record | 49% | 50% | 52% | 52% | 52% | 51% | 51% | 51% | 50% | 50% |
| Stay away, behind Nifty | 3/5 | 0/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 |
| … on the record | 55% | 55% | 54% | 54% | 55% | 55% | 54% | 54% | 55% | 54% |
| Spread, look-at minus stay-away | -0.3% | -2.2% | -4.3% | -4.8% | -3.2% | -2.4% | -1.1% | +1.7% | -1.5% | -0.1% |
| … on the record | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Each cell is the name's move from the close of 17 Dec minus Nifty's over the same sessions, at that session's close. A ▲ or ▼ marks the first session by which the card's upside or downside reference had printed. The on the record rows are what every past call has done at that point — 1,865 calls a side — so a day can be read against what usually happens, not just against zero. Sessions are the name's own; a name that did not trade on a day is measured on the sessions it did.
The whole field · top 50 and bottom 50
| Rank | Company | Score | Chance | Close | Move, three months | vs Nifty | vs sector | Range | After results | Delivery | 10 sessions on | vs Nifty |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 look at | AUBANKAU Small Finance Bank Ltd. | 97.5 | 51% | ₹990.30 | +39.7% | +37.8% | +33.5% | 99% | +11.5% | +6.6 pp | +0.9% | -0.3% |
| 2 look at | FEDERALBNKFederal Bank Ltd. | 96.1 | 51% | ₹263.60 | +32.5% | +30.6% | +26.3% | 98% | +12.4% | +5.1 pp | +1.0% | -0.3% |
| 3 look at | CANBKCanara Bank | 95.3 | 51% | ₹150.21 | +29.2% | +27.3% | +23.0% | 95% | +11.7% | +5.2 pp | +2.7% | +1.4% |
| 4 look at | SHRIRAMFINShriram Finance Ltd. | 95.0 | 51% | ₹864.20 | +38.7% | +36.7% | +36.1% | 99% | +8.8% | +3.6 pp | +18.0% | +16.7% |
| 5 look at | MUTHOOTFINMuthoot Finance Ltd. | 92.1 | 51% | ₹3,766.50 | +28.0% | +26.1% | +25.4% | 90% | +9.1% | +2.4 pp | +1.9% | +0.7% |
| 758 stay away | JYOTISTRUCJyoti Structures Limited | 9.3 | 52% | ₹9.95 | -40.5% | -42.4% | — | 0% | -6.4% | -12.0 pp | -3.9% | -5.2% |
| 759 stay away | DEVYANIDevyani International Ltd. | 9.0 | 52% | ₹127.18 | -29.0% | -30.9% | — | 0% | -9.5% | -7.2 pp | +15.9% | +14.7% |
| 760 stay away | DBREALTYValor Estate Limited | 8.1 | 52% | ₹116.12 | -31.6% | -33.5% | — | 0% | -12.3% | -5.1 pp | +1.4% | +0.1% |
| 761 stay away | SERVOTECHServotech Renewable Power System Limited | 7.3 | 52% | ₹77.16 | -42.3% | -44.2% | — | 0% | -20.5% | -3.5 pp | +1.8% | +0.6% |
| 762 stay away | HCCHindustan Construction Company Limited | 6.1 | 52% | ₹17.30 | -39.7% | -41.6% | — | 0% | -12.7% | -7.3 pp | +10.1% | +8.8% |
Score ranks every name on six checks over three months, each placed from first to last across the field, then blended: the move and the move against Nifty 30% (on one day and one period they order the field the same way, so they count once), against the sector 20%, where the close sits between the period's high and low 20%, the move against Nifty in the ten sessions after each result in the period 15% (* its last result before the period when there was none), and delivery over the second half of the period against the first half 15%. A missing check's weight is shared among the rest. Chance is the historical rate at which names ranked in the same tenth on this period went the way that tenth leans — blank until a tenth has a hundred judged rows. Every call is judged ten sessions after the close against Nifty, whatever the period.