The daily read from the close of 9 Dec 2025
Computed on the morning of 10 Dec 2025 (simulated: computed after the fact, standing on that close with only what was known then): 760 names ranked. Judged ten sessions later: the names to look at averaged +3.0% vs Nifty (4 of 5 beat it), the names to stay away from averaged +9.4% (0 of 5 trailed it), the whole field +6.2%.
The read from the close of 9 Dec 2025 · Quarter
Our calculation, not advice.
Follow in my book
rank 1 of 760
AUBANK
AU Small Finance Bank Ltd. · BANK
▲ Look at
96.8
score /100rank 1 of 760
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹972.05close 9 Dec
Upside reference₹1,011.48+4.1% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹933.21-4.0% · its typical 10-session fall
+39.4% over three months · +35.5% vs Nifty · +30.1% vs its sector · 100% of its three-month range · after results +11.5% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +0.9% (-0.5% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 2 of 760
FEDERALBNK
Federal Bank Ltd. · BANK
▲ Look at
95.5
score /100rank 2 of 760
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹260.85close 9 Dec
Upside reference₹270.38+3.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹253.83-2.7% · its typical 10-session fall
+36.1% over three months · +32.2% vs Nifty · +26.9% vs its sector · 100% of its three-month range · after results +12.4% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +1.8% (+0.5% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 3 of 760
PERSISTENT
Persistent Systems Ltd. · IT
▲ Look at
93.9
score /100rank 3 of 760
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹6,302.00close 9 Dec
Upside reference₹6,564.04+4.2% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹5,931.13-5.9% · its typical 10-session fall
+22.8% over three months · +18.9% vs Nifty · +14.7% vs its sector · 87% of its three-month range · after results +8.8% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +3.0% (+1.7% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 4 of 760
CANBK
Canara Bank · BANK
▲ Look at
92.9
score /100rank 4 of 760
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹146.19close 9 Dec
Upside reference₹155.16+6.1% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹140.16-4.1% · its typical 10-session fall
+35.3% over three months · +31.4% vs Nifty · +26.1% vs its sector · 87% of its three-month range · after results +11.7% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +2.8% (+1.5% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 5 of 760
SHRIRAMFIN
Shriram Finance Ltd. · FINANCIAL SERVICES
▲ Look at
92.5
score /100rank 5 of 760
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹846.70close 9 Dec
Upside reference₹891.47+5.3% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹808.84-4.5% · its typical 10-session fall
+42.3% over three months · +38.4% vs Nifty · +36.2% vs its sector · 92% of its three-month range · after results +8.8% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +13.1% (+11.8% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 760 of 760
RELINFRA
Reliance Infrastructure Limited
▼ Stay away
4.6
score /100rank 760 of 760
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹139.66close 9 Dec
Upside reference₹148.87+6.6% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹128.66-7.9% · its typical 10-session fall
-47.4% over three months · -51.3% vs Nifty · 0% of its three-month range · after results -11.1% vs Nifty
10 sessions on: +11.9% (+10.3% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 759 of 760
TARIL
Transformers And Rectifiers (India) Ltd.
▼ Stay away
5.6
score /100rank 759 of 760
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹245.30close 9 Dec
Upside reference₹258.78+5.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹229.42-6.5% · its typical 10-session fall
-50.6% over three months · -54.5% vs Nifty · 3% of its three-month range · after results -28.5% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +22.9% (+21.6% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 758 of 760
HCC
Hindustan Construction Company Limited
▼ Stay away
7.6
score /100rank 758 of 760
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹18.58close 9 Dec
Upside reference₹19.85+6.8% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹17.16-7.6% · its typical 10-session fall
-33.5% over three months · -37.4% vs Nifty · 2% of its three-month range · after results -12.7% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +5.5% (+4.2% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 757 of 760
ORIENTCEM
Orient Cement Limited
▼ Stay away
8.1
score /100rank 757 of 760
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹153.26close 9 Dec
Upside reference₹155.90+1.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹149.23-2.6% · its typical 10-session fall
-31.1% over three months · -35.0% vs Nifty · 0% of its three-month range · after results -15.5% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +11.6% (+10.3% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 756 of 760
RPOWER
Reliance Power Ltd. · ENERGY
▼ Stay away
8.1
score /100rank 756 of 760
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹35.62close 9 Dec
Upside reference₹37.76+6.0% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹33.37-6.3% · its typical 10-session fall
-23.6% over three months · -27.5% vs Nifty · -24.8% vs its sector · 2% of its three-month range · after results -10.7% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +1.9% (+0.5% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Session by session · the full window
| Name | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 | T+4 | T+5 | T+6 | T+7 | T+8 | T+9 | T+10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ Names to look at — move vs Nifty since the close; green while ahead | ||||||||||
| AUBANKAU Small Finance Bank Ltd. | +2.5% | -0.1% | -1.2% | -0.0% | +0.8% | +2.0% | +1.7% | +0.9% | -0.0% | -0.5% |
| FEDERALBNKFederal Bank Ltd. | -0.2% | -0.2% | -0.6% | +1.0% | +0.4% | +1.1% | +1.8% | +2.2% | +1.9% | +0.5% |
| PERSISTENTPersistent Systems Ltd. | -3.9% | -1.8% | -0.3% | -0.8% | -0.7% | -0.2% | +0.4% | +0.4% | +2.9% | +1.7% |
| CANBKCanara Bank | -0.1% | +0.2% | -0.5% | +0.7% | +0.6% | +2.8% | +2.6% | +1.1% | +1.5% | +1.5% |
| SHRIRAMFINShriram Finance Ltd. | -0.8% | -0.2% | -0.6% | +0.3% | +0.1% | +2.1% | +2.8% | +6.0%▲ | +9.1%▲ | +11.8%▲ |
| ▼ Names to stay away from — move vs Nifty since the close; green while behind | ||||||||||
| RELINFRAReliance Infrastructure Limited | -2.9% | -7.7% | -3.6% | +1.3% | +7.1% | +12.6% | +18.2% | +23.5% | +17.4% | +10.3% |
| TARILTransformers And Rectifiers (India) Ltd. | -1.6% | -2.7% | +13.4% | +24.1% | +18.4% | +15.3% | +15.1% | +19.3% | +20.2% | +21.6% |
| HCCHindustan Construction Company Limited | -1.6% | +1.4% | -4.2% | -5.3% | -4.5% | -6.8% | -3.0% | -0.7% | +5.7% | +4.2% |
| ORIENTCEMOrient Cement Limited | +4.3% | +5.7% | +7.2% | +5.7% | +7.9% | +5.3% | +4.9% | +5.0% | +5.4% | +10.3% |
| RPOWERReliance Power Ltd. | -4.3% | -6.1% | -3.9% | -4.3% | -2.9% | +0.3% | +6.2% | +7.8% | -2.2% | +0.5% |
| Look at, ahead of Nifty | 1/5 | 1/5 | 0/5 | 3/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 |
| … on the record | 49% | 50% | 52% | 52% | 52% | 51% | 51% | 51% | 50% | 50% |
| Stay away, behind Nifty | 4/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 0/5 |
| … on the record | 55% | 55% | 54% | 54% | 55% | 55% | 54% | 54% | 55% | 54% |
| Spread, look-at minus stay-away | +0.7% | +1.4% | -2.4% | -4.1% | -4.9% | -3.8% | -6.4% | -8.9% | -6.2% | -6.4% |
| … on the record | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Each cell is the name's move from the close of 9 Dec minus Nifty's over the same sessions, at that session's close. A ▲ or ▼ marks the first session by which the card's upside or downside reference had printed. The on the record rows are what every past call has done at that point — 1,865 calls a side — so a day can be read against what usually happens, not just against zero. Sessions are the name's own; a name that did not trade on a day is measured on the sessions it did.
The whole field · every name
| Rank | Company | Score | Chance | Close | Move, three months | vs Nifty | vs sector | Range | After results | Delivery | 10 sessions on | vs Nifty |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 look at | AUBANKAU Small Finance Bank Ltd. | 96.8 | 51% | ₹972.05 | +39.4% | +35.5% | +30.1% | 100% | +11.5% | +5.6 pp | +0.9% | -0.5% |
| 2 look at | FEDERALBNKFederal Bank Ltd. | 95.5 | 51% | ₹260.85 | +36.1% | +32.2% | +26.9% | 100% | +12.4% | +4.5 pp | +1.8% | +0.5% |
| 3 look at | PERSISTENTPersistent Systems Ltd. | 93.9 | 51% | ₹6,302.00 | +22.8% | +18.9% | +14.7% | 87% | +8.8% | +8.4 pp | +3.0% | +1.7% |
| 4 look at | CANBKCanara Bank | 92.9 | 51% | ₹146.19 | +35.3% | +31.4% | +26.1% | 87% | +11.7% | +3.2 pp | +2.8% | +1.5% |
| 5 look at | SHRIRAMFINShriram Finance Ltd. | 92.5 | 51% | ₹846.70 | +42.3% | +38.4% | +36.2% | 92% | +8.8% | +2.2 pp | +13.1% | +11.8% |
| 756 stay away | RPOWERReliance Power Ltd. | 8.1 | 52% | ₹35.62 | -23.6% | -27.5% | -24.8% | 2% | -10.7% | -14.8 pp | +1.9% | +0.5% |
| 757 stay away | ORIENTCEMOrient Cement Limited | 8.1 | 52% | ₹153.26 | -31.1% | -35.0% | — | 0% | -15.5% | -2.5 pp | +11.6% | +10.3% |
| 758 stay away | HCCHindustan Construction Company Limited | 7.6 | 52% | ₹18.58 | -33.5% | -37.4% | — | 2% | -12.7% | -6.6 pp | +5.5% | +4.2% |
| 759 stay away | TARILTransformers And Rectifiers (India) Ltd. | 5.6 | 52% | ₹245.30 | -50.6% | -54.5% | — | 3% | -28.5% | -8.6 pp | +22.9% | +21.6% |
| 760 stay away | RELINFRAReliance Infrastructure Limited | 4.6 | 52% | ₹139.66 | -47.4% | -51.3% | — | 0% | -11.1% | — | +11.9% | +10.3% |
Score ranks every name on six checks over three months, each placed from first to last across the field, then blended: the move and the move against Nifty 30% (on one day and one period they order the field the same way, so they count once), against the sector 20%, where the close sits between the period's high and low 20%, the move against Nifty in the ten sessions after each result in the period 15% (* its last result before the period when there was none), and delivery over the second half of the period against the first half 15%. A missing check's weight is shared among the rest. Chance is the historical rate at which names ranked in the same tenth on this period went the way that tenth leans — blank until a tenth has a hundred judged rows. Every call is judged ten sessions after the close against Nifty, whatever the period.