The daily read from the close of 21 Oct 2025
Computed on the morning of 22 Oct 2025 (simulated: computed after the fact, standing on that close with only what was known then): 773 names ranked. Judged ten sessions later: the names to look at averaged -5.7% vs Nifty (1 of 5 beat it), the names to stay away from averaged -3.1% (4 of 5 trailed it), the whole field -4.4%.
The read from the close of 21 Oct 2025 · Half year
Our calculation, not advice.
Follow in my book
rank 1 of 772
TFCILTD
Tourism Finance Corporation of India Limited
▲ Look at
93.4
score /100rank 1 of 772
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹73.42close 21 Oct
Upside reference₹79.27+8.0% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹69.00-6.0% · its typical 10-session fall
+93.6% over six months · +86.4% vs Nifty · 94% of its six-month range · after results +8.7% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -7.5% (-6.1% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 2 of 772
KRISHANA
Krishana Phoschem Limited
▲ Look at
93.1
score /100rank 2 of 772
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹117.54close 21 Oct
Upside reference₹130.86+11.3% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹113.11-3.8% · its typical 10-session fall
+119.1% over six months · +111.8% vs Nifty · 96% of its six-month range · after results +11.3% vs Nifty (avg of 3) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -13.4% (-12.0% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 3 of 772
GABRIEL
Gabriel India Ltd. · AUTO
▲ Look at
91.9
score /100rank 3 of 772
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,281.60close 21 Oct
Upside reference₹1,375.87+7.4% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹1,212.77-5.4% · its typical 10-session fall
+122.3% over six months · +115.1% vs Nifty · +97.5% vs its sector · 95% of its six-month range · after results +7.1% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -4.6% (-3.2% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 4 of 772
NAM-INDIA
Nippon Life India Asset Management Ltd. · FINANCIAL SERVICES
▲ Look at
91.5
score /100rank 4 of 772
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹968.20close 21 Oct
Upside reference₹1,017.05+5.0% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹922.54-4.7% · its typical 10-session fall
+52.8% over six months · +45.6% vs Nifty · +48.6% vs its sector · 100% of its six-month range · after results +5.3% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -10.5% (-9.1% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 5 of 772
WCIL
Western Carriers (India) Limited
▲ Look at
89.8
score /100rank 5 of 772
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹128.93close 21 Oct
Upside reference₹137.23+6.4% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹120.53-6.5% · its typical 10-session fall
+61.9% over six months · +54.7% vs Nifty · 77% of its six-month range · after results +20.2% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +0.6% (+2.0% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 772 of 772
TATAINVEST
Tata Investment Corporation Ltd. · FINANCIAL SERVICES
▼ Stay away
2.2
score /100rank 772 of 772
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹875.00close 21 Oct
Upside reference₹907.42+3.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹846.47-3.3% · its typical 10-session fall
-86.3% over six months · -93.6% vs Nifty · -90.5% vs its sector · 1% of its six-month range · after results -5.9% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -12.4% (-11.0% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 771 of 772
ORIENTCEM
Orient Cement Limited
▼ Stay away
4.0
score /100rank 771 of 772
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹215.68close 21 Oct
Upside reference₹220.22+2.1% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹210.74-2.3% · its typical 10-session fall
-40.1% over six months · -47.3% vs Nifty · 2% of its six-month range · after results -5.2% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -4.1% (-2.7% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 770 of 772
PGEL
PG Electroplast Ltd. · CONSUMER DURABLES
▼ Stay away
5.3
score /100rank 770 of 772
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹583.20close 21 Oct
Upside reference₹627.69+7.6% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹551.93-5.4% · its typical 10-session fall
-37.6% over six months · -44.8% vs Nifty · -41.4% vs its sector · 20% of its six-month range · after results -9.8% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -5.7% (-4.3% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 769 of 772
VPRPL
Vishnu Prakash R Punglia Limited
▼ Stay away
5.8
score /100rank 769 of 772
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹92.74close 21 Oct
Upside reference₹98.15+5.8% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹85.51-7.8% · its typical 10-session fall
-49.0% over six months · -56.3% vs Nifty · 4% of its six-month range · after results -16.9% vs Nifty (avg of 2)
10 sessions on: -4.0% (-2.6% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 768 of 772
REFEX
Refex Industries Limited
▼ Stay away
5.8
score /100rank 768 of 772
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹355.70close 21 Oct
Upside reference₹378.92+6.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹339.23-4.6% · its typical 10-session fall
-25.5% over six months · -32.8% vs Nifty · 10% of its six-month range · after results -15.2% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +3.7% (+5.1% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Session by session · the full window
| Name | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 | T+4 | T+5 | T+6 | T+7 | T+8 | T+9 | T+10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ Names to look at — move vs Nifty since the close; green while ahead | ||||||||||
| TFCILTDTourism Finance Corporation of India Limited | -3.0% | -2.1% | -4.2% | -4.0% | -5.2% | -7.7% | -5.4% | -4.3% | -4.0% | -6.1% |
| KRISHANAKrishana Phoschem Limited | -8.8% | -11.4% | -12.0% | -13.1% | -15.0% | -13.3% | -13.5% | -14.0% | -12.9% | -12.0% |
| GABRIELGabriel India Ltd. | -2.7% | -3.2% | -3.5% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -1.8% | -0.0% | +0.9% | -0.2% | -3.2% |
| NAM-INDIANippon Life India Asset Management Ltd. | -2.9% | -4.4% | -5.8% | -6.8% | -12.1% | -10.0% | -9.1% | -9.7% | -7.9% | -9.1% |
| WCILWestern Carriers (India) Limited | +1.2% | -0.1% | -3.6% | -1.5% | -0.7% | +0.4% | +3.7% | +5.4% | +4.1% | +2.0% |
| ▼ Names to stay away from — move vs Nifty since the close; green while behind | ||||||||||
| TATAINVESTTata Investment Corporation Ltd. | -5.6%▼ | -3.8%▼ | -4.7%▼ | -6.4%▼ | -7.9%▼ | -8.4%▼ | -8.1%▼ | -8.3%▼ | -9.1%▼ | -11.0%▼ |
| ORIENTCEMOrient Cement Limited | -0.8% | -0.9% | -1.7% | -1.3% | -0.5% | +0.1% | +0.0% | +1.6% | -0.5% | -2.7%▼ |
| PGELPG Electroplast Ltd. | -1.4% | -1.0% | -2.3% | -3.3% | -2.2% | -1.6% | -1.5% | -0.8% | -1.4% | -4.3%▼ |
| VPRPLVishnu Prakash R Punglia Limited | +2.2% | +0.7% | -1.1% | -1.6% | -0.1% | -0.3% | -0.7% | +0.0% | -0.8% | -2.6% |
| REFEXRefex Industries Limited | -1.6% | +2.5% | +0.7% | -0.1% | -1.1% | +2.6% | +4.1% | +5.5% | +6.2% | +5.1% |
| Look at, ahead of Nifty | 1/5 | 0/5 | 0/5 | 0/5 | 0/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 2/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 |
| … on the record | 49% | 49% | 48% | 47% | 47% | 47% | 48% | 48% | 48% | 48% |
| Stay away, behind Nifty | 4/5 | 3/5 | 4/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 |
| … on the record | 58% | 57% | 58% | 58% | 58% | 59% | 59% | 58% | 59% | 59% |
| Spread, look-at minus stay-away | -1.8% | -3.7% | -4.0% | -2.5% | -4.3% | -5.0% | -3.6% | -3.9% | -3.0% | -2.6% |
| … on the record | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Each cell is the name's move from the close of 21 Oct minus Nifty's over the same sessions, at that session's close. A ▲ or ▼ marks the first session by which the card's upside or downside reference had printed. The on the record rows are what every past call has done at that point — 1,865 calls a side — so a day can be read against what usually happens, not just against zero. Sessions are the name's own; a name that did not trade on a day is measured on the sessions it did.
The whole field · top 50 and bottom 50
| Rank | Company | Score | Chance | Close | Move, six months | vs Nifty | vs sector | Range | After results | Delivery | 10 sessions on | vs Nifty |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 look at | TFCILTDTourism Finance Corporation of India Limited | 93.4 | 50% | ₹73.42 | +93.6% | +86.4% | — | 94% | +8.7% | +9.5 pp | -7.5% | -6.1% |
| 2 look at | KRISHANAKrishana Phoschem Limited | 93.1 | 50% | ₹117.54 | +119.1% | +111.8% | — | 96% | +11.3% | +6.7 pp | -13.4% | -12.0% |
| 3 look at | GABRIELGabriel India Ltd. | 91.9 | 50% | ₹1,281.60 | +122.3% | +115.1% | +97.5% | 95% | +7.1% | +5.2 pp | -4.6% | -3.2% |
| 4 look at | NAM-INDIANippon Life India Asset Management Ltd. | 91.5 | 50% | ₹968.20 | +52.8% | +45.6% | +48.6% | 100% | +5.3% | +6.6 pp | -10.5% | -9.1% |
| 5 look at | WCILWestern Carriers (India) Limited | 89.8 | 50% | ₹128.93 | +61.9% | +54.7% | — | 77% | +20.2% | +9.5 pp | +0.6% | +2.0% |
| 768 stay away | REFEXRefex Industries Limited | 5.8 | 55% | ₹355.70 | -25.5% | -32.8% | — | 10% | -15.2% | -4.6 pp | +3.7% | +5.1% |
| 769 stay away | VPRPLVishnu Prakash R Punglia Limited | 5.8 | 55% | ₹92.74 | -49.0% | -56.3% | — | 4% | -16.9% | -0.8 pp | -4.0% | -2.6% |
| 770 stay away | PGELPG Electroplast Ltd. | 5.3 | 55% | ₹583.20 | -37.6% | -44.8% | -41.4% | 20% | -9.8% | -15.8 pp | -5.7% | -4.3% |
| 771 stay away | ORIENTCEMOrient Cement Limited | 4.0 | 55% | ₹215.68 | -40.1% | -47.3% | — | 2% | -5.2% | -8.5 pp | -4.1% | -2.7% |
| 772 stay away | TATAINVESTTata Investment Corporation Ltd. | 2.2 | 55% | ₹875.00 | -86.3% | -93.6% | -90.5% | 1% | -5.9% | -9.0 pp | -12.4% | -11.0% |
Score ranks every name on six checks over six months, each placed from first to last across the field, then blended: the move and the move against Nifty 30% (on one day and one period they order the field the same way, so they count once), against the sector 20%, where the close sits between the period's high and low 20%, the move against Nifty in the ten sessions after each result in the period 15% (* its last result before the period when there was none), and delivery over the second half of the period against the first half 15%. A missing check's weight is shared among the rest. Chance is the historical rate at which names ranked in the same tenth on this period went the way that tenth leans — blank until a tenth has a hundred judged rows. Every call is judged ten sessions after the close against Nifty, whatever the period.