The daily read from the close of 16 Oct 2025
Computed on the morning of 17 Oct 2025 (simulated: computed after the fact, standing on that close with only what was known then): 777 names ranked. Judged ten sessions later: the names to look at averaged -3.0% vs Nifty (2 of 5 beat it), the names to stay away from averaged -2.2% (4 of 5 trailed it), the whole field -2.6%.
The read from the close of 16 Oct 2025 · Half year
Our calculation, not advice.
Follow in my book
rank 1 of 776
TFCILTD
Tourism Finance Corporation of India Limited
▲ Look at
95.1
score /100rank 1 of 776
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹73.92close 16 Oct
Upside reference₹79.81+8.0% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹69.41-6.1% · its typical 10-session fall
+112.6% over six months · +103.4% vs Nifty · 96% of its six-month range · after results +8.7% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -6.6% (-7.2% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 2 of 776
GABRIEL
Gabriel India Ltd. · AUTO
▲ Look at
92.4
score /100rank 2 of 776
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,266.20close 16 Oct
Upside reference₹1,360.95+7.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹1,195.84-5.6% · its typical 10-session fall
+124.9% over six months · +115.8% vs Nifty · +97.1% vs its sector · 94% of its six-month range · after results +7.1% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +0.6% (+0.1% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 3 of 776
KRISHANA
Krishana Phoschem Limited
▲ Look at
91.9
score /100rank 3 of 776
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹113.98close 16 Oct
Upside reference₹126.75+11.2% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹109.71-3.7% · its typical 10-session fall
+125.5% over six months · +116.4% vs Nifty · 91% of its six-month range · after results +11.3% vs Nifty (avg of 3) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -11.4% (-11.9% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 4 of 776
NAM-INDIA
Nippon Life India Asset Management Ltd. · FINANCIAL SERVICES
▲ Look at
90.6
score /100rank 4 of 776
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹887.20close 16 Oct
Upside reference₹931.96+5.0% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹845.36-4.7% · its typical 10-session fall
+52.7% over six months · +43.5% vs Nifty · +45.3% vs its sector · 96% of its six-month range · after results +5.3% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -1.4% (-1.9% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 5 of 776
RBLBANK
RBL Bank Ltd. · PRIVATE BANK
▲ Look at
89.7
score /100rank 5 of 776
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹306.75close 16 Oct
Upside reference₹321.79+4.9% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹295.25-3.7% · its typical 10-session fall
+67.8% over six months · +58.7% vs Nifty · +61.9% vs its sector · 100% of its six-month range · after results +5.0% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +6.4% (+5.9% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 776 of 776
TATAINVEST
Tata Investment Corporation Ltd. · FINANCIAL SERVICES
▼ Stay away
2.8
score /100rank 776 of 776
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹906.00close 16 Oct
Upside reference₹939.45+3.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹877.39-3.2% · its typical 10-session fall
-85.5% over six months · -94.7% vs Nifty · -92.9% vs its sector · 0% of its six-month range · after results -5.9% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -11.8% (-12.3% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 775 of 776
ORIENTCEM
Orient Cement Limited
▼ Stay away
4.3
score /100rank 775 of 776
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹215.20close 16 Oct
Upside reference₹219.97+2.2% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹210.36-2.3% · its typical 10-session fall
-40.0% over six months · -49.2% vs Nifty · 0% of its six-month range · after results -5.2% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -0.3% (-0.9% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 774 of 776
PGEL
PG Electroplast Ltd. · CONSUMER DURABLES
▼ Stay away
5.0
score /100rank 774 of 776
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹568.85close 16 Oct
Upside reference₹611.10+7.4% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹538.62-5.3% · its typical 10-session fall
-40.8% over six months · -50.0% vs Nifty · -45.5% vs its sector · 17% of its six-month range · after results -9.8% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +0.4% (-0.2% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 773 of 776
UDS
Updater Services Limited
▼ Stay away
5.9
score /100rank 773 of 776
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹227.35close 16 Oct
Upside reference₹235.50+3.6% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹216.25-4.9% · its typical 10-session fall
-22.5% over six months · -31.7% vs Nifty · 0% of its six-month range · after results -11.0% vs Nifty (avg of 2)
10 sessions on: +4.1% (+3.5% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 772 of 776
VPRPL
Vishnu Prakash R Punglia Limited
▼ Stay away
6.1
score /100rank 772 of 776
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹92.23close 16 Oct
Upside reference₹97.76+6.0% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹84.93-7.9% · its typical 10-session fall
-46.5% over six months · -55.6% vs Nifty · 3% of its six-month range · after results -16.9% vs Nifty (avg of 2)
10 sessions on: -0.7% (-1.2% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Session by session · the full window
| Name | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 | T+4 | T+5 | T+6 | T+7 | T+8 | T+9 | T+10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ Names to look at — move vs Nifty since the close; green while ahead | ||||||||||
| TFCILTDTourism Finance Corporation of India Limited | -1.1% | -3.1% | -1.8% | -4.8% | -3.9% | -6.0% | -5.7% | -6.9% | -9.4% | -7.2% |
| GABRIELGabriel India Ltd. | -2.9% | +1.2% | +0.1% | -2.6% | -3.1% | -3.4% | +0.0% | -0.0% | -1.7% | +0.1% |
| KRISHANAKrishana Phoschem Limited | -0.9% | +1.5% | +2.0% | -7.0% | -9.7% | -10.3% | -11.5% | -13.4% | -11.7% | -11.9% |
| NAM-INDIANippon Life India Asset Management Ltd. | +2.5% | +6.2%▲ | +8.0%▲ | +4.8%▲ | +3.2%▲ | +1.7%▲ | +0.6%▲ | -5.1%▲ | -2.9%▲ | -1.9%▲ |
| RBLBANKRBL Bank Ltd. | -2.9% | +5.5%▲ | +4.7%▲ | +2.4%▲ | +2.2%▲ | +3.5%▲ | +4.6%▲ | +3.7%▲ | +4.8%▲ | +5.9%▲ |
| ▼ Names to stay away from — move vs Nifty since the close; green while behind | ||||||||||
| TATAINVESTTata Investment Corporation Ltd. | -2.4% | -12.2%▼ | -4.5%▼ | -9.9%▼ | -8.2%▼ | -9.1%▼ | -10.8%▼ | -12.2%▼ | -12.6%▼ | -12.3%▼ |
| ORIENTCEMOrient Cement Limited | -0.8% | -1.8% | -0.9% | -1.7% | -1.8% | -2.5% | -2.2% | -1.3% | -0.8% | -0.9% |
| PGELPG Electroplast Ltd. | +2.9% | +1.7% | +1.4% | +0.0% | +0.4% | -0.9% | -2.0% | -0.8% | -0.3% | -0.2% |
| UDSUpdater Services Limited | -3.0% | +0.3% | +1.7% | +1.9% | +0.8% | +1.9% | +1.6% | +1.2% | +3.7% | +3.5% |
| VPRPLVishnu Prakash R Punglia Limited | -2.3% | -1.5% | -0.6% | +1.7% | +0.2% | -1.7% | -2.2% | -0.7% | -0.8% | -1.2% |
| Look at, ahead of Nifty | 1/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 2/5 |
| … on the record | 49% | 49% | 48% | 47% | 47% | 47% | 48% | 48% | 48% | 48% |
| Stay away, behind Nifty | 4/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 |
| … on the record | 58% | 57% | 58% | 58% | 58% | 59% | 59% | 58% | 59% | 59% |
| Spread, look-at minus stay-away | +0.1% | +5.0% | +3.2% | +0.2% | -0.6% | -0.4% | +0.7% | -1.6% | -2.0% | -0.8% |
| … on the record | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Each cell is the name's move from the close of 16 Oct minus Nifty's over the same sessions, at that session's close. A ▲ or ▼ marks the first session by which the card's upside or downside reference had printed. The on the record rows are what every past call has done at that point — 1,865 calls a side — so a day can be read against what usually happens, not just against zero. Sessions are the name's own; a name that did not trade on a day is measured on the sessions it did.
The whole field · every name
| Rank | Company | Score | Chance | Close | Move, six months | vs Nifty | vs sector | Range | After results | Delivery | 10 sessions on | vs Nifty |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 look at | TFCILTDTourism Finance Corporation of India Limited | 95.1 | 50% | ₹73.92 | +112.6% | +103.4% | — | 96% | +8.7% | +9.8 pp | -6.6% | -7.2% |
| 2 look at | GABRIELGabriel India Ltd. | 92.4 | 50% | ₹1,266.20 | +124.9% | +115.8% | +97.1% | 94% | +7.1% | +5.5 pp | +0.6% | +0.1% |
| 3 look at | KRISHANAKrishana Phoschem Limited | 91.9 | 50% | ₹113.98 | +125.5% | +116.4% | — | 91% | +11.3% | +5.9 pp | -11.4% | -11.9% |
| 4 look at | NAM-INDIANippon Life India Asset Management Ltd. | 90.6 | 50% | ₹887.20 | +52.7% | +43.5% | +45.3% | 96% | +5.3% | +7.4 pp | -1.4% | -1.9% |
| 5 look at | RBLBANKRBL Bank Ltd. | 89.7 | 50% | ₹306.75 | +67.8% | +58.7% | +61.9% | 100% | +5.0% | +4.1 pp | +6.4% | +5.9% |
| 772 stay away | VPRPLVishnu Prakash R Punglia Limited | 6.1 | 55% | ₹92.23 | -46.5% | -55.6% | — | 3% | -16.9% | -0.8 pp | -0.7% | -1.2% |
| 773 stay away | UDSUpdater Services Limited | 5.9 | 55% | ₹227.35 | -22.5% | -31.7% | — | 0% | -11.0% | -1.6 pp | +4.1% | +3.5% |
| 774 stay away | PGELPG Electroplast Ltd. | 5.0 | 55% | ₹568.85 | -40.8% | -50.0% | -45.5% | 17% | -9.8% | -16.1 pp | +0.4% | -0.2% |
| 775 stay away | ORIENTCEMOrient Cement Limited | 4.3 | 55% | ₹215.20 | -40.0% | -49.2% | — | 0% | -5.2% | -8.7 pp | -0.3% | -0.9% |
| 776 stay away | TATAINVESTTata Investment Corporation Ltd. | 2.8 | 55% | ₹906.00 | -85.5% | -94.7% | -92.9% | 0% | -5.9% | -7.6 pp | -11.8% | -12.3% |
Score ranks every name on six checks over six months, each placed from first to last across the field, then blended: the move and the move against Nifty 30% (on one day and one period they order the field the same way, so they count once), against the sector 20%, where the close sits between the period's high and low 20%, the move against Nifty in the ten sessions after each result in the period 15% (* its last result before the period when there was none), and delivery over the second half of the period against the first half 15%. A missing check's weight is shared among the rest. Chance is the historical rate at which names ranked in the same tenth on this period went the way that tenth leans — blank until a tenth has a hundred judged rows. Every call is judged ten sessions after the close against Nifty, whatever the period.