The daily read from the close of 10 Oct 2025
Computed on the morning of 11 Oct 2025 (simulated: computed after the fact, standing on that close with only what was known then): 784 names ranked. Judged ten sessions later: the names to look at averaged -4.5% vs Nifty (1 of 5 beat it), the names to stay away from averaged -0.1% (4 of 5 trailed it), the whole field -2.3%.
The read from the close of 10 Oct 2025 · Half year
Our calculation, not advice.
Follow in my book
rank 1 of 783
TFCILTD
Tourism Finance Corporation of India Limited
▲ Look at
95.2
score /100rank 1 of 783
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹73.85close 10 Oct
Upside reference₹80.06+8.4% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹69.16-6.3% · its typical 10-session fall
+122.7% over six months · +109.8% vs Nifty · 96% of its six-month range · after results +8.7% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -4.4% (-7.1% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 2 of 783
GABRIEL
Gabriel India Ltd. · AUTO
▲ Look at
92.8
score /100rank 2 of 783
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,271.20close 10 Oct
Upside reference₹1,366.55+7.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹1,195.00-6.0% · its typical 10-session fall
+145.1% over six months · +132.2% vs Nifty · +112.4% vs its sector · 94% of its six-month range · after results +7.1% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -2.3% (-5.0% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 3 of 783
KRISHANA
Krishana Phoschem Limited
▲ Look at
92.4
score /100rank 3 of 783
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹114.09close 10 Oct
Upside reference₹126.87+11.2% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹109.87-3.7% · its typical 10-session fall
+144.4% over six months · +131.5% vs Nifty · 92% of its six-month range · after results +17.9% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -8.9% (-11.6% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 4 of 783
NAM-INDIA
Nippon Life India Asset Management Ltd. · FINANCIAL SERVICES
▲ Look at
91.5
score /100rank 4 of 783
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹871.85close 10 Oct
Upside reference₹916.96+5.2% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹829.05-4.9% · its typical 10-session fall
+65.5% over six months · +52.6% vs Nifty · +54.3% vs its sector · 96% of its six-month range · after results +5.3% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +5.0% (+2.3% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 5 of 783
DELHIVERY
Delhivery Ltd.
▲ Look at
91.1
score /100rank 5 of 783
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹464.85close 10 Oct
Upside reference₹490.50+5.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹443.61-4.6% · its typical 10-session fall
+91.0% over six months · +78.1% vs Nifty · 92% of its six-month range · after results +11.8% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +1.8% (-0.9% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 783 of 783
ORIENTCEM
Orient Cement Limited
▼ Stay away
3.3
score /100rank 783 of 783
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹221.37close 10 Oct
Upside reference₹227.11+2.6% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹216.39-2.3% · its typical 10-session fall
-37.8% over six months · -50.7% vs Nifty · 3% of its six-month range · after results -7.0% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -3.8% (-6.5% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 782 of 783
RAYMOND
Raymond Limited
▼ Stay away
4.6
score /100rank 782 of 783
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹579.55close 10 Oct
Upside reference₹608.89+5.1% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹545.25-5.9% · its typical 10-session fall
-61.2% over six months · -74.1% vs Nifty · 3% of its six-month range · after results -32.0% vs Nifty (avg of 2)
10 sessions on: +1.9% (-0.8% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 781 of 783
PGEL
PG Electroplast Ltd. · CONSUMER DURABLES
▼ Stay away
4.9
score /100rank 781 of 783
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹585.95close 10 Oct
Upside reference₹628.31+7.2% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹554.26-5.4% · its typical 10-session fall
-31.2% over six months · -44.1% vs Nifty · -41.5% vs its sector · 21% of its six-month range · after results -9.8% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -2.4% (-5.1% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 780 of 783
ARVIND
Arvind Limited
▼ Stay away
5.4
score /100rank 780 of 783
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹279.60close 10 Oct
Upside reference₹293.95+5.1% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹267.48-4.3% · its typical 10-session fall
-11.3% over six months · -24.1% vs Nifty · 0% of its six-month range · after results -8.0% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +16.6% (+14.0% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 779 of 783
REFEX
Refex Industries Limited
▼ Stay away
7.1
score /100rank 779 of 783
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹357.05close 10 Oct
Upside reference₹380.36+6.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹339.56-4.9% · its typical 10-session fall
-7.6% over six months · -20.5% vs Nifty · 11% of its six-month range · after results -15.2% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +0.7% (-2.0% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Session by session · the full window
| Name | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 | T+4 | T+5 | T+6 | T+7 | T+8 | T+9 | T+10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ Names to look at — move vs Nifty since the close; green while ahead | ||||||||||
| TFCILTDTourism Finance Corporation of India Limited | -0.3% | -0.1% | +0.4% | -1.1% | -2.2% | -4.2% | -2.9% | -5.9% | -5.0% | -7.1% |
| GABRIELGabriel India Ltd. | -1.5% | -3.6% | +1.6% | -1.6% | -4.5% | -0.4% | -1.5% | -4.2% | -4.7% | -5.0% |
| KRISHANAKrishana Phoschem Limited | +1.4% | -2.0% | -0.5% | -1.3% | -2.2% | +0.2% | +0.7% | -8.3% | -11.0% | -11.6% |
| NAM-INDIANippon Life India Asset Management Ltd. | +1.7% | +1.5% | +2.9% | +0.6% | +3.1% | +6.9%▲ | +8.7%▲ | +5.5%▲ | +3.8%▲ | +2.3%▲ |
| DELHIVERYDelhivery Ltd. | +2.2% | +1.5% | -1.0% | -5.1% | -1.6% | -0.0% | +0.2% | -0.5% | -1.6% | -0.9% |
| ▼ Names to stay away from — move vs Nifty since the close; green while behind | ||||||||||
| ORIENTCEMOrient Cement Limited | -0.7% | -2.4%▼ | -2.8%▼ | -4.0%▼ | -4.8%▼ | -5.8%▼ | -4.9%▼ | -5.6%▼ | -5.7%▼ | -6.5%▼ |
| RAYMONDRaymond Limited | -0.8% | -1.1% | -0.3% | -0.2% | -2.2% | -3.3% | -1.9% | -2.5% | -2.6% | -0.8% |
| PGELPG Electroplast Ltd. | -0.1% | -2.3% | -2.7% | -4.1% | -1.3% | -2.5% | -2.8% | -4.1% | -3.7% | -5.1% |
| ARVINDArvind Limited | +2.1% | +2.9% | +6.1% | +9.2% | +8.3% | +7.7% | +7.5% | +12.7% | +13.6% | +14.0% |
| REFEXRefex Industries Limited | +0.5% | +1.3% | -0.9% | -2.2% | -4.5% | -3.8% | -2.7% | -4.3% | -0.2% | -2.0% |
| Look at, ahead of Nifty | 3/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 |
| … on the record | 49% | 49% | 48% | 47% | 47% | 47% | 48% | 48% | 48% | 48% |
| Stay away, behind Nifty | 3/5 | 3/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 |
| … on the record | 58% | 57% | 58% | 58% | 58% | 59% | 59% | 59% | 59% | 59% |
| Spread, look-at minus stay-away | +0.5% | -0.2% | +0.8% | -1.4% | -0.6% | +2.0% | +2.0% | -1.9% | -4.0% | -4.4% |
| … on the record | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Each cell is the name's move from the close of 10 Oct minus Nifty's over the same sessions, at that session's close. A ▲ or ▼ marks the first session by which the card's upside or downside reference had printed. The on the record rows are what every past call has done at that point — 1,860 calls a side — so a day can be read against what usually happens, not just against zero. Sessions are the name's own; a name that did not trade on a day is measured on the sessions it did.
The whole field · top 50 and bottom 50
| Rank | Company | Score | Chance | Close | Move, six months | vs Nifty | vs sector | Range | After results | Delivery | 10 sessions on | vs Nifty |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 look at | TFCILTDTourism Finance Corporation of India Limited | 95.2 | 50% | ₹73.85 | +122.7% | +109.8% | — | 96% | +8.7% | +10.5 pp | -4.4% | -7.1% |
| 2 look at | GABRIELGabriel India Ltd. | 92.8 | 50% | ₹1,271.20 | +145.1% | +132.2% | +112.4% | 94% | +7.1% | +5.6 pp | -2.3% | -5.0% |
| 3 look at | KRISHANAKrishana Phoschem Limited | 92.4 | 50% | ₹114.09 | +144.4% | +131.5% | — | 92% | +17.9% | +5.7 pp | -8.9% | -11.6% |
| 4 look at | NAM-INDIANippon Life India Asset Management Ltd. | 91.5 | 50% | ₹871.85 | +65.5% | +52.6% | +54.3% | 96% | +5.3% | +8.2 pp | +5.0% | +2.3% |
| 5 look at | DELHIVERYDelhivery Ltd. | 91.1 | 50% | ₹464.85 | +91.0% | +78.1% | — | 92% | +11.8% | +6.0 pp | +1.8% | -0.9% |
| 779 stay away | REFEXRefex Industries Limited | 7.1 | 55% | ₹357.05 | -7.6% | -20.5% | — | 11% | -15.2% | -5.5 pp | +0.7% | -2.0% |
| 780 stay away | ARVINDArvind Limited | 5.4 | 55% | ₹279.60 | -11.3% | -24.1% | — | 0% | -8.0% | -5.1 pp | +16.6% | +14.0% |
| 781 stay away | PGELPG Electroplast Ltd. | 4.9 | 55% | ₹585.95 | -31.2% | -44.1% | -41.5% | 21% | -9.8% | -15.3 pp | -2.4% | -5.1% |
| 782 stay away | RAYMONDRaymond Limited | 4.6 | 55% | ₹579.55 | -61.2% | -74.1% | — | 3% | -32.0% | -1.8 pp | +1.9% | -0.8% |
| 783 stay away | ORIENTCEMOrient Cement Limited | 3.3 | 55% | ₹221.37 | -37.8% | -50.7% | — | 3% | -7.0% | -11.0 pp | -3.8% | -6.5% |
Score ranks every name on six checks over six months, each placed from first to last across the field, then blended: the move and the move against Nifty 30% (on one day and one period they order the field the same way, so they count once), against the sector 20%, where the close sits between the period's high and low 20%, the move against Nifty in the ten sessions after each result in the period 15% (* its last result before the period when there was none), and delivery over the second half of the period against the first half 15%. A missing check's weight is shared among the rest. Chance is the historical rate at which names ranked in the same tenth on this period went the way that tenth leans — blank until a tenth has a hundred judged rows. Every call is judged ten sessions after the close against Nifty, whatever the period.