The daily read from the close of 6 Oct 2025
Computed on the morning of 7 Oct 2025 (simulated: computed after the fact, standing on that close with only what was known then): 786 names ranked. Judged ten sessions later: the names to look at averaged -4.6% vs Nifty (0 of 5 beat it), the names to stay away from averaged -1.2% (3 of 5 trailed it), the whole field -2.9%.
The read from the close of 6 Oct 2025 · Half year
Our calculation, not advice.
Follow in my book
rank 1 of 785
TFCILTD
Tourism Finance Corporation of India Limited
▲ Look at
96.1
score /100rank 1 of 785
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹75.73close 6 Oct
Upside reference₹82.17+8.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹70.92-6.3% · its typical 10-session fall
+111.7% over six months · +102.3% vs Nifty · 100% of its six-month range · after results +8.7% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -4.4% (-7.5% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 2 of 785
LUMAXTECH
Lumax Auto Technologies Limited
▲ Look at
92.5
score /100rank 2 of 785
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,264.70close 6 Oct
Upside reference₹1,348.69+6.6% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹1,211.00-4.2% · its typical 10-session fall
+137.5% over six months · +128.0% vs Nifty · 93% of its six-month range · after results +28.6% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -7.1% (-10.1% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 3 of 785
DELHIVERY
Delhivery Ltd.
▲ Look at
91.8
score /100rank 3 of 785
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹462.60close 6 Oct
Upside reference₹488.37+5.6% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹442.23-4.4% · its typical 10-session fall
+78.7% over six months · +69.3% vs Nifty · 91% of its six-month range · after results +11.8% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +2.7% (-0.4% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 4 of 785
GABRIEL
Gabriel India Ltd. · AUTO
▲ Look at
91.7
score /100rank 4 of 785
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,278.60close 6 Oct
Upside reference₹1,379.87+7.9% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹1,200.25-6.1% · its typical 10-session fall
+130.3% over six months · +120.8% vs Nifty · +99.9% vs its sector · 95% of its six-month range · after results +7.1% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +1.2% (-1.8% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 5 of 785
CCL
CCL Products (I) Ltd. · FMCG
▲ Look at
90.1
score /100rank 5 of 785
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹845.50close 6 Oct
Upside reference₹897.05+6.1% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹810.11-4.2% · its typical 10-session fall
+53.5% over six months · +44.0% vs Nifty · +51.2% vs its sector · 77% of its six-month range · after results +18.3% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -0.2% (-3.2% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 785 of 785
PGEL
PG Electroplast Ltd. · CONSUMER DURABLES
▼ Stay away
2.5
score /100rank 785 of 785
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹517.20close 6 Oct
Upside reference₹554.59+7.2% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹491.57-5.0% · its typical 10-session fall
-40.7% over six months · -50.2% vs Nifty · -49.4% vs its sector · 6% of its six-month range · after results -9.8% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +12.9% (+9.9% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 784 of 785
ORIENTCEM
Orient Cement Limited
▼ Stay away
3.7
score /100rank 784 of 785
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹222.69close 6 Oct
Upside reference₹228.57+2.6% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹217.75-2.2% · its typical 10-session fall
-36.4% over six months · -45.9% vs Nifty · 4% of its six-month range · after results -7.0% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -4.1% (-7.2% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 783 of 785
RAYMOND
Raymond Limited
▼ Stay away
4.0
score /100rank 783 of 785
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹581.25close 6 Oct
Upside reference₹610.68+5.1% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹546.29-6.0% · its typical 10-session fall
-60.8% over six months · -70.3% vs Nifty · 3% of its six-month range · after results -32.0% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -1.4% (-4.4% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 782 of 785
REFEX
Refex Industries Limited
▼ Stay away
7.6
score /100rank 782 of 785
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹361.35close 6 Oct
Upside reference₹386.36+6.9% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹343.99-4.8% · its typical 10-session fall
-10.2% over six months · -19.7% vs Nifty · 13% of its six-month range · after results -15.2% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -2.8% (-5.8% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 781 of 785
ARVIND
Arvind Limited
▼ Stay away
8.1
score /100rank 781 of 785
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹294.15close 6 Oct
Upside reference₹309.25+5.1% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹281.40-4.3% · its typical 10-session fall
-10.9% over six months · -20.4% vs Nifty · 11% of its six-month range · after results -8.0% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +4.5% (+1.5% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference reached
Session by session · the full window
| Name | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 | T+4 | T+5 | T+6 | T+7 | T+8 | T+9 | T+10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ Names to look at — move vs Nifty since the close; green while ahead | ||||||||||
| TFCILTDTourism Finance Corporation of India Limited | -0.7% | -0.7% | -2.6% | -3.3% | -3.6% | -3.4% | -2.9% | -4.4% | -5.5% | -7.5% |
| LUMAXTECHLumax Auto Technologies Limited | -0.6% | -2.3% | -6.3% | -8.9% | -7.3% | -10.2% | -8.6% | -8.1% | -9.0% | -10.1% |
| DELHIVERYDelhivery Ltd. | +1.2% | +1.1% | +0.8% | -0.3% | +1.8% | +1.2% | -1.4% | -5.4% | -1.9% | -0.4% |
| GABRIELGabriel India Ltd. | +2.5% | +3.1% | +0.5% | -1.4% | -2.9% | -5.0% | +0.2% | -3.0% | -5.9% | -1.8% |
| CCLCCL Products (I) Ltd. | +0.7% | -0.9% | -2.1% | -2.7% | -2.5% | -1.8% | -2.3% | -2.3% | -3.7% | -3.2% |
| ▼ Names to stay away from — move vs Nifty since the close; green while behind | ||||||||||
| PGELPG Electroplast Ltd. | +0.7% | -0.4% | +6.5% | +12.5% | +12.3% | +9.8% | +9.5% | +8.0% | +11.2% | +9.9% |
| ORIENTCEMOrient Cement Limited | +0.4% | -0.6% | -0.9% | -1.4% | -2.1% | -3.8%▼ | -4.2%▼ | -5.4%▼ | -6.2%▼ | -7.2%▼ |
| RAYMONDRaymond Limited | +0.2% | -0.6% | -1.1% | -1.1% | -2.0% | -2.2% | -1.4% | -1.3% | -3.3% | -4.4% |
| REFEXRefex Industries Limited | +2.2% | +0.7% | -1.2% | -2.0% | -1.5% | -0.7% | -2.9% | -4.2% | -6.5% | -5.8% |
| ARVINDArvind Limited | +0.9% | -2.0% | -3.1% | -5.8%▼ | -3.8%▼ | -3.0%▼ | +0.0%▼ | +2.9%▼ | +2.0%▼ | +1.5%▼ |
| Look at, ahead of Nifty | 3/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 0/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 0/5 | 0/5 | 0/5 |
| … on the record | 49% | 49% | 48% | 47% | 47% | 47% | 48% | 48% | 48% | 48% |
| Stay away, behind Nifty | 0/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 |
| … on the record | 58% | 57% | 58% | 58% | 58% | 59% | 59% | 58% | 59% | 59% |
| Spread, look-at minus stay-away | -0.3% | +0.6% | -2.0% | -3.8% | -3.5% | -3.8% | -3.2% | -4.6% | -4.6% | -3.4% |
| … on the record | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Each cell is the name's move from the close of 6 Oct minus Nifty's over the same sessions, at that session's close. A ▲ or ▼ marks the first session by which the card's upside or downside reference had printed. The on the record rows are what every past call has done at that point — 1,865 calls a side — so a day can be read against what usually happens, not just against zero. Sessions are the name's own; a name that did not trade on a day is measured on the sessions it did.
The whole field · top 50 and bottom 50
| Rank | Company | Score | Chance | Close | Move, six months | vs Nifty | vs sector | Range | After results | Delivery | 10 sessions on | vs Nifty |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 look at | TFCILTDTourism Finance Corporation of India Limited | 96.1 | 50% | ₹75.73 | +111.7% | +102.3% | — | 100% | +8.7% | +9.6 pp | -4.4% | -7.5% |
| 2 look at | LUMAXTECHLumax Auto Technologies Limited | 92.5 | 50% | ₹1,264.70 | +137.5% | +128.0% | — | 93% | +28.6% | +5.1 pp | -7.1% | -10.1% |
| 3 look at | DELHIVERYDelhivery Ltd. | 91.8 | 50% | ₹462.60 | +78.7% | +69.3% | — | 91% | +11.8% | +7.0 pp | +2.7% | -0.4% |
| 4 look at | GABRIELGabriel India Ltd. | 91.7 | 50% | ₹1,278.60 | +130.3% | +120.8% | +99.9% | 95% | +7.1% | +4.7 pp | +1.2% | -1.8% |
| 5 look at | CCLCCL Products (I) Ltd. | 90.1 | 50% | ₹845.50 | +53.5% | +44.0% | +51.2% | 77% | +18.3% | +11.8 pp | -0.2% | -3.2% |
| 781 stay away | ARVINDArvind Limited | 8.1 | 55% | ₹294.15 | -10.9% | -20.4% | — | 11% | -8.0% | -5.4 pp | +4.5% | +1.5% |
| 782 stay away | REFEXRefex Industries Limited | 7.6 | 55% | ₹361.35 | -10.2% | -19.7% | — | 13% | -15.2% | -5.9 pp | -2.8% | -5.8% |
| 783 stay away | RAYMONDRaymond Limited | 4.0 | 55% | ₹581.25 | -60.8% | -70.3% | — | 3% | -32.0% | -2.6 pp | -1.4% | -4.4% |
| 784 stay away | ORIENTCEMOrient Cement Limited | 3.7 | 55% | ₹222.69 | -36.4% | -45.9% | — | 4% | -7.0% | -12.1 pp | -4.1% | -7.2% |
| 785 stay away | PGELPG Electroplast Ltd. | 2.5 | 55% | ₹517.20 | -40.7% | -50.2% | -49.4% | 6% | -9.8% | -13.8 pp | +12.9% | +9.9% |
Score ranks every name on six checks over six months, each placed from first to last across the field, then blended: the move and the move against Nifty 30% (on one day and one period they order the field the same way, so they count once), against the sector 20%, where the close sits between the period's high and low 20%, the move against Nifty in the ten sessions after each result in the period 15% (* its last result before the period when there was none), and delivery over the second half of the period against the first half 15%. A missing check's weight is shared among the rest. Chance is the historical rate at which names ranked in the same tenth on this period went the way that tenth leans — blank until a tenth has a hundred judged rows. Every call is judged ten sessions after the close against Nifty, whatever the period.