The daily read from the close of 3 Oct 2025
Computed on the morning of 4 Oct 2025 (simulated: computed after the fact, standing on that close with only what was known then): 787 names ranked. Judged ten sessions later: the names to look at averaged -2.4% vs Nifty (1 of 5 beat it), the names to stay away from averaged -8.6% (5 of 5 trailed it), the whole field -5.5%.
The read from the close of 3 Oct 2025 · Quarter
Our calculation, not advice.
Follow in my book
rank 1 of 786
TFCILTD
Tourism Finance Corporation of India Limited
▲ Look at
95.2
score /100rank 1 of 786
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹73.96close 3 Oct
Upside reference₹80.25+8.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹69.26-6.4% · its typical 10-session fall
+52.7% over three months · +54.7% vs Nifty · 100% of its three-month range · after results +12.2% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -0.6% (-3.9% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 2 of 786
VSTTILLERS
V.S.T Tillers Tractors Limited
▲ Look at
93.9
score /100rank 2 of 786
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹5,474.50close 3 Oct
Upside reference₹5,754.90+5.1% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹5,267.51-3.8% · its typical 10-session fall
+35.5% over three months · +37.5% vs Nifty · 100% of its three-month range · after results +10.4% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -1.8% (-5.1% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 3 of 786
TVSMOTOR
TVS Motor Company Ltd. · AUTO
▲ Look at
93.6
score /100rank 3 of 786
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹3,456.10close 3 Oct
Upside reference₹3,611.52+4.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹3,355.84-2.9% · its typical 10-session fall
+496.0% over three months · +498.1% vs Nifty · +484.6% vs its sector · 96% of its three-month range · after results +14.5% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +5.7% (+2.5% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 4 of 786
AIIL
Authum Investment & Infrastructure Ltd. · FINANCIAL SERVICES
▲ Look at
92.0
score /100rank 4 of 786
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹638.22close 3 Oct
Upside reference₹678.51+6.3% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹609.42-4.5% · its typical 10-session fall
+18.9% over three months · +20.9% vs Nifty · +20.1% vs its sector · 87% of its three-month range · after results +9.2% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -0.9% (-4.2% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 5 of 786
GRANULES
Granules India Ltd. · HEALTHCARE INDEX
▲ Look at
91.5
score /100rank 5 of 786
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹557.30close 3 Oct
Upside reference₹576.47+3.4% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹532.20-4.5% · its typical 10-session fall
+13.7% over three months · +15.7% vs Nifty · +16.0% vs its sector · 100% of its three-month range · after results +8.4% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +2.2% (-1.1% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 786 of 786
RELINFRA
Reliance Infrastructure Limited
▼ Stay away
2.8
score /100rank 786 of 786
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹249.58close 3 Oct
Upside reference₹266.23+6.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹230.27-7.7% · its typical 10-session fall
-33.8% over three months · -31.8% vs Nifty · 5% of its three-month range · after results -18.6% vs Nifty
10 sessions on: -10.4% (-13.6% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 785 of 786
VPRPL
Vishnu Prakash R Punglia Limited
▼ Stay away
4.9
score /100rank 785 of 786
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹96.15close 3 Oct
Upside reference₹102.66+6.8% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹88.64-7.8% · its typical 10-session fall
-41.5% over three months · -39.5% vs Nifty · 3% of its three-month range · after results -24.3% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -5.8% (-9.1% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 784 of 786
HIKAL
Hikal Limited
▼ Stay away
7.1
score /100rank 784 of 786
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹254.05close 3 Oct
Upside reference₹263.45+3.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹240.05-5.5% · its typical 10-session fall
-26.9% over three months · -24.8% vs Nifty · 5% of its three-month range · after results -13.8% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -5.5% (-8.8% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 783 of 786
RPOWER
Reliance Power Ltd. · ENERGY
▼ Stay away
8.3
score /100rank 783 of 786
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹46.48close 3 Oct
Upside reference₹50.21+8.0% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹43.15-7.2% · its typical 10-session fall
-29.1% over three months · -27.1% vs Nifty · -26.4% vs its sector · 18% of its three-month range · after results -24.7% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -4.0% (-7.2% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 782 of 786
FIVESTAR
Five-Star Business Finance Ltd. · FINANCIAL SERVICES
▼ Stay away
8.4
score /100rank 782 of 786
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹533.95close 3 Oct
Upside reference₹561.66+5.2% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹502.11-6.0% · its typical 10-session fall
-30.8% over three months · -28.8% vs Nifty · -29.6% vs its sector · 9% of its three-month range · after results -13.9% vs Nifty
10 sessions on: -1.2% (-4.5% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Session by session · the full window
| Name | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 | T+4 | T+5 | T+6 | T+7 | T+8 | T+9 | T+10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ Names to look at — move vs Nifty since the close; green while ahead | ||||||||||
| TFCILTDTourism Finance Corporation of India Limited | +1.7% | +0.9% | +0.9% | -1.0% | -1.7% | -2.0% | -1.8% | -1.3% | -2.8% | -3.9% |
| VSTTILLERSV.S.T Tillers Tractors Limited | +1.4% | +1.1% | +1.2% | +0.0% | -1.4% | -1.4% | -0.1% | -1.8% | -3.6% | -5.1% |
| TVSMOTORTVS Motor Company Ltd. | +0.8% | +0.8% | +0.2% | -0.3% | -0.6% | +0.0% | +0.4% | +1.7% | +0.7% | +2.5%▲ |
| AIILAuthum Investment & Infrastructure Ltd. | -0.3% | +1.0% | +2.5% | +1.9% | +1.8% | -1.7% | -2.8% | +0.1% | -1.3% | -4.2% |
| GRANULESGranules India Ltd. | -1.6% | -1.1% | -2.1% | +0.4% | +0.4% | -0.1% | +1.3% | +0.3% | -0.5% | -1.1% |
| ▼ Names to stay away from — move vs Nifty since the close; green while behind | ||||||||||
| RELINFRAReliance Infrastructure Limited | -3.1% | -6.7% | -7.4% | -8.9% | -4.7% | -6.4% | -10.7%▼ | -9.9%▼ | -10.6%▼ | -13.6%▼ |
| VPRPLVishnu Prakash R Punglia Limited | -4.0% | -5.2% | -7.3% | -8.8% | -0.1% | +1.1% | -3.6% | -5.5% | -6.9% | -9.1% |
| HIKALHikal Limited | -1.1% | -2.4% | -2.0% | -4.0% | -3.9% | -6.9%▼ | -7.2%▼ | -6.5%▼ | -8.2%▼ | -8.8%▼ |
| RPOWERReliance Power Ltd. | -3.2% | -5.0% | -4.2% | -5.5% | +2.9% | -1.9% | -4.0% | -5.1% | -5.9% | -7.2% |
| FIVESTARFive-Star Business Finance Ltd. | -0.3% | -1.1% | -2.5% | -3.0% | -2.6% | -3.1% | -4.6% | -2.7% | -2.9% | -4.5% |
| Look at, ahead of Nifty | 3/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 | 1/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 |
| … on the record | 49% | 50% | 52% | 52% | 52% | 51% | 51% | 51% | 50% | 50% |
| Stay away, behind Nifty | 5/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 |
| … on the record | 55% | 55% | 54% | 54% | 55% | 55% | 54% | 54% | 55% | 54% |
| Spread, look-at minus stay-away | +2.7% | +4.6% | +5.2% | +6.2% | +1.4% | +2.4% | +5.4% | +5.8% | +5.4% | +6.3% |
| … on the record | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Each cell is the name's move from the close of 3 Oct minus Nifty's over the same sessions, at that session's close. A ▲ or ▼ marks the first session by which the card's upside or downside reference had printed. The on the record rows are what every past call has done at that point — 1,865 calls a side — so a day can be read against what usually happens, not just against zero. Sessions are the name's own; a name that did not trade on a day is measured on the sessions it did.
The whole field · top 50 and bottom 50
| Rank | Company | Score | Chance | Close | Move, three months | vs Nifty | vs sector | Range | After results | Delivery | 10 sessions on | vs Nifty |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 look at | TFCILTDTourism Finance Corporation of India Limited | 95.2 | 51% | ₹73.96 | +52.7% | +54.7% | — | 100% | +12.2% | +7.5 pp | -0.6% | -3.9% |
| 2 look at | VSTTILLERSV.S.T Tillers Tractors Limited | 93.9 | 51% | ₹5,474.50 | +35.5% | +37.5% | — | 100% | +10.4% | +7.1 pp | -1.8% | -5.1% |
| 3 look at | TVSMOTORTVS Motor Company Ltd. | 93.6 | 51% | ₹3,456.10 | +496.0% | +498.1% | +484.6% | 96% | +14.5% | +4.8 pp | +5.7% | +2.5% |
| 4 look at | AIILAuthum Investment & Infrastructure Ltd. | 92.0 | 51% | ₹638.22 | +18.9% | +20.9% | +20.1% | 87% | +9.2% | +17.6 pp | -0.9% | -4.2% |
| 5 look at | GRANULESGranules India Ltd. | 91.5 | 51% | ₹557.30 | +13.7% | +15.7% | +16.0% | 100% | +8.4% | +10.3 pp | +2.2% | -1.1% |
| 782 stay away | FIVESTARFive-Star Business Finance Ltd. | 8.4 | 52% | ₹533.95 | -30.8% | -28.8% | -29.6% | 9% | -13.9% | -0.2 pp | -1.2% | -4.5% |
| 783 stay away | RPOWERReliance Power Ltd. | 8.3 | 52% | ₹46.48 | -29.1% | -27.1% | -26.4% | 18% | -24.7% | -3.2 pp | -4.0% | -7.2% |
| 784 stay away | HIKALHikal Limited | 7.1 | 52% | ₹254.05 | -26.9% | -24.8% | — | 5% | -13.8% | -2.2 pp | -5.5% | -8.8% |
| 785 stay away | VPRPLVishnu Prakash R Punglia Limited | 4.9 | 52% | ₹96.15 | -41.5% | -39.5% | — | 3% | -24.3% | -2.5 pp | -5.8% | -9.1% |
| 786 stay away | RELINFRAReliance Infrastructure Limited | 2.8 | 52% | ₹249.58 | -33.8% | -31.8% | — | 5% | -18.6% | — | -10.4% | -13.6% |
Score ranks every name on six checks over three months, each placed from first to last across the field, then blended: the move and the move against Nifty 30% (on one day and one period they order the field the same way, so they count once), against the sector 20%, where the close sits between the period's high and low 20%, the move against Nifty in the ten sessions after each result in the period 15% (* its last result before the period when there was none), and delivery over the second half of the period against the first half 15%. A missing check's weight is shared among the rest. Chance is the historical rate at which names ranked in the same tenth on this period went the way that tenth leans — blank until a tenth has a hundred judged rows. Every call is judged ten sessions after the close against Nifty, whatever the period.