The daily read from the close of 30 Sep 2025
Computed on the morning of 1 Oct 2025 (simulated: computed after the fact, standing on that close with only what was known then): 784 names ranked. Judged ten sessions later: the names to look at averaged -0.1% vs Nifty (2 of 5 beat it), the names to stay away from averaged +2.4% (3 of 5 trailed it), the whole field +1.1%.
The read from the close of 30 Sep 2025 · Month
Our calculation, not advice.
Follow in my book
rank 1 of 784
TFCILTD
Tourism Finance Corporation of India Limited
▲ Look at
92.6
score /100rank 1 of 784
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹73.35close 30 Sep
Upside reference₹79.69+8.6% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹68.32-6.9% · its typical 10-session fall
+21.8% over the month · +21.1% vs Nifty · 100% of its month range · after results +12.2% vs Nifty (last result, before the month) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +1.3% (-1.6% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 2 of 784
FUSION
Fusion Finance Limited
▲ Look at
91.9
score /100rank 2 of 784
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹191.81close 30 Sep
Upside reference₹204.25+6.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹177.46-7.5% · its typical 10-session fall
+12.5% over the month · +11.7% vs Nifty · 95% of its month range · after results +12.5% vs Nifty (last result, before the month) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -1.1% (-4.0% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 3 of 784
TBOTEK
TBO Tek Ltd.
▲ Look at
89.8
score /100rank 3 of 784
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,525.10close 30 Sep
Upside reference₹1,606.43+5.3% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹1,445.00-5.3% · its typical 10-session fall
+16.7% over the month · +15.9% vs Nifty · 65% of its month range · after results +3.7% vs Nifty (last result, before the month) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +1.6% (-1.2% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 4 of 784
CHOLAFIN
Cholamandalam Investment and Finance Company Ltd. · FINANCIAL SERVICES
▲ Look at
88.0
score /100rank 4 of 784
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,610.80close 30 Sep
Upside reference₹1,690.33+4.9% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹1,545.18-4.1% · its typical 10-session fall
+13.4% over the month · +12.6% vs Nifty · +11.6% vs its sector · 91% of its month range · after results +5.1% vs Nifty (last result, before the month) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +5.4% (+2.5% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 5 of 784
JAYNECOIND
Jayaswal Neco Industries Limited
▲ Look at
87.8
score /100rank 5 of 784
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹67.30close 30 Sep
Upside reference₹72.28+7.4% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹63.95-5.0% · its typical 10-session fall
+16.5% over the month · +15.7% vs Nifty · 60% of its month range · after results +30.3% vs Nifty (last result, before the month) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +6.7% (+3.8% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 784 of 784
RELINFRA
Reliance Infrastructure Limited
▼ Stay away
7.3
score /100rank 784 of 784
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹242.10close 30 Sep
Upside reference₹258.35+6.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹223.37-7.7% · its typical 10-session fall
-8.7% over the month · -9.4% vs Nifty · 0% of its month range · after results -18.6% vs Nifty (last result, before the month)
10 sessions on: -5.3% (-8.2% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 783 of 784
CRISIL
CRISIL Ltd. · FINANCIAL SERVICES
▼ Stay away
8.9
score /100rank 783 of 784
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹4,436.60close 30 Sep
Upside reference₹4,668.59+5.2% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹4,248.71-4.2% · its typical 10-session fall
-11.0% over the month · -11.8% vs Nifty · -12.8% vs its sector · 0% of its month range · after results -6.3% vs Nifty (last result, before the month) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +6.6% (+3.7% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 782 of 784
JAIBALAJI
Jai Balaji Industries Limited
▼ Stay away
9.3
score /100rank 782 of 784
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹94.37close 30 Sep
Upside reference₹99.06+5.0% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹89.13-5.6% · its typical 10-session fall
-8.6% over the month · -9.4% vs Nifty · 0% of its month range · after results -8.5% vs Nifty (last result, before the month) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +1.9% (-1.0% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 781 of 784
SKYGOLD
SKY GOLD AND DIAMONDS LIMITED
▼ Stay away
9.7
score /100rank 781 of 784
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹263.25close 30 Sep
Upside reference₹283.93+7.9% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹241.56-8.2% · its typical 10-session fall
-8.6% over the month · -9.3% vs Nifty · 0% of its month range · after results -9.7% vs Nifty (last result, before the month) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +23.5% (+20.6% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 780 of 784
MEDPLUS
Medplus Health Services Limited
▼ Stay away
10.8
score /100rank 780 of 784
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹757.45close 30 Sep
Upside reference₹788.44+4.1% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹728.02-3.9% · its typical 10-session fall
-10.0% over the month · -10.8% vs Nifty · 0% of its month range · after results -10.5% vs Nifty (last result, before the month) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -0.1% (-3.0% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Session by session · the full window
| Name | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 | T+4 | T+5 | T+6 | T+7 | T+8 | T+9 | T+10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ Names to look at — move vs Nifty since the close; green while ahead | ||||||||||
| TFCILTDTourism Finance Corporation of India Limited | -0.5% | -0.3% | +1.3% | +0.6% | +0.6% | -1.4% | -2.1% | -2.3% | -2.1% | -1.6% |
| FUSIONFusion Finance Limited | +0.1% | -0.4% | -2.9% | -1.3% | -0.6% | -1.9% | -1.8% | -1.9% | -2.1% | -4.0% |
| TBOTEKTBO Tek Ltd. | -1.1% | +3.8% | +2.7% | -1.5% | -0.5% | -1.8% | -0.3% | -1.8% | -4.0% | -1.2% |
| CHOLAFINCholamandalam Investment and Finance Company Ltd. | -1.3% | -3.6% | -0.4% | -0.7% | -2.0% | -1.7% | -2.5% | -0.2% | -0.0% | +2.5%▲ |
| JAYNECOINDJayaswal Neco Industries Limited | +1.9% | +6.0% | +5.6%▲ | +8.3%▲ | +4.0%▲ | +5.3%▲ | +2.0%▲ | +4.2%▲ | +4.4%▲ | +3.8%▲ |
| ▼ Names to stay away from — move vs Nifty since the close; green while behind | ||||||||||
| RELINFRAReliance Infrastructure Limited | -0.3% | +1.9% | -1.2% | -4.9% | -5.7% | -7.2% | -2.8% | -4.7% | -9.1% | -8.2% |
| CRISILCRISIL Ltd. | -0.6% | +2.7% | +1.5% | +4.3% | +2.6% | +1.9% | +2.8% | +0.6% | +1.3% | +3.7% |
| JAIBALAJIJai Balaji Industries Limited | +3.4% | +5.2% | +2.8% | +2.8% | +1.9% | +1.6% | +1.2% | -0.8% | -2.6% | -1.0% |
| SKYGOLDSKY GOLD AND DIAMONDS LIMITED | +4.2% | +6.9% | +5.4% | +10.9% | +17.2% | +25.7% | +27.4% | +25.8% | +21.1% | +20.6% |
| MEDPLUSMedplus Health Services Limited | -3.0% | -2.6% | -2.2% | -3.0% | -1.0% | +0.6% | +0.8% | +0.2% | -0.5% | -3.0% |
| Look at, ahead of Nifty | 2/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 2/5 |
| … on the record | 50% | 49% | 50% | 51% | 52% | 53% | 53% | 52% | 53% | 53% |
| Stay away, behind Nifty | 3/5 | 1/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 |
| … on the record | 55% | 55% | 55% | 54% | 54% | 55% | 55% | 54% | 53% | 53% |
| Spread, look-at minus stay-away | -0.9% | -1.8% | +0.0% | -1.0% | -2.7% | -4.8% | -6.8% | -4.6% | -2.8% | -2.5% |
| … on the record | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Each cell is the name's move from the close of 30 Sep minus Nifty's over the same sessions, at that session's close. A ▲ or ▼ marks the first session by which the card's upside or downside reference had printed. The on the record rows are what every past call has done at that point — 1,865 calls a side — so a day can be read against what usually happens, not just against zero. Sessions are the name's own; a name that did not trade on a day is measured on the sessions it did.
The whole field · top 50 and bottom 50
| Rank | Company | Score | Chance | Close | Move, the month | vs Nifty | vs sector | Range | After results | Delivery | 10 sessions on | vs Nifty |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 look at | TFCILTDTourism Finance Corporation of India Limited | 92.6 | 51% | ₹73.35 | +21.8% | +21.1% | — | 100% | +12.2%* | +4.9 pp | +1.3% | -1.6% |
| 2 look at | FUSIONFusion Finance Limited | 91.9 | 51% | ₹191.81 | +12.5% | +11.7% | — | 95% | +12.5%* | +7.5 pp | -1.1% | -4.0% |
| 3 look at | TBOTEKTBO Tek Ltd. | 89.8 | 51% | ₹1,525.10 | +16.7% | +15.9% | — | 65% | +3.7%* | +18.1 pp | +1.6% | -1.2% |
| 4 look at | CHOLAFINCholamandalam Investment and Finance Company Ltd. | 88.0 | 51% | ₹1,610.80 | +13.4% | +12.6% | +11.6% | 91% | +5.1%* | +4.9 pp | +5.4% | +2.5% |
| 5 look at | JAYNECOINDJayaswal Neco Industries Limited | 87.8 | 51% | ₹67.30 | +16.5% | +15.7% | — | 60% | +30.3%* | +5.2 pp | +6.7% | +3.8% |
| 780 stay away | MEDPLUSMedplus Health Services Limited | 10.8 | 52% | ₹757.45 | -10.0% | -10.8% | — | 0% | -10.5%* | -2.3 pp | -0.1% | -3.0% |
| 781 stay away | SKYGOLDSKY GOLD AND DIAMONDS LIMITED | 9.7 | 52% | ₹263.25 | -8.6% | -9.3% | — | 0% | -9.7%* | -6.4 pp | +23.5% | +20.6% |
| 782 stay away | JAIBALAJIJai Balaji Industries Limited | 9.3 | 52% | ₹94.37 | -8.6% | -9.4% | — | 0% | -8.5%* | -9.7 pp | +1.9% | -1.0% |
| 783 stay away | CRISILCRISIL Ltd. | 8.9 | 52% | ₹4,436.60 | -11.0% | -11.8% | -12.8% | 0% | -6.3%* | -5.6 pp | +6.6% | +3.7% |
| 784 stay away | RELINFRAReliance Infrastructure Limited | 7.3 | 52% | ₹242.10 | -8.7% | -9.4% | — | 0% | -18.6%* | — | -5.3% | -8.2% |
Score ranks every name on six checks over the month (last month plus this month so far), each placed from first to last across the field, then blended: the move and the move against Nifty 30% (on one day and one period they order the field the same way, so they count once), against the sector 20%, where the close sits between the period's high and low 20%, the move against Nifty in the ten sessions after each result in the period 15% (* its last result before the period when there was none), and delivery over the second half of the period against the first half 15%. A missing check's weight is shared among the rest. Chance is the historical rate at which names ranked in the same tenth on this period went the way that tenth leans — blank until a tenth has a hundred judged rows. Every call is judged ten sessions after the close against Nifty, whatever the period.