The daily read from the close of 30 Sep 2025
Computed on the morning of 1 Oct 2025 (simulated: computed after the fact, standing on that close with only what was known then): 784 names ranked. Judged ten sessions later: the names to look at averaged +3.3% vs Nifty (4 of 5 beat it), the names to stay away from averaged -3.9% (4 of 5 trailed it), the whole field -0.3%.
The read from the close of 30 Sep 2025 · Quarter
Our calculation, not advice.
Follow in my book
rank 1 of 783
TVSMOTOR
TVS Motor Company Ltd. · AUTO
▲ Look at
95.2
score /100rank 1 of 783
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹3,438.70close 30 Sep
Upside reference₹3,592.89+4.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹3,338.57-2.9% · its typical 10-session fall
+489.2% over three months · +492.8% vs Nifty · +478.0% vs its sector · 95% of its three-month range · after results +14.5% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +4.0% (+1.1% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 2 of 783
TFCILTD
Tourism Finance Corporation of India Limited
▲ Look at
93.3
score /100rank 2 of 783
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹73.35close 30 Sep
Upside reference₹79.69+8.6% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹68.32-6.9% · its typical 10-session fall
+54.7% over three months · +58.3% vs Nifty · 100% of its three-month range · after results +12.2% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +1.3% (-1.6% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 3 of 783
AIIL
Authum Investment & Infrastructure Ltd. · FINANCIAL SERVICES
▲ Look at
92.4
score /100rank 3 of 783
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹616.44close 30 Sep
Upside reference₹655.36+6.3% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹588.63-4.5% · its typical 10-session fall
+17.2% over three months · +20.7% vs Nifty · +21.4% vs its sector · 75% of its three-month range · after results +9.2% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +5.4% (+2.5% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 4 of 783
VSTTILLERS
V.S.T Tillers Tractors Limited
▲ Look at
91.9
score /100rank 4 of 783
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹5,050.00close 30 Sep
Upside reference₹5,319.97+5.3% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹4,856.38-3.8% · its typical 10-session fall
+37.7% over three months · +41.3% vs Nifty · 78% of its three-month range · after results +10.4% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +8.3% (+5.4% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 5 of 783
FORTIS
Fortis Healthcare Ltd. · INFRASTRUCTURE
▲ Look at
91.4
score /100rank 5 of 783
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹969.80close 30 Sep
Upside reference₹1,011.10+4.3% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹946.96-2.4% · its typical 10-session fall
+22.1% over three months · +25.6% vs Nifty · +26.3% vs its sector · 96% of its three-month range · after results +7.7% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +12.1% (+9.3% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 783 of 783
RELINFRA
Reliance Infrastructure Limited
▼ Stay away
2.3
score /100rank 783 of 783
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹242.10close 30 Sep
Upside reference₹258.35+6.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹223.37-7.7% · its typical 10-session fall
-40.9% over three months · -37.4% vs Nifty · 0% of its three-month range · after results -18.6% vs Nifty
10 sessions on: -5.3% (-8.2% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 782 of 783
RPOWER
Reliance Power Ltd. · ENERGY
▼ Stay away
6.9
score /100rank 782 of 783
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹44.36close 30 Sep
Upside reference₹47.93+8.0% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹41.15-7.2% · its typical 10-session fall
-36.9% over three months · -33.3% vs Nifty · -32.6% vs its sector · 7% of its three-month range · after results -24.7% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +1.2% (-1.7% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 781 of 783
BAYERCROP
Bayer Cropscience Ltd.
▼ Stay away
7.1
score /100rank 781 of 783
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹4,810.50close 30 Sep
Upside reference₹5,047.27+4.9% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹4,600.18-4.4% · its typical 10-session fall
-23.6% over three months · -20.0% vs Nifty · 0% of its three-month range · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +5.3% (+2.4% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 780 of 783
VPRPL
Vishnu Prakash R Punglia Limited
▼ Stay away
8.0
score /100rank 780 of 783
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹94.21close 30 Sep
Upside reference₹100.59+6.8% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹86.88-7.8% · its typical 10-session fall
-44.0% over three months · -40.5% vs Nifty · 1% of its three-month range · after results -24.3% vs Nifty
10 sessions on: -1.8% (-4.7% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 779 of 783
ZENTEC
Zen Technologies Ltd.
▼ Stay away
8.1
score /100rank 779 of 783
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,432.80close 30 Sep
Upside reference₹1,569.69+9.6% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹1,332.49-7.0% · its typical 10-session fall
-27.7% over three months · -24.1% vs Nifty · 5% of its three-month range · after results -18.6% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -4.6% (-7.5% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Session by session · the full window
| Name | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 | T+4 | T+5 | T+6 | T+7 | T+8 | T+9 | T+10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ Names to look at — move vs Nifty since the close; green while ahead | ||||||||||
| TVSMOTORTVS Motor Company Ltd. | -0.4% | -0.6% | +0.2% | +0.2% | -0.5% | -0.9% | -1.2% | -0.6% | -0.2% | +1.1% |
| TFCILTDTourism Finance Corporation of India Limited | -0.5% | -0.3% | +1.3% | +0.6% | +0.6% | -1.4% | -2.1% | -2.3% | -2.1% | -1.6% |
| AIILAuthum Investment & Infrastructure Ltd. | -0.8% | +2.4% | +2.1% | +3.4% | +5.0%▲ | +4.4%▲ | +4.3%▲ | +0.7%▲ | -0.5%▲ | +2.5%▲ |
| VSTTILLERSV.S.T Tillers Tractors Limited | +3.2% | +7.3%▲ | +8.8%▲ | +8.6%▲ | +8.6%▲ | +7.4%▲ | +5.8%▲ | +5.8%▲ | +7.2%▲ | +5.4%▲ |
| FORTISFortis Healthcare Ltd. | +1.1% | -0.1% | +6.8%▲ | +5.4%▲ | +7.1%▲ | +7.9%▲ | +6.6%▲ | +10.4%▲ | +9.3%▲ | +9.3%▲ |
| ▼ Names to stay away from — move vs Nifty since the close; green while behind | ||||||||||
| RELINFRAReliance Infrastructure Limited | -0.3% | +1.9% | -1.2% | -4.9% | -5.7% | -7.2% | -2.8% | -4.7% | -9.1% | -8.2% |
| RPOWERReliance Power Ltd. | +2.1% | +3.6% | +0.3% | -1.6% | -0.8% | -2.1% | +6.8% | +1.7% | -0.5% | -1.7% |
| BAYERCROPBayer Cropscience Ltd. | +1.2% | +3.9% | +2.0% | +1.7% | +2.1% | +2.8% | +1.3% | +1.6% | +1.2% | +2.4% |
| VPRPLVishnu Prakash R Punglia Limited | +1.7% | +0.9% | -3.2% | -4.4% | -6.5% | -8.1% | +0.9% | +2.1% | -2.7% | -4.7% |
| ZENTECZen Technologies Ltd. | +1.5% | +2.7% | -0.3% | -1.8% | -2.4% | -3.6% | -3.7% | -5.2% | -7.1% | -7.5% |
| Look at, ahead of Nifty | 2/5 | 2/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 4/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 | 4/5 |
| … on the record | 49% | 50% | 52% | 52% | 52% | 51% | 51% | 51% | 50% | 50% |
| Stay away, behind Nifty | 1/5 | 0/5 | 3/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 |
| … on the record | 55% | 55% | 54% | 54% | 55% | 55% | 54% | 54% | 55% | 54% |
| Spread, look-at minus stay-away | -0.7% | -0.9% | +4.3% | +5.8% | +6.8% | +7.1% | +2.2% | +3.7% | +6.4% | +7.3% |
| … on the record | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Each cell is the name's move from the close of 30 Sep minus Nifty's over the same sessions, at that session's close. A ▲ or ▼ marks the first session by which the card's upside or downside reference had printed. The on the record rows are what every past call has done at that point — 1,865 calls a side — so a day can be read against what usually happens, not just against zero. Sessions are the name's own; a name that did not trade on a day is measured on the sessions it did.
The whole field · top 50 and bottom 50
| Rank | Company | Score | Chance | Close | Move, three months | vs Nifty | vs sector | Range | After results | Delivery | 10 sessions on | vs Nifty |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 look at | TVSMOTORTVS Motor Company Ltd. | 95.2 | 51% | ₹3,438.70 | +489.2% | +492.8% | +478.0% | 95% | +14.5% | +5.9 pp | +4.0% | +1.1% |
| 2 look at | TFCILTDTourism Finance Corporation of India Limited | 93.3 | 51% | ₹73.35 | +54.7% | +58.3% | — | 100% | +12.2% | +5.1 pp | +1.3% | -1.6% |
| 3 look at | AIILAuthum Investment & Infrastructure Ltd. | 92.4 | 51% | ₹616.44 | +17.2% | +20.7% | +21.4% | 75% | +9.2% | +17.0 pp | +5.4% | +2.5% |
| 4 look at | VSTTILLERSV.S.T Tillers Tractors Limited | 91.9 | 51% | ₹5,050.00 | +37.7% | +41.3% | — | 78% | +10.4% | +6.8 pp | +8.3% | +5.4% |
| 5 look at | FORTISFortis Healthcare Ltd. | 91.4 | 51% | ₹969.80 | +22.1% | +25.6% | +26.3% | 96% | +7.7% | +5.7 pp | +12.1% | +9.3% |
| 779 stay away | ZENTECZen Technologies Ltd. | 8.1 | 52% | ₹1,432.80 | -27.7% | -24.1% | — | 5% | -18.6% | -5.8 pp | -4.6% | -7.5% |
| 780 stay away | VPRPLVishnu Prakash R Punglia Limited | 8.0 | 52% | ₹94.21 | -44.0% | -40.5% | — | 1% | -24.3% | -1.7 pp | -1.8% | -4.7% |
| 781 stay away | BAYERCROPBayer Cropscience Ltd. | 7.1 | 52% | ₹4,810.50 | -23.6% | -20.0% | — | 0% | — | -4.0 pp | +5.3% | +2.4% |
| 782 stay away | RPOWERReliance Power Ltd. | 6.9 | 52% | ₹44.36 | -36.9% | -33.3% | -32.6% | 7% | -24.7% | -4.5 pp | +1.2% | -1.7% |
| 783 stay away | RELINFRAReliance Infrastructure Limited | 2.3 | 52% | ₹242.10 | -40.9% | -37.4% | — | 0% | -18.6% | — | -5.3% | -8.2% |
Score ranks every name on six checks over three months, each placed from first to last across the field, then blended: the move and the move against Nifty 30% (on one day and one period they order the field the same way, so they count once), against the sector 20%, where the close sits between the period's high and low 20%, the move against Nifty in the ten sessions after each result in the period 15% (* its last result before the period when there was none), and delivery over the second half of the period against the first half 15%. A missing check's weight is shared among the rest. Chance is the historical rate at which names ranked in the same tenth on this period went the way that tenth leans — blank until a tenth has a hundred judged rows. Every call is judged ten sessions after the close against Nifty, whatever the period.