The daily read from the close of 18 Sep 2025
Computed on the morning of 19 Sep 2025 (simulated: computed after the fact, standing on that close with only what was known then): 781 names ranked. Judged ten sessions later: the names to look at averaged +4.5% vs Nifty (3 of 5 beat it), the names to stay away from averaged -0.9% (3 of 5 trailed it), the whole field +1.8%.
The read from the close of 18 Sep 2025 · Quarter
Our calculation, not advice.
Follow in my book
rank 1 of 780
IMFA
Indian Metals & Ferro Alloys Limited
▲ Look at
93.1
score /100rank 1 of 780
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,087.70close 18 Sep
Upside reference₹1,171.58+7.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹1,033.43-5.0% · its typical 10-session fall
+50.6% over three months · +48.1% vs Nifty · 100% of its three-month range · after results +12.4% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +7.6% (+9.7% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 2 of 780
USHAMART
Usha Martin Ltd.
▲ Look at
90.6
score /100rank 2 of 780
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹415.85close 18 Sep
Upside reference₹437.45+5.2% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹397.41-4.4% · its typical 10-session fall
+33.3% over three months · +30.8% vs Nifty · 100% of its three-month range · after results +9.2% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +11.2% (+13.3% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 3 of 780
POONAWALLA
Poonawalla Fincorp Ltd. · FINANCIAL SERVICES
▲ Look at
90.4
score /100rank 3 of 780
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹502.10close 18 Sep
Upside reference₹525.12+4.6% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹482.22-4.0% · its typical 10-session fall
+19.8% over three months · +17.4% vs Nifty · +18.7% vs its sector · 100% of its three-month range · after results +8.1% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +4.4% (+6.5% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 4 of 780
NAVA
Nava Ltd. · ENERGY
▲ Look at
90.2
score /100rank 4 of 780
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹714.60close 18 Sep
Upside reference₹766.92+7.3% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹676.50-5.3% · its typical 10-session fall
+29.5% over three months · +27.0% vs Nifty · +30.1% vs its sector · 100% of its three-month range · after results +21.3% vs Nifty
10 sessions on: -8.7% (-6.7% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 5 of 780
TVSMOTOR
TVS Motor Company Ltd. · AUTO
▲ Look at
90.1
score /100rank 5 of 780
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹3,546.60close 18 Sep
Upside reference₹3,702.61+4.4% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹3,440.17-3.0% · its typical 10-session fall
+538.8% over three months · +536.4% vs Nifty · +521.6% vs its sector · 99% of its three-month range · after results +14.5% vs Nifty
10 sessions on: -2.6% (-0.5% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 780 of 780
RELINFRA
Reliance Infrastructure Limited
▼ Stay away
2.6
score /100rank 780 of 780
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹267.35close 18 Sep
Upside reference₹287.25+7.4% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹244.07-8.7% · its typical 10-session fall
-30.8% over three months · -33.3% vs Nifty · 11% of its three-month range · after results -18.6% vs Nifty
10 sessions on: -6.6% (-4.6% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 779 of 780
RPOWER
Reliance Power Ltd. · ENERGY
▼ Stay away
3.4
score /100rank 779 of 780
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹47.44close 18 Sep
Upside reference₹51.32+8.2% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹43.97-7.3% · its typical 10-session fall
-29.0% over three months · -31.4% vs Nifty · -28.3% vs its sector · 18% of its three-month range · after results -24.7% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -2.0% (+0.1% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 778 of 780
NEWGEN
Newgen Software Technologies Ltd. · IT
▼ Stay away
5.8
score /100rank 778 of 780
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹918.70close 18 Sep
Upside reference₹985.77+7.3% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹863.86-6.0% · its typical 10-session fall
-23.9% over three months · -26.4% vs Nifty · -18.1% vs its sector · 26% of its three-month range · after results -18.1% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -2.9% (-0.9% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 777 of 780
HIKAL
Hikal Limited
▼ Stay away
6.0
score /100rank 777 of 780
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹267.05close 18 Sep
Upside reference₹277.88+4.1% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹252.19-5.6% · its typical 10-session fall
-26.9% over three months · -29.4% vs Nifty · 15% of its three-month range · after results -13.8% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -4.9% (-2.8% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 776 of 780
NAZARA
Nazara Technologies Limited
▼ Stay away
6.6
score /100rank 776 of 780
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹276.85close 18 Sep
Upside reference₹286.65+3.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹265.72-4.0% · its typical 10-session fall
-16.2% over three months · -18.6% vs Nifty · 8% of its three-month range · after results -18.0% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +1.3% (+3.4% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference reached
Session by session · the full window
| Name | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 | T+4 | T+5 | T+6 | T+7 | T+8 | T+9 | T+10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ Names to look at — move vs Nifty since the close; green while ahead | ||||||||||
| IMFAIndian Metals & Ferro Alloys Limited | -1.2% | +3.3% | +7.8% | +9.4%▲ | +8.7%▲ | +6.3%▲ | +6.0%▲ | +5.1%▲ | +6.8%▲ | +9.7%▲ |
| USHAMARTUsha Martin Ltd. | +3.0% | +4.7% | +7.5%▲ | +8.7%▲ | +10.0%▲ | +11.0%▲ | +17.7%▲ | +13.7%▲ | +11.2%▲ | +13.3%▲ |
| POONAWALLAPoonawalla Fincorp Ltd. | +0.0% | -2.6% | -2.8% | -1.9% | +0.4% | -0.3% | +3.0% | +2.3% | +2.3% | +6.5% |
| NAVANava Ltd. | +0.8% | +0.2% | +0.4% | -0.2% | -0.8% | -1.4% | -3.6% | -5.7% | -7.3% | -6.7% |
| TVSMOTORTVS Motor Company Ltd. | -0.1% | +0.3% | +0.0% | -1.2% | -1.8% | -0.7% | +0.1% | +0.2% | -0.2% | -0.5% |
| ▼ Names to stay away from — move vs Nifty since the close; green while behind | ||||||||||
| RELINFRAReliance Infrastructure Limited | -3.1% | +0.1% | +0.0% | -2.4% | -3.3% | -4.5% | -4.3% | -6.2%▼ | -6.6%▼ | -4.6%▼ |
| RPOWERReliance Power Ltd. | +1.6% | +3.8% | +1.8% | -0.6% | -0.9% | -2.6% | -2.3% | -3.3% | -1.4% | +0.1% |
| NEWGENNewgen Software Technologies Ltd. | +0.0% | -1.4% | -2.8% | -3.3% | +1.1% | -0.3% | -1.4% | +0.0% | +0.3% | -0.9% |
| HIKALHikal Limited | +1.3% | -0.7% | -1.6% | -1.3% | -1.1% | -1.5% | -3.1%▼ | -2.6%▼ | -2.2%▼ | -2.8%▼ |
| NAZARANazara Technologies Limited | -1.8% | +0.6% | +0.7% | +2.5% | +2.9% | +4.2% | -0.8% | -4.8%▼ | +2.5%▼ | +3.4%▼ |
| Look at, ahead of Nifty | 3/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 |
| … on the record | 49% | 50% | 52% | 52% | 52% | 51% | 51% | 51% | 50% | 50% |
| Stay away, behind Nifty | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 4/5 | 3/5 | 4/5 | 5/5 | 4/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 |
| … on the record | 55% | 55% | 54% | 54% | 55% | 55% | 54% | 54% | 55% | 54% |
| Spread, look-at minus stay-away | +0.9% | +0.7% | +2.9% | +4.0% | +3.5% | +3.9% | +7.0% | +6.5% | +4.1% | +5.4% |
| … on the record | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Each cell is the name's move from the close of 18 Sep minus Nifty's over the same sessions, at that session's close. A ▲ or ▼ marks the first session by which the card's upside or downside reference had printed. The on the record rows are what every past call has done at that point — 1,865 calls a side — so a day can be read against what usually happens, not just against zero. Sessions are the name's own; a name that did not trade on a day is measured on the sessions it did.
The whole field · every name
| Rank | Company | Score | Chance | Close | Move, three months | vs Nifty | vs sector | Range | After results | Delivery | 10 sessions on | vs Nifty |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 look at | IMFAIndian Metals & Ferro Alloys Limited | 93.1 | 51% | ₹1,087.70 | +50.6% | +48.1% | — | 100% | +12.4% | +4.2 pp | +7.6% | +9.7% |
| 2 look at | USHAMARTUsha Martin Ltd. | 90.6 | 51% | ₹415.85 | +33.3% | +30.8% | — | 100% | +9.2% | +3.6 pp | +11.2% | +13.3% |
| 3 look at | POONAWALLAPoonawalla Fincorp Ltd. | 90.4 | 51% | ₹502.10 | +19.8% | +17.4% | +18.7% | 100% | +8.1% | +6.4 pp | +4.4% | +6.5% |
| 4 look at | NAVANava Ltd. | 90.2 | 51% | ₹714.60 | +29.5% | +27.0% | +30.1% | 100% | +21.3% | +1.7 pp | -8.7% | -6.7% |
| 5 look at | TVSMOTORTVS Motor Company Ltd. | 90.1 | 51% | ₹3,546.60 | +538.8% | +536.4% | +521.6% | 99% | +14.5% | +0.8 pp | -2.6% | -0.5% |
| 776 stay away | NAZARANazara Technologies Limited | 6.6 | 52% | ₹276.85 | -16.2% | -18.6% | — | 8% | -18.0% | -4.1 pp | +1.3% | +3.4% |
| 777 stay away | HIKALHikal Limited | 6.0 | 52% | ₹267.05 | -26.9% | -29.4% | — | 15% | -13.8% | -5.2 pp | -4.9% | -2.8% |
| 778 stay away | NEWGENNewgen Software Technologies Ltd. | 5.8 | 52% | ₹918.70 | -23.9% | -26.4% | -18.1% | 26% | -18.1% | -14.9 pp | -2.9% | -0.9% |
| 779 stay away | RPOWERReliance Power Ltd. | 3.4 | 52% | ₹47.44 | -29.0% | -31.4% | -28.3% | 18% | -24.7% | -11.9 pp | -2.0% | +0.1% |
| 780 stay away | RELINFRAReliance Infrastructure Limited | 2.6 | 52% | ₹267.35 | -30.8% | -33.3% | — | 11% | -18.6% | — | -6.6% | -4.6% |
Score ranks every name on six checks over three months, each placed from first to last across the field, then blended: the move and the move against Nifty 30% (on one day and one period they order the field the same way, so they count once), against the sector 20%, where the close sits between the period's high and low 20%, the move against Nifty in the ten sessions after each result in the period 15% (* its last result before the period when there was none), and delivery over the second half of the period against the first half 15%. A missing check's weight is shared among the rest. Chance is the historical rate at which names ranked in the same tenth on this period went the way that tenth leans — blank until a tenth has a hundred judged rows. Every call is judged ten sessions after the close against Nifty, whatever the period.