The daily read from the close of 17 Sep 2025
Computed on the morning of 18 Sep 2025 (simulated: computed after the fact, standing on that close with only what was known then): 780 names ranked. Judged ten sessions later: the names to look at averaged -3.3% vs Nifty (1 of 5 beat it), the names to stay away from averaged -2.3% (4 of 5 trailed it), the whole field -2.8%.
The read from the close of 17 Sep 2025 · Half year
Our calculation, not advice.
Follow in my book
rank 1 of 779
GABRIEL
Gabriel India Ltd. · AUTO
▲ Look at
93.8
score /100rank 1 of 779
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,311.40close 17 Sep
Upside reference₹1,422.08+8.4% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹1,238.53-5.6% · its typical 10-session fall
+156.1% over six months · +143.6% vs Nifty · +124.5% vs its sector · 99% of its six-month range · after results +7.1% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -5.4% (-3.4% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 2 of 779
TFCILTD
Tourism Finance Corporation of India Limited
▲ Look at
93.4
score /100rank 2 of 779
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹72.19close 17 Sep
Upside reference₹78.59+8.9% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹67.70-6.2% · its typical 10-session fall
+158.7% over six months · +146.2% vs Nifty · 99% of its six-month range · after results +8.7% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +2.0% (+4.0% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 3 of 779
CCL
CCL Products (I) Ltd. · FMCG
▲ Look at
92.1
score /100rank 3 of 779
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹905.85close 17 Sep
Upside reference₹961.61+6.2% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹868.36-4.1% · its typical 10-session fall
+63.3% over six months · +50.7% vs Nifty · +54.5% vs its sector · 93% of its six-month range · after results +18.3% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -5.8% (-3.8% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 4 of 779
DELHIVERY
Delhivery Ltd.
▲ Look at
91.9
score /100rank 4 of 779
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹482.60close 17 Sep
Upside reference₹509.14+5.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹461.51-4.4% · its typical 10-session fall
+99.1% over six months · +86.6% vs Nifty · 100% of its six-month range · after results +11.8% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -10.0% (-8.0% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 5 of 779
CHOICEIN
Choice International Ltd. · FINANCIAL SERVICES
▲ Look at
90.5
score /100rank 5 of 779
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹823.70close 17 Sep
Upside reference₹855.63+3.9% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹808.22-1.9% · its typical 10-session fall
+71.1% over six months · +58.6% vs Nifty · +58.2% vs its sector · 100% of its six-month range · after results +5.2% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -7.0% (-5.0% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 779 of 779
RAYMOND
Raymond Limited
▼ Stay away
2.4
score /100rank 779 of 779
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹622.60close 17 Sep
Upside reference₹655.35+5.3% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹585.75-5.9% · its typical 10-session fall
-49.4% over six months · -62.0% vs Nifty · 7% of its six-month range · after results -32.0% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -6.4% (-4.5% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 778 of 779
PGEL
PG Electroplast Ltd. · CONSUMER DURABLES
▼ Stay away
3.0
score /100rank 778 of 779
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹569.05close 17 Sep
Upside reference₹611.31+7.4% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹542.52-4.7% · its typical 10-session fall
-31.9% over six months · -44.4% vs Nifty · -46.0% vs its sector · 17% of its six-month range · after results -9.8% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -10.2% (-8.3% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 777 of 779
ORIENTCEM
Orient Cement Limited
▼ Stay away
3.1
score /100rank 777 of 779
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹228.77close 17 Sep
Upside reference₹234.93+2.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹223.43-2.3% · its typical 10-session fall
-34.4% over six months · -46.9% vs Nifty · 8% of its six-month range · after results -7.0% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -2.5% (-0.6% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 776 of 779
JAIBALAJI
Jai Balaji Industries Limited
▼ Stay away
4.5
score /100rank 776 of 779
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹103.22close 17 Sep
Upside reference₹108.47+5.1% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹97.41-5.6% · its typical 10-session fall
-23.3% over six months · -35.9% vs Nifty · 7% of its six-month range · after results -7.1% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -4.7% (-2.7% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 775 of 779
REFEX
Refex Industries Limited
▼ Stay away
6.5
score /100rank 775 of 779
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹356.65close 17 Sep
Upside reference₹387.34+8.6% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹339.34-4.9% · its typical 10-session fall
-2.2% over six months · -14.8% vs Nifty · 6% of its six-month range · after results -15.2% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +2.5% (+4.4% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference reached
Session by session · the full window
| Name | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 | T+4 | T+5 | T+6 | T+7 | T+8 | T+9 | T+10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ Names to look at — move vs Nifty since the close; green while ahead | ||||||||||
| GABRIELGabriel India Ltd. | -5.3% | -2.2% | -1.5% | -1.0% | -0.9% | -2.6% | -3.0% | -4.3% | -7.1% | -3.4% |
| TFCILTDTourism Finance Corporation of India Limited | +0.4% | +0.3% | +0.4% | +1.5% | +2.1% | +2.5% | +3.2% | +2.6% | +4.4% | +4.0% |
| CCLCCL Products (I) Ltd. | -3.3% | -2.2% | -0.2% | -0.0% | +2.6% | +0.9% | +0.8% | -2.6% | -3.9% | -3.8% |
| DELHIVERYDelhivery Ltd. | +0.0% | -0.8% | -2.5% | -4.2% | -4.4% | -3.9% | -5.0% | -6.1% | -3.9% | -8.0% |
| CHOICEINChoice International Ltd. | -0.8% | -1.7% | -1.7% | -0.3% | +1.4% | +1.3% | +0.3% | -1.5% | -4.0% | -5.0% |
| ▼ Names to stay away from — move vs Nifty since the close; green while behind | ||||||||||
| RAYMONDRaymond Limited | -0.0% | -0.3% | -0.1% | +1.0% | +0.5% | +0.7% | +0.2% | -4.9%▼ | -5.0%▼ | -4.5%▼ |
| PGELPG Electroplast Ltd. | -0.7% | +0.4% | -0.9% | -1.3% | -3.3% | -3.4%▼ | -6.9%▼ | -8.6%▼ | -8.9%▼ | -8.3%▼ |
| ORIENTCEMOrient Cement Limited | -1.3% | -4.0%▼ | -1.8%▼ | +3.3%▼ | +1.7%▼ | +3.9%▼ | +1.0%▼ | -1.6%▼ | -1.3%▼ | -0.6%▼ |
| JAIBALAJIJai Balaji Industries Limited | -2.5% | -2.1% | -2.7% | -2.7% | -4.9%▼ | -4.6%▼ | -5.1%▼ | -3.8%▼ | -5.7%▼ | -2.7%▼ |
| REFEXRefex Industries Limited | -2.7% | -2.5% | -4.7%▼ | +10.1%▼ | +13.4%▼ | +9.6%▼ | +7.2%▼ | +3.6%▼ | +2.8%▼ | +4.4%▼ |
| Look at, ahead of Nifty | 2/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 |
| … on the record | 49% | 49% | 48% | 47% | 47% | 47% | 48% | 48% | 48% | 48% |
| Stay away, behind Nifty | 5/5 | 4/5 | 5/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 |
| … on the record | 58% | 57% | 58% | 58% | 58% | 59% | 59% | 58% | 59% | 59% |
| Spread, look-at minus stay-away | -0.4% | +0.4% | +1.0% | -2.9% | -1.3% | -1.6% | +0.0% | +0.7% | +0.7% | -0.9% |
| … on the record | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Each cell is the name's move from the close of 17 Sep minus Nifty's over the same sessions, at that session's close. A ▲ or ▼ marks the first session by which the card's upside or downside reference had printed. The on the record rows are what every past call has done at that point — 1,865 calls a side — so a day can be read against what usually happens, not just against zero. Sessions are the name's own; a name that did not trade on a day is measured on the sessions it did.
The whole field · every name
| Rank | Company | Score | Chance | Close | Move, six months | vs Nifty | vs sector | Range | After results | Delivery | 10 sessions on | vs Nifty |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 look at | GABRIELGabriel India Ltd. | 93.8 | 50% | ₹1,311.40 | +156.1% | +143.6% | +124.5% | 99% | +7.1% | +5.8 pp | -5.4% | -3.4% |
| 2 look at | TFCILTDTourism Finance Corporation of India Limited | 93.4 | 50% | ₹72.19 | +158.7% | +146.2% | — | 99% | +8.7% | +6.5 pp | +2.0% | +4.0% |
| 3 look at | CCLCCL Products (I) Ltd. | 92.1 | 50% | ₹905.85 | +63.3% | +50.7% | +54.5% | 93% | +18.3% | +10.7 pp | -5.8% | -3.8% |
| 4 look at | DELHIVERYDelhivery Ltd. | 91.9 | 50% | ₹482.60 | +99.1% | +86.6% | — | 100% | +11.8% | +4.3 pp | -10.0% | -8.0% |
| 5 look at | CHOICEINChoice International Ltd. | 90.5 | 50% | ₹823.70 | +71.1% | +58.6% | +58.2% | 100% | +5.2% | +6.8 pp | -7.0% | -5.0% |
| 775 stay away | REFEXRefex Industries Limited | 6.5 | 55% | ₹356.65 | -2.2% | -14.8% | — | 6% | -15.2% | -7.4 pp | +2.5% | +4.4% |
| 776 stay away | JAIBALAJIJai Balaji Industries Limited | 4.5 | 55% | ₹103.22 | -23.3% | -35.9% | — | 7% | -7.1% | -7.6 pp | -4.7% | -2.7% |
| 777 stay away | ORIENTCEMOrient Cement Limited | 3.1 | 55% | ₹228.77 | -34.4% | -46.9% | — | 8% | -7.0% | -16.4 pp | -2.5% | -0.6% |
| 778 stay away | PGELPG Electroplast Ltd. | 3.0 | 55% | ₹569.05 | -31.9% | -44.4% | -46.0% | 17% | -9.8% | -10.9 pp | -10.2% | -8.3% |
| 779 stay away | RAYMONDRaymond Limited | 2.4 | 55% | ₹622.60 | -49.4% | -62.0% | — | 7% | -32.0% | -7.0 pp | -6.4% | -4.5% |
Score ranks every name on six checks over six months, each placed from first to last across the field, then blended: the move and the move against Nifty 30% (on one day and one period they order the field the same way, so they count once), against the sector 20%, where the close sits between the period's high and low 20%, the move against Nifty in the ten sessions after each result in the period 15% (* its last result before the period when there was none), and delivery over the second half of the period against the first half 15%. A missing check's weight is shared among the rest. Chance is the historical rate at which names ranked in the same tenth on this period went the way that tenth leans — blank until a tenth has a hundred judged rows. Every call is judged ten sessions after the close against Nifty, whatever the period.