The daily read from the close of 16 Sep 2025
Computed on the morning of 17 Sep 2025 (simulated: computed after the fact, standing on that close with only what was known then): 780 names ranked. Judged ten sessions later: the names to look at averaged -0.6% vs Nifty (2 of 5 beat it), the names to stay away from averaged -5.2% (5 of 5 trailed it), the whole field -2.9%.
The read from the close of 16 Sep 2025 · Year
Our calculation, not advice.
Follow in my book
rank 1 of 780
TVSMOTOR
TVS Motor Company Ltd. · AUTO
▲ Look at
92.7
score /100rank 1 of 780
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹3,499.90close 16 Sep
Upside reference₹3,653.86+4.4% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹3,394.87-3.0% · its typical 10-session fall
+515.8% over the year · +516.4% vs Nifty · +510.7% vs its sector · 97% of its year range · after results +3.7% vs Nifty (avg of 4) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -1.7% (+0.7% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 2 of 780
AMBER
Amber Enterprises India Ltd. · CONSUMER DURABLES
▲ Look at
91.8
score /100rank 2 of 780
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹8,298.00close 16 Sep
Upside reference₹8,840.61+6.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹7,838.62-5.5% · its typical 10-session fall
+82.0% over the year · +82.6% vs Nifty · +90.4% vs its sector · 100% of its year range · after results +0.1% vs Nifty (avg of 4) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -2.5% (-0.0% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 3 of 780
CHOICEIN
Choice International Ltd. · FINANCIAL SERVICES
▲ Look at
91.6
score /100rank 3 of 780
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹825.00close 16 Sep
Upside reference₹856.45+3.8% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹809.50-1.9% · its typical 10-session fall
+79.3% over the year · +79.9% vs Nifty · +68.9% vs its sector · 100% of its year range · after results +4.8% vs Nifty (avg of 4) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -7.0% (-4.5% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 4 of 780
PAYTM
One 97 Communications Ltd. · FINANCIAL SERVICES
▲ Look at
91.2
score /100rank 4 of 780
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,231.30close 16 Sep
Upside reference₹1,311.80+6.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹1,168.47-5.1% · its typical 10-session fall
+80.5% over the year · +81.1% vs Nifty · +70.1% vs its sector · 91% of its year range · after results +1.4% vs Nifty (avg of 4) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -8.7% (-6.2% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 5 of 780
AVALON
Avalon Technologies Limited
▲ Look at
90.8
score /100rank 5 of 780
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹963.80close 16 Sep
Upside reference₹1,036.20+7.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹927.86-3.7% · its typical 10-session fall
+83.5% over the year · +84.0% vs Nifty · 90% of its year range · after results +4.5% vs Nifty (avg of 4) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +4.7% (+7.2% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 780 of 780
PCJEWELLER
PC Jeweller Limited
▼ Stay away
1.3
score /100rank 780 of 780
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹13.39close 16 Sep
Upside reference₹14.46+8.0% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹12.40-7.4% · its typical 10-session fall
-90.9% over the year · -90.3% vs Nifty · 2% of its year range · after results -12.6% vs Nifty (avg of 4) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -7.8% (-5.4% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 779 of 780
JAIBALAJI
Jai Balaji Industries Limited
▼ Stay away
2.8
score /100rank 779 of 780
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹101.80close 16 Sep
Upside reference₹106.99+5.1% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹96.01-5.7% · its typical 10-session fall
-53.1% over the year · -52.6% vs Nifty · 1% of its year range · after results -8.2% vs Nifty (avg of 4) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -7.3% (-4.8% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 778 of 780
SWSOLAR
Sterling and Wilson Renewable Energy Limited
▼ Stay away
3.5
score /100rank 778 of 780
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹266.60close 16 Sep
Upside reference₹283.81+6.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹245.29-8.0% · its typical 10-session fall
-63.0% over the year · -62.4% vs Nifty · 9% of its year range · after results -15.8% vs Nifty (avg of 4) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -9.2% (-6.7% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 777 of 780
TEJASNET
Tejas Networks Ltd. · INFRASTRUCTURE
▼ Stay away
4.7
score /100rank 777 of 780
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹615.35close 16 Sep
Upside reference₹651.51+5.9% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹575.79-6.4% · its typical 10-session fall
-51.6% over the year · -51.0% vs Nifty · -49.9% vs its sector · 8% of its year range · after results -10.4% vs Nifty (avg of 4) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -4.9% (-2.4% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 776 of 780
ROUTE
ROUTE MOBILE LIMITED
▼ Stay away
6.0
score /100rank 776 of 780
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹872.20close 16 Sep
Upside reference₹895.64+2.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹837.13-4.0% · its typical 10-session fall
-48.1% over the year · -47.5% vs Nifty · 3% of its year range · after results -4.8% vs Nifty (avg of 4) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -9.2% (-6.8% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Session by session · the full window
| Name | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 | T+4 | T+5 | T+6 | T+7 | T+8 | T+9 | T+10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ Names to look at — move vs Nifty since the close; green while ahead | ||||||||||
| TVSMOTORTVS Motor Company Ltd. | -0.4% | +0.6% | +0.5% | +0.9% | +0.6% | -0.6% | -1.2% | -0.1% | +0.7% | +0.7% |
| AMBERAmber Enterprises India Ltd. | -0.5% | -1.2% | -0.5% | +0.3% | +0.3% | +2.1% | +3.1% | +0.7% | +1.6% | -0.0% |
| CHOICEINChoice International Ltd. | -0.5% | -1.3% | -2.2% | -2.2% | -0.8% | +0.9% | +0.8% | -0.2% | -2.0% | -4.5% |
| PAYTMOne 97 Communications Ltd. | -1.1% | -0.9% | -4.7% | -2.7% | -3.9% | -4.9% | -5.9% | -6.3% | -6.7% | -6.2% |
| AVALONAvalon Technologies Limited | -0.9% | +1.9% | +0.7% | +1.6% | +5.3% | +4.6% | +4.8% | +5.4% | +7.2% | +7.2% |
| ▼ Names to stay away from — move vs Nifty since the close; green while behind | ||||||||||
| PCJEWELLERPC Jeweller Limited | +9.1% | +10.8% | +4.4% | +2.2% | +0.9% | +0.3% | +1.8% | -6.9%▼ | -6.0%▼ | -5.4%▼ |
| JAIBALAJIJai Balaji Industries Limited | +1.0% | -1.5% | -1.1% | -1.7% | -1.7% | -3.9% | -3.7% | -4.1%▼ | -2.9%▼ | -4.8%▼ |
| SWSOLARSterling and Wilson Renewable Energy Limited | +0.2% | -0.7% | +1.3% | -0.3% | -2.1% | -2.4% | -4.2% | -6.7%▼ | -7.0%▼ | -6.7%▼ |
| TEJASNETTejas Networks Ltd. | +0.2% | -0.7% | -1.1% | -2.4% | -2.8% | -3.5% | -3.9% | -2.0% | -1.1% | -2.4% |
| ROUTEROUTE MOBILE LIMITED | -0.9% | -0.4% | -2.3% | -3.4% | -2.8% | -2.8% | -3.5%▼ | -6.0%▼ | -7.3%▼ | -6.8%▼ |
| Look at, ahead of Nifty | 0/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 |
| … on the record | 50% | 50% | 51% | 51% | 53% | 52% | 52% | 52% | 52% | 52% |
| Stay away, behind Nifty | 1/5 | 4/5 | 3/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 |
| … on the record | 58% | 59% | 58% | 58% | 59% | 60% | 60% | 61% | 61% | 62% |
| Spread, look-at minus stay-away | -2.6% | -1.7% | -1.5% | +0.7% | +2.0% | +2.9% | +3.0% | +5.1% | +5.0% | +4.6% |
| … on the record | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Each cell is the name's move from the close of 16 Sep minus Nifty's over the same sessions, at that session's close. A ▲ or ▼ marks the first session by which the card's upside or downside reference had printed. The on the record rows are what every past call has done at that point — 1,865 calls a side — so a day can be read against what usually happens, not just against zero. Sessions are the name's own; a name that did not trade on a day is measured on the sessions it did.
The whole field · every name
| Rank | Company | Score | Chance | Close | Move, the year | vs Nifty | vs sector | Range | After results | Delivery | 10 sessions on | vs Nifty |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 look at | TVSMOTORTVS Motor Company Ltd. | 92.7 | 53% | ₹3,499.90 | +515.8% | +516.4% | +510.7% | 97% | +3.7% | +4.6 pp | -1.7% | +0.7% |
| 2 look at | AMBERAmber Enterprises India Ltd. | 91.8 | 53% | ₹8,298.00 | +82.0% | +82.6% | +90.4% | 100% | +0.1% | +11.2 pp | -2.5% | -0.0% |
| 3 look at | CHOICEINChoice International Ltd. | 91.6 | 53% | ₹825.00 | +79.3% | +79.9% | +68.9% | 100% | +4.8% | +3.8 pp | -7.0% | -4.5% |
| 4 look at | PAYTMOne 97 Communications Ltd. | 91.2 | 53% | ₹1,231.30 | +80.5% | +81.1% | +70.1% | 91% | +1.4% | +9.6 pp | -8.7% | -6.2% |
| 5 look at | AVALONAvalon Technologies Limited | 90.8 | 53% | ₹963.80 | +83.5% | +84.0% | — | 90% | +4.5% | +5.8 pp | +4.7% | +7.2% |
| 776 stay away | ROUTEROUTE MOBILE LIMITED | 6.0 | 58% | ₹872.20 | -48.1% | -47.5% | — | 3% | -4.8% | -7.5 pp | -9.2% | -6.8% |
| 777 stay away | TEJASNETTejas Networks Ltd. | 4.7 | 58% | ₹615.35 | -51.6% | -51.0% | -49.9% | 8% | -10.4% | -4.9 pp | -4.9% | -2.4% |
| 778 stay away | SWSOLARSterling and Wilson Renewable Energy Limited | 3.5 | 58% | ₹266.60 | -63.0% | -62.4% | — | 9% | -15.8% | -8.9 pp | -9.2% | -6.7% |
| 779 stay away | JAIBALAJIJai Balaji Industries Limited | 2.8 | 58% | ₹101.80 | -53.1% | -52.6% | — | 1% | -8.2% | -9.9 pp | -7.3% | -4.8% |
| 780 stay away | PCJEWELLERPC Jeweller Limited | 1.3 | 58% | ₹13.39 | -90.9% | -90.3% | — | 2% | -12.6% | -10.2 pp | -7.8% | -5.4% |
Score ranks every name on six checks over the year, each placed from first to last across the field, then blended: the move and the move against Nifty 30% (on one day and one period they order the field the same way, so they count once), against the sector 20%, where the close sits between the period's high and low 20%, the move against Nifty in the ten sessions after each result in the period 15% (* its last result before the period when there was none), and delivery over the second half of the period against the first half 15%. A missing check's weight is shared among the rest. Chance is the historical rate at which names ranked in the same tenth on this period went the way that tenth leans — blank until a tenth has a hundred judged rows. Every call is judged ten sessions after the close against Nifty, whatever the period.