The daily read from the close of 11 Sep 2025
Computed on the morning of 12 Sep 2025 (simulated: computed after the fact, standing on that close with only what was known then): 778 names ranked. Judged ten sessions later: the names to look at averaged -1.5% vs Nifty (3 of 5 beat it), the names to stay away from averaged +1.4% (2 of 5 trailed it), the whole field -0.1%.
The read from the close of 11 Sep 2025 · Half year
Our calculation, not advice.
Follow in my book
rank 1 of 777
CARYSIL
CARYSIL LIMITED
▲ Look at
96.2
score /100rank 1 of 777
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹956.90close 11 Sep
Upside reference₹1,013.59+5.9% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹909.80-4.9% · its typical 10-session fall
+89.5% over six months · +78.4% vs Nifty · 99% of its six-month range · after results +20.5% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -11.2% (-10.7% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 2 of 777
TFCILTD
Tourism Finance Corporation of India Limited
▲ Look at
94.1
score /100rank 2 of 777
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹72.40close 11 Sep
Upside reference₹78.76+8.8% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹67.99-6.1% · its typical 10-session fall
+150.8% over six months · +139.7% vs Nifty · 100% of its six-month range · after results +8.7% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +0.5% (+0.9% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 3 of 777
GABRIEL
Gabriel India Ltd. · AUTO
▲ Look at
93.5
score /100rank 3 of 777
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,243.50close 11 Sep
Upside reference₹1,355.97+9.0% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹1,176.64-5.4% · its typical 10-session fall
+144.3% over six months · +133.2% vs Nifty · +115.0% vs its sector · 97% of its six-month range · after results +7.1% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +0.9% (+1.3% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 4 of 777
CCL
CCL Products (I) Ltd. · FMCG
▲ Look at
92.0
score /100rank 4 of 777
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹902.55close 11 Sep
Upside reference₹958.06+6.2% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹864.71-4.2% · its typical 10-session fall
+57.5% over six months · +46.4% vs Nifty · +47.9% vs its sector · 92% of its six-month range · after results +18.3% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -0.5% (-0.0% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 5 of 777
CHOICEIN
Choice International Ltd. · FINANCIAL SERVICES
▲ Look at
91.6
score /100rank 5 of 777
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹816.10close 11 Sep
Upside reference₹847.73+3.9% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹800.77-1.9% · its typical 10-session fall
+67.7% over six months · +56.5% vs Nifty · +54.8% vs its sector · 99% of its six-month range · after results +5.2% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +0.5% (+1.0% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 777 of 777
RAYMOND
Raymond Limited
▼ Stay away
2.8
score /100rank 777 of 777
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹618.90close 11 Sep
Upside reference₹654.20+5.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹582.27-5.9% · its typical 10-session fall
-50.9% over six months · -62.1% vs Nifty · 7% of its six-month range · after results -32.0% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -0.4% (+0.1% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 776 of 777
ORIENTCEM
Orient Cement Limited
▼ Stay away
3.0
score /100rank 776 of 777
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹223.07close 11 Sep
Upside reference₹229.56+2.9% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹217.84-2.3% · its typical 10-session fall
-35.7% over six months · -46.8% vs Nifty · 4% of its six-month range · after results -7.0% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +4.8% (+5.2% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 775 of 777
JAIBALAJI
Jai Balaji Industries Limited
▼ Stay away
3.3
score /100rank 775 of 777
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹99.94close 11 Sep
Upside reference₹105.42+5.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹94.07-5.9% · its typical 10-session fall
-28.9% over six months · -40.0% vs Nifty · 0% of its six-month range · after results -7.1% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -3.3% (-2.8% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 774 of 777
PGEL
PG Electroplast Ltd. · CONSUMER DURABLES
▼ Stay away
3.7
score /100rank 774 of 777
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹570.05close 11 Sep
Upside reference₹615.15+7.9% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹543.47-4.7% · its typical 10-session fall
-36.1% over six months · -47.3% vs Nifty · -49.5% vs its sector · 17% of its six-month range · after results -9.8% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -5.3% (-4.9% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 773 of 777
REFEX
Refex Industries Limited
▼ Stay away
3.9
score /100rank 773 of 777
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹353.50close 11 Sep
Upside reference₹385.01+8.9% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹335.18-5.2% · its typical 10-session fall
-11.8% over six months · -23.0% vs Nifty · 4% of its six-month range · after results -15.2% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +8.9% (+9.3% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Session by session · the full window
| Name | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 | T+4 | T+5 | T+6 | T+7 | T+8 | T+9 | T+10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ Names to look at — move vs Nifty since the close; green while ahead | ||||||||||
| CARYSILCARYSIL LIMITED | -1.9% | -2.6% | -3.5% | -6.8% | -5.9% | -5.4% | -7.1% | -8.1% | -8.2% | -10.7% |
| TFCILTDTourism Finance Corporation of India Limited | +0.2% | -0.5% | -0.5% | -1.6% | -1.2% | -1.3% | -1.2% | -0.1% | +0.5% | +0.9% |
| GABRIELGabriel India Ltd. | -1.4% | +4.5% | +5.0% | +4.2% | -1.4% | +1.9% | +2.6% | +3.0% | +3.2% | +1.3% |
| CCLCCL Products (I) Ltd. | -2.1% | -0.1% | +0.7% | -0.9% | -4.2% | -3.1% | -1.1% | -1.0% | +1.7% | -0.0% |
| CHOICEINChoice International Ltd. | -0.3% | +0.5% | +0.2% | -0.4% | -1.2% | -2.1% | -2.0% | -0.7% | +1.0% | +1.0% |
| ▼ Names to stay away from — move vs Nifty since the close; green while behind | ||||||||||
| RAYMONDRaymond Limited | -1.1% | +0.3% | +0.6% | -0.7% | -0.7% | -1.0% | -0.8% | +0.3% | -0.2% | +0.1% |
| ORIENTCEMOrient Cement Limited | -1.6% | -0.5% | +0.5% | +1.3% | -0.0% | -2.9% | -0.6% | +4.6% | +3.0% | +5.2% |
| JAIBALAJIJai Balaji Industries Limited | +0.1% | +4.1% | +0.9% | +2.0% | -0.6% | -0.2% | -0.8% | -0.8% | -3.1% | -2.8% |
| PGELPG Electroplast Ltd. | -0.5% | +0.3% | -1.0% | -1.5% | -2.1% | -1.1% | -2.4% | -2.7% | -4.7% | -4.9%▼ |
| REFEXRefex Industries Limited | -0.9% | +0.1% | +0.2% | -0.4% | -3.1% | -2.9% | -5.2% | +9.8% | +13.1% | +9.3% |
| Look at, ahead of Nifty | 1/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 1/5 | 0/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 4/5 | 3/5 |
| … on the record | 49% | 49% | 48% | 47% | 47% | 47% | 48% | 48% | 48% | 48% |
| Stay away, behind Nifty | 4/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 3/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 |
| … on the record | 58% | 57% | 58% | 58% | 58% | 59% | 59% | 58% | 59% | 59% |
| Spread, look-at minus stay-away | -0.3% | -0.5% | +0.1% | -1.2% | -1.4% | -0.4% | +0.2% | -3.6% | -2.0% | -2.9% |
| … on the record | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Each cell is the name's move from the close of 11 Sep minus Nifty's over the same sessions, at that session's close. A ▲ or ▼ marks the first session by which the card's upside or downside reference had printed. The on the record rows are what every past call has done at that point — 1,865 calls a side — so a day can be read against what usually happens, not just against zero. Sessions are the name's own; a name that did not trade on a day is measured on the sessions it did.
The whole field · top 50 and bottom 50
| Rank | Company | Score | Chance | Close | Move, six months | vs Nifty | vs sector | Range | After results | Delivery | 10 sessions on | vs Nifty |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 look at | CARYSILCARYSIL LIMITED | 96.2 | 50% | ₹956.90 | +89.5% | +78.4% | — | 99% | +20.5% | +9.4 pp | -11.2% | -10.7% |
| 2 look at | TFCILTDTourism Finance Corporation of India Limited | 94.1 | 50% | ₹72.40 | +150.8% | +139.7% | — | 100% | +8.7% | +5.5 pp | +0.5% | +0.9% |
| 3 look at | GABRIELGabriel India Ltd. | 93.5 | 50% | ₹1,243.50 | +144.3% | +133.2% | +115.0% | 97% | +7.1% | +5.5 pp | +0.9% | +1.3% |
| 4 look at | CCLCCL Products (I) Ltd. | 92.0 | 50% | ₹902.55 | +57.5% | +46.4% | +47.9% | 92% | +18.3% | +9.7 pp | -0.5% | -0.0% |
| 5 look at | CHOICEINChoice International Ltd. | 91.6 | 50% | ₹816.10 | +67.7% | +56.5% | +54.8% | 99% | +5.2% | +8.2 pp | +0.5% | +1.0% |
| 773 stay away | REFEXRefex Industries Limited | 3.9 | 55% | ₹353.50 | -11.8% | -23.0% | — | 4% | -15.2% | -8.8 pp | +8.9% | +9.3% |
| 774 stay away | PGELPG Electroplast Ltd. | 3.7 | 55% | ₹570.05 | -36.1% | -47.3% | -49.5% | 17% | -9.8% | -9.7 pp | -5.3% | -4.9% |
| 775 stay away | JAIBALAJIJai Balaji Industries Limited | 3.3 | 55% | ₹99.94 | -28.9% | -40.0% | — | 0% | -7.1% | -9.3 pp | -3.3% | -2.8% |
| 776 stay away | ORIENTCEMOrient Cement Limited | 3.0 | 55% | ₹223.07 | -35.7% | -46.8% | — | 4% | -7.0% | -19.8 pp | +4.8% | +5.2% |
| 777 stay away | RAYMONDRaymond Limited | 2.8 | 55% | ₹618.90 | -50.9% | -62.1% | — | 7% | -32.0% | -7.6 pp | -0.4% | +0.1% |
Score ranks every name on six checks over six months, each placed from first to last across the field, then blended: the move and the move against Nifty 30% (on one day and one period they order the field the same way, so they count once), against the sector 20%, where the close sits between the period's high and low 20%, the move against Nifty in the ten sessions after each result in the period 15% (* its last result before the period when there was none), and delivery over the second half of the period against the first half 15%. A missing check's weight is shared among the rest. Chance is the historical rate at which names ranked in the same tenth on this period went the way that tenth leans — blank until a tenth has a hundred judged rows. Every call is judged ten sessions after the close against Nifty, whatever the period.