The daily read from the close of 4 Sep 2025
Computed on the morning of 5 Sep 2025 (simulated: computed after the fact, standing on that close with only what was known then): 772 names ranked. Judged ten sessions later: the names to look at averaged +3.4% vs Nifty (3 of 5 beat it), the names to stay away from averaged +0.7% (3 of 5 trailed it), the whole field +2.1%.
The read from the close of 4 Sep 2025 · Quarter
Our calculation, not advice.
Follow in my book
rank 1 of 771
IMFA
Indian Metals & Ferro Alloys Limited
▲ Look at
95.6
score /100rank 1 of 771
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹903.35close 4 Sep
Upside reference₹965.92+6.9% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹857.13-5.1% · its typical 10-session fall
+32.2% over three months · +31.8% vs Nifty · 100% of its three-month range · after results +12.4% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +20.4% (+17.6% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 2 of 771
TFCILTD
Tourism Finance Corporation of India Limited
▲ Look at
93.8
score /100rank 2 of 771
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹68.11close 4 Sep
Upside reference₹73.95+8.6% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹63.96-6.1% · its typical 10-session fall
+48.1% over three months · +47.6% vs Nifty · 100% of its three-month range · after results +12.2% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +6.8% (+4.0% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 3 of 771
GABRIEL
Gabriel India Ltd. · AUTO
▲ Look at
93.1
score /100rank 3 of 771
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,222.20close 4 Sep
Upside reference₹1,328.62+8.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹1,157.13-5.3% · its typical 10-session fall
+87.8% over three months · +87.3% vs Nifty · +76.4% vs its sector · 94% of its three-month range · after results +8.9% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +2.1% (-0.7% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 4 of 771
KRISHANA
Krishana Phoschem Limited
▲ Look at
92.3
score /100rank 4 of 771
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹115.32close 4 Sep
Upside reference₹127.43+10.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹111.32-3.5% · its typical 10-session fall
+35.8% over three months · +35.3% vs Nifty · 86% of its three-month range · after results +11.2% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -2.8% (-5.6% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 5 of 771
MUTHOOTFIN
Muthoot Finance Ltd. · FINANCIAL SERVICES
▲ Look at
90.7
score /100rank 5 of 771
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹2,826.30close 4 Sep
Upside reference₹2,915.78+3.2% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹2,755.25-2.5% · its typical 10-session fall
+24.4% over three months · +23.9% vs Nifty · +25.9% vs its sector · 100% of its three-month range · after results +7.9% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +4.6% (+1.9% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 771 of 771
PNBHOUSING
PNB Housing Finance Ltd. · FINANCIAL SERVICES
▼ Stay away
6.1
score /100rank 771 of 771
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹782.60close 4 Sep
Upside reference₹820.30+4.8% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹742.53-5.1% · its typical 10-session fall
-26.0% over three months · -26.4% vs Nifty · -24.4% vs its sector · 8% of its three-month range · after results -27.4% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +10.1% (+7.3% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 770 of 771
IONEXCHANG
ION Exchange (India) Limited
▼ Stay away
6.6
score /100rank 770 of 771
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹417.45close 4 Sep
Upside reference₹436.44+4.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹399.45-4.3% · its typical 10-session fall
-24.6% over three months · -25.1% vs Nifty · 0% of its three-month range · after results -8.7% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +1.0% (-1.8% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 769 of 771
TTML
Tata Teleservices (Maharashtra) Ltd. · INFRASTRUCTURE
▼ Stay away
7.7
score /100rank 769 of 771
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹57.06close 4 Sep
Upside reference₹59.50+4.3% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹53.74-5.8% · its typical 10-session fall
-21.2% over three months · -21.7% vs Nifty · -20.9% vs its sector · 5% of its three-month range · after results -7.7% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +1.3% (-1.5% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 768 of 771
NEWGEN
Newgen Software Technologies Ltd. · IT
▼ Stay away
9.5
score /100rank 768 of 771
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹899.10close 4 Sep
Upside reference₹964.54+7.3% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹844.23-6.1% · its typical 10-session fall
-26.6% over three months · -27.0% vs Nifty · -21.7% vs its sector · 20% of its three-month range · after results -18.1% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +2.2% (-0.6% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 767 of 771
HPL
HPL Electric & Power Limited
▼ Stay away
9.5
score /100rank 767 of 771
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹468.10close 4 Sep
Upside reference₹500.56+6.9% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹436.41-6.8% · its typical 10-session fall
-21.4% over three months · -21.9% vs Nifty · 4% of its three-month range · after results -20.5% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +3.1% (+0.3% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Session by session · the full window
| Name | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 | T+4 | T+5 | T+6 | T+7 | T+8 | T+9 | T+10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ Names to look at — move vs Nifty since the close; green while ahead | ||||||||||
| IMFAIndian Metals & Ferro Alloys Limited | +8.0%▲ | +14.2%▲ | +10.5%▲ | +11.0%▲ | +11.8%▲ | +12.6%▲ | +14.2%▲ | +11.1%▲ | +13.3%▲ | +17.6%▲ |
| TFCILTDTourism Finance Corporation of India Limited | +1.6% | +1.9% | +3.7% | +4.3% | +5.2% | +5.4% | +4.6% | +4.7% | +3.6% | +4.0% |
| GABRIELGabriel India Ltd. | -1.7% | -0.2% | +2.5% | +2.4% | +0.6% | -0.8% | +5.2% | +5.7% | +4.9% | -0.7% |
| KRISHANAKrishana Phoschem Limited | -1.9% | -4.7% | -4.1% | -2.9% | -0.7% | -5.6% | -5.0% | -5.6% | -3.8% | -5.6% |
| MUTHOOTFINMuthoot Finance Ltd. | +0.4% | +2.5% | +3.6%▲ | +1.6%▲ | +0.7%▲ | +2.0%▲ | +2.6%▲ | +3.7%▲ | +1.7%▲ | +1.9%▲ |
| ▼ Names to stay away from — move vs Nifty since the close; green while behind | ||||||||||
| PNBHOUSINGPNB Housing Finance Ltd. | +1.1% | +2.0% | +1.7% | +2.4% | +2.7% | +4.5% | +5.4% | +4.1% | +5.0% | +7.3% |
| IONEXCHANGION Exchange (India) Limited | -0.1% | -0.2% | -2.3% | -1.9% | -1.1% | -2.5% | +1.3% | +0.1% | -1.0% | -1.8% |
| TTMLTata Teleservices (Maharashtra) Ltd. | +0.7% | -0.1% | -0.7% | -0.9% | -0.9% | -1.5% | -0.2% | +1.0% | -0.2% | -1.5% |
| NEWGENNewgen Software Technologies Ltd. | -1.4% | -1.8% | -2.9% | -2.5% | -2.6% | -2.8% | -2.9% | -3.6% | -4.0% | -0.6% |
| HPLHPL Electric & Power Limited | -0.6% | -0.6% | -0.8% | -0.4% | -0.0% | +3.3% | +4.8% | +2.7% | +1.9% | +0.3% |
| Look at, ahead of Nifty | 3/5 | 3/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 3/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 3/5 |
| … on the record | 49% | 50% | 52% | 52% | 52% | 51% | 51% | 51% | 50% | 50% |
| Stay away, behind Nifty | 3/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 | 1/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 |
| … on the record | 55% | 55% | 54% | 54% | 55% | 55% | 54% | 54% | 55% | 54% |
| Spread, look-at minus stay-away | +1.3% | +2.8% | +4.2% | +3.9% | +3.9% | +2.5% | +2.6% | +3.1% | +3.6% | +2.7% |
| … on the record | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Each cell is the name's move from the close of 4 Sep minus Nifty's over the same sessions, at that session's close. A ▲ or ▼ marks the first session by which the card's upside or downside reference had printed. The on the record rows are what every past call has done at that point — 1,865 calls a side — so a day can be read against what usually happens, not just against zero. Sessions are the name's own; a name that did not trade on a day is measured on the sessions it did.
The whole field · top 50 and bottom 50
| Rank | Company | Score | Chance | Close | Move, three months | vs Nifty | vs sector | Range | After results | Delivery | 10 sessions on | vs Nifty |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 look at | IMFAIndian Metals & Ferro Alloys Limited | 95.6 | 51% | ₹903.35 | +32.2% | +31.8% | — | 100% | +12.4% | +8.0 pp | +20.4% | +17.6% |
| 2 look at | TFCILTDTourism Finance Corporation of India Limited | 93.8 | 51% | ₹68.11 | +48.1% | +47.6% | — | 100% | +12.2% | +4.6 pp | +6.8% | +4.0% |
| 3 look at | GABRIELGabriel India Ltd. | 93.1 | 51% | ₹1,222.20 | +87.8% | +87.3% | +76.4% | 94% | +8.9% | +4.3 pp | +2.1% | -0.7% |
| 4 look at | KRISHANAKrishana Phoschem Limited | 92.3 | 51% | ₹115.32 | +35.8% | +35.3% | — | 86% | +11.2% | +7.8 pp | -2.8% | -5.6% |
| 5 look at | MUTHOOTFINMuthoot Finance Ltd. | 90.7 | 51% | ₹2,826.30 | +24.4% | +23.9% | +25.9% | 100% | +7.9% | +4.1 pp | +4.6% | +1.9% |
| 767 stay away | HPLHPL Electric & Power Limited | 9.5 | 52% | ₹468.10 | -21.4% | -21.9% | — | 4% | -20.5% | -2.0 pp | +3.1% | +0.3% |
| 768 stay away | NEWGENNewgen Software Technologies Ltd. | 9.5 | 52% | ₹899.10 | -26.6% | -27.0% | -21.7% | 20% | -18.1% | -8.5 pp | +2.2% | -0.6% |
| 769 stay away | TTMLTata Teleservices (Maharashtra) Ltd. | 7.7 | 52% | ₹57.06 | -21.2% | -21.7% | -20.9% | 5% | -7.7% | -12.9 pp | +1.3% | -1.5% |
| 770 stay away | IONEXCHANGION Exchange (India) Limited | 6.6 | 52% | ₹417.45 | -24.6% | -25.1% | — | 0% | -8.7% | -4.7 pp | +1.0% | -1.8% |
| 771 stay away | PNBHOUSINGPNB Housing Finance Ltd. | 6.1 | 52% | ₹782.60 | -26.0% | -26.4% | -24.4% | 8% | -27.4% | -4.9 pp | +10.1% | +7.3% |
Score ranks every name on six checks over three months, each placed from first to last across the field, then blended: the move and the move against Nifty 30% (on one day and one period they order the field the same way, so they count once), against the sector 20%, where the close sits between the period's high and low 20%, the move against Nifty in the ten sessions after each result in the period 15% (* its last result before the period when there was none), and delivery over the second half of the period against the first half 15%. A missing check's weight is shared among the rest. Chance is the historical rate at which names ranked in the same tenth on this period went the way that tenth leans — blank until a tenth has a hundred judged rows. Every call is judged ten sessions after the close against Nifty, whatever the period.